ORIGINE
(Paris La Défense - Nanterre, Hauts-de-Seine)
INVESTOR PRESENTATION
November 2019
ICADE AT A GLANCE
ICADE AT A GLANCE: ONE OF THE LEADING FRENCH LISTED REITS
OFFICE INVESTMENT:
Icade, the leading real estate player in Greater Paris
- Portfolio as of 06/30/2019: 9.3bn (100%)
- €2.3 bn development pipeline (389,000 sq.m)
- 900,000 sq.m land bank
HEALTHCARE INVESTMENT:
Icade: leading player in France, diversifying in Europe
€11.7bn property portfolio
(as of 06/30/2019, excluding duties, group share)
Office | |
Investment | Healthcare |
78% | |
Investment | |
22% |
Cash-Flow by division
(as of 06/30/2019)
| Portfolio as of end of November: >5.0bn (100%) |
Dedicated subsidiary with minority shareholders - | |
all French life insurance companies (43%) |
Healthcare Investment
Development
7%
Office
128 healthcare facilities in France (90% short, medium care) |
32 long-term care facilities in Europe (Italy, Germany) |
DEVELOPMENT: Among the leaders in France
- Limited and profitable exposure (less than 10% of Group equity (1))
- A full-service developer (offices, homes, etc.) with extensive national coverage (21 regional offices)
- 2018 FY economic revenue: €1,251m; ROE : 15%
Notes: (1) Property Development equity attributable to the Group (before restatement of investments in subsidiaries / Consolidated equity attributable to the Group)
- Economic revenue: revenue including entities accounted for using the equity method
- Including 0.27% for Icade's "FCPE" employee-shareholding fund and 0.85% of treasury shares
33%Investment
60%
Icade shareholding structure
as of 06/30/2019 (in %)
Free float (3) | |
37.13% | Caisse des dépôts |
38.77% | |
ICAMAP | Crédit Agricole |
GIC and Mutual Fund | Assurances Group |
acting in concert | 18.92% |
5.18% | |
I 2
ICADE AT A GLANCE
ATTRACTIVE FUNDAMENTALS FOR THE ICADE SHARE
Market capitalisation: | Average daily | ||
€6.0bn | (1) | trading volume (2): | Dividend yield: |
C.6%(1) | |||
Free float: 37% | ~ €11m |
Strong financial structure: | Strong 2016/2018 |
LTV ratio of around 40% | |
performance and TSR | |
BBB+ S&P rating | |
Dividend history (in €)
4,30
4,00
3,73 3,73
2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 |
NAV TSR (in %)
12,7% 12,8%
2,0% 2,2%
4,60
2018
11,0%
2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 |
2018
(1) | As of June 30, 2019 | |
(2) | 6-month average daily trading volume as of June 30, 2019 | I 3 |
ICADE AT A GLANCE
SHAREHOLDERS, BOARD OF DIRECTORS
& MANAGEMENT ALIGNED
Strategic Plan approved unanimously by the Board of Directors
Strengthened governance since April 2019
Icade's two leading shareholders are aligned
A committed Board of Directors, geared toward growth,
supporting management in implementing the plan
- 4
ICADE AT A GLANCE
2019-2022 PLAN: A CLEAR AND AMBITIOUS PLAN
1. | 2. | 3. |
Leader in the office | ||
European leader | Key player in | |
market in the Greater | ||
in healthcare | property | |
Paris area and major | ||
real estate | development | |
cities outside Paris | ||
Sales of mature assets | Diversification into | Positive performance | |
| Reinvestment | the long-term care segment | in competitive processes |
International expansion | Replenishing | ||
in development | |||
Opportunistic acquisitions | Investment target: €2.5bn | the office pipeline |
4.
Best-in-classCSR
and innovation
- Priority: low carbon
- Target: a nearly 1.5°C pathway
A plan aimed at delivering attractive
recurring yields & value creation | I 5 |
ICADE AT A GLANCE
2019: IMPLEMENTATION WELL UNDERWAY
2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 |
1st year of the plan |
Office | Acceleration and | Improved | ||
Sales of | diversification within | |||
investments | ||||
mature assets | the healthcare segment | ESG ratings | ||
€380m | Icade Santé's inaugural | |||
~€1.1bn | €735m | |||
70% in the pipeline | Ranked as a | bond issue | ||
+67% YoY | 10 years, €500m, | |||
sector leader | ||||
by GRESB | coupon of 0.875% | |||
(84/100) |
Icade fully committed
to implementing its 2019-2022 plan… | I 6 |
ICADE AT A GLANCE
ICADE VS. PEERS SHARE PRICE EVOLUTION JAN. 2016 NOV. 2019
Icade +80.6%
EPRA
Europe +23.4%
Covivio +50.9%
Gecina +67.2%
CAC 40 +45.3%
(Basis 100 / share price of Icade as at Jan 12/31/15 - incl. reinvested dividend
I 7
Sources : Bloomberg, Rothschild
ICADE AT A GLANCE
ICADE VS. PEERS SHARE PRICE EVOLUTION JAN. 2019 NOV. 2019
Icade +42.4%
EPRA
Europe +29.2%
Covivio +26.9%
Gecina +43.6%
CAC 40 +29.2%
(Basis 100 / share price of Icade as at Jan 12/31/18 - incl. reinvested dividend | I 8 |
Sources : Bloomberg, Rothschild
ICADE AT A GLANCE
SOLID FINANCIAL RESULTS
REFLECTING STRONG ACTIVITY
Positive H1 2019 results (EPRA NAV: +2.7%; NCCF: +4.5%)
Good momentum confirmed in Q3 with notably a solid leasing activity:
- Office Rental income up 1.7% on a like-for-like basis
- Healthcare: Rental income soars by 10.5% on a reported basis
- Property development : business indicators in line with H1; Residential backlog up: +14.9%
NCCF guidance for FY 2019 raised at the occasion of the Investor Day (11/25/2019)
NCCF (in € per share) stable including the impact of 2019 disposals
(vs. initial guidance: stable excluding the impact of 2019 disposals)
…Good momentum since 2016
- 9
PARK VIEW PROJECT - TÊTE D'OR AREA (Lyon, Rhône)
OFFICE PROPERTY INVESTMENT
OFFICE INVESTMENT
OFFICES: A RESILIENT MARKET
Paris region rental | Stabilised |
market normalising | vacancy rate in |
1.1 million sq.m in H1 2019 | the Paris Region |
5.3% at the end | |
(-19% vs. H1 2018 and | |
+1% vs. 10-year average) | of June 2019 |
after two record years | Only 2% in Paris |
for large occupiers | |
Source: ImmoStat | Source: JLL |
Strong absorption
of new supply
in the Paris region
only 15% of vacant space is new and 39%
Source: JLL
Strong activity in major cities
outside Paris
1.2 million sq.m taken up over a rolling 12-month period in Q1 2019 (+9% YoY, +18% vs. 5-year average)
Lyon stands out with an estimate of 350,000-sq.mtake-up in 2019
Source: BNPP RE, in Aix/Marseille, Bordeaux, Lille, Lyon, Nantes and Toulouse
Increased attractiveness of property investment
€13.7bn invested in H1 2019
(71% in offices with the return of acquisitions over €500m)
Persistent low interest rate environment
Strong presence of foreign investors
Source: BNPP RE
- 11
OFFICE INVESTMENT
ICADE'S OFFICE PORTFOLIO AT THE HEART OF THE GREATER PARIS AREA
Paris region portfolio | 1,568,207 sq.m (2) | |||||||||||||||
€7,408m | (1) | 17 | ||||||||||||||
TGV | ||||||||||||||||
PORTES DE PARIS | ||||||||||||||||
334,240 sq.m | ||||||||||||||||
SAINT-DENIS | ||||||||||||||||
Origine - Nanterre | GENEVILLIERS 62,330 sq.m | |||||||||||||||
Go Spring - Nanterre | 23,520 sq.m | |||||||||||||||
LA DÉFENSE- | ||||||||||||||||
NANTERRE | ||||||||||||||||
279,180 sq.m | 17 16 | MAUVIN BUSINESS PARK | Pulse - Saint-Denis | |||||||||||||
21,980 sq.m | ||||||||||||||||
14 15 | ||||||||||||||||
MILLÉNAIRE | PONT DE FLANDRE | |||||||||||||||
90,690 sq.m | ||||||||||||||||
RUEIL-MALMAISON | 144,670 sq.m | |||||||||||||||
11 | ||||||||||||||||
21,730 sq.m | ||||||||||||||||
PARIS, 8th DISTRICT | PARIS, 20th DISTRICT | |||||||||||||||
20,030 sq.m | ||||||||||||||||
9,880 sq.m | ||||||||||||||||
NEUILLY-SUR-SEINE | ||||||||||||||||
3,600 sq.m | PARIS, 15th DISTRICT | 11 16 Gambetta - Paris | ||||||||||||||
33,400 sq.m | ||||||||||||||||
15 | ||||||||||||||||
BOULOGNE-BILLANCOURT | 15 | |||||||||||||||
4,980 sq.m | ||||||||||||||||
VILLEJUIF | ||||||||||||||||
ISSY-LES-MOULINEAUX | 29,770 sq.m | |||||||||||||||
18 | 18,270 sq.m | |||||||||||||||
GENTILLY | ||||||||||||||||
13,710 sq.m | ||||||||||||||||
Fresk - Issy-les-Moulineaux | ||||||||||||||||
18 14 | ||||||||||||||||
TGV | Monaco - Rungis business park | |||||||||||||||
ORLY-RUNGIS BUSINESS PARK | ||||||||||||||||
388,380 sq.m | ||||||||||||||||
Notes: (1) Value of the property portfolio excl. duties, Group share, | ASSETS | CENTRAL BUSINESS | ||||||||||||||
as of the end of September 2019 (excl. residential) | DISTRICT | |||||||||||||||
based on appraised values as of June 30, 2019 | ||||||||||||||||
GRAND PARIS | HIGH-SPEED | |||||||||||||||
(2) Total floor area excl. housing units, hotels and PPPs | TGV | |||||||||||||||
EXPRESS LINES | TRAIN STATION | |||||||||||||||
Portfolio outside the Paris region 197,164 sq.m (2)
€754m (1)
BORDEAUX | LYON | ||
96,886 sq.m | |||
49,741 sq.m | |||
MARSEILLE | |||
34,388 sq.m | Le Castel - Marseille | Quai 8.2 - Bordeaux | |
TOULOUSE
16,150 sq.m
LAND BANK: 900,000 sq.m
PORTES DE PARIS BUSINESS PARK
277,000 sq.m
GRAND PARIS EXPRESS LINES | PORTE DE GENTILLY | ||||||
6,000 sq.m | |||||||
14 | |||||||
15 | ORLY-RUNGIS BUSINESS PARK | ||||||
16, 17 | |||||||
18 | 18 Beyond 2030 | 610,000 sq.m | |||||
HIGH-SPEED TRAIN STATIONS | |||||||
Existing high-speed train station | |||||||
TGV | |||||||
I 12 | |||||||
TGV | Planned high-speed train station |
OFFICE INVESTMENT
OFFICE INVESTMENT: KEY FIGURES
Like-for-like changes in rental income
PORTFOLIO VALUE (100% basis, excluding duties)
PORTFOLIO VALUE (Group share, excluding duties)
WEIGHTED AVERAGE UNEXPIRED LEASE TERM
FINANCIAL OCCUPANCY RATE
AVERAGE NET INITIAL YIELD
(Group share, excluding duties)
TOTAL FLOOR AREA (in millions of sq.m)
AVERAGE PRICE PER SQ.M (1)
PARIS REGION OFFICES
OFFICES OUTSIDE THE PARIS REGION
BUSINESS PARKS
12/31/2018 06/30/2019
€8.9bn €9.3bn
€8.7bn €9.1bn
4.7 years 5.0 years
93.4% 91.8%
5.9% 5.7%
1.8 1.8
4,500 4,700
7,500 8,000
3,150 3,200
2,100 2,300
(in %)
4.9%
Offices
3.9% | ||||||
3.1% | ||||||
2.9% | ||||||
0.4% | ||||||
TOTAL | ||||||
H1 | 2016 | H12017 | H1 2018 | H1 2019 |
-3.1%
Business parks
- CONTINUED LFL GROWTH IN RENTAL INCOME
- STILL ATTRACTIVE YIELDS AND PRICES PER SQ.M IN A BULLISH MARKET
Note: 100% basis - (1) For buildings in operation | I 13 |
OFFICE INVESTMENT
DYNAMIC ASSET ROTATION IN THE OFFICE INVESTMENT PORTFOLIO SINCE 2015
€2.9bn in cumulative disposals since 2015, fully reinvested in the portfolio
4,0
Net cumulative investments and portfolio valuation
(in €bn, Group share)
2.5 | |||
2,0 | 2.0 | 8.7 | |
8.5 | |||
1,0 | 0.9 | ||
0.8 | 0.7 | ||
0.2 | |||
0.0 | |||
0,0 -0.2
9,5
2.9
9,0
8,5
8.3 (1)
0.0 | 8,0 |
Disposals completed on average 12.3% above appraised value
Difference between sale price and appraised value
(difference vs. appraised value as of 12/31 before the sale, in %)
2017 | 20.7% |
20188.8%
+11.2%
-0.4 | -1.0 | |||||
-1,0 | 7.7 | |||||
-1.2 | 7,5 | |||||
-2,0 | 7.4 | -1.8 | ||||
Disposals | Cumulative | 7,0 | ||||
Investments (acquisitions, capex, etc.) | ||||||
-3,0 | ||||||
since 2015 | -2.9 | |||||
Net investments since 2015 | ||||||
Valuation of the Office Investment portfolio (Group share, in €bn)
-4,0 | 6,5 | |||
2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | Q1-Q3 2019 |
On a Group share basis
Notes: (1) Values as of 06/30/2019, after taking into account the sale of Crystal Park and 49% of the Eqho Tower and capex recorded in Q3 2019
- Annualised IFRS rental income for the quarter preceding the disposal
2019 YTD | 12.6% |
2017-2019+12.3%
Further momentum gained in 2018-2019
- 2018-2019disposals: €1.6bn
- 11.2% above appraised value on average
- Rental income related to sold assets: €73.8m (2)
I 14
OFFICE INVESTMENT
PORTFOLIO REPOSITIONED,
VALUE CREATION DELIVERED
December 2015 | June 2019(1) | |||
Other large | Other large | |||
French cities | French cities | |||
Paris region | 1% | Paris 13% | 9% | |
Paris region | Paris 22% | |||
excl. Paris | ||||
20% | excl. Paris | |||
12% | ||||
La Défense / | ||||
Peri-Défense | ||||
27% | La Défense / | |||
Inner Ring | Inner Ring | |||
Peri-Défense | ||||
27% | 28% | |||
26% |
Western Crescent | Western Crescent |
12% | |
3% | |
- Continuous improvement in asset quality and portfolio positioning
- Increased exposure to
major cities outside Paris
(vs. reduced weight of the Outer Ring)
On a Group share basis
Note: (1) Includes disposals carried out since June 2019, i.e. Crystal Park and 49% of the Eqho Tower (€1,055m)
Total value creation of nearly €900m
In 4 years, achieved through
Dynamic asset management
I 15
OFFICE INVESTMENT
DEVELOPMENT: A KEY CONTRIBUTOR TO VALUE CREATION (60 %)
16 projects completed (5) since 2015
(~260,000 sq.m)
Investment amount on completion
Fair value on completion (1) (2)
YoC (3)
Yields (4) as of Sept. 30, 2019
ERV as of Sept. 30, 2019
€1.2bn | Value creation: €0.5bn |
€1.7bn | (37% of the invested amount) |
6.5%
Attractive YoC: 6.5%
4.8%
€80m | Additional rental income: €80m (6) |
Financial occupancy rate as of Sept. 30, 2019 | 82% |
On a 100% basis
Notes: (1) First appraised value after project completion, excluding properties sold since their completion
- Including sales of properties which have been completed since 2015: €98.8m
- Average estimated YoCs before project completion, excluding properties sold since their completion
- Annualised net rental income from leased space plus potential net rental income from vacant space at estimated rental value, divided by the appraised value excluding duties of leasable space
- Including 1 disposal
- Potential rental income: headline for leased space + ERV for vacant space
A proven track record
Higher goals for development
I 16
OFFICE INVESTMENT
2019 COMPLETIONS: ~€180M (1) IN ADDITIONAL VALUE CREATION
Completed in Q1 2019
Completed in Q1 2019
Spring A
Nanterre
- Financial occupancy rate: 100%
- Floor area:
18,540 sq.m
Pulse
Saint-Denis
• | Financial occupancy |
rate: 0% | |
• | Floor area: |
Completed in Q1 2019
Completed in Q2 2019
Le Castel
Marseille
- Financial occupancy rate: 100%
- Floor area:
5,960 sq.m
Factor E
Bordeaux
• | Financial occupancy |
rate: 79% | |
• | Floor area: |
Completed
in Q4 2019
3 completions expected in Q4
• Eko Active (Marseille)
• Monaco
• B007 (Pont de Flandre)
• Total floor area: 16,040 sq.m
• Total pre-let space to date: 77%
Completed in Q1 2019
28,869 sq.m |
Gambetta
Paris, 20th district
- Financial occupancy rate: 98%
- Floor area:
20,033 sq.m
Completed in Q3 2019
10,922 sq.m |
Lafayette B-C
Lyon
- Financial occupancy rate: 81% (3)
-
Floor area:
7,206 sq.m
Value creation: 33% of total investment (€549m (2))
Potential rental income (4) of €36m
2019 pipeline remains solid
Notes: (1) Calculation based on valuations as of June 30, 2019 - excl. Lafayette (valuation as of 06/30/19 + investments recognised in Q3 2019) and excl. Q4 completions (Icade estimates)
- Initial value + investments recognised or estimated between the beginning of the project and its completion
- Including leases signed but scheduled to start at a later date
- Potential rental income: headline for leased space + ERV for vacant space
I 17
OFFICE INVESTMENT
- GROWING 2019-2024 DEVELOPMENT PIPELINE
Projects started | Projects not committed | Total pipeline | |
Number of projects | 13 | 6 | 19 |
Investment amount (1) | €1.4bn | €0.9bn | €2.3bn |
Floor area | 244,000 sq.m | 145,000 sq.m | 389,000 sq.m |
Expected rental income | €89m | €56m | €144m |
(annualised) | |||
Yield on Cost (2) | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% |
€0.4bn added to the pipeline of non-committed projects
Average fair value-based YoC of 6.3% vs. an average capitalisation rate of 4.6%, i.e. a 170-bp difference
Estimated value creation increases to €0.7bn (vs. €0.5bn as of 06/30/2019)
On a 100% basis | ||
Notes: (1) | Includes the fair value of the asset at project start, cost of works (incl. expenses, fees and tenant improvements) and carrying costs | |
(2) | Fair value-based YoC = headline rental income / cost of the project. This cost includes the fair value of the asset at project start, cost of works (incl. expenses, fees and tenant improvements) and carrying costs | I 18 |
OFFICE INVESTMENT
… GENERATING STRONG CASH FLOWS: €144M OF FUTURE RENTAL INCOME
Expected additional rental income
(headline, annualised, in €m)
Pre-let space for 2019-2020:70%
€37m€84m
€18m | ||||||
€7m | €25m | €44m in additional rental income | ||||
€5m | €7m | |||||
expected in 2019-2020 | ||||||
2019 | 2020 | 2021 | >2021 | |||
Total pre-let space represents 41%, | ||||||
pre-let | incl. 70% for projects to be completed by the end | |||||
of 2020 |
Expected additional rental income, by geography, until 2024
(in %)
Other large French cities 8% | Paris 9% |
Outer Ring <1% | |
La Défense / Peri-Défense
33%Paris Inner Ring
49%
I 19
OFFICE INVESTMENT
RECAP
OUR STRATEGY: ASSET ROTATION AND DEVELOPMENT PIPELINE
DELIVERING AN ATTRACTIVE TSR
€1.6bn | A €2.3bn development pipeline, | |
including €1.4m for started projects | ||
of disposals | Yield-on-Cost for started projects stands at 6.4% | |
in 2018-2019 | ||
(+11.2% above | ||
appraised value) | €0.7bn value creation | Pre-let space (1) |
represents 41%, | ||
potential in the pipeline | including 70% for | |
projects to be | ||
(incl. €0.2bn captured | ||
completed by the | ||
Additional rental income from | as of June 30, 2019) | |
the pipeline of €144m | end of 2020 |
Note: (1) Percentage of pre-let space relating to projects already started | I 20 |
SANTÉ ATLANTIQUE (Saint-Herblain, Nantes)
ELSAN
HEALTHCARE INVESTMENT
HEALTHCARE INVESTMENT
MARKET CONDITIONS CONTINUE TO BE
VERY FAVOURABLE BOTH IN FRANCE AND ABROAD
Fundamentals remain | The healthcare real estate market |
attractive | remains active in France |
2019 expected investment volume: | |
Sustained growth in healthcare expenditure | €750m (€730m in 2018) |
(including €385m in acquisitions by Icade Santé) | |
driven by medical standards and | |
an ageing population | |
Private acute care fees up in France | |
for the first time in 5 years | A deep European market |
Over 9M, investments totalled €5.2bn | |
Healthcare operators very active | with close to €6bn expected in 2019 |
both in France and internationally | (€6bn in investments in 2018) |
Source: RCA 2019 | |
Long-term care has become a major healthcare need... |
- 22
HEALTHCARE INVESTMENT
AN OUTSTANDING PORTFOLIO
CURRENTLY WORTH OVER €5bn
The Healthcare Investment Division currently owns 128 healthcare facilities in France
80 acute care facilities
incl. 1 under construction
19 post-acute care facilities
incl. 1 under construction
8 mental health facilities
21 nursing homes
Rapid portfolio growth
+13 facilities (+11% in 2019)
100% Occupancy rate
~5.8 Net initial yield
Extensive national coverage in France
Well-respected,high-quality facilities
Le Point's ranking of the best
public and private hospitals in France
Icade Santé's private hospitals
- 3 in the top 4
- 36% in the top 50 (out of the 352 private hospitals that were assessed)
New opportunities | |||||
… and 32 facilities in Europe | |||||
~20 years | Investments made | ||||
> 5% | |||||
(excl. France) | 32 long-term care facilities | Weighted average | |||
yield | |||||
unexpired lease term | |||||
incl. 7 off-plan projects | |||||
Number of beds |
3,800
- 23
HEALTHCARE INVESTMENT
STRATEGY IMPLEMENTATION:
AHEAD OF SCHEDULE ON OUR ROADMAP
Very robust
leasing activity
Gross rental income: +10.5%
in Q3 2019
Very strong LFL growth
+2.6% LFL in Q3
Positive impact of completed
projects and acquisitions
2018 & 2019 projects: >€15m of rental income
Consolidation of Icade Santé's
market-leading position in acute care
Acquisition of the Confluent
private hospital for €194m
Continued implementation of the expansion strategy
YTD investments
~€735m
Further diversification into
long-term care facilities
Acquisition of 12 facilities
incl. 7 nursing homes for €191m
Increased international presence
Investments: >€300m
Germany added to the portfolio
- 24
HEALTHCARE INVESTMENT
FURTHER STRENGTHENING OF RELATIONSHIPS WITH OPERATORS AND ONGOING DIVERSIFICATION
Atlantique polyclinic, Saint Herblain - Elsan
Reflet de Loire nursing home, | ||
Côte Normande PAC facility, Ifs (Caen) - Korian | ||
La Chapelle Saint-Mesmin (Orléans) - Korian | ||
Confluent private hospital, Rezé (Nantes) - Vivalto Santé
New acquisitions of 6 healthcare facilities and 7 nursing homes for €385m
Strengthened relationships with our partners:
Ramsay Santé, Korian, Vivalto Santé
New operators: SGMR and Inicea
Completed projects which have consolidated our long-term relationships: Elsan and Ramsay Santé
- 9 projects under construction (with 1 completion scheduled for Q4)
- €48m in completed investments (incl. an estimated €8m in Q4)
- €3m in additional rental income (incl. an estimated €0.5m in Q4)
7 leases renewed with Elsan, SISIO and Clinipole: win-winpartnerships with >€12m in annual rental income
- 25
HEALTHCARE INVESTMENT
LONG-TERM PARTNERSHIPS CREATE VALUE
A development pipeline of nearly €270m, representing close to €15m in additional rental income until 2022
Start of construction on the new Mornay post-acute care facility in Saintes
Investment: €10.2m excl. taxes
Operator: Korian
Start of construction on the future post-acute care facility in Lunel
Investment: €11.5m excl. taxes
Operator: Pôle Santé Lunellois (partnership between Clinipole and a public hospital)
Completion of the refurbishment of the Atlantique polyclinic in Saint Herblain (Loire-Atlantique)
Investment: €8.2m incl. taxes
Operator: Elsan
Planned construction of a new Joncs Marins post-acute care facility in Le Perreux-sur- Marne
Investment: €21.7m excl. taxes
Operator: Korian
Icade Santé has the skill and ability to develop new assets
I 26
HEALTHCARE INVESTMENT
INTERNATIONAL EXPANSION:
WELL ON THE WAY TO OUR 2022 TARGET
Off-plan acquisition | Acquisition of | Acquisition of 5 nursing |
of 7 nursing homes | 1 nursing home in Jesolo | homes in October 2019 |
in October 2018 | in February 2019 | |
Investment: €112m | Investment: €12m | Investment: €25m |
excl. taxes | excl. taxes | incl. duties |
Operator: Gheron | Operator: Universiis | Operator: Sereni Orizzonti |
Acquisition of
20 long-term care facilities in November 2019
Investment: €266m excl. taxes
Operator: EMVIA Living
2022 target maintained:
€1.5bn
A strategy which was implemented less than 18 months ago...
~€420m in investments to date
I 27
HEALTHCARE INVESTMENT
VERY FAVOURABLE
FINANCING CONDITIONS
Icade Santé issues its first bond
"Investment Grade" rating | Benchmark size | Long-term | Pricing |
BBB+, | Fixed rate: | ||
€500m | 10 years | 0.94% | |
stable outlook | Annual coupon: |
Standard & Poor's | 0.875% |
Very well received by the market
Attractiveness of Icade Santé's credit quality recognised...
making it easier to finance its expansion plan
Very positive leverage | I 28 |
HEALTHCARE INVESTMENT
RECAP
A 2019-2022 STRATEGIC PLAN REAFFIRMED
The Healthcare Investment Division is on track to meet its goals
Objective: to become the leading healthcare REIT in Europe
Leadership position in France further strengthened:
close to €430m invested in 2019, i.e. 40% of its 2022 investment plan
A buoyant and liquid international market:
close to €420m invested to date/a large number of projects
under study
Liquidity of Icade Santé: 2020/2022
- 29
QUAI 8.2, BUILDING E (Bordeaux, Gironde)
DEVELOPMENT
PROPERTY DEVELOPMENT
UNDERLYING MEGATRENDS...
Increasing
importance of metropolitan
areas | Climate |
change |
Digitalisation
Growing circular
economy
Demographic growth, migration flows and ageing population
... impacting our property development business
I 31
PROPERTY DEVELOPMENT
MARKET INSIGHT: STRONG DEMAND,
INCREASING CONSTRAINTS
A more challenging environment
- Intensified competition for land
- Sharp rise in construction costs
- Decrease in the number of building permits issued and still significant third-party objections relating to permits
- Uncertain outcome of the 2020 municipal elections
New expectation | Strong demand buoyed by: | |
from local authorities: | | Demographic trends |
comprehensive proposal | ||
| Favourable home loan interest rates | |
(retail space, attractiveness, | ||
| Advantageous government schemes | |
mix of uses) | ||
- 32
PROPERTY DEVELOPMENT
ICADE PROMOTION'S MARKET POSITIONING
1 | Our strategic positioning |
- A nationwide player across all 3 segments-Residential,
Office and Medical-Social-with proven expertise in Healthcare - Mass-marketplayer
(wide range of solutions from "standard" to "comfort")
- At the forefront of CSR
2 | 2018 revenue ranking (2) |
3,5
3
2,5
2
1,5
1
0,5
0
1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 Icade 7 | 8 | 9 |
3 | Decline in revenue in 2019-2020, | ||
expected to rise again by 2021 | |||
Icade's Property Development revenue | |||
2,000 | |||
1,500 | |||
1,000 | |||
500 |
-
2015 | 2017 | 2019 | 2021 | 2023 |
- Potential revenue (1) of €7.4bn to be generated in the medium term
- Growth strategy - Focus on the Office segment
- Strengthened teams
Solid positioning and brand image A roadmap centred on growth
Significant revenue potential in the medium term
Notes: (1) | Revenue excl. taxes on a Group share basis incl. backlog, contracts won, stock of units currently for sale and land portfolio | |
(2) | Ranking based on data published in 2018, in €bn | I 33 |
PROPERTY DEVELOPMENT
OUTLOOK FOR 2024
2 economic goals | 4 business performance indicators | ||||
1 | Growth in the residential development business | 1 | Economic revenue: €1.4bn in 2024, | ||
Target sales of c. 6,000 homes | including €1,000m for Residential, €350m for Office | ||||
and €50m for Public Amenities and Healthcare | |||||
2 | Growth in the office and medical-social segments | 2 | Residential and Office representing 25% of revenue | ||
Target of 30% of total sales volume | in 2021 | ||||
3 | Return on equity (1) at 15% in 2024 | ||||
4 | Current economic operating margin >7.0% in 2024 |
Note: (1) ROE (market guidance of 15%) | I 34 |
LA CARTOUCHERIE (Toulouse, Haute-Garonne)
CSR
CSR
5 HIGH-PRIORITY ISSUES TO ADDRESS THE PLANET'S
ENVIRONMENTAL AND SOCIAL CHALLENGES
Preserving
biodiversity
Territorial
cohesion and
inclusion
Impact on
climate change
Icade's
5 CSR priority
issues
2019 priority: low carbon
Scarcity of
resources and
circular economy
Employee
engagement,
agility and
collaboration
- 36
CSR
STRENGTHENED LOW-CARBON COMMITMENTS
2025 OBJECTIVES
Office Investment
-45% in CO2 intensity between 2015 and 2025
Development
100% of new offices > 5,000 sq.m and
33% of new homes with the E+C- label by 2022
Healthcare Investment
Assisting at least 75% of
healthcare facility operators in optimising their energy performance starting in 2019
Reviewing the calculation method
meeting the highest standards
Defining new targets consistent with an ambitious pathway of "nearly 1.5°C"
Following up the actions taken through the development of new modelling tools made available to operational teams
- 37
CSR
CONCRETE ACHIEVEMENTS IN 2019 ACROSS OUR THREE BUSINESS LINES
HQE certification | BREEAM certification | Labels |
Development Healthcare Invest. Office Investment
Factor E - Bordeaux
Floor area: 10,922 sq.m
Gambetta - Paris, 20th district
Floor area: 20,033 sq.m
Greater Narbonne private hospital
Montredon-des-Corbières
Elsan group
Atlantique polyclinic
Saint-Herblain
Elsan group
Reinventing Paris 2 - Gobelins train station
Floor area: 19,800 sq.m
Wood Up - Montpellier
Floor area: 10,142 sq.m
Excellent | Very good |
Excellent | Very good |
Excellent
-
Very good
TBD TBD
Very efficient
-
-
E2C2 rating from the E+C- label for 12,300 sq.m of office space
BBCA label
biosourced building, level 2
- 38
CSR
ICADE: INVOLVED IN REGULATORY DISCUSSIONS
Buildings' energy and carbon performance
- Property Investment Divisions: Decree relating to the energy renovation of office buildings by 2030, published in July 2019 Decree scheduled for Q1 2020
- Property Development Division: 2020 French Environmental Regulations (basis of the E+C- label) Order scheduled for 2020
Law on circular economy
New legal framework for the analysis of the use of waste and reuse materials Law scheduled before the end of 2019
Carbon neutrality
Methodological framework for the calculation of carbon sequestration by sector (forestry, agriculture, construction, etc.)
EU Sustainable Finance Initiative / Taxonomy
Establishment of a framework defining green assets and projects Delegated acts scheduled for Q1 2020
Icade's involvement | |
in the discussions | Icade's position |
- Icade involved in testing the E+C- label with Thémis (17th district of Paris), one of the first office developments to obtain the label with the highest rating (E2C2)
- Creation of Cycle Up, a digital platform dedicated to the reuse of building materials (50/50 JV with Egis)
- Around 30 tonnes of waste and 200 tonnes of CO2 emissions avoided, 85% costs savings
- Developing tools and methods implementing solutions such as renovation or reuse
- Active involvement, through the Corporate Forum and EPRA, in responding an EU public consultation
- Icade is the only French real estate company to be a member of the Corporate Forum on Sustainable Finance
- 39
CSR
RECAP
Low carbon:
at the core of our CSR strategy
Achievements
that make us confident
in our ability to fulfil our commitments
Strong practical involvement in | Commitments and initiatives |
discussions on new standards | on all of our CSR issues: |
in order to promote | biodiversity, circular economy, |
best practices | inclusion, air quality, ecomobility, etc. |
- 40
PORTES DE PARIS BUSINESS PARK (Saint-Denis, Aubervilliers, Seine-Saint-Denis)
7.
CONCLUSION
CONCLUSION
2019 PRIORITIES ARE BEING MET
-
Office development pipeline
and "opportunistic" disposals of core offices - International expansion of the Healthcare Investment Division
- Icade Promotion: launch of the large projects won in 2018
- 2019 CSR priority: low carbon
- Continued liability optimisation (LTV ratio, maturity)
Achieved as of 11/25/19
- €1.1bn in disposals
- 70% of the investments made dedicated to the pipeline
Further investments in Italy and
the first acquisition in Germany (€266m)
27 new projects in 2019 >€20m
Additional potential revenue: €1.5bn
KPIs aligned with a 1.5°C pathway; clear-cut operational implementation
Icade Santé issues its first bond (€500m, 10-yearmaturity, coupon of 0.875%)
Note: (1) Under a preliminary agreement | I 42 |
CONCLUSION
RIGOROUS FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT OF OUR STRATEGIC PLAN
On the asset side
Capital reallocated to higher-yielding assets
On the liability side
Financing
optimisation
Cash
Remain liquid
and opportunistic
Attractive disposals (~4.3% on average)
+
Proceeds reinvested in offices (>6%)… and healthcare assets (>5%)
=
Disciplined use of our capital
- Optimised timing of bond repurchases (not followed by a new issue) (€160m)
- Strong efforts to optimise Icade Santé's financing
- Conservative hedging policy (99% (1) of debt hedged at the end of 2019)
- Anticipated cash position as of December 31, 2019: > €600m
- €1.7bn of undrawn credit lines
- Financial capacity to invest intact
Notes: (1) Projected estimate at the end of the year
Financial policy in line | |
LTV ratio ~40% | I 43 |
CONCLUSION
AFTER THE PLAN'S SUCCESSFUL FIRST YEAR,
ICADE IS WELL POSITIONED TO ACHIEVE
ITS 2022 OBJECTIVES
Around €5bn
of investments over 4 years
€1.2 bn
with c. 25% invested to date
Healthcare Investment
€2.5bn in net investments
>30% of the objectives met to date
European presence (1)
2 of our 3 target countries already added to the portfolio
Active asset rotation:
volume of disposals doubled
€1.1bn i.e. c. 40% of the targets
2019-2022NCCF CAGR: c. +4.5%
Note: (1) Excluding France | I 44 |
CONCLUSION
2019 GUIDANCE RAISED
Initial guidance | New guidance |
NCCF (in € per share) | As a reminder, impact of 2019 disposals: c. -4% |
Stable | NCCF (in € per share) |
excluding the impact | |
Stable including | |
of 2019 disposals | |
the impact of 2019 disposals |
2019 dividend: c. +4.5%
(payout ratio of 90% and distribution of part of the gains on disposals)
2019 Full Year Results: Monday, February 17, 2020
- 45
APPENDICES
APPENDICES - THE FRENCH OFFICE MARKET
ATTRACTIVENESS OF THE PROPERTY INVESTMENT MARKET
A dynamic property investment market (excluding residential)
40 | 34 | 35 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
35 | 32 | expected | |||||||||||||||||||||||
31 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
30 | 26 | 28 | 27 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
14,3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
25 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
20 | 19 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
9,6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
6,1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
15 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
10 | 9 | 9,5 | Estate | ||||||||||||||||||||||
9,1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
5 | Real | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
4,6 | 4,7 | Paribas | |||||||||||||||||||||||
0 | BNP | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | ||||||||||||
T1Q1 | T2Q2 | T3Q3 | T4Q4 | Forecast | 2014-2018 average volume | Source: | |||||||||||||||||||
Converging yields
8%
7%
6%
5%
4%
3%
2%
1%
0%
-1%
Avg. outside Paris region 4.6% Logistics 4.2%
Inner Ring 3.8% Lyon 3.7% Paris CBD 3%
10Y gov. bond: -0.3%
Highly attractive property yields against a background of low interest rates
A very active French market in 2019 as the supply of core products
meets international investors' demand for safer investments
- 47
APPENDICES - THE OFFICE MARKET - MARKET UPDATE
GROWING METROPOLITAN AREAS OUTSIDE THE PARIS REGION
Leasing activity outside the Paris region
resilient to the slowdown
3,0 | |
of sq.m | 2,5 |
millions | Paris region |
2,0 | |
in | |
12 months) | 1,5 |
1,0 | |
(rolling | |
6 largest cities outside Paris | |
0,5 | |
Take-up | 0,0 |
Dynamic
prime rents
Prime rent | Change from | |
in mid-2019 | the end of 2016 | |
Paris CBD | 880 | +7% |
Inner Ring | 390 | +5% |
Lyon | 325 | +10% |
Marseille | 310 | +17% |
Bordeaux | 260 | +13% |
Toulouse | 222 | +11% |
Lille | 240 | +9% |
Deeper markets
thanks to high-quality supply
Leasing activity | vs. 5-year | % of vacant |
(rolling 12M to end of Q3) | average | space that is new |
454,000 | +2% | 20% |
486,000 | +50% | 14% |
414,000 | +46% | 30% (1) |
127,000 | -4% | 8% (1) |
160,000 (1) | +28% | 28% (1) |
157,000 | +4% | 12% (1) |
304,000 (1) | +44% | 23% (1) |
Note: (1) In Q2
Sources: BNPPRE / JLL
Rents boosted by the increasing importance of business districts
such as Part-Dieu or Euro-Méditerranée
Diversification benefits the Office Investment business
I 48
APPENDICES - OFFICE INVESTMENT
MARKET OPPORTUNITIES OUTSIDE PARIS CBD
Western | ||||||||||
Paris CBD | La Défense | Crescent | Inner Ring | Outer Ring | Icade's Office Investment portfolio | |||||
Physical vacancy rate | 1.3% ▼ | 4.9% ≈ | 10.0% ▼ | 6.3% ▼ | 5.4% ≈ | in the Paris region as of September 30, 2019 | ||||
(end of Sept. 2019 and YoY change) | ||||||||||
Take-up | 314,000 sq.m | 96,000 sq.m | 336,000 sq.m | 341,000 sq.m | 168,000 sq.m | |||||
(9M 2019 and vs. same period in 2018) | (-3%) | (-21%) | (-28%) | (+31%) | (-37%) | SAINT-DENIS | ||||
GENEVILLIERS | 62,330 sq.m | |||||||||
Transactions > 5,000 sq.m | 22% | 29% | 27% | 56% | 25% | 23,520 sq.m | MAUVIN BUSINESS PARK | |||
PORTES DE PARIS | ||||||||||
(% 9M 2019) | LA DÉFENSE-NANTERRE | 21,980 sq.m | ||||||||
BUSINESS PARK | ||||||||||
Prime rent | 279,180 sq.m | 334,240 sq.m | ||||||||
PONT DE FLANDRE | ||||||||||
La Défense | ||||||||||
(€/sq.m/year excl. taxes and service charges, | €926/sq.m ▲ | €550/sq.m ≈ | €600/sq.m ▼ | €430/sq.m ≈ | €300/sq.m ≈ | MILLÉNAIRE | 90,690 sq.m | |||
end of Sept. 2019 and YoY change) | 144,670 sq.m | |||||||||
Paris CBD | ||||||||||
Average rent for new space | NEUILLY-SUR-SEINE | |||||||||
€737/sq.m ▲ | €471/sq.m ≈ | €392/sq.m ▲ | €334/sq.m ▲ | €215/sq.m ▲ | RUEIL-MALMAISON | 3,600 sq.m | PARIS, 8th DISTRICT | PARIS, 20th DISTRICT | ||
(€/sq.m/year excl. taxes and service charges, | 9,880 sq.m | 20,030 sq.m | ||||||||
end of Sept. 2019 and YoY change) | 21,730 sq.m | |||||||||
Price | Western Crescent | PARIS, 15th DISTRICT | Rest of | |||||||
(€ incl. duties/sq.m, end of Sept. 2019 | €16,996/sq.m ▲ | €8,963/sq.m ▲ | €5,517/sq.m ≈ | €4,827/sq.m ▲ | €2,913/sq.m▲ | 33,400 sq.m | ||||
and YoY change) | Paris | |||||||||
BOULOGNE-BILLANCOURT | ||||||||||
Inner Ring | ||||||||||
Supply under construction | 4,980 sq.m | |||||||||
to be completed within 3 years | 125,677 sq.m ▲ | 398,963 sq.m ▲ | 228,189 sq.m ▼ | 328,380 sq.m ▲ | 130,851 sq.m ▲ | GENTILLY | ||||
ISSY-LES-MOULINEAUX | 13,710 sq.m | |||||||||
(in sq.m at the end of Sept. 2019 | 18,270 sq.m | |||||||||
and YoY change) | VILLEJUIF | |||||||||
Prime yields | 3.0% ≈ | 4.0% ≈ | 3.25% ≈ | 3.80% ≈ | 5.15% ▼ | 29,770 sq.m | ||||
(end of Sept. 2019 and YoY change) | Outer Ring | |||||||||
Office investments | €1,588m | €2,458m | €2,043m | €1,998m | €1,040m | ORLY-RUNGIS BUSINESS PARK | ||||
(9M 2019 and vs. same period in 2018) | (-47%) | (x4.8) | (-26%) | (+48%) | (x1.2) | 388,380 sq.m | ||||
Very limited available supply in Paris | |
Sources: ImmoStat, JLL | Demand from large occupiers shifting faster to other office markets |
- Value creation opportunities in these markets
for large new or refurbished units | I 49 |
APPENDICES - THE OFFICE MARKET - MARKET UPDATE
NANTERRE AND LA DÉFENSE, THE FIRST AREAS
TO BENEFIT FROM MAJOR TRANSPORT INFRASTRUCTURE
Nanterre-a deep, highly segmented office market
Office stock in the Hauts-de-Seine department
(Q1 2019, millions of sq.m)
La Défense | 3,3 | |
incl. 30% for | ||
Nanterre | 1,4 | |
Les Terrasses de Nanterre | ||
Boulogne-Billancourt | 1,2 |
Issy-les-Moulineaux1,1
Levallois-Perret1,0
Rueil-Malmaison0,8
Neuilly-sur-Seine0,6
Already the best option in terms of accessibility
Number of people living less than 45 minutes away in 2018
The only area outside Paris accessible to a workforce numbering
- 3 million
Eole, the 1st large-scale public transport project
soon to be completed in the Paris region
3new stations | Extension of |
to the west | |
Porte Maillot, La Défense and Nanterre la Folie
2022
1st major transport infrastructure project to be completed
after the northern section of Line 14 (2020/2021)
A workforce of over 250,000
Source: MBE Conseil according to CBRE and ORIE | Source: Price Hubble |
will live less than 45 min away starting in 2024 thanks to the EOLE extension 55 km to the west
A well-developed area supported by the completion
of a large-scale infrastructure project | I 50 |
APPENDICES - THE OFFICE MARKET - MARKET UPDATE
LES TERRASSES DE NANTERRE: AN INCREASINGLY ATTRACTIVE AREA
RIGHT NEXT TO LA DÉFENSE
- key market in the Peri-Défense area
Take-up in Nanterre since 2001
< 5 000 sq.m | > 5 000 sq.m | Nanterre's % of Peri-Défense's leasing activity | |||||||||||||||||||||
Largest occupiers in Nanterre (dark grey = Terrasses de Nanterre) | VINCI + TECHNIP | ||||||||||||||||||||||
180 | EDF+ SFR | BNP+ AXA | de-Hauts-Seine DepartmentCouncil | GROUPAMA FAURECIA+ | 60% | ||||||||||||||||||
56% | |||||||||||||||||||||||
100% | |||||||||||||||||||||||
160 | SGTOTAL+ | 90% | |||||||||||||||||||||
140 | 80% | ||||||||||||||||||||||
HSBC | AXA | MANPOWER | VEOLIA | FRANFINANCE | VINCI | ||||||||||||||||||
40 | 61% | 20% | |||||||||||||||||||||
120 | 70% | ||||||||||||||||||||||
100 | 41% | 46% | 44% | BNP | 50% | ≈ 70k | |||||||||||||||||
80 | 34% | 40% | |||||||||||||||||||||
60 | sq.m/year | ||||||||||||||||||||||
23% | |||||||||||||||||||||||
22% | 30% | ||||||||||||||||||||||
20 | 10% | ||||||||||||||||||||||
0 | 0% | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Attractive rents compared to Paris and La Défense
Average headline rent for transactions for new or refurbished space
750 | ||||
700 | Paris CBD | |||
650 | ||||
600 | 35% | |||
- | ||||
550 | ||||
500 | Rest of Paris | |||
450 | -22% | La Défense | ||
-26% | 20%- | Peri-Défense | ||
26%- | ||||
400 | Terrasses de Nanterre | |||
350 | ||||
300 | Nanterre - other areas | |||
250 |
200 | ||
Sources: ImmoStat and MBE Conseil for Nanterre | ||
Large corporate occupiers have steadily moved into the area | ||
Acceleration since 2017 as new transport links are scheduled | I 51 |
APPENDICES - THE OFFICE MARKET - MARKET UPDATE
LYON-ARECORD-BREAKING, FLUID MARKET
414k sq.m
taken up in the rolling 12 months to the end of Q3 2019
after a record 2018 with 310k sq.m and 280k sq.m on average over 5 years
Leasing activity in Lyon
Markets that complement each other
Gerland, Vaise and Carré de Soie: alternatives to tight supply
in Confluence and La Part-Dieu
Vacancy rate at 4%
in continuous decline since mid-2016 including second-hand supply
A fluid market
% of 1-year supply that is new
49%
Attractive market depth
6.6 million sq.m
Average annual take-up over the last 5 years
(thousands of sq.m)
€192
/sq.m
€195
/sq.m
€300 | 3.7% | €325 |
/sq.m | ||
/sq.m | ||
€220 /sq.m
No. 1 destination
for office investments outside the Paris region €760m/year over 2013-2018
13.7Prime rent
Prime yield
Deep, self-sustaining occupier demand | |
supporting speculative developments | |
Source: CBRE Research (Le grand pari des régions - October 2019) | I 52 |
APPENDICES - THE OFFICE MARKET - MARKET UPDATE
EUROMÉDITERRANÉE, IN THE HEART OF THE MARSEILLE OFFICE MARKET
Leasing activity in Marseille
€300
/sq.m
€180
/sq.m
€240
Extension
Initial area
4.6%
700,000 sq.m of offices
in Euroméditerranée, which is recent compared to Marseille's overall ageing property stock of 2.4 million sq.m
3rd largest business district
in France after La Défense and Part-Dieu
A key driver of the metropolitan
area's development
Rent of €310/sq.m in La Marseillaise, a high-rise building
≈126k sq.m taken up/year
on average over 2013-2018 in the metropolitan area
- stable market for small- and medium-sized units, mainly driven by EuroMed
High % of pre-let space in EuroMed 1
/sq.m
Average annual take-up over the last 2 years
(thousands of sq.m)
13.5Prime rent
Prime yield
Sources: CBRE Research (Le grand pari des régions - Oct. 2019) |
C&W (Euroméditerranée study - Dec. 2018)
€212m
in office assets acquired
in Aix-Marseille, per year over 2013-2018>70% in Euroméditerranée
A renowned business district
with limited new supply in EuroMed 1
1-yearnew-build supply represents only 17%
of the vacant stock in Marseille
I 53
APPENDICES - DEVELOPMENT PIPELINE FOR THE OFFICE INVESTMENT DIVI SION
PROJECTS IN THE PIPELINE AS OF 09/30/2019
Estimated | ||||
Type | Property | date of | ||
Project name | Location | of works | type | completion |
B007 | Flandre | Construction | Office | Q4 2019 |
EKO ACTIVE | Marseille | Construction | Office | Q4 2019 |
MONACO | Rungis | Refurbishment | Hotel | Q4 2019 |
19 QUAI RIVE NEUVE | Marseille | Redevelopment | Office | Q1 2020 |
LATÉCOÈRE | Toulouse | Construction | Office | Q2 2020 |
PARK VIEW | Lyon | Redevelopment | Office | Q3 2020 |
ORIGINE | Nanterre | Redevelopment | Office | Q4 2020 |
FONTANOT | Nanterre | Refurbishment | Office | Q4 2020 |
B034 | Flandre | Refurbishment | Hotel | Q1 2021 |
FRESK | South Loop | Refurbishment | Office | Q1 2021 |
PÔLE NUMÉRIQUE | Portes de Paris | Construction | Office | Q3 2022 |
ÎLOT B32 | Millénaire | Construction | Office | Q4 2023 |
ÎLOT B2 | Millénaire | Construction | Office | Q4 2023 |
TOTAL PROJECTS STARTED
TOTAL PROJECTS NOT COMMITTED
TOTAL PIPELINE
Remaining | ||||||
Rental | Cost (2) | to be invested | ||||
Floor area | income | YoC (1) | > Q3 2019 | Pre-let | ||
(sq.m) | (€m) | (€m) | (€m) | |||
8,540 | 39 | 7 | 100% | |||
8,300 | 30 | 4 | 34% | |||
4,628 | 19 | 3 | 100% | |||
3,112 | 15 | 4 | 100% | 70% | ||
12,717 | 41 | 17 | 100% | |||
22,980 | 81 | 36 | 0% | |||
65,000 | 447 | 156 | 78% | |||
16,350 | 108 | 31 | 100% | |||
4,519 | 30 | 19 | 100% | |||
20,542 | 219 | 55.2 | 0% | |||
9,400 | 45 | 40 | 0% | |||
27,695 | 130 | 102 | 0% | |||
40,582 | 190 | 150 | 0% | |||
244,365 | 88.7 | 6.4% | 1,395 | 624 | 40% | |
144,929 | 55.7 | 6.2% | 901 | 728 | ||
389,294 | 144.5 | 6.3% | 2,296 | 1,352 | ||
On a 100% basis
Notes: (1) | Fair value-based YoC = headline rental income / cost of the project. This cost includes the fair value of the asset at project start, | |
cost of works (incl. expenses, fees and tenant improvements) and carrying costs | ||
(2) | Includes the fair value of the asset at project start, cost of works (incl. expenses, fees and tenant improvements) and carrying costs | I 54 |
APPENDICES - HEALTHCARE INVESTMENT
SOLID FUNDAMENTALS FOR HEALTHCARE REAL ESTATE
Current health expenditure growing steadily in France
(consumption of care and medical goods (CSBM) + other costs)
Health expenditure rising constantly | 7% | 6% |
factors | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | ||||||||||||
Ageing population | 3% | ||||||||||||||||
3% | 2% | ||||||||||||||||
2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | ||||||||||||||
Explanatory | 2% | ||||||||||||||||
Increase in long-term medical conditions | 2002 | 2003 | 2004 | 2005 | 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2017 | ||
2016 | |||||||||||||||||
Improved technologies and increased requirements | 1% |
Current health expenditure (current €bn) Annual growth rate (%)
A highly regulated sector | Health expenditure as a % of GDP generally increasing | ||||||||||||||||||
80% government-funded in France | 17,2% | ||||||||||||||||||
Efforts to reduce the national health insurance deficit | 14,0% | 11,5% | 11,3% | 10,1% | 10,0% | 2002 | 2007 | 2012 | 2017 | ||||||||||
9,6% | |||||||||||||||||||
8,9% | 8,8% | ||||||||||||||||||
Reform to the funding of health facilities | 10,0% | 10,1% | 8,3% | ||||||||||||||||
8,0% | 7,9% | 6,8% | 6,6% | ||||||||||||||||
USA | France | Germany Netherlands | Belgium | Italy | Spain | United | |||||||||||||
A less cyclical industry | Kingdom | ||||||||||||||||||
growing faster than GDP | |||||||||||||||||||
Source: DREES
Source: OECD
- 55
APPENDICES - HEALTHCARE INVESTMENT
CONDITIONS ARE FAVOURABLE TO HALT THE DECLINE OF MEDICAL FEES
Social security in surplus for the 1st time since 2001 (€0.5bn) Average private medical fees since 2008 (private acute care)
Strong recovery of the "sickness" division (deficit of €0.8bn vs. €4.9bn in 2017)
+2.5%: sharper increase in the ONDAM healthcare spending limit (1)
Extra increase of +0.2 pp for 2019
2.3% until 2022 vs. 2.1% on average for 2014-2018 Marked rise for healthcare and medical-social facilities
Medical fees grew slower than expected
in 2018 with +1.4% vs. prediction of +2.6%, allowing for an additional, targeted allocation of €300m for 2018
0,8% | 0.5% incl. 0.3 pp | |||
0,5% | from quality incentive | |||
0,2% | ||||
0,0% | -0,1% | |||
-0,2% | -0,2% | -0,2% | ||
Change in fees | -1,4% | |||
Prudential coefficient fully applied | -2,0% | |||
Actual change after redistribution | ||||
-2,3% | ||||
+0.5% in private acute care fees in 2019
+0.2-pp increase, +0.3 pp relating to the distribution of €300m in IFAQ incentives (2) | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 |
1/3 of eligible facilities received the €50m in 2018 IFAQ | ||||||||||||
Prudential coefficient maintained at 0.7%
for all public and private facilities.
In 6 years, only 1 major deduction applied in 2016
PAC and mental health care fees published mid-April
PAC: +0.1% for a total funding allocation up +2%
Mental health: +0.7% for a total funding allocation up +2.7%
Sources: Hospimedia / Les Échos / French Official Journal
Notes: (1) National Healthcare Spending Limit (ONDAM)
(2) Quality incentive (IFAQ) - criteria currently being revised: indicators included for 2019 and calculation methods for the allocation to be published in May | I 56 |
APPENDICES - HEALTHCARE INVESTMENT
ATTRACTIVE YIELDS
An attractive risk premium in France
- Stable prime yields in H1 2019 in healthcare
- Attractive yield with a risk premium of over 125 bps compared to Paris CBD offices
Prime yields (at period end)
7% | |
6% | |
5% | Prime acute care 5% |
PAC/mental health 4.50% | |
4% | Prime nursing homes 4.25% |
3% | Paris CBD offices 3.0% |
2% | |
1% | |
0% | 10-year gov. bond 0.0% |
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 | H1 |
2019 |
Prime yield compression stronger in Germany
-
Compression of about 250 bps in 6 years
with the German 10-year gov. bond well below its French counterpart - Italy and Spain still have prime yields of at least 5.5%
Nursing home prime yields (at year end)
Nursing home | ||
2012 | prime yield | 2018 |
7.5 - 8%
7 - 7.5%
6.5 - 7%
6 - 6.5%
5.5 - 6%
5 - 5.5%
4.5 - 5%
4 - 4.5%
- 57
APPENDICES - HEALTHCARE INVESTMENT
A STEADILY GROWING DEVELOPMENT PIPELINE
Type of works
PROJECTS STARTED
7 nursing homes | Development |
Greater Narbonne | Development |
private hospital | |
Joncs Marins | Development |
PAC facility | |
Atlantique | Extension |
polyclinic | |
Le Parc polyclinic | Extension |
Saint-Charles | Extension / |
private hospital | Renovation |
Mornay PAC facility | Development |
Saint-Herblain | Extension |
polyclinic (Bromélia) | |
Operator
Gheron
Elsan
Korian
Ramsay Santé (formerly Capio)
Elsan
Sisio
Korian
Elsan
City
Italy (Piedmont,
Veneto,
Lombardy)
Montredon-des- Corbières
Le Perreux-sur- Marne
Puilboreau
Caen
La Roche-sur-Yon
Saintes
Saint-Herblain
Number of | Total | Remaining to | ||
beds and | investment (1) | be invested | Yield on | |
places | (€m) | (€m) | cost (2) Completion | Pre-let |
2,288 | 254.8 | 205.5 | 5.7% | 100% |
1,020 | 113.0 | 113.0 | 2020-2021 | 100% |
283 | 47.8 | 28.0 | 2020 | 100% |
136 | 21.9 | 21.9 | 2021 | 100% |
100 | 20.0 | 2.1 | 2019 | 100% |
288 | 19.6 | 17.4 | 2021 | 100% |
210 | 14.1 | 13.5 | 2022 | 100% |
82 | 10.2 | 7.6 | 2021 | 100% |
169 | 8.2 | 2.1 | 2019 | 100% |
Notes: (1) Cost of project as approved by Icade's governance bodies. This cost includes the fair value of land, cost of works and carrying costs
(2) YoC = headline rental income / cost of the project (as defined in (1)) | I 58 |
APPENDICES - OFFICE INVESTMENT
PORTFOLIO MIX
Office Investment | Healthcare Investment | |||||
Offices | France | |||||
Business parks | Europe | |||||
Office and Healthcare Investment
(on a Group share basis)
(in €m)
Product mix as of
12/31/2018
Healthcare
Investment
23%
23% | ||
3% | Office | |
59% | Investment | |
15% | 77% |
Product mix as of
12/31/2019
Healthcare
Investment
26%
2% | |
24% | |
3% | 55% |
16% |
Other |
Product mix as of | ||
12/31/2022 | ||
Healthcare | ||
Investment | ||
30% | ||
6% | ||
24% | ||
Office | 49% | Office |
Investment | 2% | Investment |
74% | 19% | 70% |
Healthcare to represent 30% of the portfolio by the end of 2022
International assets to represent 21% of the Healthcare portfolio by the end of 2022
- 59
PROPERTY DEVELOPMENT
FURTHER DOWNTURN IN NEW HOUSING SUPPLY
New housing supply and new housing orders in the rolling 12 months to the end of Q3 2019
Stock of homes available for sale at quarter end
New housing supply (rolling 12 months)
Housing orders (rolling 12 months)
Average time on market for apartments
at quarter end (in number of quarters)
-0.3% | |||||||||||||||||||||||
140 000 | 130,283 | 129,330 | 6 | ||||||||||||||||||||
120 000 | 129,713 | 107,739 | 5 | ||||||||||||||||||||
100 000 | 4.1 | -17.3% | |||||||||||||||||||||
3.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
80 000 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
60 000 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
118,085 | -11.4% | 104,576 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||||||
40 000 | Stock of homes available for sale | ||||||||||||||||||||||
20 000 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | |
2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 |
Source: ECLN
Following historical highs in 2017 and 2018, decline in new housing supply since December 2018 (-17.3%)and orders
But time on market still very short | I 60 |
PROPERTY DEVELOPMENT
SALE PRICES AND CONSTRUCTION COSTS: STRONG CORRELATION
Indices of construction costs and prices in Q1 2019
Index rebased to 100 in 2015
110,0 |
105,0 |
100,0 |
95,0 |
90,0 |
85,0 |
80,0 |
75,0 |
70,0 |
Apartment sale price (1)
In €/sq.m | |
4 300 | 4,259 |
4 200 | 4,056 |
4 100 | |
4 000 | |
3 900 | |
3 800 | |
3 700 | |
3 600 | |
3 500 |
Producer Cost Index for Construction (ICP-F)
Construction Cost Index (ICC)
Housing Maintenance and Improvement Work Index (IPEA)
Volume peaks in 2017 and 2018 have resulted | Prices strongly up (+5.0% for multi-family housing |
in significantly higher construction costs over the past 3 years: +8% | and +5.9% for single-family housing) vs. Q2 2018 |
Construction cost increase partly offset by rising prices
against a backdrop of strong demand
Source: ECLN | |
Note: (1) National quarterly data | I 61 |
PROPERTY DEVELOPMENT
MEASURES IMPLEMENTED AS PART OF THE ROADMAP
Operational | Evolving products | |
organisation | and services | |
Marketing
strategy
Brand policy,
Innovation and CSR
An evolving organisational structure to be closer to local needs and divisions
Creation of new management positions
- 1 Deputy CEO in charge of Offices in the Paris region
- 1 Deputy CEO in charge of Residential in the Paris region
- 2 Deputy CEOs outside the Paris region
Residential:
- Diversified sources of land/customers
Office:
- Capitalising on expertise, innovation and partnerships
- Extensive upgrading of existing properties
- in line with our need to remain competitive:
- Further implementation of the procurement policy and dedicated tools (BIM, etc.)
Increasingly digital and multi-channel
- Continuation of the "data driven" marketing policy
- Development of digital sales tools
- Increased internal sales through the opening of
Icade Stores - Development of a "digital marketplace" platform for property advisors
- BtoB & BtoC: increase in
Icade's brand awareness through a dedicated innovation policy for our assets - Distinctive CSR positioning:
A key player in the development of low-carbon cities
- 62
PROPERTY DEVELOPMENT
OFFICE DEVELOPMENT: BACKLOG (1)
Q3 2019 | Q4 2019 |
Toulouse | Villejuif |
PAC FACILITY | LEBON LAMARTINE |
5,600 sq.m | 18,000 sq.m |
Vitrolles
BEEHIVE 4,980 sq.m
Q1 2020
Toulouse
DAURAT
7,034 sq.m
Chambéry St-Benoît5,286 sq.m
Q2 2020
Miramont de Guyenne
NURSING HOME 5,900 sq.m
Lyon
KAESER BIS 7,440 sq.m
Q3 2020 | Q1 2021 | Q2 2021 | |||
Toulouse | Saintes | ||||
Livry-Gargan | |||||
LATECOERE | PAC FACILITY | ||||
PAC FACILITY | |||||
12,505 sq.m | 4,702 sq.m | ||||
8,582 sq.m | |||||
Nîmes
PÔLE SPAP 5,729 sq.m
Canohes
NURSING HOME
5,803 sq.m
Note: (1) Transactions completed or currently under a preliminary sales agreement | I 63 |
PROPERTY DEVELOPMENT
POTENTIAL REVENUE OF €7.4BN IN THE MEDIUM TERM
€5.4bn for the residential segment:
20,000 homes (1)
Projects won | Backlog |
or other options | €1.1bn |
€1.6bn | |
> 6,500 units |
Residential | Stock of |
€5.4bn | units for sale |
€0.7bn | |
> 3,400 units |
Land portfolio
€2.0bn
> 10,000 units
€2.0bn for the office segment
and 450,000 sq.m (1)
Backlog
€0.2bn
Land portfolio | ||
Public, Office | €0.5bn | |
167,000 sq.m, | ||
and Healthcare | ||
Group share | ||
Development | ||
Projects won | €2.0bn | |
or other options |
€1.3bn 283,000 sq.m
Data excluding taxes, Group share. As of September 30, 2019
Note : (1) Excl. backlog | I 64 |
CSR
OFFICE INVESTMENT DIVISION ALIGNED WITH A "NEARLY 1.5°C" PATHWAY
Target: -45% in CO2 intensity between 2015 and 2025
2016 | Carbon neutrality target set in 2019 |
(in kg CO2/sq.m/year)
25
20
15 | Icade | ||||||||||
2°C pathway, worldwide | |||||||||||
commercial real estate sector | |||||||||||
-45% vs. 2015 | |||||||||||
10 | -50% by 2050 vs. 2015 | ||||||||||
5 | 2°C pathway, building sector, France | ||||||||||
-83% by 2050 vs. 2015 | |||||||||||
0 | 1.5°C pathway, building sector, France | ||||||||||
Target: 0 kg CO2e/sq.m in 2050 | |||||||||||
2015 | 2020 | 2025 | 2030 | 2035 | 2040 | 2045 | |||||
2050 |
An attainable pathway
by means of a robust organisation, modelling tools and identified methods
- 65
CSR
MAIN CARBON REDUCTION METHODS IDENTIFIED
Office Investment | Development | |
Methods
Objectives |
Disposals
and
Renovation acquisitions Development pipeline
Energy | Changes |
in national | |
switch | |
emission | |
by Icade | |
factors | |
Controlled carbon | Partially controlled or uncontrolled |
reduction method | carbon reduction method |
-45% in carbon intensity between 2015 and 2025
Low-carbon | Reuse | Parking | Major |
materials | optimisation | renovation | |
Improved | Architecture | Improved | Energy |
emission | |||
performance | switch | ||
factor | |||
Grey energy | Operational energy | ||
Residential | Office | ||
33% of new homes | 100% of new offices > 5,000 sq.m | ||
with the E+C- label by 2022 | with the E+C- label by 2022 |
Example: €8.5m invested in LEDification and renewable energy | |
(financed by the Green Bond) | I 66 |
CSR
A POLICY RECOGNISED BY NON-FINANCIAL RATING AGENCIES
A- rating
In the top 18% of leading companies worldwide
In the top 5% of the
highest scoring companies. "Prime" status
Sector leader of listed | |
diversified companies | 2 Gold Awards for the quality |
in Western Europe | |
Score of 84/100 | of financial and non-financial reporting |
In the top 6% of the highest scoring | Ranks 3rd out of 81 | |
Score of AA | listed companies in the real estate | |
listed real estate companies in Europe | ||
investment sector worldwide | ||
(on a scale ranging from CCC to AAA) | and 4th out of 292 companies worldwide |
3rd place in the ranking of women's representation in the governing bodies of SBF 120 companies
Score of 25/25
Atop the world's top 10 ranking
for the quality of Green Bond reporting
Score of 99/100
on the gender equality index
"Paris Climate Action" charter at the highest "Platinum" level
Score of b for the quality of the Green Bond
- 67
APPENDICES - INVESTMENT
OFFICE AND HEALTHCARE PORTFOLIO:
GROWTH AND VALUE CREATION (GROUP SHARE)
(in €m)
+3.7% | 11,712 | |||||
on a reported basis | ||||||
220 | ||||||
11,291 | 61 | 162 | ||||
(22) | ||||||
12/31/2018 | Disposals (1) | Acquisitions (2) | Construction work (3) | Like-for-like change | 06/30/2019 |
and other (4) |
- LIKE-FOR-LIKEINCREASE IN PORTFOLIO VALUE: + 2.0%
- ON A 100% BASIS, PORTFOLIO VALUE STOOD AT €13,844m (5) AS OF 06/30/2019 (VS. €13,397m AS OF 12/31/2018)
Notes: (1) Fair value as of 12/31/18 of assets sold during the period
- Includes the payments made in H1 2019 (including duties and fees) as part of ongoing off-plan acquisitions
- Includes, among others, maintenance works, tenant improvements, finance costs, pre-letting works and the change in Icade's stake in Icade Santé.
- After restatement of transfer duties and fees, changes in the values of assets acquired during the financial year, works to properties sold and changes in the values of assets treated as financial receivables (PPP)
(5) Including assets consolidated using the equity method: Bellini tower (33%) and Bassin Nord - Millénaire shopping centre (50%) | I 68 |
APPENDICES - INVESTMENT
IMPLIED YIELDS (1) OF OPERATING ASSETS
8.9% | 8.6% | 8,1% | 7,8% | ||||||||||
5.5% | 5.3% | 5,3% | 5,0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5,8% | 5,8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5,9% | 5,7% |
Offices | Business parks | Healthcare | TOTAL PROPERTY INVESTMENT | ||||
12/31/2016 | 12/31/2017 | 12/31/2018 | 06/30/2019 | ||||
Note: (1) Annualised net rental income from leased space plus potential net rental income from vacant space at estimated rental value, divided by the appraised value excluding duties of leasable space. | I 69 |
Historical data takes into account the transfer made in 2018 of the Millénaire and Pont de Flandre business parks to office assets |
APPENDICES - INVESTMENT
LEASE EXPIRY SCHEDULE (1) FOR THE PROPERTY INVESTMENT DIVISIONS (IFRS RENTAL INCOME) (OFFICE AND HEALTHCARE)
80% of lease expiries are after 12/31/2021
€101m | |||
€80m | |||
€70m | €71m | ||
€61m | €63m | ||
€53m | €52m | ||
€37m | €42m | ||
€4m | ||||||||||||||
T4 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | + | |||
Office | Business Park | Other | Healthcare | |||||||||||
Note: (1) Expiry or first break | I 70 |
APPENDICES - KEY INDICATORS
FY 2018 KEY INDICATORS
INVESTMENTPROPERTY | +5.5% | DEVELOPMENTPROPERTY | +7.8% | |
€4.57 per share | ||||
€1.3bn | ||||
vs. €4.34 per share in 2017 | ||||
€338.9m | vs. €1.2bn in 2017 | |||
PROPERTY DEVELOPMENT REVENUE | ||||
EPRA EARNINGS | ||||
FROM PROPERTY INVESTMENT | ||||
+4.4% | +74.7% | |||
€11.3bn | (1) | €44.4m | ||
vs. €25.4m as of 12/31/2017 | ||||
(Group share) | NCCF (GROUP SHARE) | |||
vs. €10.8bn as of 12/31/2017 | ||||
PROPERTY INVESTMENT PORTFOLIO | ||||
+120bps (like-for-like) | +690bps |
LIABILITIES
-4bps | INDICATORS | +5.9% |
€89.8 per share | ||
1.55% | ||
vs. €84.8 per share as of 12/31/2017 | ||
vs. 1.59% as of 12/31/2017 | GROUP | €6.7bn |
AVERAGE COST OF DEBT | EPRA TRIPLE NET ASSET VALUE | |
>6years | (Group share - fully diluted in euros) | |
+8.9% (vs. restated) | ||
6.4years | ||
€5.15 per share | ||
vs. 6.5years as of 12/31/2017 | vs. €4.73 per share in 2017 | |
AVERAGE DEBT MATURITY | €381.7m | |
GROUP NCCF |
93.4%
vs. 92.5% as of 12/31/2017
17.4%
vs. 10.5% as of 12/31/2017
REFLECTING WELL-ORIENTED RESULTS
OFFICE PROPERTY INVESTMENT | PROPERTY DEVELOPMENT ROE |
FINANCIAL OCCUPANCY RATE |
FOR THE THIRD YEAR IN A ROW
Note: (1) Icade share, excluding duties. Portfolio value on a 100% basis: €13.4bn as of 12/31/2018 vs. €12.8bn as of 12/31/17 | I 71 |
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Icade SA published this content on 10 December 2019 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 10 December 2019 15:50:04 UTC