A new globally significant critical minerals province in Western Australia
Macquarie Australia Conference
8 MAY 2024
A S X : C H N
Why Chalice? Our 100% owned Gonneville Project is the largest palladium-nickel-copperdevelopment project in the western world
Tier 1 scale Resource in Western Australia
• 100% ownership of one of the largest undeveloped PGE-Ni-Cu-Co (critical minerals) resource in the western world
• 17Moz of Pd-Pt-Au (3E), 960kt Ni, 540kt Cu, 96kt Co contained
in Resource, starting at surface1
Compelling value and leverage
- Predicted to become the lowest cost PGE mine in the western world (after Ni-Cu-Co credits) - a unique and competitive asset
- High leverage to Pd, Ni price recovery from cyclical lows
Strong financial position
• ~A$107M in cash and listed investments and no debt2 - no need to raise capital in foreseeable future
- Pre-FeasibilityStudy and strategic partnering process for Gonneville Project underway in parallel
Significant exploration upside
- >9,600km2 licence area in West Yilgarn being explored for first time by proven and globally recognised team
- Strategic investments in two frontier explorers in WA
- 660Mt @ 0.79g/t Pd+Pt+Au (3E), 0.15% Ni, 0.083% Cu, 0.015% Co (refer to the Mineral Resources Estimate contained in Appendix for tonnes and grades by confidence category)
- Includes ~$2.7M in listed Investments at 31 March 2024
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Chalice is an ASX300 listed specialist explorer-developer - we create value through project generation, discovery and de-risking
Capital structure
Shares on issue | 389M |
Market capitalisation | $434M1 |
Trading liquidity | ~5M shares/day |
Cash balance | $104M2 |
Listed investments | $2.7M |
Enterprise value | $330M |
Major shareholders4
Tim Goyder (founder) | 11% |
Goldman Sachs | 7% |
Board & Management | 2% |
Other institutional | ~25% |
ASX:CHN 3mth performance
1.80 | 30 | ||
1.60 | 25 | ||
1.40 | |||
1.20 | 20 | Millions | |
0.80 | |||
1.00 | 15 | ||
0.60 | 10 | ||
0.40 | 5 | ||
0.20 | |||
0.00 | 0 | ||
02-Feb-24 | 15-Mar-24 | 01-May-24 | |
Volume | Price |
Research coverage
Top 10 shareholders representing ~40% of the register materially unchanged in the last 12 months
1. As of 3 May 2024; 2. As of 31 March 2024. 4. As of 28 March 2024. Substantial shareholder information is as disclosed in the last substantial shareholder notice provided to the Company. Note: Arctis Global | ASX:CHN | 3 |
disclosed a long equity derivative position of 46,728,282 shares on 10 Nov 2022. | ||
Why palladium? Strong future demand for palladium driven by hybrid EV sales outgrowing battery EV sales
• Key driver of palladium demand is sales of plug-in |
hybrid electric (PHEV) and ICE vehicles |
• ~85% of demand from catalytic converters |
Battery Electric (BEV) v Plug-in Hybrid (PHEV) vehicle sales growth in China, rebased to Mar-23
• ~10% of demand from hydrogenation |
• Major car manufacturers, such as Toyota, Ford and |
Hyundai, are scaling up PHEV production to meet |
growing demand |
240
220
200
180
160
140
120
100
BEV PHEV
>50% higher growth
• Quantity of palladium required per vehicle |
trending higher due to preference for hybrid |
powertrain, petrol over diesel and tightening |
emissions standards |
80
60
40
Similar trends are becoming clear globally, but palladium spot price and consensus forecast yet to shift
Source: China Passenger Car Association (CPCA), company data, Motor Intelligence
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Why palladium? Supply is concentrated in Russia and South Africa - supply risks are high, disruptions are common and recycling is subdued
- Palladium production is dominated by ageing, deep, under-invested mines in Russia and South Africa
- Western mines are rapidly becoming uneconomic and are being shut, making supply concentration worse
- Weak prices and lack of investment resulting in recycling volumes trending down rapidly
Global Palladium Supply Market Share (2023) | LBMA Palladium price (US$/oz) |
41% | ||||
37% | ||||
12% | ||||
7% | 4% | |||
South Africa | Russia | North | Zimbabwe | Rest of world |
America |
3,500 | Norilsk | Ukraine | |
COVID-19 | flooding | invasion | |
3,000 | |||
2,500 | 'Diesel-gate' | Auto destocking / | |
pivot to | |||
2,000 | petrol & Pd | Russia dumping? | |
1,500
1,000
500
0 Jul-18Jan-19Jul-19Jan-20Jul-20Jan-21Jul-21Jan-22Jul-22Jan-23Jul-23Jan-24
Gonneville is the only palladium project in the western world with scale
Source: SFA Oxford, Sibanye Stillwater, Johnson Mathey. LBMA = London Bullion Market Association
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PGE prices are deep into the cost curve and unsustainable - given strength of demand, pricing could revert to incentive levels in near term
PGE industry all-in sustaining cost curve (cash costs plus sustaining CapEx), net of by-product credits, US$/oz 4E 2023A)1
AISC (US$/oz 4E)
2,500
2,000
1,500
1,000
500
0
-500
-1,000
Quartile 1 | Quartile 2 | Quartile 3 | Quartile 4 |
Loss making operations | ||||||||||
Current PGE 4E basket price (approx.) | ||||||||||
840 | ||||||||||
15Mtpa Case: | ||||||||||
~280kozpa 4E | Predominantly South African / Zimbabwean mines - | |||||||||
@ US$470/oz2 | ||||||||||
unit costs up 8-20% in 2023 relative to 2022 | ||||||||||
Nornickel (Russia) | ||||||||||
1,000 | 2,000 | 3,000 | 4,000 | 5,000 | 6,000 | 7,000 | 8,000 | 9,000 | 10,000 | 11,000 | 12,000 |
Cumulative 4E production (koz) | |||||||||||
Net total cash costs (US$/oz 4E) | Sustaining CapEx (US$/oz 4E) | ||||||||||
Source: April 2024 SFA (Oxford) figures used for 2023 realised 4E cost curve data. Note: 1. 4E cost curve positioning assumes SFA Oxford 2023 actual by-product commodity prices of: Copper prices of: US$8,486/t, Nickel US$21,505/t, Iridium US$4,682/oz, Ruthenium US$464/oz, Chrome 42% CIF US$312/t. Chalice internal Cobalt prices of US$40,000/t have been assumed given not disclosed in SFA data. ZAR:USD exchange rate of 18.47 assumed. 2. AISC adjusted to reflect SFA Oxford 2023 actual by-product commodity prices (vs US$360/oz on August 2023 Scoping Study prices)
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Gonneville Project
Project update and priorities
Gonneville PGE-Ni-Cu-Co Project Overview
A new long-life,low-cost,low-carboncritical minerals project in Western Australia
A globally significant magmatic sulphide Resource ~70km from Perth
• ~17Moz of Pd-Pt-Au (3E), 960kt Ni, 540kt Cu, 96kt Co1 contained - deposit remains open at depth
- Located on ~22km2 of Chalice-ownedfarmland - de-risks approvals
Predicted to be lowest cost PGE producer in the western world
- 2023 Scoping Study predicted by-product credits) - firmly 2nd
US$160/oz 3E cash costs (after Ni-Cu-Co quartile on the PGE industry cost curve
- Investigating high-grade, staged open-pit / underground starter cases in the initial phase of the Pre-FeasibilityStudy due in mid CY25
- Regulatory approvals process to commenced in Q1 2024 - FID targeted for late CY26
Strategic partnering process ongoing:
- Positive progress made and active discussions ongoing2
- For tonnes and grades by confidence category and metal equivalent assumptions, refer to the Mineral Resources Statement in Appendix.
- Discussions with potential partners are preliminary in nature, there is no assurance that the strategic partnering process will result in a transaction.
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The rare, tier-1 scale Gonneville Resource has high-grade optionality and compelling growth potential
High Grade Mineral Resource Estimate1:
- 59Mt @ 2.0g/t 3E (Pd+Pt+Au), 0.20% Ni, 0.21% Cu, 0.019% Co
- 3.8Moz 3E, 120kt Ni, 120kt Cu and 11kt Co contained
- Open at depth
Mineral Resource Estimate1:
- 660Mt @ 0.79g/t 3E (Pd+Pt+Au), 0.15% Ni, 0.08% Cu, 0.015% Co
- 17Moz 3E, 960kt Ni, 540kt Cu and 96kt Co contained
Recovery increases with grade - optimisations continuing to determine starter cut-off and project scale
Gonneville NSR Grade-Tonnage table2
NSR Cut-off | NSR Cut-off in | Total Mass | Grade | ||||||
in-pit | MSO | ||||||||
A$/t | A$/t | (Mt) | 3E (g/t) | Pd (g/t) | Pt (g/t) | Au (g/t) | Ni (%) | Cu (%) | Co (%) |
15 | 110 | 690 | 0.75 | 0.59 | 0.14 | 0.02 | 0.15 | 0.082 | 0.015 |
25 | 110 | 640 | 0.78 | 0.62 | 0.14 | 0.02 | 0.15 | 0.085 | 0.015 |
35 | 110 | 530 | 0.85 | 0.67 | 0.15 | 0.03 | 0.16 | 0.092 | 0.015 |
45 | 110 | 390 | 0.97 | 0.76 | 0.17 | 0.03 | 0.16 | 0.11 | 0.016 |
55 | 110 | 270 | 1.1 | 0.88 | 0.20 | 0.04 | 0.17 | 0.12 | 0.017 |
65 | 110 | 180 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.23 | 0.05 | 0.18 | 0.14 | 0.017 |
75 | 110 | 130 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 0.27 | 0.06 | 0.19 | 0.16 | 0.018 |
85 | 110 | 95 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 0.30 | 0.06 | 0.19 | 0.18 | 0.018 |
95 | 110 | 73 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 0.34 | 0.07 | 0.20 | 0.19 | 0.019 |
105 | 110 | 58 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 0.37 | 0.08 | 0.20 | 0.21 | 0.019 |
115 | 110 | 47 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 0.40 | 0.09 | 0.21 | 0.22 | 0.019 |
125 | 110 | 40 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 0.42 | 0.10 | 0.21 | 0.23 | 0.019 |
135 | 110 | 34 | 2.4 | 1.9 | 0.45 | 0.10 | 0.21 | 0.24 | 0.019 |
145 | 110 | 30 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 0.47 | 0.11 | 0.22 | 0.25 | 0.019 |
155 | 110 | 27 | 2.6 | 2.0 | 0.48 | 0.11 | 0.22 | 0.26 | 0.019 |
- For tonnes and grade by confidence category and NSR assumptions, refer to the Mineral Resource Estimate table in Appendix
- Complete NSR assumptions are shown in "Gonneville Resource remodelled to support selective mining", 23 April 2024
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Remodelling of the Gonneville high-grade sulphide zones has allowed investigation of selective open-pit/undergroundmining techniques
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Disclaimer
Chalice Mining Ltd. published this content on 08 May 2024 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 07 May 2024 23:05:02 UTC.