ANNUAL FINANCIALS CEO CONFERENCE
Frédéric Oudéa, CEO
DISCLAIMER
This presentation contains forward-looking statements relating to the targets and strategies of the Societe Generale Group.
These forward-looking statements are based on a series of assumptions, both general and specific, in particular the application of accounting principles and methods in accordance with IFRS (International Financial Reporting Standards) as adopted in the European Union, as well as the application of existing prudential regulations.
These forward-looking statements have also been developed from scenarios based on a number of economic assumptions in the context of a given competitive and regulatory environment. The Group may be unable to:
- anticipate all the risks, uncertainties or other factors likely to affect its business and to appraise their potential consequences;
-
evaluate the extent to which the occurrence of a risk or a combination of risks could cause actual results to differ materially from those provided in this document and the related presentation.
Therefore, although Societe Generale believes that these statements are based on reasonable assumptions, these forward-looking statements are subject to numerous risks and uncertainties, including matters not yet known to it or its management or not currently considered material, and there can be no assurance that anticipated events will occur or that the objectives set out will actually be achieved. Important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from the results anticipated in the forward-looking statements include, among others, overall trends in general economic activity and in Societe Generale's markets in particular, regulatory and prudential changes, and the success of Societe Generale's strategic, operating and financial initiatives.
More detailed information on the potential risks that could affect Societe Generale's financial results can be found in the Universal Registration Document filed with the French Autorité des Marchés Financiers.
Investors are advised to take into account factors of uncertainty and risk likely to impact the operations of the Group when considering the information contained in such forward- looking statements. Other than as required by applicable law, Societe Generale does not undertake any obligation to update or revise any forward-looking information or statements. Unless otherwise specified, the sources for the business rankings and market positions are internal.
The financial information presented for the quarter and first half ending 30 June 2020 was reviewed by the Board of Directors on 31 July 2020 and has been prepared in accordance with IFRS as adopted in the European Union and applicable at this date. The condensed interim financial statements at 30 June 2020 have been subject to a limited review by Statutory Auditors.
ANNUAL FINANCIALS CEO CONFERENCE 24 SEPTEMBER 2020 2
CONFIRMING RECOVERY
ECONOMIC RECOVERY SLIGHTLY BETTER THAN EXPECTED IN SOME GEOGRAPHIES
MOST COUNTRIES NO LONGER
IN LOCKDOWN
UNCERTAINTIES
REMAIN FOR A
POTENTIAL
SECOND WAVE
PEAK IMPACT IN H1 2020
Retail and financial services REVENUES penalised by lockdown period
Markets REVENUES hit by the effects of market dislocation and dividend cancellations
As a mitigant, strong decrease in
COSTS
Increase in COST OF RISK, reflecting forward looking approach and rating migrations
TREND SO FAR FOR Q3 CONFIRMING THE GRADUAL RECOVERY OBSERVED SINCE MID-MAY
ANNUAL FINANCIALS CEO CONFERENCE 24 SEPTEMBER 2020 3
CONFIRMING COST DECREASE
_Underlying costs (EURbn)
17.6 | 17.4 | |
~16.5 | ||
2018 | 2019 | 2020 |
DEMONSTRATED CAPACITY TO DECREASE COSTS, DESPITE COVID COSTS AND INCREASE IN REGULATORY COSTS
2019: -1.1% vs. 2018
H1 20: -5.8% vs. H1 19
Q2 20: -9.6% vs. Q2 19
#1 PRIORITY : DECREASE GROUP COST IN 2020 AND BEYOND
ANNUAL FINANCIALS CEO CONFERENCE 24 SEPTEMBER 2020 4
CONFIRMING 2020 COST OF RISK
AT THE LOW END OF THE 70-100bp RANGE
STRONG CORPORATE EXPOSURE
58% of corporate exposure on credit risk on INVESTMENT GRADE counterparties
DIVERSIFIED EXPOSURE: no corporate sector representing more than 4% of total Group EAD exc. Finance & insurance
Direct Group LBO exposure < EUR 5bn
SOUND RETAIL PORTFOLIO
Selected geographies, residential mortgages > 50%, mostly in France (with ~80% of outstandings secured by Crédit Logement)
SOLID CONSUMER FINANCE EXPOSURE(2)
EUR 46bn consumer finance loan outstandings as of June-20
of which EUR 23bn Specialised consumer finance loan outstandings : resilient
portfolio and sound risk profile (CoR: 116bp in H1 20)
H1 20 cost of risk (81bp) including 33bp of S1/S2 provisioning
3.2% NPL ratio, 54% Coverage ratio (30.06.20)
- EBA : « Following the above analysis, and considering long-term trends in asset quality, the following NACE sectors are assumed to be most affected: manufacturing; electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply; construction; wholesale and retail trade; transport and storage; accommodation and food service activities; administrative and support service activities; arts, entertainment and recreation »
- Based on management data
- Based on reported information - group of listed banks used in the Universal Registration Document, when disclosed. S1/S2 provisioning on total H1 cost of risk. When not disclosed, if available, Covid impairment / financial assets impairment
LIMITED EXPOSURE TO MOST AFFECTED SECTORS(1)
66% | 64% | 64% | ||||||||||
52% | 51% | 49% | 48% | 44% | ||||||||
Italian | Spanish | French | European | French | French | German | ||||||
banks | banks | banks | banks | banks | ||||||||
peer 1 | peer 2 | |||||||||||
average | average | average | average | average | ||||||||
Exposure to most affected sectors - Spring 2020 EU-wide transparency exercise (EBA)
December 2019 - Loans and advances to non-financial corporations other than held for trading - gross carrying
amount
S1/S2(3) PROVISIONING AS % OF TOTAL H1 20 COST OF RISK
80%
60%
41%
40%
20%
0%
ANNUAL FINANCIALS CEO CONFERENCE 24 SEPTEMBER 2020 5
CONFIRMING 2020 CET1 RATIO
AT THE HIGH END OF THE 11.5%-12.0% RANGE
COMFORTABLE BUFFER OVER MDA
CET 1 | 12.6% | High end of the | Comfortable buffer over MDA | |
Comparison to European peers Q2 20(1) | ||||
Ratio | pro forma* | 11.5%-12.0% range | 800 | |
44.5 | ||||
43.8 | 600 | |||
CET 1 capital (EURbn)
Dec-19 | Jun-20 | Dec-20 |
400 | c. 350bp |
200
0
STRONG LIQUIDITY PROFILE
2020 funding program almost done | LCR(2) |
Comparison to European peers Q2 20 |
High liquid assets buffer of EUR 227bn as of 30.06.20 | 200% |
167% |
Based on reported information - group of listed banks used in the Universal Registration Document
- Maximum Distributable Amount for European banks, or minimum regulatory requirement for the other banks on a phased in ratio. MDA considering a P2R add-on for European banks under article 104a of CRD5. Figures as of 30.06.20 depending of the available published information
- End of period figures or figures based on period average or yearly average, depending of the available published information.
*Post refocusing (announced transactions) and IFRS 9 phasing
150%
100%
50%
0%
ANNUAL FINANCIALS CEO CONFERENCE 24 SEPTEMBER 2020 6
MOVING FORWARD WITH OUR BUSINESS MODELS
INTERNATIONAL RETAIL BANKING
INSURANCE AND FINANCIAL SERVICES
GLOBAL BANKING AND INVESTOR SOLUTIONS
FRENCH RETAIL BANKING
REFOCUS of the set up COMPLETED
CONFIRMED GROWTH engine of the Group
CONTINUED INVESTMENT on HIGHLY PROFITABLE
and RESILIENT franchises
SUPPORTING CLIENTS with value added offer
WELL ON TRACK ON THE REDESIGN of equity and
credit structured products
CONTINUED DEVELOPMENT of Boursorama
SUCCESSFUL 1st PHASE of TRANSFORMATION
Working on the SECOND PHASE of networks'
transformation
MAINTAINING ESG LEADERSHIP
Working with clients to co-construct new business solutions
Aligning credit portfolios with the Paris Agreement
Best-in-class policy to accelerate exit from coal sector
ANNUAL FINANCIALS CEO CONFERENCE 24 SEPTEMBER 2020 7
STRENGTHENING OUR POSITION IN FRENCH RETAIL BANKING
ACCELERATE THE NETWORKS, WITH THE STUDY OF THE COMBINATION OF CREDIT DU NORD
AND SOCIETE
GENERALE
UNIVERSAL BANK
~7.3m clients
Focus on wealthy clients
Strong on nationwide SMEs and large corporates
ADAPTED NETWORK, STRONG DIGITAL POSITION
REGIONAL BANKS
~2.4m clients
Highly regarded professional franchise High penetration on local SMEs and Entrepreneurs
PROXIMITY AND LOCAL FOOTPRINT
A NEW RETAIL BANK COMBINING:
~10 million clients ~EUR 160bn of AuM for wealthy and mass affluent clients
2019 FINANCIALS(1): Revenues ex. PEL/CEL EUR 7.7bn Operating expenses EUR 5.4bn
KEEP DEVELOPING
BOURSORAMA
(1) Sum of both networks, underlying data
FULLY DIGITAL
~2.4m clients
#1 online bank in France Digital & autonomous clients
Targeting >3m clients by 2021
A FULL-SERVICE BANKING MODEL
A simple but comprehensive offer
Active & equipped clients
EFFICIENT OPERATING MODEL
ANNUAL FINANCIALS CEO CONFERENCE 24 SEPTEMBER 2020 8
STUDYING THE CREATION OF A NEW RETAIL BANK, COMBINING CREDIT DU NORD AND SOCIETE GENERALE
DEVELOPMENT: FURTHER IMPROVE CLIENT SATISFACTION, FULLY BENEFIT FROM SCALE EFFECT
INCREASED CAPACITY TO INVEST IN CLIENT EXPERIENCE
BETTER LEVERAGE REGIONAL FOOTPRINT WITH PROXIMITY AND LOCAL GOVERNANCE
THE BEST OF BOTH EXPERTISE: TAILOR MADE AND INNOVATIVE OFFER FOR CLIENTS
Individual and wealthy clients: a new ambition in savings, benefiting from open architecture
Corporates & Professionals: leveraging on the complementary expertise of the two banks
EFFICIENCY: A MORE PROFITABLE MODEL,
WITH MORE SYNERGIES
OMNICHANNEL APPROACH
FURTHER ACCELERATION OF THE DIGITAL STRATEGY thanks to mutualised investments
UNIFIED IT SYSTEM, BASED ON THE MIGRATION OF THE CURRENT SYSTEM
INCREASED SYNERGIES, OPTIMISATION OF NETWORKS
CONCLUSIONS OF THE STUDY TO BE COMMUNICATED BY YEAR-END
ANNUAL FINANCIALS CEO CONFERENCE 24 SEPTEMBER 2020 9
NEW MANAGEMENT TEAM
ACCELERATE THE TRANSFORMATION OF THE BUSINESSES AND PREPARE THE NEW STRATEGIC PLAN
Frédéric
OUDÉA
CEO
Philippe | Séverin | Diony | ||||||||||||||||||||||
CABANNES | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
AYMERICH | LEBOT | |||||||||||||||||||||||
DEPUTY CEO | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
DEPUTY CEO | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
UNTIL31/12/2020 | DEPUTY CEO | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Sébastien | Slawomir | William | ||||||||||||||||||||||
KRUPA | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
PROTO | DEPUTY | KADOUCH-CHASSAING | ||||||||||||||||||||||
DEPUTY | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
GENERALMANAGER | DEPUTY | |||||||||||||||||||||||
GENERALMANAGER* | FROM01/01/2021 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
GENERALMANAGER | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
FRENCH & INTERNATIONAL | GLOBALBANKING | RISK & COMPLIANCE & | FINANCE | |||||||||||||||||||||
RETAILBANKING | & INVESTOR SOLUTIONS | INTERNALCONTROL | ||||||||||||||||||||||
CONSUMERCREDIT | INSURANCE &FINANCIAL | |||||||||||||||||||||||
SERVICES | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
*Societe Generale and Crédit du Nord networks and the related Innovation, Technology and IT Service Unit
MOVING |
FORWARD |
CLIENT |
CENTRICITY |
ESG |
EFFICIENCY |
ANNUAL FINANCIALS CEO CONFERENCE 24 SEPTEMBER 2020 10
SUPPLEMENT
APPLYING IFRS 9
METHODOLOGY APPLIED
As of Q2 20, update of IFRS 9 parameters to fully include forward looking information based on:
- Specific sector / areas-at-risk adjustments
- 4 macroeconomic scenarios adjusted to take into account massive State support in the major countries in which we operate
MACROECONOMIC SCENARIOS as of 30.06.20 | SCENARIO USED IN IFRS9 MODEL FOR EURO ZONE |
SG QUICK EXIT 5%*
SG BASE 65%*
SG PROLONGED 25%*
SG TAIL RISK 5%*
In order to take the time-lag resulting from government measures into account, the Group has retained for 2020 and 2021 the (logarithmic) average of the variations in GDP compared to a base 100 in 2019
2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 |
1.2% | -5.8% | -5.8% | +0.5% |
*scenario weighting in IFRS 9 expected credit loss calculation
ANNUAL FINANCIALS CEO CONFERENCE 24 SEPTEMBER 2020 12
DIVERSIFIED CORPORATE PORTFOLIO
CORPORATE EAD IN EACH SECTOR IN % OF
TOTAL GROUP EAD(1) AT 30.06.2020
Total Group EAD : EUR 990BN
COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE: disciplined origination with average LTV between 50% and 60%, limited exposure on retail (20%)
SHIPPING: diversified, <1% of total Group EAD, mostly secured
AIRCRAFT: <0.5% of total Group EAD, mostly secured
CRUISE: ~0.2% of total Group EAD, mostly covered by Export Credit Agencies
OIL & GAS : diversified exposure, ~2/3 Investment Grade, ~25% covered by ECA or Insurance companies, limited exposure on US Reserve Based Finance with ~0.1% of total Group EAD
NON-FOODRETAIL: ~0.4% of total Group EAD, diversified and granular exposure, less than 20% at risk (e.g. textile & clothes)
AUTOMOTIVE INDUSTRY: ~ 50% Investment Grade, focused on largest car manufacturers
HOTEL & CATERING: ~0.6% of total Group EAD (of which ~50% on Hotels, with 70% in France benefiting from specific state support)
DIRECT GROUP LBO EXPOSURE < EUR 5bn
SME REPRESENTING ~5% OF TOTAL GROUP EAD (mostly in France)
- EAD for the corporate portfolio as defined by the Basel regulations (large corporate including insurance companies, funds and hedge funds, SME, specialised financing, and factoring) based on the obligor's characteristics before taking account of the substitution effect. Total credit risk (debtor, issuer and replacement risk). Corporate EAD : EUR 345bn
- Including conglomerates
ANNUAL FINANCIALS CEO CONFERENCE 24 SEPTEMBER 2020 13
MAINTAINING LEADERSHIP IN SUSTAINABLE FINANCE
COLLABORATING TO DELIVER INCLUSIVE SOLUTIONS
Working with clients to co-construct new business solutions
- First commercial bank to sign CFO Principles for SDG-aligned corporate finance
Aligning credit portfolios with the Paris
Agreement
- First application report of PACTA for Banks: joint publication of a methodology with the Katowice Banks*
MANAGING OUR OWN IMPACT
Best-in-class policy to accelerate exit from coal sector
✓ Long-term commitment to reduce to zero exposure to thermal coal by 2030 for companies in EU or OECD countries, and 2040 elsewhere
- Achieved through immediate and medium-term conditions
Publication of an updated Sustainable and
Positive Impact Bond Framework
✓ EUR 1bn green positive impact SNP bond issued by Societe Generale SA, September 2020
DELIVERING ON OUR CORPORATE PURPOSE
"Building together, with our clients,
a better and sustainable future through responsible and innovative solutions"
* A5-bankpledgeof SocieteGenerale,BBVA,BNPParibas,INGandStandardChartered
ANNUAL FINANCIALS CEO CONFERENCE 24 SEPTEMBER 2020 14
INVESTOR RELATIONS TEAM
investor.relations@socgen.com
www.societegenerale.com/en/investors
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Société Générale SA published this content on 24 September 2020 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 24 September 2020 07:44:06 UTC