NEWS RELEASE
LEUCROTTA EXPLORATION ANNOUNCES 2021 YEAR-END RESERVES
Calgary, Alberta, March 16, 2022 - Leucrotta Exploration Inc. ("Leucrotta" or the "Company") (TSXV - LXE) is pleased to announce its 2021 year-endreserves as independently evaluated by GLJ Ltd. ("GLJ") effective December 31, 2021 (the "GLJ Report"), in accordance with National Instrument 51-101("NI 51-101")and the Canadian Oil and Gas Evaluation ("COGE") Handbook. All dollar figures are Canadian dollars unless otherwise noted.
Introduction
During 2021, Leucrotta made the strategic decision to sell its Doe property for gross proceeds of $30.0 million, raise additional equity capital for gross proceeds of $34.4 million and start the PAD development of its Mica Project. Based on successful results of its first PAD and the significant delineation already completed, Leucrotta was able to deliver strong year over year reserve growth despite the sale of Doe that had 10.7 million boe (86% undeveloped) of Proved plus Probable reserves booked to the property.
The GLJ Report incorporates Leucrotta's initial move to 2,400 metre lateral lengths and increased frac intensity used on the Mica Test PAD. The report includes 14 producing wells and 26 undeveloped locations in the Lower Montney that only cover less than 10% of Leucrotta's large contiguous land base that is greater than 250 sections of Montney rights. These minimal reserve bookings leave material upside for Leucrotta to potentially book additional reserves in the future.
Leucrotta has also delineated and proven the Upper and Basal Montney productive on its land base including 2 wells in each zone but has only booked 4 Upper locations and no Basal locations leaving reserve upside of greater than 99% of its land base for these zones. The presence of stacked zones on the property will materially reduce the environmental footprint per well and enhance economics.
Leucrotta has estimated approximately 18 billion barrels of Original Oil in Place ("OOIP") and 17 trillion cubic feet of Original Gas in Place ("OGIP") over its land base. Leucrotta's business plan is to continue to develop the property, establish the ultimate reserve recoveries and move the established recoverable resource from land to its Proved plus Probable reserve base and eventually to its Producing reserve base. With regard to this, Leucrotta has made significant strides in 2021 as noted below.
Reserve Highlights
Leucrotta is pleased to report material reserve and value increases notwithstanding the sale of the Doe property that had 10.7 million boe booked as noted above:
- Increased Proved Producing reserves by 71% to 7.7 million boe from 4.5 million boe
- Increased Total Proved reserves by 43% to 21.1 million boe from 14.8 million boe
- Increased Total Proved plus Probable reserves by 16% to 50.7 million boe from 43.6 million boe
- Increased Proved Producing value by 241% to $111.2 million from $32.6 million
- Increased Total Proved Reserve value by 185% to $167.8 from $58.8 million
- Increased Total Proved plus Probable Reserve value by 143% to $393.9 million from $161.9 million
- Doubled Net Asset Value to $528.2 million from $267.0 million (Per Share increase of 60% to $2.13 per Share)
Reserves Summary
Leucrotta's December 31, 2021 reserves as prepared by GLJ effective December 31, 2021 and based on the GLJ (2022-01) future price forecast are as follows (1,4):
Shale | NGLs | Total Oil Equivalent | ||
Working Interest Reserves (2) | Tight Oil (Mbbl) | Natural Gas (Mmcf) | (Mbbl) | (Mboe) (3) |
Proved | ||||
Producing | 1,325 | 36,439 | 276 | 7,674 |
Developed non-producing | 123 | 5,796 | 77 | 1,166 |
Undeveloped | 2,115 | 52,339 | 1,422 | 12,260 |
Total proved | 3,563 | 94,574 | 1,774 | 21,100 |
Probable | 4,474 | 135,953 | 2,418 | 29,550 |
Total proved & probable | 8,037 | 230,527 | 4,192 | 50,650 |
Notes:
- Numbers may not add due to rounding.
- "Working Interest" or "Gross" reserves means Leucrotta's working interest (operating and non-operating) share before deduction of royalties and without including any royalty interest of Leucrotta.
- Oil equivalent amounts have been calculated using a conversion rate of six thousand cubic feet of natural gas to one barrel of oil.
- Disclosure of Net reserves will be included in Company's AIF to be filed on SEDAR atwww.sedar.comon or before April 30, 2022. "Net" reserves means Leucrotta's working interest (operated and non-operated) share after deduction of royalties, plus Leucrotta's royalty interest in reserves.
Reserves Values
The estimated future net revenues before taxes associated with Leucrotta's reserves effective December 31, 2021 and based on the GLJ
(2022-01) future price forecast are summarized in the following table (1,2,3,4):
Discount factor per year | ||||||
($000s) | 0% | 5% | 10% | 15% | 20% | |
Proved | ||||||
Producing | 165,688 | 132,580 | 111,185 | 96,547 | 85,991 | |
Developed Non-producing | 22,615 | 17,422 | 14,212 | 12,086 | 10,585 | |
Undeveloped | 145,131 | 79,348 | 42,394 | 19,974 | 5,487 | |
Total proved | 333,433 | 229,350 | 167,791 | 128,607 | 102,063 | |
Probable | 595,344 | 346,832 | 226,069 | 158,652 | 116,869 | |
Total proved & probable | 928,777 | 576,182 | 393,860 | 287,260 | 218,932 |
Notes:
- Numbers may not add due to rounding.
- The estimated future net revenues are stated prior to provision for interest, debt service charges or general administrative expenses and after deduction of royalties, operating costs, estimated well abandonment and reclamation costs and estimated future capital expenditures.
- The estimated future net revenue contained in the table does not necessarily represent the fair market value of the reserves. There is no assurance that the forecast price and cost assumptions contained in the GLJ Report will be attained and variations could be material. The recovery and reserve estimates described herein are estimates only. Actual reserves may be greater or less than those calculated.
- The after-tax present values of future net revenue attributed to Leucrotta's reserves will be included in Company's AIF to be filed on SEDAR at www.sedar.comon or before April 30, 2022.
Price Forecast
The GLJ (2022-01) price forecast is as follows:
WTI Oil @ Cushing | Edmonton Light Oil | AECO Natural Gas | Chicago Natural Gas | Foreign Exchange | |
Year | ($US / Bbl) | ($Cdn / Bbl) | ($Cdn / Mmbtu) | ($US / Mmbtu) | (US$/Cdn$) |
2022 | 73.00 | 87.97 | 3.40 | 3.65 | 0.790 |
2023 | 69.01 | 81.89 | 3.10 | 3.35 | 0.790 |
2024 | 67.24 | 79.32 | 3.15 | 3.00 | 0.790 |
2025 | 68.58 | 80.91 | 3.21 | 3.06 | 0.790 |
2026 | 69.96 | 82.53 | 3.28 | 3.13 | 0.790 |
2027 | 71.35 | 84.18 | 3.34 | 3.19 | 0.790 |
2028 | 72.78 | 85.86 | 3.41 | 3.26 | 0.790 |
2029 | 74.24 | 87.58 | 3.48 | 3.33 | 0.790 |
2030 | 75.72 | 89.32 | 3.55 | 3.40 | 0.790 |
2031 | 77.24 | 91.11 | 3.62 | 3.47 | 0.790 |
Escalate | 2.0% per year | 2.0% per year | 2.0% per year | 2.0% per year | |
thereafter (1) |
Note:
- Escalated at two per cent per year starting in 2032 in the January 1, 2022 GLJ price forecast with the exception of foreign exchange, which remains flat.
Net Asset Value ("NAV")
Leucrotta's NAV as at December 31, 2021 and based on the GLJ (2022-01) future price forecast is as follows: ($000s, except per share amounts)
Pre-tax net present value ("NPV") of proved & probable reserves discounted at 10% | 393,860 | ||
Undeveloped land (1) | 104,000 | ||
Working capital | 30,315 | ||
Net asset value | 528,175 | ||
Shares outstanding (basic) | 247,822 | ||
Net asset value per share | $2.13 | ||
Note: | |||
(1) | Undeveloped land is included at cost of approximately $665 per acre. | ||
Reserve Life Index ("RLI") | |||
Leucrotta's RLI presented below is based on estimated Q4 2021 average production of 3,290 boe per day. | |||
Reserve Category | RLI | ||
Proved plus Probable Reserves | 41.8 | ||
Proved Reserves | 17.4 |
Reserves Reconciliation
The following summary reconciliation of Leucrotta's working interest reserves compares changes in the Company's reserves as at December 31, 2021 to the reserves as at December 31, 2020 based on the based on the GLJ (2022-01) future price forecast (1,2) :
Total Proved | Tight Oil | Shale Natural | NGLs | Total Oil | |
Gas | Equivalent | ||||
(Mbbl) | (Mmcf) | (Mbbl) | (Mboe) (3) | ||
Opening balance | 1,268 | 71,352 | 1,632 | 14,791 | |
Extensions and improved recovery | 984 | 16,966 | 271 | 4,083 | |
Technical revisions | 1,476 | 28,584 | 662 | 6,902 | |
Dispositions | - | (18,847) | (755) | (3,896) | |
Economic factors | 8 | 682 | 10 | 131 | |
Production | (173) | (4,162) | (45) | (912) | |
Closing balance | 3,563 | 94,574 | 1,774 | 21,100 | |
Proved plus Probable | Tight Oil | Shale Natural | NGLs | Total Oil | |
Gas | Equivalent | ||||
(Mbbl) | (Mmcf) | (Mbbl) | (Mboe) (3) | ||
Opening balance | 4,418 | 206,360 | 4,752 | 43,563 | |
Extensions and improved recovery | 366 | 6,046 | 90 | 1,464 | |
Technical revisions | 3,362 | 71,062 | 1,459 | 16,664 | |
Dispositions | - | (51,572) | (2,113) | (10,708) | |
Economic factors | 63 | 2,794 | 49 | 578 | |
Production | (173) | (4,162) | (45) | (912) | |
Closing balance | 8,037 | 230,527 | 4,192 | 50,650 |
Notes:
- Numbers may not add due to rounding.
- "Working Interest" or "Gross" reserves means Leucrotta's working interest (operating and non-operating) share before deduction of royalties and without including any royalty interest of Leucrotta.
- Oil equivalent amounts have been calculated using a conversion rate of six thousand cubic feet of natural gas to one barrel of oil.
Finding and Development Costs ("F&D") and Finding, Development and Acquisition Costs ("FD&A")
Leucrotta has presented FD&A and F&D costs below:
2021 | 2020 | 3 Year Cumulative | ||||
Proved & | Proved & | Proved & | ||||
($000's, except w here noted) | Proved | Probable | Proved | Probable | Proved | Probable |
F&D costs (excluding net acquisitions/dispositions) | ||||||
Exploration and development expenditures | 38,251 | 38,251 | 12,601 | 12,601 | 63,409 | 63,409 |
Change in FDC(1) | 48,599 | 20,112 | (44,713) | (97,021) | (10,629) | (82,113) |
F&D costs excluding net acquisitions/dispositions (Including FDC) | 86,850 | 58,363 | (32,112) | (84,420) | 52,780 | (18,704) |
FD&A costs (including net acquisitions/dispositions) | ||||||
Exploration and development expenditures | 38,251 | 38,251 | 12,601 | 12,601 | 63,409 | 63,409 |
Net acquisitions (dispositions) | (28,584) | (28,584) | (7,091) | (7,091) | (38,002) | (38,002) |
FD&A costs including net acquisitions/dispositions | 9,667 | 9,667 | 5,510 | 5,510 | 25,407 | 25,407 |
Change in FDC | 48,599 | 20,112 | (44,713) | (97,021) | (10,629) | (82,113) |
FD&A costs including net acquisitions/dispositions (Including FDC) | 58,266 | 29,779 | (39,203) | (91,511) | 14,778 | (56,706) |
Reserve Additions (Mboe) (2) | ||||||
Exploration and development | 11,117 | 18,707 | (5,236) | (16,337) | 7,350 | 5,388 |
Net acquisitions/dispositions | (3,896) | (10,708) | - | - | (3,896) | (10,708) |
Total Reserve Additions | 7,221 | 7,999 | (5,236) | (16,337) | 3,454 | (5,320) |
F&D costs excluding net acquisitions/dispositions ($/boe) | ||||||
Excluding FDC | 3.44 | 2.04 | (2.41) | (0.77) | 8.63 | 11.77 |
Including FDC | 7.81 | 3.12 | 6.13 | 5.17 | 7.18 | (3.47) |
FD&A costs ($/boe) | ||||||
Excluding FDC | 1.34 | 1.21 | (1.05) | (0.34) | 7.36 | (4.78) |
Including FDC | 8.07 | 3.72 | 7.49 | 5.60 | 4.28 | 10.66 |
Notes:
- Future development capital ("FDC") expenditures required to recover reserves estimated by GLJ. The aggregate of the exploration and development costs incurred in the most recent financial period and the change during that period in estimated future development costs generally may not reflect total finding and development costs related to reserve additions for that period.
- Sum of drilling extensions, technical revisions and economic factors in the reserves reconciliation included above.
Capital Expenditures
Capital allocation by category is as follows:
($000s) | 2021 | 2020 |
Property acquisition | 608 | - |
Undeveloped land | 808 | 1,115 |
Property and equipment dispositions | (30,000) | (8,206) |
Sub-total acquisitions/dispositions | (28,584) | (7,091) |
Drilling and completion | 33,085 | 5,828 |
Facilities and related infrastructure | 4,577 | 6,630 |
Geological, geophysical and other | 589 | 143 |
Sub-total capital expenditures | 38,251 | 12,601 |
Total all-in capital | 9,667 | 5,510 |
For Leucrotta's full NI 51-101 disclosure related to its 2021 year-end reserves please refer to the Company's AIF to be filed on SEDAR at www.sedar.comon or before April 30, 2022.
Forward-Looking Information
This news release contains forward-looking statements and forward-looking information within the meaning of applicable securities laws. The use of any of the words "expect", "anticipate", "continue", "estimate", "may", "will", "should", "believe", "intends", "forecast", "plans", "guidance" and similar expressions are intended to identify forward-looking statements or information.
More particularly and without limitation, this document contains forward-looking statements and information relating to the Company's oil, NGLs and natural gas production and reserves and reserves values, capital programs, and oil, NGLs, and natural gas commodity prices. The forward-looking statements and information are based on certain key expectations and assumptions made by the Company, including expectations and assumptions relating to prevailing commodity prices and exchange rates, applicable royalty rates and tax laws, future well production rates, the performance of existing wells, the success of drilling new wells, the availability of capital to undertake planned activities and the availability and cost of labor and services.
Although the Company believes that the expectations reflected in such forward-looking statements and information are reasonable, it can give no assurance that such expectations will prove to be correct. Since forward-looking statements and information address future events and conditions, by their very nature they involve inherent risks and uncertainties. Actual results may differ materially from those currently anticipated due to a number of factors and risks. These include, but are not limited to, the risks associated with the oil and gas industry in general such as operational risks in development, exploration and production, delays or changes in plans with respect to exploration or development projects or capital expenditures, the uncertainty of estimates and projections relating to production rates, costs and expenses, commodity price and exchange rate fluctuations, marketing and transportation, environmental risks, competition, the ability to access sufficient capital from internal and external sources and changes in tax, royalty and environmental legislation. The forward-looking statements and information contained in this document are made as of the date hereof for the purpose of providing the readers with the Company's expectations for the coming year. The forward-looking statements and information may not be appropriate for other purposes. The Company undertakes no obligation to update publicly or revise any forward-looking statements or information, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, unless so required by applicable securities laws.
Unaudited Financial Information
Certain financial and operating results included in this news release such as FD&A costs, F&D costs, capital expenditures, working capital and production information are based on unaudited estimated results. These estimated results are subject to change upon completion of the audited financial statements for the year ended December 31, 2021, and changes could be material. The Company anticipates filing its audited financial statements and related management's discussion and analysis for the year ended December 31, 2021 on SEDAR at www.sedar.comon or before April 30, 2022.
Reserves Data
There are numerous uncertainties inherent in estimating quantities of light and medium oil, tight oil, shale gas, conventional natural gas and NGLs reserves and the future cash flows attributed to such reserves. The reserve and associated cash flow information set forth above are estimates only. In general, estimates of economically recoverable light and medium oil, tight oil, shale gas, conventional natural gas and NGLs reserves and the future net cash flows therefrom are based upon a number of variable factors and assumptions, such as historical production from the properties, production rates, ultimate reserve recovery, timing and amount of capital expenditures, marketability of oil and natural gas, royalty rates, the assumed effects of regulation by governmental agencies and future operating costs, all of which may vary materially.
Individual properties may not reflect the same confidence level as estimates of reserves for all properties due to the effects of aggregation.
This news release contains estimates of the net present value of the Company's future net revenue from its reserves. Such amounts do not represent the fair market value of the Company's reserves.
The reserves data contained in this news release has been prepared in accordance with National Instrument 51-101 ("NI 51-101"). The reserve data provided in this news release presents only a portion of the disclosure required under NI 51-101. All of the required information will be contained in the Company's Annual Information Form for the year ended December 31, 2021, to be filed on SEDAR at www.sedar.comon or before April 30, 2022.
Reserves are estimated remaining quantities of oil and natural gas and related substance anticipated to be recoverable from known accumulations, as of a given date, based on the analysis of drilling, geological, geophysical and engineering data; the use of established technology, and specified economic conditions, which are generally accepted as being reasonable. Reserves are classified according to the degree of certainty associated with the estimates as follows:
Proved Reservesare those reserves that can be estimated with a high degree of certainty to be recoverable. It is likely that the actual remaining quantities recovered will exceed the estimated proved reserves.
Probable Reservesare those additional reserves that are less certain to be recovered than proved reserves. It is equally likely that the actual remaining quantities recovered will be greater or less than the sum of the estimated proved plus probable reserves.
Well Recoveries
Well recoveries are equivalent to EUR - Estimated Ultimate Recovery which is defined as "those quantities of petroleum which are estimated, on a given date, to be potentially recoverable from an accumulation, plus those quantities already produced therefrom."
Potential Drilling Locations
This news release discloses drilling locations in three categories: (i) proved undeveloped locations; (ii) probable undeveloped locations; and (iii) an aggregate total of (i) and (ii).
The 26 Lower Montney locations referenced in page 1 of this news release have been assigned reserves in the following categories at December 31, 2021, as independently evaluated by GLJ, in accordance with NI 51-101:
- 10 Proved Undeveloped
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Leucrotta Exploration Inc. published this content on 16 March 2022 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 16 March 2022 13:47:05 UTC.