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MarketScreener Homepage  >  Equities  >  Euronext Paris  >  Air France-KLM    AF   FR0000031122

AIR FRANCE-KLM

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Air France KLM : Ryanair Ready to Pounce on Opportunities From Pending Airline Mergers

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05/22/2019 | 06:35am EDT

Ryanair plans to use its new group structure to take advantage of further consolidation in the European airline industry by snapping up airlines, jets, or airport slots that might become available because of competition rules.

The likes of Wow Air, Primera Air, and BMI Regional have all disappeared in the last year, with struggling Thomas Cook currently looking to offload its airline division.

All this change gives a stronger player like Ryanair the chance to cement its position of power even though its suffering from the tough operating environment.

The carrier earlier this year announced a group reorganization, with CEO Michael OLeary becoming head of larger Ryanair Group, which would control subsidiaries including the main airline Ryanair DAC, Laudamotion, and Buzz (formerly Ryanair Sun). Part of the advantage of this structure is the mix of aircraft manufacturers among the different units.

We see ourselves now being well-positioned, particularly if there is further competition divestments, which I think is inevitable as IAG, Lufthansa, and possibly Air France-KLM look to participate in more consolidation, OLeary said on an earnings call with analysts on Monday.

You look at Lufthansa, for example, at the moment, [they] are interested in Condor/Thomas Cook. Its inevitable that there would have to be significant consolidations coming out of that kind of a merger [if it] were to take place. And we now can do and participate in those mergers: a, because were unionized, which I think would previously have been a blockage; and b, because we are both an Airbus operator and a Boeing operator.

Ryanairs desire to play a part in further M&A activity comes as it announced a hit to profitability.

A mix of falling fares and higher fuel costs took their toll, leading to a pretax profit of $1.1 billion (948 million) for the year to the end of March, down 41 percent on 2018. Excluding the impact of Lauda, profitability fell by a more modest 30 percent to $1.3 billion (1.1 billion).

The good news for Ryanair was the continued surge in ancillary sales, up 19 percent to $2.7 billion (2.4 billion), helping total revenue growth of 6 percent to $8.4 billion (7.6 billion).

In our view, Ryanair remains the long-term winner in the European airline industry, based on its leading market position, extensive network, low unit costs, and strong balance sheet, said Gerald Khoo, an analyst at broker Liberum in a research note.

We see tougher market conditions in the short term as positive for the stronger airlines in the long term, since this clears out weaker competitors and aids consolidation in the market. However, Ryanair is not immune to the impact of these short-term headwinds.

MAX COSTS

Ryanair is one of the many airlines dealing with the fallout from the worldwide 737 Max aircraft grounding, following two fatal crashes.

The company has delayed delivery of its first five aircraft until winter 2019, subject to European safety guidance. However it still expects to have a larger tranche of the Max order 42 aircraft operating for summer 2020.

We are in continuing almost daily dialogue with Boeing and with the European regulator, EASA. Were reasonably confident that the aircraft will be approved to return to service some time later in July or August of this year, OLeary said.

However, Ryanair is expecting some compensation for the delay.

We have frozen all predelivery payments to Boeing since the aircraft grounding. We will resume the predelivery payments once we have certainty from Boeing on when these deliveries will take place, OLeary said.

We do expect that Boeing will cover the lost profits from the five aircraft that we havent operated this summer, but its not a material number and will form part of our return to service dialogue at Boeing.

(c) 2019 All Rights Reversed for Saudi Press Agency Provided by SyndiGate Media Inc. (Syndigate.info)., source Middle East & North African Newspapers

Stocks mentioned in the article
ChangeLast1st jan.
AIR FRANCE-KLM 0.63% 10.4 Real-time Quote.9.02%
BOEING COMPANY (THE) 1.79% 337 Delayed Quote.2.65%
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Financials (EUR)
Sales 2019 27 399 M
EBIT 2019 1 167 M
Net income 2019 561 M
Debt 2019 6 751 M
Yield 2019 -
P/E ratio 2019 8,03x
P/E ratio 2020 6,65x
EV / Sales2019 0,41x
EV / Sales2020 0,38x
Capitalization 4 418 M
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Mean consensus OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts 23
Average target price 10,96  €
Last Close Price 10,34  €
Spread / Highest target 40,3%
Spread / Average Target 6,03%
Spread / Lowest Target -22,6%
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Managers
NameTitle
Anne Rigail Chief Executive Officer
Anne-Marie Couderc Non-Executive Chairman
Frédéric Gagey Chief Financial Officer
Jean-Christophe Lalanne Executive Vice President-Information Technology
Maryse Aulagnon Independent Director
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