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Health-Care Rally Helps Lift Dow Over 27000

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07/11/2019 | 03:11pm EDT

By Nathan Allen and Michael Wursthorn

A rally in health-care stocks pushed the Dow Jones Industrial Average over 27000 for the first time after the Trump administration abandoned a plan to curb drug rebates.

The decision canceled a proposal that would have eliminated rebates from government drug plans, easing concerns of a massive disruption to the U.S. pharmaceutical industry. Shares of UnitedHealth jumped 5%, leading the Dow industrials 166 points higher to 27027 in afternoon trading.

Broader stock indexes gave back some of their earlier gains in the afternoon following a jump in bond yields, which rise as bond prices fall. The Dow fell off its highs, the S&P 500 toed the flat line and the Nasdaq Composite declined 0.2%. At the same time, the yield on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note climbed to 2.113% from 2.061% a day earlier.

Stocks have been supported this week as Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell has doubled down on signaling the central bank could cut interest rates later this month. Speaking during a second day of congressional testimony, Mr. Powell reiterated the Fed's intention to "act as appropriate to sustain the expansion."

Although investors continue to disagree on how much the Fed will cut rates -- opinions vary on whether the central bank will slash by a quarter of a percentage point or half of one -- several said Mr. Powell's comments all but guarantee at least one rate cut as soon as this month. And that supports continuing to hold sizable positions in U.S. stocks, some money managers said.

"With the Fed looking almost certain to cut rates in the coming weeks, it is important to position portfolios properly regardless of the outcome," Mark Haefele, global chief investment officer at UBS Global Wealth Management, said in a note to clients on Thursday, recommending holding more stocks and cash over short-maturity U.S. government bonds.

Optimism around a rate cut helped push the Dow industrials on the last leg of its journey to 27000. While the milestone doesn't bare any significance on the market, the new high underscored stocks' wild ride since last year's selloff.

If the Dow maintains its gains, 372 trading days will have passed since the blue-chip index closed above its last watermark, 26000, in January 2018. Stocks fell a month after that, entering correction territory. Stocks nearly recovered before the fourth quarter's punishing selloff unraveled the market's gains, nearly ending its bull run.

But 2019 has been different. Fed officials eased up on monetary tightening, announcing earlier this year it would hold rates steady to keep the economy growing. Resurgent trade tensions in May and deteriorating conditions in Europe and Asia now appear to be pushing the Fed to consider its first rate cut in more than 10 years.

The Dow industrials have risen 16% so far this year, while the S&P 500 has jumped nearly 20%, with much of those gains following the Fed's encouragements of a rate cut.

On Thursday, shares of UnitedHealth gained 5% in recent trading. Boeing, a trade-sensitive stock, also contributed to the Dow's climb, rising nearly 2%.

In the S&P 500, Cigna jumped 9.5%, cutting its year-to-date decline to 7.4%, while CVS Health added 4.1%. Despite the gains, the S&P 500's health-care sector struggled as shares of biotech firms, pharmaceutical companies and life sciences shops broadly declined.

Technology and industrial stocks also notched solid gains following Mr. Powell's comments, with those sectors gaining 0.2% and 0.5%, respectively, in recent trading. .

U.S. government-bond yields, meanwhile, extended early gains after data showed that consumer prices rose in June, a sign inflationary pressures could be stabilizing after a period of weakness. Core inflation, which strips out volatile food and energy prices, rose faster than expected.

That nudged financial stocks higher, gaining 0.6%, as higher interest rates tend to make bank lending more profitable.

Elsewhere, minutes from the European Central Bank's June policy meeting showed that officials are likely to consider injecting fresh stimulus into the eurozone in light of weak inflation data. The minutes suggest policy makers will weigh cutting the bank's key interest rate or restarting its EUR2.6 trillion ($2.92 trillion) bond-buying program.

Stocks in Europe edged lower, reversing an earlier gain, as the pan-continental Stoxx Europe 600 declined 0.1%, logging its fifth straight loss.

Write to Michael Wursthorn at Michael.Wursthorn@wsj.com

Stocks mentioned in the article
ChangeLast1st jan.
CVS HEALTH CORPORATION 1.84% 61.39 Delayed Quote.-6.30%
DJ INDUSTRIAL 0.96% 26135.79 Delayed Quote.12.04%
NASDAQ 100 1.52% 7719.323313 Delayed Quote.20.13%
NASDAQ COMP. 1.35% 8002.812313 Delayed Quote.19.00%
S&P 500 1.21% 2923.65 Delayed Quote.15.23%
UNITEDHEALTH GROUP -0.40% 244.71 Delayed Quote.-1.77%
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Financials (USD)
Sales 2019 253 B
EBIT 2019 15 026 M
Net income 2019 6 593 M
Debt 2019 62 460 M
Yield 2019 3,24%
P/E ratio 2019 12,1x
P/E ratio 2020 10,7x
EV / Sales2019 0,56x
EV / Sales2020 0,53x
Capitalization 79 837 M
Duration : Period :
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Technical analysis trends CVS HEALTH CORPORATION
Short TermMid-TermLong Term
Income Statement Evolution
Mean consensus OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts 28
Average target price 70,20  $
Last Close Price 61,39  $
Spread / Highest target 49,9%
Spread / Average Target 14,4%
Spread / Lowest Target -5,52%
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Larry J. Merlo President, CEO & Non-Independent Director
David Wyatt Dorman Chairman
Jonathan C. Roberts Chief Operating Officer & Executive Vice President
Eva C. Boratto Chief Financial Officer & Executive Vice President
Troyen A. Brennan Chief Medical Officer & Executive Vice President