Q1 2020 Business activity and revenue
WEBCAST
6 MAY 2020
Disclaimer
The information contained in this document has not been independently verified. No representation, warranty or undertaking, express or implied, is made as to, and no reliance should be placed on, the fairness, accuracy, completeness or correctness of the information or opinions contained herein. Neither the Company, nor its shareholders, nor their advisors or representatives, nor any other person shall have any liability whatsoever for any loss arising from any use of this document or its contents or otherwise arising in connection with this document.
This document does not constitute an offer to sell or an invitation or solicitation of an offer to subscribe for or purchase any securities, and this shall not form the basis for or be used for any such offer or invitation or other contract or engagement in any jurisdiction.
The information, assumptions and estimates that the Company could reasonably use to determine its targets are subject to change or modification, notably due to economic, financial and competitive uncertainties. Furthermore, it is possible that some of the risks described in Chapter 2 of the Universal Registration Document filed with the AMF under number D.20-0280 on 9 April 2020, as modified by an amendment filed with the AMF on 28 April 2020, could have an impact on the Group's operations and the Company's ability to achieve its targets. Accordingly, the Company cannot give any assurance as to whether it will achieve its stated targets, and makes no commitment or undertaking to update or otherwise revise this information;
No assurance is given as to the fairness, accuracy, completeness or correctness of the information or opinions contained in this document.
All financial figures are presented according to IFRS with joint ventures proportionately consolidated.
Nexity / Webcast - 6 May 2020 | 2 |
Q1 2020: no significant impact yet from the Covid-19 crisis
Residential Real
Estate
Services to individuals
Commercial Real
Estate
Other KPIs
Revenue
Nexity / Webcast - 6 May 2020
New home reservations in France
- -6%in volume vs Q1 2019
- +2% in value vs Q1 2019
Serviced residences
- Seniors (Domitys): 4 openings (104 residences)
- Students (Studéa): no opening (124 residences)
Order intake not meaningful in Q1
Sale of Hôtel de Région in April (more than €200m)
Backlog: €5.2bn, up 2% vs end-2019
Business potential: €15.3bn
€787m ; -11% vs Q1 2019
(up 4% excl. lockdown impact)
Targets and guidance
suspended
Given the uncertainties about the
economic upturn conditions after the
lockdown
3
Implications of the public-health crisis (COVID-19) on the Group's activities
Development activities (residential + commercial)
- Hard lockdown strongly impact the signing of reservations and notarial deeds of sales. However:
- Many customer contacts albeit to a lesser extent than normal circumstances
- Net positive balance of reservations for April (reservations of the period net of cancellations)
- Potential boost of business activity with the positive action of institutional investors (CDC Habitat and inl'i)
- Activity on construction sites initially stopped but gradually getting underway again: little bit more than 50% opened at 30 April (almost all of them should restart by the beginning of June)
- Renewal of the supply, mixed situation:
- Elected municipal teams in the 1st round: new administrative authorisations continue but at a slow pace
- Teams not yet elected: postponement of the 2nd round will delay the building permit grants
- State of emergency: deadlines for appeals have been extended
- Commercial Real Estate: similar negative impact on business activity. Despite this context, sale in April of Influence 2.0 (Hôtel de Région in Saint-Ouen), achieved with the conditions and within the time table set before the crisis
Nexity / Webcast - 6 May 2020 | 4 |
Implications of the public-health crisis (COVID-19) on the Group's activities
Services activities
- Property management for individuals / Franchises / Commercial Property management:
- Condominium and rental management / Commercial Property management: no significant impact on existing mandates
- Brokerage activities (lettings and sales by Nexity agencies and Century 21 franchises): virtually at a standstill
- Serviced residences / Shared Office Space:
- Student residences (Studéa): decrease in occupancy rate. Gradual impact on the revenue until students' courses restart
- Senior independent living facilities (Domitys): occupancy rate slightly affected. New openings postponed to 2021
- Morning Coworking: activity virtually at a standstill (workspaces closed since 16 March 2020). Leases remain in effect and are subject to discussion regarding payment procedure
- Distribution: very low volume of business activity
Nexity / Webcast - 6 May 2020 | 5 |
Implications of the public-health crisis (COVID-19): change in governance
Jean-Philippe Ruggieri, 51 years old, CEO of Nexity, who passed away as a result of the coronavirus on 23 April 2020, began his career in the family real estate group in Toulouse. He joined Nexity in 2001 and very actively participated in the growth of the Group and notably initiated the development of new service businesses. He saw his responsibilities expanded to become Chief Executive Officer in May 2019.
Governance measures
- To cope with the sudden disappearance of Jean-Philippe Ruggieri, Nexity's Chief Executive Officer on 23 April 2020, the Board of Directors, which met on 25 April 2020, has decided to recombine the functions of Chairman and CEO and has appointed Alain Dinin as Nexity's CEO with immediate effect
- Alain Dinin will be leading the management team, composed of Julien Carmona, confirmed as Deputy CEO and corporate officer, as well as Véronique Bédague-Hamilius and Frederic Verdavaine, Deputy CEOs
- Proposal to the Shareholders' Meeting of 19 May 2020 to align the CEO age limit with the age limit of the Chairman (72 years), i.e. until the end of Alain Dinin's mandate (AGM called to approve the 2022 financial statements)
Nexity / Webcast - 6 May 2020 | 6 |
Measures taken to face the public-health crisis (Covid-19)
Operational and financial measures
- State-sponsoredunemployment scheme used on a carefully selected and targeted basis for operating companies where worksites and projects have been forced to shut down
- No use of State aids
- Strict control of expenditures (capex, land acquisitions, opening of new residences…) but Engagement Committees maintained
- Dividend paid in 2020 maintained but reduced to €2.00 per share (€2.00 compared to the €2.70 scheduled initially)
- Company officers' request for a 25% reduction in compensation (for the Chairman and Chief Executive Officer) and to forego any increase (for the Deputy Chief Executive Officer)
- Very strong cash position at 30 April 2020: €722m in cash and €555m in confirmed undrawn borrowing facilities
- Targets and guidance suspended given the uncertainties about the economic upturn conditions after the lockdown
Nexity / Webcast - 6 May 2020 | 7 |
Measures taken to face the public-health crisis (Covid-19)
Civic engagement
- Providing at no cost close to 300 units in Studéa student residences for healthcare staff and vulnerable people designated by the public authorities
- Exceptional donation of €3 million in aid of healthcare personnel in the Seine-Saint-Denis and Grand-Est regions, as well as non-profit organisations that help homeless persons and vulnerable women
- Implementation of an emergency fund by the Nexity Foundation for emergency food aid and shelter partly feed with employees' donation of paid holidays
Nexity / Webcast - 6 May 2020 | 8 |
Nexity new home reservations in France
(in volume - in units, including Ægide from 1st July 2018)
19,609 | 21,837 | -6% | |||||||||||
18,351 | |||||||||||||
11,741 | 15,893 | 7,794 | compared to Q1 2019 | ||||||||||
4,557 | |||||||||||||
5,603 | 3,657 | ||||||||||||
3,883 | |||||||||||||
2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 |
(in value - in €m incl.VAT, including Ægide from 1st July 2018)
4,362 | |||||||||||||||||||||
3,564 | 3,915 | ||||||||||||||||||||
2,943 | 1,529 | +2% | |||||||||||||||||||
2,285 | compared to Q1 2019 | ||||||||||||||||||||
909 | |||||||||||||||||||||
1,150 | 792 | ||||||||||||||||||||
773 | |||||||||||||||||||||
2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | ||||||||||||||||
Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | ||||||||||||||||||
Nexity / Webcast - 6 May 2020
INDIVIDUAL CLIENTS
Residential Real Estate
- Total reservations (incl. Subdivisions and International): 4,182 units, stable in volume and +6% in value
- o/w Subdivisions: 360 units (+40%) worth €30m (+48%)
- o/w International: 165 units (x4.6) worth €26m (x7.7)
Since 16 March 2020:
Sharp slowdown of activity due to lockdown measures:
- Limited amount of reservations and notarial deeds
- Gradual resumption of work on construction sites: >50% of construction sites opened at 30 April 2020
9
Breakdown by clients
INDIVIDUAL CLIENTS
Residential Real Estate
Volume
(in units)
-6% | |
3,883 | 3,657 |
14% | |
9% | 19% |
7% | |
51% | 49% |
4% | 3% |
22% | 23% |
Q1 2019 | Q1 2020 |
Social landlords: +28% | |
Institutional | Bulk sales : +5% |
Investors: -30% |
Individual
Investors: -10%
Retail sales: -9%
Other homebuyers: -34%
First-time buyers: -1%
-
50,000 units will be financed by
CDC Habitat and in'li in one year
(Annoucement published on 27 March 2020 ) - Firm commitment between CDC Habitat and Nexity at end-Aprilfor
7,450 units, representing €1,234m excluding VAT (half of these social, intermediate and conventional housing units located all over France are expected to be sold before end-December 2020)
Nexity / Webcast - 6 May 2020 | 10 |
Nexity new homes: supply for sale
Current supply for sale | ||||||||||||
(in units, excl. International and including Ægide from 1 July 2018) | -12% | |||||||||||
8,651 | 9,005 | 8,859 | ||||||||||
1% | 7,799 | |||||||||||
6,988 | 6,773 | 26% | 1% | |||||||||
6,438 | ||||||||||||
2% | 27% | |||||||||||
5,058 | 5,313 | |||||||||||
52% | ||||||||||||
4,202 | 4,293 | |||||||||||
3,663 | 3,542 | |||||||||||
73% | 72% | |||||||||||
46% | ||||||||||||
2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | Q1 2020 |
New homes in project phase | New homes under construction | Completed new homes |
Since 16 March 2020: Limited sales launches, 100% digital
INDIVIDUAL CLIENTS
Residential Real Estate
- Few new sales launches due to the electoral context in Q1 2020
- Take-upperiod* of 4.3 months in Q1 2020 (compared to 4.9 in Q1 2019 and in FY 2019)
- Pre-salesrate: historical level of 90% at end-March 2020
- Completed new homes: 78 units at end-March2020
Nexity / Webcast - 6 May 2020
* Take-up period: available market supply / reservations for the last 12 months, expressed in months | 11 |
INDIVIDUAL CLIENTS
Residential Real Estate
Business potential* for new homes
(in units, excl. International and including Ægide from 1 July 2018) | 2.6 YEARS OF POTENTIAL REVENUE |
+2% | ||||||||||||
53,602 | 55,354 | 56,251 | ||||||||||
47,560 | ||||||||||||
41,813 | 44% | 41% | 38% | |||||||||
34,453 | ||||||||||||
22,824 | 19,057 | 21,285 | 23,143 | 23,941 | 23,100 | 24,832 | ||||||
28% | 62% | |||||||||||
56% | 59% | |||||||||||
72% | ||||||||||||
2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | Q1 2020 |
Rest of France | Paris region |
- Business potential represents €10.9bn potential revenue excl. VAT at 31 March 2020, or 2.6 years of potential revenue (rolling 12-month basis).
- The total volume of potential business at any given moment (expressed as a number of units and/or revenue excluding VAT) within future projects in Residential Real Estate (New homes, Subdivisions and International) validated by the Group's Committee, in all structuring phases, this business potential includes the Group's current supply for sale, its future supply (project phases not yet marketed on purchased land, and projects not yet launched associated with land secured through options)
Nexity / Webcast - 6 May 2020 | 12 |
INDIVIDUAL CLIENTS
Real Estate Services to Individuals
Property management for individuals and distribution
PMI - Units under management
(in thousand in units)
2017 | 2018 | 2019 | Q1 2020 | ||
Condominium | 721 | 721 | 709 | 709 | |
management | |||||
Rental | 168 | 175 | 175 | 176 | |
management | |||||
890 | 897 | 884 | 885 | ||
* LFL churn in Q1 2020 like for like basis : stable (-1.5% at end-2019) | stable* | ||||
Distribution - Total sales
(in units)
+3% | |
988 | 1,022 |
66 | 61 |
922 | 961 |
Q1 2019 | Q1 2020 |
iSelection PERL
- More than half of reservations on behalf of third-parties at end-March 2020
Since 16 March 2020:
- Property management for individuals: no significant impact on existing mandates
- Brokerage: virtually at a standstill
- Distribution: very low volume of business activity
Nexity / Webcast - 6 May 2020 | 13 |
Serviced Residences
STUDENT RESIDENCES
124 residences and 15,400 managed units at end-March 2020
Q1 2020 rolling 12-month occupancy rate stands at 95.0% (compared to 94.7% at end-December2019)
Since 16 March 2020:
INDIVIDUAL CLIENTS
Real Estate Services to Individuals
SENIOR INDEPENDENT LIVING FACILITIES
104 residences and 12,200 managed units at end-March 2020
4 new residences openings during Q1 2020
Q1 2020 rolling 12-month occupancy rate stands at 84.4%* (compared to 84.2% at end-December 2019)
- Student residences (Studéa): Decrease in occupancy rate. Gradual negative impact on the revenue until students' courses restart
- Senior independent living facilities (Domitys): Occupancy rate slightly affected. New openings postponed to 2021
- Occupancy rate at end-March 2020 stands at 95% for the 72 residences opened for more than 2 years
Nexity / Webcast - 6 May 2020 | 14 |
COMMERCIAL CLIENTS
Commercial Real Estate
Business potential* and order intake
Business potential for Commercial Real Estate | Order intake |
at 31 March 2020 | (in €m excl. VAT) |
(in €m) |
+1% | 403 | 402 | 521 | |||||
356 | 349 | |||||||
305 | ||||||||
2,796 | 2,966 | 2,993 | ||||||
72% | 77% | 77% | 216 | 3 | ||||
28% | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | Q1 2020 | ||
23% | 23% | Paris Region | Rest of France | |||||
2018 | 2019 | Q1 2020 | ||||||
Paris Region | Rest of France |
- Strong visibility of more than 8 years of activity
- Sharp acceleration anticipated in revenue starting 2020
- Q1 2020 order intake not significant - The Hôtel de Région project in Saint-Ouen signed in April 2020 for more than €200m (delivered end-2019)
- Backlog** of €398m equivalent to 14 months of activity compared to €456m at end-December2019
Since 16 March 2020:
- Business has slowed significantly due to the extension of deadlines for obtaining building permits and the halting of construction work
- No threat on the sale of the Engie eco-business park in La Garenne-Colombes scheduled for the end of 2020
- The total volume of potential business at any given moment, expressed as a number of units and/or revenue excluding VAT validated by the Group's Committee, in all structuring phases, including the programmes of the Group's urban regeneration business (Villes & Projets); this business potential includes the Group's current supply for sale, its future supply (project phases not yet marketed on purchased land, and projects not yet launched associated with land secured through options). The number of years is based on the revenue on a rolling 12-month basis
Nexity / Webcast - 6 May 2020
** Commercial Real Estate revenue on a rolling 12-month basis | 15 |
COMMERCIAL CLIENTS
Real Estate services to Companies
Real Estate services to Companies
Property Management
(in millions of sq.m under management)
-0.4% | |||||||||||
18.6 | 19.5 | 19.4 | |||||||||
11.5 | 11.4 | ||||||||||
10.6 | |||||||||||
8.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 | |||||||||
2018 | 2019 | Q1 2020 | |||||||||
Rental management | Technical management | ||||||||||
Morning Coworking
- 21 coworking spaces at end-March 2020
- Signing of the lease of the Hôtel de la Marine (Paris 8ème) during Q1 2020: 645 workstations
- More than 50.000 sq.m (down 15% compared to end-2019)
- 5.700 workstations
Since 16 March 2020:
- Morning Coworking: workspaces closed. Leases remain in effect and are subject to discussion regarding payment procedure
- Property management: very resilient activity
Nexity / Webcast - 6 May 2020 | 16 |
Q1 2020 revenue and Covid-19 impact
Q1 2020 | Covid-19 | |||||||||||||
(in millions of euros) | Q1 2019 | Q1 2020 | Change | simulated before | ||||||||||
impact | ||||||||||||||
Covid-19 | ||||||||||||||
Residential Real Estate | 552 | 491 | -11% | 599 | -109 | |||||||||
Covid impact (%) | -18% | |||||||||||||
Real Estate services to individuals | 209 | 211 | +1% | 228 | -16 | |||||||||
PMI, franchise network | 87 | 82 | -6% | 84 | -2 | |||||||||
Serviced residences (Studéa, Domitys) | 72 | 84 | +17% | 84 | 0 | |||||||||
Distribution activities (PERL, iSelection) | 50 | 46 | -9% | 60 | -14 | |||||||||
Covid impact (%) | -7% | |||||||||||||
Individual Clients | 762 | 702 | -8% | 827 | -125 | |||||||||
Commercial Real Estate | 98 | 57 | -42% | 63 | -6 | |||||||||
Covid impact (%) | -10% | |||||||||||||
Real Estate services to companies | 21 | 27 | +32% | 27 | 0 | |||||||||
Covid impact (%) | 0% | |||||||||||||
Commercial Clients | 119 | 84 | -29% | 91 | -6 | |||||||||
Other activities | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||
Nexity Revenue | 881 | 787 | -11% | 917 | -131 | |||||||||
Covid impact (%) | -14% | |||||||||||||
Nexity / Webcast - 6 May 2020 | 17 | |||||||||||||
Implications of the public-health crisis (COVID-19): Sensitivity of the income statement
Negative impact | Negative impact on | ||
on revenue | EBITDA and margin rate | ||
• High proportion of variable costs (fixed costs | |||
Development and | represent less than 10% of revenue) | ||
• Losses on overheads that will not be accounted | |||
Distribution | Important | Limited | |
as inventories during the lockdown period | |||
activities | |||
• Increase in construction costs linked to | |||
construction start conditions | |||
Property | |||
management for | • High proportion of fixed costs | ||
individuals, | |||
• Measures taken to furlough staff and plans to cut | |||
serviced | Limited | Important | |
operating expenses should also help limit this | |||
residences and | |||
impact | |||
shared office space | |||
activities, holding | |||
Nexity / Webcast - 6 May 2020 | 18 |
Development business potential* and backlog at 31 March 2020
Development business potential* | Backlog** |
€15.3 | +2% | ||||
5,095 | 5,193 | ||||
bn | |||||
4,469 | 456 | 398 | |||
308 | |||||
Residential | Commercial | 4,795 | |||
Real Estate | Real Estate | 4,161 | 4,640 | ||
€12.3bn | €3.0bn | ||||
75,700 units | |||||
31 Dec. 2018 | 31 Dec. 2019 | 31 March 2020 |
New homes | Subdivisions | International |
€10.9bn | €1.1bn | €0.4bn |
Residential Real Estate | Commercial Real Estate |
56,250 units | 13,950 units | 5,500 units |
*Corresponds to the total volume of potential business at any given moment (expressed as a number of units and/or estimated revenue excluding VAT) within future Residential Real estate projects (new homes, subdivisions and International) and Commercial Real Estate projects, validated by the Nexity's Investment Committee, under options or purchased land, in all structuring phases, including urban regeneration business (Villes& Projets). This business potential includes the Group's current supply for sale, its future supply corresponding to project phases not yet marketed on purchased land, and projects not yet launched associated with land secured under options
** Corresponds to the Group's order backlog in terms of forecast revenue and number of months of development activities - According to IFRS with joint ventures proportionately consolidated
Nexity / Webcast - 6 May 2020 | 19 |
Appendix
INDIVIDUAL CLIENTS
Residential Real Estate
Evolution of new home reservations in France
(in units)
-1% | ||||||||
169,000 | 163,600 | 162,600 | ||||||
153,700 | ||||||||
121,100 | 125,400 | |||||||
105,900 | 108,500 | 107,300 | ||||||
2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 |
Retail Sales | Bulk sales |
A strong demand in an undersupplied market
Sources: Commissariat Général au Développement Durable (Base Sit@del2) for retail sales - Fédération des Promoteurs Immobiliers for bulk sales
Nexity / Webcast - 6 May 2020 | 21 |
INDIVIDUAL CLIENTS
Residential Real Estate
Nexity new homes: price trends
Average prices
(in thousand of euros, excl. PERL, iSelection, Ægide, International and bulk sales)
257.4 | 261.5 | 267.3 | 265.8 Paris region: -0,6% | |||||||||
256.8 | 264.8 | 265.4 Paris region excl. Paris: +0,2% | ||||||||||
250.5 | ||||||||||||
France: +3,2% | ||||||||||||
231.0 | ||||||||||||
218.0 | 223.8 | |||||||||||
213.6 | Rest of France: +5,1% | |||||||||||
206.8 | ||||||||||||
196.7 | ||||||||||||
192.0 | ||||||||||||
184.2 | ||||||||||||
2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | |
Retail sales | Q1 2019 | Q1 2020 | Change | |||||||||
Average home price incl. VAT (sq.m.) | 4,139 | 4,305 | +4.0% | |||||||||
Average surface area per home (sq.m.) | 54.6 | 56.4 | +3.3% | |||||||||
Average price incl. VAT per home (€k) | 225.9 | 242.7 | +7.4% |
- Given the low volumes during Q1, these data cannot be extrapolated to the full year
Nexity / Webcast - 6 May 2020 | 22 |
COMMERCIAL CLIENTS
Commercial Real Estate
La Garenne-Colombes(Hauts-de-Seine)
Dec.2019 | ||
Purchase | 2020 | |
13 July 2018 | commitment signing | |
Signing of the off-plan | ||
with Swiss Life Asset | ||
Land acquisition | ||
Managers | sale (VEFA) | |
2019/2020
Building permits preparation
Permissions obtention
Engie: a financial and strategic development partnership
- Acquisition with Engie in July 2018 of a 9-hectares plot of PSA group industrial land in La Garenne-Colombes (92)
- Conclusion of a technological partnership to develop with Engie an ambitious general interest urban project in terms of energy transition
- Complex mixed programme of offices, housing, shops and a hotel, a new PSA branch, and community facilities
- Creation of Engie's eco-business park for 136,000 sq.m, the largest private project in Greater Paris
- A little less than 1 billion euros in turnover for the Nexity share of the eco-campus
2022 | 2024 |
20212023/2024
Scheduled delivery of
the Engie campus
No threat on the administrative authorisations obtention (under option since Q4 2019, expected to be sold at the end of 2020)
Nexity / Webcast - 6 May 2020 | 23 |
19, rue de Vienne 75 008 Paris
Tél. : +33 (0)1 85 55 12 12
Attachments
- Original document
- Permalink
Disclaimer
Nexity SA published this content on 06 May 2020 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 06 May 2020 16:23:09 UTC