ENTERPRISE PRODUCTS PARTNERS L.P.
WELLS FARGO MIDSTREAM &
UTILITY SYMPOSIUM
December 11, 2019
Randy Fowler - President and CFO
Tony Chovanec - SVP, Fundamentals
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FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS
This presentation contains forward-looking statements based on the beliefs of the company, as well as assumptions made by, and information currently available to our management team. When used in this presentation, words such as "anticipate," "project," "expect," "plan," "seek," "goal," "estimate," "forecast," "intend," "could," "should," "will," "believe," "may," "scheduled," "potential," "outlook" and similar expressions and statements regarding our plans and objectives for future operations, are intended to identify forward-looking statements.
Although management believes that the expectations reflected in such forward-looking statements are reasonable, it can give no assurance that such expectations will prove to be correct. You should not put undue reliance on any forward-looking statements, which speak only as of their dates. Forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from those expected, including insufficient cash from operations, adverse market conditions, governmental regulations, the possibility that tax or other costs or difficulties related thereto will be greater than expected, the impact of competition and other risk factors discussed in our latest filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission.
All forward-looking statements attributable to Enterprise or any person acting on our behalf are expressly qualified in their entirety by the cautionary statements contained herein, in such filings and in our future periodic reports filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Except as required by law, we do not intend to update or revise our forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.
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WHY ENTERPRISE?
21 Years Publicly Traded Partnership
>20 consecutive | ||||
Diversification: | Market Capitalization: | Highest credit rating in | ||
Geographic, Products | ≈$57B | midstream energy space: | years of | |
and Markets | ||||
Enterprise Value: | BBB+ / Baa1 | distribution | ||
≈$85B | TTM September 2019 | increases | ||
Daily Trading Value: | Leverage(1): | |||
3.2x reported | ||||
(last 3 months) | ||||
≈$114MM | ||||
as of November 11, 2019 | ||||
Disciplined Allocator of | Average Unlevered Return | 2019 | Interests Aligned with | |
Capital: | on Invested Capital(1): | $1.765/unit | Investors: | |
CFFO Allocation(1): | 58% | 12% | FY distributions | 32% of common units |
Distributions | over the last 10 years | $3.8B | owned by | |
Capital investment | 42% | |||
Management | ||||
Funding Growth Capital: | Net Growth CAPEX | |||
CFFO (less distributions) | 67% | $2B buyback in place | ||
Debt | 33% | |||
as of trailing 12 months | ||||
($81MM repurchased 9Mos 2019) | ||||
September 30, 2019 | ||||
(1) For a definition, see appendix. | 3 | |||
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GLOBAL ENERGY SUPPLY & DEMAND
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HUMAN PROGRESS AND GLOBALIZATION IS DRIVING DEMAND GROWTH
Regional Oil & Liquids Demand
MMBPD | Growth Dominated by Emerging Markets | MMBPD | ||||||||
45 | 120 | |||||||||
History | Projections | Asia Pacific | ||||||||
40 | ||||||||||
Regional Oil & Liquids Demand | 100 | |||||||||
35 | ||||||||||
30 | 80 | World Oil & Liquids Demand | ||||||||
25 | ||||||||||
North America | 60 | |||||||||
20 | ||||||||||
15 | Europe | 40 | ||||||||
10 | Middle East | |||||||||
5 | Latin America | Africa | 20 | |||||||
Eurasia | ||||||||||
0 | 0 | |||||||||
2000 | 2017 | 2018 | 2025 | 2030 | 2035 | 2040 |
Source: IEA World Energy Outlook
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LEADING ENERGY ECONOMISTS ARE NOT PREDICTING A DEMAND "CLIFF"
MMBPD
World Oil and Liquids Demand
115
Projections
110
105
100 | I E A O U T L O O K |
95
90
85
2018 | 2020 | 2022 | 2024 | 2026 | 2028 | 2030 | 2032 | 2034 | 2036 | 2038 | 2040 |
IEA WEO 2019 | OPEC WOO 2019 | EIA IEO 2019 |
Sources: IEA, EIA and OPEC
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LIQUID HYDROCARBONS CONTINUE TO BE REQUIRED
Renewables Alone Cannot Satisfy Global Energy Demand
Global Primary Energy Consumption
Projected
Global End-Use Energy Consumption
Excludes Power
History Projections
While Renewables will supplement natural gas and liquid hydrocarbons in power, they have a limited application in the transportation & industrial sectors
Liquid hydrocarbons will continue to be a preferred fuel of choice due to their portability and favorability in transportation and industrial / petrochemical feedstock applications
- Industrial Sector will continue to be the largest consuming sector globally with gains in gross output, particularly in non-OECD countries fueling increases
Source: EIA International Energy Outlook 2019
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ACCESS TO AFFORDABLE ENERGY AIDS
HUMAN DEVELOPMENT
U N D P (1) H U M A N D E V E L O P M E N T I N D E X
R E L AT I O N S H I P B E T W E E N H D I a n d E N E R G Y U S E
India: | China: | |||||||
0.950 | Moved from Low to HighHDI | |||||||
Very High | Index0.850 | Moved from Low to MediumHDI | Mean education increased: 1.6x | |||||
Mean education increased: 2.1x | Life expectancy increased: 5.9 years | |||||||
Development | 1990 | CHINA | ||||||
Life expectancy increased: 8.7 years | Energy Per Capita: 192% increase | |||||||
High | 0.750 | |||||||
Energy Per Capita: 82% increase | 2017 | |||||||
(HDI) | INDIA | 0.75 | ||||||
2017 | ||||||||
Medium | 0.650 | |||||||
0.550 | 0.64 | |||||||
CHINA | ||||||||
Low | 0.450 | INDIA | 0.50 | |||||
Human | 1990 | |||||||
0.350 | 0.43 | |||||||
0.250 | ||||||||
- | 500 | 1,000 | 1,500 | 2,000 | 2,500 | 3,000 |
(1) UN Development Programme (UNDP) | Energy Use Per Capita | |||||
(kg of oil equivalent) | Sources: World Bank and United Nations Development Programme 2017 |
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IT'S A HEALTHIER WORLD THANKS TO EXPORTS OF CLEAN U.S. LPG (PROPANE AND BUTANE)!
LPGs...
Provide cleaner-burning fuel to
low-income households
Eliminate the risk of time-intensive
chore of collecting wood
Improve quality of life, particularly for women
Over 3 billion people worldwide use solid-fuels for heating and cooking
- World Health Organization estimates 4.3 million premature smoke inhalation deaths per year
- Many deaths are children <5 years old
U.S. LPGs enable poorer nations to: transition to cleaner fuels, improve quality of life, reduce deforestation and lower emissions
- China (population 1.4B): coal stoves outlawed in urban areas, replaced by LPGs, doubling demand to ≈2 MMBPD since 2012
- India (population 1.3B): 95% of households converted to LPG
- Indonesia (population 0.3B): >90% LPG household coverage achieved
- Sub-SaharanAfrica (population 1.1B): ≈80% of the population currently relies on solid biomass (e.g. wood, charcoal, and dung) for cooking, and could be converted to clean cooking fuel, such as LPG, by 2030
Sources: IEA, Clean Cooking Alliance and IHS Waterborne
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BURNING QUESTIONS
Rationale on Capital Allocation
Capital projects vs. distribution growth vs. buybacks
Discussion of recently sanctioned projects
Strategic outlook and discussion of the Permian
Latest Thoughts on MLPs vs. C-corps
Key considerations
Valuation metrics
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RATIONALE ON CAPITAL ALLOCATION
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LONG-TERM CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Balanced and Disciplined Approach
Allocating cash flow with a long-term focus
Anticipated Growth Capex: $3.8B for 2019, $3-4B for 2020, ≈$2-3B for 2021 and beyond
Cash
Distributions
21 years of consecutive distribution growth
Continue to increase distribution with solid cash flow coverage
(1) For a definition, see appendix.
Incremental
Opportunities
Opportunistic buybacks of common units
CAPEX
Equity Portion
Self-fund 50% of
growth CAPEX
Targeting ROIC(1) of ≈12%+
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CAPITAL ALLOCATION TRENDS ACROSS SECTORS
Relative to 2018 Operating Cash Flow
as % of 2018 Cash Flow from Operations | Total payout / | Rank | ||||||||||||
CFFO | ||||||||||||||
Capex | Dividends / Distributions | Equity Repurchase | ||||||||||||
Utilities | 126% | 28% | 154% | 28% | ||||||||||
74% | 62% | 1% 137% | 63% | 4th | ||||||||||
Midstream1 | 83% | 47% | 130% | 47% | ||||||||||
Real Estate | 42% | 64% | 7% 113% | 70% | 1st | |||||||||
E&P2 | 89% | 9% | 8% | 106% | 17% | |||||||||
Energy | 78% | 15% | 6% | 99% | 21% | |||||||||
Consumer Staples | 28% | 37% | 27% | 92% | 65% | 2nd | ||||||||
Consumer Discretionary | 37% | 21% | 34% | 92% | 55% | |||||||||
Industrials | 28% | 26% | 33% | 88% | 59% | |||||||||
Materials | 46% | 21% | 16% | 84% | 37% | |||||||||
S&P 500 median3 | 30% | 22% | 28% | 81% | 51% | |||||||||
OFS4 | 53% | 19% | 8% | 80% | 27% | |||||||||
Information Technology | 15% | 21% | 42% | 79% | 64% | 3rd | ||||||||
Communication Services | 35% | 15% | 18% | 68% | 33% | |||||||||
Health Care | 22% | 10% | 33% | 65% | 43% |
Sources: FactSet, Bloomberg as of Q2 2019, Consensus estimates; Median value of S&P 500 firms; Payout consists of indicated dividends defined as most recent dividend annualized and average of annual common stock repurchases of last 3 fiscal years; 1 Median figures for Kinder Morgan (KMI), ONEOK (OKE), and Williams Companies (WMB); 2 Median figures for Hess Corp (HES), Apache Corp (APA), Cabot Oil & Gas Corp (COG), Eog Resources Inc (EOG), Devon Energy Corp (DVN), Noble Energy Inc (NBL), ConocoPhillips (COP), Pioneer Natural Resources Co (PXD), Marathon Oil Corp (MRO), Cimarex Energy Co (XEC), Concho Resources Inc. (CXO); 3 Median excludes Financials and Real Estate; 4 Median figures of TechnipFMC (FTI), Halliburton (HAL), National Oilwell (NOV), Schlumberger (SLB) and Baker Hughes (BHGE);
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LONG-TERM VS. SHORT-TERM VIEW ON CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Illustrative Accretion Economics: Organic Growth vs. Buybacks
$1.80
$1.60
$1.40
$1.20
Growth CAPEX assumptions: 2 year construction cycle 12% unlevered ROIC(1)
Maintenance capital starts Year 3 Buyback assumptions:
2 years of repurchases
11% cash flow yield ($26 unit price)
Cumulative CFFO/unit
Longer term outlook favors
capital projects which add to the intrinsic value of the business
$1.63
$1.00
$0.80
$0.60
$0.40
$0.20
$0.00
-$0.20
$0.92
$0.66
Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | Year 6 | Year 7 | Year 8 | Year 9 | Year 10 | Year 11 | Year 12 |
$2B CAPEX ($1B Self-Funded DCF and $1B Debt) DCF/Unit | $1B CAPEX (Self-Funded DCF) DCF/Unit | $1B Buyback (Self-Funded) DCF/Unit | |||||||||
(1) For a definition, see appendix. | See appendix page 84 for scenario support. |
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WE CONTINUE TO INVEST AND GROW
≈$9.1B* of Major Capital Projects Under Construction
Last 6 months have been one of the most successful periods in EPD history for underwriting high quality capital projects:
M2E3, M2E4, ATEX Expansion, PDH 2 and Gillis Lateral;
solid customers, integrated with value chain assets, attractive returns on capital
$ in Billions
$6.0
$5.0
$4.0
$3.0
$2.0
$1.0
$0.0
Beaumont refined products buildout Eagle Ford JV crude dock HSC 58 acres tanks LPG dock expansion Midland-to-ECHO 2 Orla 3 gas plant Propylene P/L expansion Shin Oak NGL P/L
$3.0
$2.5
NatGas
6%
Petchem
45%
Ethylene export terminal iBDH
Mont Belvieu frac 10 Panola gas plant
Mentone gas plant
Permian crude gathering
Texas Express & Front Range
11
$0.5$0.6
NGL | ATEX P/L expansion |
25% | Crude storage |
Gillis lateral P/L | |
Midland-to-ECHO 4 | |
Crude | Mont Belvieu Isom |
24% | PDH2 |
Aegis expansion | |
EHT dock 1A expansion | |
LPG dock expansion | |
Ethylene storage | |
Propylene export & P/L | $3.8 |
expansion |
Midland-to-ECHO 3 expansion & storage Mont Belvieu DIB expansion
$0.8$0.9
2019 YTD | 4Q 2019 | 1Q 2020 | 2Q 2020 | 3Q 2020 | 4Q 2020 | 2021+ | |
Estimated | |||||||
* Does not include Sea Port Oil Terminal ("SPOT") | 15 | ||||||
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QUALITY CAPITAL INVESTMENTS
Customer Strength and Durability of Cash Flows
Capital Investments: Customer Ratings by Volume
B- to B+ LC 5.7% 3.5%
BB- to
BB+
13.5%
A- to AA-
47.3%
BBB- to
BBB+
30.0%
Capital Investments: Volume Weighted Contract Length
5-7 Years
15.1%
8-9
Years
15.0%
10+ Years
69.9%
$12B of projects; $9.1B of which is
currently under construction
≈77% of contracted volumes are from investment grade customers
≈70% of volume weighted contract lengths are 10+ Years
Potential to generate ≈$1.2B to $1.8B of new sources of gross operating margin per year (assuming historical 10-15% unlevered returns on capital)
Projects are valued on a stand-alone basis
- Incremental benefits across the system are upside but not part of project returns
Projects returns are based on conservative terminal values and are stressed tested at discounted terminal values down to zero
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WHY BUILD ANOTHER PERMIAN PIPELINE?
Strong Customers, Long-Term Contracts, Attractive Returns Even With Zero Terminal Value
Midland-to-ECHO (M2E) Pipeline System
M2E In-Service:
M2E1 and M2E2 pipelines from Midland to Sealy with >800 MBPD of capacity; M2E2 could convert back to NGL service
Integrated with existing 1.3 MMBPD Rancho II pipeline from Sealy to Houston
M2E Under Construction:
M2E3 expected to add 450 MBPD capacity (scheduled 3Q 2020) and M2E4 expected to add 450 MBPD of capacity; expandable up to 540 MBPD (scheduled 1H 2021)
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Quality Segregation: safeguards crude quality through batched shipments and multiple grades
Market Access: provides customers with access to largest markets on Texas Gulf Coast and international markets
Storage Integration: supported by 45 MMBbls of aggregate integrated storage in Midland, Sealy and Houston
Contracted: 1.3 MMBPD capacity is ≈95% contracted with A-rated customers
- System could flex between 1.3 and 1.8 MMBPD depending on market demand
Supported: 15%+ unlevered IRR
- 3rd party contracts and hedged uncommitted volumes only
- Stress tested at 0 terminal value and initial contract terms only
- Excludes revenues from associated storage and marine terminal services
- Expected payout in 2024
Additional Value Chain Benefits:
- Customers representing ≈90% of contracted volumes also have associated storage contracts
- Customers representing >90% of contracted also have contracted for ship-or-pay marine terminal services
17
MLP VS. C-CORP
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EPD GOVERNANCE OVERVIEW
Consistent Alignment with Limited Partners
History
Current State
Eliminated 50% IDRs for no consideration in 2002
Collapsed publicly traded GP structure as a proactive measure in 2010
- NON-Taxabletransaction; no distribution cuts
GP affiliates waived $322MM in distributions to support cash accretion to EPD LPs
Alignment: Affiliates of GP own ≈32% of LP units and have purchased $1.9B EPD units since IPO, including $1.1B since 2010, to support growth of partnership
Financial objectives include long-term value creation and strong balance sheet
Metrics(1) considered in Management Compensation include:
- Cash flow/unit (DCF and CFFO)
- Unlevered return on invested capital ("ROIC")(2)
- 5-yeartotal return versus peers (MLP and C-Corps)
- For 2019, adding CO2 equivalent emissions intensity and safety performance metrics
Long-term equity incentive plan was approved by 94% of LP units that voted at a partner meeting in 2013
Investment Community Recognition: Investors ranked EPD #1 for corporate governance and ESG / SRI reporting for Midstream Sector (C-Corp and MLPs) in most recent Institutional Investor survey of nearly 1,700 investors and analysts
- Without any weight or formula given to any specific financial or operating measure.
- For a definition, see appendix.
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MLP VS. C-CORP
No Free Lunch: to our knowledge, substantially all MLPs that transitioned to U.S. C-Corps are enjoying a short-term tax holiday paid for by LPs through a tax bill at conversion and/or a back-door (or outright) distribution / dividend cut
How sustainable is a 21% corporate tax rate? We continue to watch valuations
- EV/EBITDA multiples have gapped recently
- However, does this metric consider future tax bills when the holiday ends?
- EPD screens well on P/CFFO metrics
- How durable are the spreads between MLP and C-Corp multiples given current period of negative sentiment for energy broadly and lack of fund flows?
EPD continues to deliberately and rigorously evaluate MLP vs. C-Corp EPD could convert quickly (2-3 months), subject to unitholder approval
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VALUATION COMPARISON
Discernible Valuation Advantage for C-Corps over Partnerships?
EV/EBITDA multiples for C-Corps have recently gapped on a pre-tax basis,
but EPD screens well on P/E and P/CFFO metrics
11/25/2019 | EPD | ENB | OKE | KMI | TRGP | TRP | WMB | |||||||
Price | $26.58 | $37.78 | $71.99 | $19.96 | $37.95 | $50.97 | $23.09 | |||||||
Market | $58.2 | $76.5 | $29.7 | $45.2 | $8.8 | $47.6 | $28.0 | |||||||
Cap. ($B) | ||||||||||||||
Enterprise | $86.2 | $135.2 | $41.6 | $82.7 | $20.6 | $88.4 | $53.5 | |||||||
Value ($B) | ||||||||||||||
EV / EBITDA | ||||||||||||||
10.3x | 13.0x | 12.9x | 10.7x | 12.5x | 12.5x | 10.3x | ||||||||
2020E | ||||||||||||||
Price / CFFO | 8.7x | 5.8x | 14.9x | 6.0x | 7.7x | 6.5x | 7.6x | |||||||
Price / | ||||||||||||||
12.1x | 19.0x | 20.1x | 19.2x | N.A. | 16.9x | 22.8x | ||||||||
Earnings | ||||||||||||||
Payout Ratio | 57% | 35% | 67% | 24% | 72% | 34% | 38% | |||||||
Net Debt / | 3.26x | 4.70x | 5.00x | 4.27x | 5.06x | 6.00x | 5.40x | |||||||
Adj. EBITDA | ||||||||||||||
EBITDA CAGR | 2.3% | 3.1% | 10.9% | 1.0% | 12.5% | 1.2% | 2.7% |
Source: Bloomberg as of 11/25/2019
Past results may not be indicative of future performance.
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Valuation vs. Growth
14.0%
12.0%
10.0%
(1) | ||
CAGR | 8.0% | |
EBITDA | 6.0% | |
4.0% | ||
2.0% | EPD | |
0.0% | ||
0.0x | 2.0x | 4.0x | 6.0x | 8.0x | 10.0x | 12.0x | 14.0x | 16.0x |
2019 Price / CFFO per share | ||||||||
EPD | ENB | OKE | KMI | TRGP | TRP | WMB |
(1) EBITDA CAGR is the consensus estimate for the period 2019-2021
21
CLOSING THOUGHTS
EPD business outlook for 2020
E&P industry reductions in CAPEX; expected 2020+ U.S. / Permian crude oil supply growth
Hydrocarbon demand
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1X1 MEETING MATERIALS
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EPD: NATURAL GAS, NGLs, CRUDE OIL,
PETROCHEMICALS AND REFINED PRODUCTS
Asset Overview | Connectivity |
Pipelines: ≈50,000 miles of natural gas, NGL, crude oil, petrochemicals and refined products pipelines
Storage: ≈260 MMBbls of NGL, petrochemical, refined products, and crude oil, and 14 Bcf of natural gas storage capacity
26 natural gas processing plants; 23 fractionators; 11 condensate distillation facilities; PDH facility
Export Facilities: 18 docks handling NGLs, PGP, crude oil & refined products
Assets Under Construction /
Commissioning
Pipelines: >500 miles of pipelines
Processing: Mentone gas plant
Fractionators: 10 & 11 Mont Belvieu area
Petchem: iBDH and PDH2 facilities
Export terminal expansions: LPG, crude,
PGP, adding ethylene
Fully integrated midstream energy company aggregating domestic supply directly connected to domestic and international demand
Connected to U.S. major shale basins
Connected to every U.S. ethylene cracker
Connected to ≈90% of refineries East of Rockies 26 Gulf Coast PGP connections
NatGas
13%
Petchem | NGL |
13% | |
46% | |
Crude
28%
TTM September 30, 2019:
$8.4B Gross Operating Margin
Gross operating margin ("GOM") is how we measure the performance of our business segments. See reconciliations for closest GAAP comparison.
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EPD'S INTEGRATED MIDSTREAM VALUE CHAIN
Earning Fees at Each Link
It is not uncommon for Enterprise
to touch a molecule 5-7 times
throughout the system
Natural Gas
Pipelines
Storage
Natural Gas
Pipelines
NGL Exports
Natural Gas
Pipelines
Natural
Gas
Crude
Oil
Trucks
Barges
Crude Oil
Pipelines
* Orange denotes current areas of expansion
Gas Processing
Mixed NGLs
Pipelines
Storage
Crude Oil
Refining
Ethane
Propane
Butane
Iso-Butane
N Gasoline
Storage
NGL
Fractionation
Crude Oil
Pipelines Butane
Isom
iBDH &
Belvieu Fuels
Propylene | ||
Splitters / PDH | Petrochemical | |
Storage | Pipelines | |
NGL Pipelines
NGL Wholesale
Crude Exports
MTBE Export / Barges
Chemical Market
Refined Products
Pipelines
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25
FINANCIAL UPDATE
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CONSISTENT FINANCIAL RESULTS THROUGH BUSINESS CYCLES
400%
EPD's Stock Price Mirrors Energy Sentiment
Results Have Been Consistent Despite Crude Prices...
$160 | $2,500 |
350% | ||||||
300% | ||||||
250% | ||||||
200% | ||||||
150% | ||||||
100% | ||||||
Correlation to WTI | 2Q14-2016 | 2017-2018 | 9Mos 2019 | |||
50% | EPD Unit Price | 0.84 | 0.41 | 0.98 | ||
AMZ Index | 0.86 | -0.18 | 1.00 | |||
0% | ||||||
XLE ETF | 0.94 | 0.82 | 1.00 | |||
$140 | $2,000 | |||
$120 | ||||
$ | ||||
$100 | ||||
$ Bbl | $1,500 | Millions in | ||
$80 | ||||
$60 | $1,000 | |||
$40 | $500 | |||
$20 | ||||
$0 | $- | |||
EPD Unit Price | AMZ Index | XLE ETF | WTI Crude | WTI Crude | EPD Gross Operating Margin(1) | EPD DCF w/o Non Recurring (2) |
...Which Has Supported Cash Flow & Distribution Per Unit Growth...
$120 | $3.50 | |||
$100 | $3.00 | |||
$80 | $2.50 | $ millions | ||
$/bbl | $60 | $2.00 | $/unit | |
$1.50 | ||||
$40 | $1.00 | |||
$20 | $0.50 | |||
$0 | $- |
…While Building a Margin of Safety for Future Growth | |||
$1,800 | Cumulative Retained DCF and % of Total DCF | ||
$1,600 | |||
2Q 2004-9Mos 2019 | $11,573 | 23% | |
$1,400 | |||
Last 3 Years | $5,042 | 30% | |
$1,200 | Last 12 Months | $2,571 | 39% |
$1,000 | |||
$800 | |||
$600 | |||
$400 | |||
$200 | |||
$0 |
WTI Crude | Distribution per unit | CFFO Per Unit | Retained EPD DCF w/o Non Recurring | Cash Distributions | |
(1) | Total gross operating margin and distributable cash flow represent reported amounts. For a reconciliation of these amounts to their nearest GAAP counterparts, see "Non-GAAP Financial Measures" on our website. | ||||
(2) | Excludes non-recurring cash transactions (e.g., proceeds from asset sales and property damage insurance claims and payments to settle interest rate hedges). | Sources: EPD and Bloomberg |
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GROSS OPERATING MARGIN BRIDGE
$ in MMs
($124)
3Q 2018 | Non-Cash | New & | Existing Assets | Legacy Gas | Marketing | 3Q 2019 | 2Q 2019 | Non-Cash | New & | Existing Assets | Legacy Gas | Marketing | 3Q 2019 | |
GOM | MTM Change | Expanded | with Operating | Plants | (excl. MTM) & | GOM | GOM | MTM Change | Expanded | with Operating | Plants | (excl. MTM) & | GOM | |
Assets | Leverage | Other Changes | Assets | Leverage | Other Changes |
Details:
Non-cashmark-to-market ("MTM") changes are a function of the hedging of crude oil, natural gas and natural gas liquids ("NGL") price differentials between regional markets. This hedging is associated with marketing activities related to certain pipeline capacity
- 3Q19 was a gain of $9MM, 3Q18 was a gain of $204MM and 2Q19 was a loss of $13MM
New and expanded assets are those which have been placed in-service or expanded in the past 12 months. These include Shin Oak NGL pipeline, Aegis and Dixie NGL pipeline expansions, Orla gas processing trains & related gathering, Midland-to-ECHO crude pipelines and the Seaway crude pipeline expansion
Existing assets (excluding natural gas processing plants) with operating leverage that increased >$1MM vs. comparable period and did not have a contractual ramp or expansion
Legacy gas plants (Rockies, Louisiana, Mississippi and South Texas) were impacted by lower processing spreads
- Indicative processing spreads (Mont Belvieu NGL vs. Henry Hub natural gas) reduced to $0.21 per gallon for 3Q19 vs. $0.58 and $0.25 for 3Q18 and 2Q19, respectively
Total gross operating margin is a Non-GAAP measure. For a reconciliation of these amounts to their nearest GAAP counterparts, see "Non-GAAP Financial Measures" on our website.
© ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. ENTERPRISE PRODUCTS PARTNERS L.P. | 28 |
INDICATIVE ATTRIBUTION OF GROSS OPERATING MARGIN
Gross Operating Margin in $Billions
$8.0
$7.0
$6.0
$5.0
$4.0
$3.0
$2.0
$1.0 $0.0
Fee-based GOM increased 13% to $5.2B 9 Months 2019 vs. 9 Months 2018
$7.3 | |||
8% | $6.3 | ||
6% | |||
$5.7 | |||
11% | |||
$5.2 | 6% | ||
4% | |||
5% | 5% | ||
4% |
86% | ||
91% | 89% | 85% |
2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 9 Months 2019 |
Fee-Based | Commodity Price-Based | Differential-Based |
Total gross operating margin is a Non-GAAP measure. For a reconciliation of these amounts to their nearest GAAP counterparts, see "Non-GAAP Financial Measures" on our website. See Appendix - Indicative Attribution of Gross Operating Margin for definitions.
© ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. ENTERPRISE PRODUCTS PARTNERS L.P. | 29 |
INDICATIVE ATTRIBUTION OF SEGMENT GOM FOR 9 MONTHS 2019
% Breakout of GOM
100%
80%
60%
40%
20%
0%
11% | 5% | 13% | |
6% | 17% | ||
2% | |||
5% | |||
9% |
87% | 89% | 82% |
74% |
NGL Segment (1) | Crude Segment | Natural Gas Segment(2) Petchem & Refined Products |
Segment(3) |
Fee-Based Commodity Price-BasedDifferential-Based
Based on Gross Operating Margin
- Percentage of liquids and percentage of proceeds agreements are considered commodity-based; keepwhole agreements are differential based
- San Juan gathering generates commodity sensitive earnings, while natural gas marketing includes Waha to Carthage and Waha to Houston transportation differentials
- Largest differential contribution was from propylene fractionation and refined products marketing
Total gross operating margin is a Non-GAAP measure. For a reconciliation of these amounts to their nearest GAAP counterparts, see "Non-GAAP Financial Measures" on our website. See Appendix - Indicative Attribution of Gross Operating Margin for definitions.
© ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. ENTERPRISE PRODUCTS PARTNERS L.P. | 30 |
INDICATIVE ATTRIBUTION OF GOM FOR SELECT BUSINESSES
Natural Gas Processing GOM
$600 | $500 | $0.50 | |||||
Mostly Pioneer, | |||||||
$500 | |||||||
Meeker and | $0.40 | ||||||
SMillions | South Texas | ||||||
$400 | $281 | $0.30 | Spread | ||||
$300 | $244 | ||||||
GOM in | $0.20 | Price | |||||
$200 | $169 | ||||||
57% | |||||||
$100 | 68% | $0.10 | |||||
68% | |||||||
81% | |||||||
$0 | $0.00 | ||||||
2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 9 Months 2019 | ||||
Fee | POP & POL | Keepwhole | Indicative Processing Spreads ($/Gal) |
Propylene Activities GOM & Related Spreads | Octane Enhancement / HPIB GOM & Related Spreads |
$500 | Largely propylene | $463 | $0.80 | $180 | |||||
sales during PDH | $0.70 | $160 | |||||||
$400 | startup | $367 | |||||||
$140 | |||||||||
$0.60 | |||||||||
GOM in $Millions | GOM in $Millions | ||||||||
$300 | $0.50 | Price Spread | $120 | ||||||
$100 | |||||||||
$222 | $0.40 | ||||||||
$212 | $80 | ||||||||
$200 | |||||||||
74% | $0.30 | $60 | |||||||
79% | |||||||||
$0.20 | $40 | ||||||||
$100 | |||||||||
70% | 69% | ||||||||
$0.10 | $20 | ||||||||
$0 | $0.00 | $0 | |||||||
2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 9 Months 2019 | ||||||
Fee | Non - Fee | Spread PGP vs. RGP ($/Gal) |
See Appendix - Indicative Attribution of Gross Operating Margin for definitions.
© ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. ENTERPRISE PRODUCTS PARTNERS L.P.
$1.40 | ||||
$154 | $1.20 | |||
$123 | $131 | |||
$1.00 | ||||
$0.80 | Spread | |||
MTBE plant | $0.60 | Price | ||
Turnaround | ||||
$42 | 61% | $0.40 | ||
55% | 62% | |||
$0.20 | ||||
60% | $0.00 | |||
2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 9 Months 2019 | |
Fee | Non-Fee | Spread RBOB vs. Butane ($/Gal) | ||
31 |
PROVEN TRACK RECORD OF DELIVERING CONSISTENT RETURNS ON CAPITAL
13.9%
12.9% | 13.3% | 13.1% | |||||||
12.6% | |||||||||
12.5% | |||||||||
100 | |||||||||
11.8% | |||||||||
11.6% | |||||||||
11.4% | 11.2% | 11.0% | |||||||
10.5% | 10.8% | 10.7% | |||||||
10.2% | |||||||||
80 | |||||||||
60
$/Bbl
40
20
0
2005 | 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 9Mos |
ROIC (1,2,3) | WTI Crude | 2019 |
14.0%
12.0%
10.0%
8.0%
6.0%
4.0%
2.0%
0.0%
% ROIC Unlevered
(1) | For a definition, see appendix. | |
(2) | Pre-2008 is based on EPD reported results (not recast for Mergers). | Sources: EPD and Bloomberg |
(3) | 2008 and 2009 reflect recast financial statements of Enterprise giving effect to the TEPPCO and Enterprise GP Holdings mergers. | Past results may not be indicative of future performance |
© ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. ENTERPRISE PRODUCTS PARTNERS L.P. | 32 |
DURABLE CASH FLOW METRICS THROUGHOUT COMMODITY CYCLE
$120
As measured by MLP or Conventional metrics
$100 | ||||||||||
$2.80 | ||||||||||
$2.67 62% | ||||||||||
$80 | 1.5x | |||||||||
$2.09 | $2.06 | $2.20 | $2.05 | $2.16 | ||||||
$/Bbl | $1.99 | $1.99 | 78% | |||||||
$60 | $1.97 | 64% | 1.4x | 65% | $1.93 | $1.94 1.2x | ||||
1.3x | 76% | |||||||||
1.4x | 1.2x | 84% | ||||||||
$40
$20
$-
$2.55
1.5x
$3.03 $2.92 58%
$2.80 1.7x 61%
$3.50
$3.00
$2.50
$2.00
$1.50
$1.00
$0.50
$-
CFFO & DCF Operational Unit Per
2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 |
Operational DCF per Fully Diluted Unit(1,2) | CFFO per fully diluted unit(1,3) |
- For a definition, see appendix
- Represents the operational DCF coverage ratio over the distributions paid
- Represents the percentages CFFO that were paid in distributions
TTM Sept | TTM Sept |
2018 | 2019 |
WTI Crude price (Annual Average)
Sources: EPD and Bloomberg
© ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. ENTERPRISE PRODUCTS PARTNERS L.P. | 33 |
FREE CASH FLOW - TRENDING HIGHER
Includes $2.4B for | Includes $1.1B for | ||||||||||
$8,000 | Oiltanking acquisition | EFS acquisitions | $1.50 | ||||||||
$7,000 | $6,677 | $1.23 | |||||||||
$6,126 | |||||||||||
$6,000 | $5,908 | ||||||||||
$1.00 | |||||||||||
$5,000 | $0.91 | ||||||||||
$4,666$0.62 | |||||||||||
$3,866$4,090 | $4,162 | $4,002 | $4,125 | $3,965 | |||||||
$4,000 | $4,067 $4,033 | / Unit | |||||||||
$3,420 | $3,335 | $0.50 | |||||||||
$ Millions | $3,000 | $0.29 | $2,712 | Cash Flow | |||||||
$2,001 | |||||||||||
$2,000 | |||||||||||
$1,331 | |||||||||||
$1,000 | $0.01 | $0.00 | Free | ||||||||
($0.12) | $583 | ||||||||||
$0 | $34 | ||||||||||
2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | TTM Sept 2019 | -$0.50 | ||||
-$1,000 | ($224) | ||||||||||
-$2,000 | ($1,746) | ||||||||||
-$3,000 | ($0.89) | -$1.00 | |||||||||
CFFO | Net Cash Outlay for Capital Investments(1) Free Cash Flow(2) | FCF / Unit |
- Net Cash Outlay for Capital Investments includes Cash used in Investing Activities and cash contributions from / distributions paid to non-controlling interests.
- For a reconciliation of Free Cash Flows, see "Non-GAAP Financial Measures" on our website.
© ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. ENTERPRISE PRODUCTS PARTNERS L.P. | 34 |
STRENGTHENING DEBT PORTFOLIO
Extending Maturities Without Increasing Costs
≈$29.5 Billion Notes Issued
2009-September 2019
11.5%
8.6%
49.1%
30.8%
99% Fixed Rate Debt
20.0 | (as of September 30, 2019) | 8.0% | ||||||||
19.0 | 19.2 | 19.0 | ||||||||
Years | 18.8 | 7.0% | ||||||||
18.0 | ||||||||||
17.7 | 17.6 | |||||||||
17.0 | 17.3 | 17.3 | 6.0% | |||||||
AverageMaturity- | 5.8% | 5.8% | DebtCostof | |||||||
16.0 | 16.2 | 5.5% | 16.1 | |||||||
5.3% | ||||||||||
5.0% | ||||||||||
15.0 | 4.8% | 4.7% | ||||||||
14.9 | 4.7% | |||||||||
4.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | ||||||||
14.0 | 4.0% |
3 Year 5 Year 10 Year 30+ Year
Average Maturity | Average Cost of Debt |
© ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. ENTERPRISE PRODUCTS PARTNERS L.P. | 35 |
FUNDING GROWTH WITH
FINANCIAL DISCIPLINE
Total Growth Capital Expenditures & Debt Leverage | ||||||||||
$8.0 | $7.8 | through TTM September 30, 2019 | ||||||||
$7.0 | $4.6 | 4.4x | 4.5x | |||||||
$6.2 | 4.1x | |||||||||
$6.0 | ||||||||||
4.2x | 4.x | / Adjusted EBITDA | ||||||||
$2.5 | ||||||||||
$ in Billions | $5.0 | 3.8x(1) | 3.5x | |||||||
$4.2 | 3.5x | |||||||||
$4.1 | ||||||||||
$4.0 | 3.2x(3) | |||||||||
3.5x | $3.2 | $3.7 | $3.7 | $3.1 | $0.2 | |||||
$3.0 | $1.0 | $3.9 | ||||||||
$0.2 | $3.8(2) | |||||||||
3.x | Debt | |||||||||
$2.7 | $2.9 | |||||||||
$2.0 | Net | |||||||||
$1.0 | 2.5x | |||||||||
$0.0 | 2.x | |||||||||
2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 Est. | ||||
Organic Growth Capital | Acquisitions | Debt Leverage Ratio |
- Proforma includes full year EBITDA for Oiltanking
- Full year 2019 growth capital investment estimate net of contributions from JV partners
- Reflects leverage for the trailing 12 months ended September 30, 2019
© ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. ENTERPRISE PRODUCTS PARTNERS L.P. | 36 |
FUNDAMENTALS
© ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. ENTERPRISE PRODUCTS PARTNERS L.P. | enterpriseproducts.com |
UNCONVENTIONAL PLAYS DECADES OF PRODUCTION
POTENTIAL LOCATIONS IN KNOWN
COMMERCIAL PLAYS
EPD Pipelines
Gas
Crude Oil
Liquids (NGL & Products)
Existing U.S. Production
Oil
Gas
Sources: EPD Fundamentals and DrillingInfo
Bakken
29k to 41k locations
Rockies
75k to 124k locationsMarcellus / Utica
34k to 52k locations
ScoopStack
38k to 44k locations
Haynesville
Permian23k to 33k locations 206k to 312k locations
Eagle Ford
54k to 64k locations
Unconventional Commercial Plays
459k to 670k locations
© ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. ENTERPRISE PRODUCTS PARTNERS L.P. | 38 |
SUPPLY OF U.S. DRY NATURAL GAS
By Producing Region
120 | |
100 | |
Bcf/d | 80 |
60 | |
40
20
0
Production
14
13
12
11
- PERMIAN
10 | 13 | 18 | |
11 | |||
5 | |||
Current | 2020 | 2025 | |
TOTAL SUPPLY
102
90 91
Current 2020 2025
9091102
1.0AK & CA
0.8 | ||||||||||||||||
ROCKIES | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.7 | ||||||||||||
14 | 14 | 0.4 | ||||||||||||||
13 | Current | 2020 | 2025 | |||||||||||||
35 | APPALACHIA | |||||||||||||||
Current | 2020 | 2025 | ||||||||||||||
9 | MID-CONTINENT | 30 | ||||||||||||||
25 | 31 | 31 | 34 | |||||||||||||
8 | 9 | 9 | 20 | |||||||||||||
8 | Current | 2020 | 2025 | |||||||||||||
7 | ||||||||||||||||
Current | 2020 | 2025 | ||||||||||||||
25 OTHER GULF COAST
6 | EAGLE FORD | 20 | |||
21 | |||||
5 | 15 | 20 | 20 | ||
- 10
4 | 5 | 5 | Current | 2020 | 2025 | |
3 | Capital Constrained Case | |||||
Current | 2020 | 2025 | ||||
Source: EPD Fundamentals August 2019 |
© ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. ENTERPRISE PRODUCTS PARTNERS L.P.
39
SUPPLY OF NGLS
By Producing Region
110 | AK & CA | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
8,000 | TOTAL SUPPLY | 1,500 | ROCKIES | 90 | 99 | 98 | 90 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
1,000 | 80 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7,529 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
500 | 1,095 | 1,173 | 1,325 | Current | 2020 | 2025 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
6,000 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
6,152 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
5,796 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
MBPD | 4,000 | Current | 2020 | 2025 | 1,500 | APPALACHIA | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
1,000 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2,000 | 750 | MID-CONTINENT | 500 | 1,092 | 1,108 | 1,228 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
650 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
550 | 633 | 658 | 702 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Current | 2020 | 2025 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Current | 2020 | 2025 | 450 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Production | Current | 2020 | 2025 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
5,796 | 6,152 | 7,529 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
3,000 | PERMIAN | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2,250 | 2,990 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
1,500 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
1,854 | 2,076 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
750 | OTHER GULF COAST | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Current | 2020 | 2025 | 500 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
NGL Components Current | 2020 | 2025 | 800 | EAGLE FORD | 450 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Ethane | 2,698 | 2,862 | 3,519 | 600 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
496 | 489 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Propane | 1,652 | 1,755 | 2,144 | 721 | 400 | 472 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
400 | 550 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Normal Butane | 554 | 589 | 720 | 527 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Iso Butane | 313 | 331 | 403 | 200 | 350 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Natural Gasoline | 580 | 615 | 743 | Current | 2020 | 2025 | Current | 2020 | 2025 | Capital Constrained Case | |||||||||||||||||||||||
MBPD | 5,797 | 6,152 | 7,529 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source: EPD Fundamentals August 2019 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
© ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. ENTERPRISE PRODUCTS PARTNERS L.P. | 40 |
SUPPLY OF CRUDE OIL AND CONDENSATE
By Producing Region
18,000
12,000
MBPD
6,000
0
Production
3,000
2,500
2,000
1,500
8,000 | PERMIAN | ||
6,000 | |||
4,000 | 7,292 | ||
4,186 | 4,651 | ||
2,000 | |||
Current | 2020 | 2025 | |
TOTAL SUPPLY
16,187
12,135 12,880
Current 2020 2025
12,135 12,880 16,187
1,000 | AK & CA | |||||||||||
900 | ||||||||||||
ROCKIES | 800 | 929 | 906 | 789 | ||||||||
700 | ||||||||||||
2,460 | 2,576 | 2,601 | Current | 2020 | 2025 | |||||||
125 | APPALACHIA | |||||||||||
Current | 2020 | 2025 | ||||||||||
900 | 100 | |||||||||||
MID-CONTINENT | 75 | 112 | 106 | 96 | ||||||||
800 | ||||||||||||
50 | ||||||||||||
700 | 809 | |||||||||||
682 | 715 | Current 2020 | 2025 | |||||||||
600 | ||||||||||||
Current | 2020 | 2025 | ||||||||||
3,000 | OTHER GULF COAST | ||||||||
2,000 | EAGLE FORD | ||||||||
1,500 | 2,000 | 2,604 | 2,688 | 2,954 | |||||
1,000 | 1,648 | ||||||||
1,162 | 1,238 | ||||||||
1,000 | |||||||||
500 | |||||||||
Current | 2020 | 2025 | |||||||
Current | 2020 | 2025 | Capital Constrained Case | ||||||
Source: EPD Fundamentals August 2019
© ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. ENTERPRISE PRODUCTS PARTNERS L.P.
41
FUTURE DEMAND FOR U.S. PRODUCTION
U.S. Production | |||||
9,000 | NGL Production | 7,529 | |||
6,000 | |||||
MBPD | 6,152 | ||||
5,796 | |||||
3,000 | |||||
0 | |||||
Current | 2020 | 2025 | |||
Capital | 5,796 | 6,152 | 7,529 | ||
Constrained | |||||
Base | 5,489 | 6,284 | 8,481 | ||
20,000 | Crude Production | ||||
15,000 | 16,187 | ||||
MBPD | |||||
10,000 | 12,135 | 12,880 | |||
5,000 | |||||
0 | |||||
Current | 2020 | 2025 | |||
Capital | 12,135 | 12,880 | 16,187 | ||
Constrained | |||||
Base | 11,680 | 13,088 | 17,035 |
Source: EPD Fundamentals, August 2019 forecast
© ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. ENTERPRISE PRODUCTS PARTNERS L.P.
Demand for U.S. Production - 2025
PRODUCT | DOMESTIC MARKET | INTERNATIONAL MARKET |
Demand: >65% | Exports: <35% | |
Ethane | New crackers could consume | Current capacity is full and |
(≈50% of NGL barrel*) | ≈1 MMBPD of ethane | exports steady |
U.S. crackers to remain | New capacity is needed | |
*Assumes full recovery; ethane | feedstock advantaged | • New investment needed |
not consumed by petchems or | • Growing exports of | • Complex infrastructure |
exported is left or reinjected | ||
back into the natural gas | ethylene and polyethylene | • Needs competitive pricing |
stream. | ||
Demand: <40% | Exports: >60% | |
LPG | Demand will stay | Primarily to Asia |
≈1.4 MMBPD | Residential: ≈60% of global | |
(Propane & Butane) | ||
Propane for residential | demand growth (less price | |
(35-40% of NGL | ||
LPG for plastics and specialty | sensitive) | |
barrel) | Petchem: ≈40% of global | |
chemicals | ||
growth (more price sensitive) | ||
Demand: <50% | Exports: >50% | |
U.S. refiners are blending | 8 MMBPD expected to be | |
light crude as much as | exported | |
Oil & Condensate | possible | Light, low sulfur crude: |
Minimal new refining | ||
• Can be used in Refining + | ||
capacity | Petchem complexes | |
• Mostly debottlenecking and | • Is an excellent fit post-IMO | |
retooling where possible | 2020 | |
42 |
CHEMICAL VALUE CHAIN MARGINS REMAIN STRONG DESPITE VOLATILITY IN ETHYLENE
100,000
U.S. Ethylene Capacity & Production
Ethane Supply-Demand on U.S. Gulf Coast
3,500 |
MM lb/yr
90,000
80,000 | New Builds |
70,000
60,000
50,000
40,000
30,000
20,000
10,000
-
3,000 | ||
2,500 | ||
MBPD | 2,000 | New Domestic |
Petchem Crackers | ||
1,500 | Exports | |
1,000 | Existing Domestic | |
500 | Petchem Crackers | |
0 | ||
US Steam Cracker Capacity New Builds US Ethylene Production
40
U.S. Ethylene Cracker Margin
50
Polyethylene Spreads to Ethane (FOB Houston)
Cents per Pound
30
20
10
0
Favor NGLs
Cents per Pound
40
30
20
HDPE + LLDPE is ≈85% of Production
Margin
(10)
(20)
(30)
Ethane | Propane | Butane | Lt Naphtha |
Spread
10
0
HDPE - Ethane Chain Margin | LLDPE - Ethane Chain Margin |
Sources: Hodson, EIA and EPD Fundamentals, August 2019
© ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. ENTERPRISE PRODUCTS PARTNERS L.P. | 43 |
CHEMICALS INDUSTRY INVESTING >$200B*
Creating >750k New Jobs, Based on U.S. Shales
U.S. World Scale Ethylene Plants Under Construction
Company | Capacity | Ethane Capacity | Ethane Capacity | Estimated | Location |
Billion lb/yr | (MBPD) | Cumulative (MBPD) | Completion Date | ||
Existing Capacity end 2017 | 68 | 1,400 | |||
Occidental Chemical / Mexichem | 1.2 | 40 | Operational | Ingleside, TX | |
Chevron Phillips Chemical | 3.3 | 90 | Operational | Cedar Bayou, TX | |
DowDupont | 3.3 | 90 | Operational | Freeport, TX | |
ExxonMobil Chemical | 3.3 | 90 | 310 | Operational | Baytown, TX |
Westlake / Lotte (LACC) | 2.2 | 60 | Operational | Lake Charles, LA | |
Shintech | 1.1 | 35 | Ramping Up | Plaquemine, LA | |
Sasol | 3.3 | 90 | Ramping Up | Lake Charles, LA | |
Formosa Plastics | 2.8 | 80 | 575 | 2019 | Point Comfort, TX |
Indorama | 1.1 | 30 | 2020 | Lake Charles, LA | |
Total / Borealis / Nova | 2.2 | 60 | Early 2020s | Port Arthur, TX | |
Shell | 3.5 | 95 | Early 2020s | Monaca, PA | |
DowDupont | 1.1 | 30 | Early 2020s | Freeport, TX | |
Sabic / ExxonMobil | 4 | 110 | Early 2020s | Corpus Christi, TX | |
Formosa Plastics (awaiting FID) | 2.6 | 75 | Mid 2020s | St. James, LA | |
CPC / Qatar (awaiting FID) | 4.4 | 120 | 1,095 | Mid 2020s | USGC |
GROWTH 2018+ | 107 | 2,495 | |||
Expanded Capacity | 175 | 3,895 | 178% Growth |
- *"≈$200B in capital could lead to ≈$300B/year in output, supporting 786,000 new jobs
across the economy by 2025!" -AmericanChemistry Council - Petchems are now signaling a "second wave" of new U.S. plants in early 2020s
* Per American Chemistry Council | Source: EPD Fundamentals |
© ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. ENTERPRISE PRODUCTS PARTNERS L.P. | 44 |
GLOBAL LPG BALANCES 2018-2025
Demand Growth Expected to Exceed U.S. Supplies
LPG in MBPD | Incremental Supply | |
23% | ||
Supply from | ||
77% | Other Countries | |
U.S. Supply
EPD Base Forecast
Incremental Demand
60% | |||
Type of LPG | Growth Rates | ||
Demand | Last 5 years | 2018-25 Fcst. | |
All sectors | 4% | 3% | |
Cooking | Heating | 3.7% | 2.4% |
Petchem | 4.6% | 4.2% | |
Heating | |||
Industry | |||
Power Gen | |||
& Others | |||
40% |
PDH
Steam
Crackers
Sources: IEA and EPD Fundamentals
IEA: global LPG demand was ≈9 MMBPD in 2018 and grew at 4.0% CAGR between 2013 and 2018
- Historical LPG demand is split ≈70% heat and 30% petchems
Conservatively, we assume future demand grows at 3% CAGR between 2018 and 2025
PDH demand shown is based on known units that are under construction in China and other countries
© ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. ENTERPRISE PRODUCTS PARTNERS L.P. | 45 |
LPG DOCK CAPACITY EXPANSIONS WILL BE REQUIRED TO MEET DEMAND
MBPD | ||||||||||||||
4,500 | ||||||||||||||
4,000 | ||||||||||||||
3,500 | LPG Supply | |||||||||||||
3,000 | ||||||||||||||
2,500 | ||||||||||||||
2,000 | ||||||||||||||
1,500 | ||||||||||||||
1,000 | ||||||||||||||
500 | ||||||||||||||
0 | ||||||||||||||
2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
LPG Domestic Demand | Actual LPG Exports | Industry Export Capacity |
Note: Industry Export Capacity at 1,200 MBPD (2018 exports) plus EPD, Mariner East / South and Targa expansions at 85% operating rate | Sources: EIA and EPD Fundamentals, August 2019 forecast |
© ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. ENTERPRISE PRODUCTS PARTNERS L.P. | 46 |
LPG Waterborne Exports (MBPD)
1,200
1,000
800
600
400
200
0
U.S. SHALE RESPONSIBLE FOR VIRTUALLY ALL GLOBAL LPG GROWTH IN THE LAST DECADE
Other U.S.
Enterprise
2010 | 2012 | 2014 | 2016 | 2018 | 2010 | 2012 | 2014 | 2016 | 2018 | 2010 | 2012 | 2014 | 2016 | 2018 | 2010 | 2012 | 2014 | 2016 | 2018 | 2010 | 2012 | 2014 | 2016 | 2018 | 2010 | 2012 | 2014 | 2016 | 2018 | 2010 | 2012 | 2014 | 2016 | 2018 | 2010 | 2012 | 2014 | 2016 | 2018 |
United States | Qatar | Algeria | United Arab | Saudi Arabia | Norway | Iran | Kuwait | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Emirates |
MBPD | 1Q | 2Q | 3Q | 4Q | 1Q | 2Q | 3Q | 3Q 2019* | ||
2018 | 2018 | 2018 | 2018 | 2019 | 2019 | 2019* | vs. 2Q 2018 | |||
Japan | 241 | 181 | 307 | 443 | 331 | 389 | 500 | 63% | ||
Destination | Mexico | 152 | 120 | 125 | 161 | 152 | 126 | 155 | 23% | |
South Korea | 60 | 162 | 131 | 81 | 93 | 126 | 146 | 11% | ||
Canada | 97 | 126 | 106 | 116 | 103 | 93 | 111 | 5% | ||
India | 62 | 89 | 69 | 77 | 113 | 103 | 89 | 28% | ||
by | Netherlands | 65 | 58 | 49 | 56 | 38 | 77 | 51 | 2% | |
Morocco | 26 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 28 | 47 | 47 | 327% | ||
Exports | ||||||||||
Ecuador | 22 | 29 | 38 | 27 | 35 | 42 | 41 | 7% | ||
United Kingdom | 52 | 39 | 48 | 36 | 42 | 71 | 41 | -16% | ||
U.S. | Dominican | 32 | 38 | 44 | 42 | 55 | 35 | 40 | -11% | |
Republic | ||||||||||
China | 110 | 84 | 79 | 46 | 14 | 6 | 25 | -69% | ||
Other | 338 | 510 | 455 | 403 | 410 | 577 | 443 | -3% | ||
TOTAL | 1,258 | 1,446 | 1,464 | 1,503 | 1,416 | 1,692 | 1,685 | 15% | ||
The U.S. supplied 75% of the LPG growth between 2013 and 2018
- USA: +770 MBPD 2013-2018 growth
- Non-USA:+247 MBPD 2013-2018 growth
*3Q 2019 includes July and August 2019 data Sources: Waterborne, Bloomberg, EPD Fundamentals and Energy Aspects
© ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. ENTERPRISE PRODUCTS PARTNERS L.P. | 47 |
A MIDLAND BARREL PRODUCES ONLY 12% MORE LIGHT ENDS THAN A BRENT BARREL
Light shale oil is easier to refine and contains less 'bottom-of-the-barrel' material. This makes a perfect fitfor the 'Refining + Petchem' complexes commonly found overseas.
- Barrel 100
80
60
40
20
0
Refining Cuts - Brent vs. Midland Light Oil | Ethane-Propane-Butane |
Naphtha | 29% | ||
≈40% | Naphtha | ||
Middle Distillates
Middle Distillates
≈60% of a typical | ||
Gas Oil | Midland barrel is | |
Diesel & Heavier | ||
(all low sulfur) | Gas Oil | |
Vacuum Resid | ||
Vacuum Resid | ||
Brent - 38° | ° | |
WTL - 48 |
A 5,000 MBPD increase in Permian production yields only 600 MBPD incremental light ends!
Source: EPD Fundamentals
© ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. ENTERPRISE PRODUCTS PARTNERS L.P. | 48 |
BoE 2.5
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
PERMIAN PRODUCER ECONOMICS ARE DRIVEN BY THE OIL COMPONENT
What Comes with a Barrel | Value by Component | |||||||
of Permian Oil? | $70 | |||||||
Natural Gas | $60 | |||||||
NGL | ||||||||
Natural Gas | $50 | |||||||
50% of | $40 | |||||||
NGL | NGL is | |||||||
Ethane | 84% of | $30 | ||||||
value | Oil | |||||||
via Oil | $20 | |||||||
Oil | ||||||||
$10 | ||||||||
$0 | ||||||||
Volume (BoE) | ||||||||
Includes $0.12 T&F on NGLs and $(0.50)/MMBtu NG Basis | ||||||||
Source: EPD Fundamentals, August 2019
© ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. ENTERPRISE PRODUCTS PARTNERS L.P. | 49 |
LIGHT CRUDE OIL: STACKING UP THE DISTILLATE, GASOLINE AND PETCHEM COMPONENTS
U.S. Light Crude Oil Annual Surplus - Disposition
Incremental Supply | Incremental Demand |
≈60% Diesel and Heavier
Produces:
40% of Ethylene yearly growth
48% of Propylene yearly growth
+5,000 MBPD
of light crude | Equal to IEA Mogas |
oil in next | yearly growth |
5 years | |
Petchem | |
≈40% | |
Naphtha | |
Gasoline |
Source: EPD Fundamentals
© ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. ENTERPRISE PRODUCTS PARTNERS L.P. | 50 |
MBPD 10
8
6
4
2
0
U.S. CRUDE EXPORTS: ON OUR WAY TO BEING THE GLOBAL POWERHOUSE
Effect of Capital
Constrained
2018: Saudi Arabia Crude Exports: 7.1 MMBPD
2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
Actuals per EIA | Estimates per EPD Fundamentals |
MBPD | 1Q 2018 | 2Q 2018 | 3Q 2018 | 4Q 2018 | 1Q 2019 | 2Q 2019 | 3Q 2019* | 3Q 2019* | ||
vs 3Q 2018 | ||||||||||
Destination | South Korea | 74 | 154 | 261 | 476 | 357 | 431 | 492 | 88% | |
Kingdom | 122 | 154 | 176 | 212 | 248 | 178 | 225 | 28% | ||
Canada | 461 | 428 | 459 | 414 | 466 | 452 | 446 | -3% | ||
China | 404 | 375 | 117 | 34 | 83 | 200 | 238 | 102% | ||
United | ||||||||||
by | ||||||||||
Netherlands | 86 | 96 | 125 | 221 | 304 | 223 | 198 | 58% | ||
Exports | India | 95 | 172 | 156 | 177 | 263 | 312 | 178 | 14% | |
Taiwan | 60 | 101 | 217 | 145 | 180 | 204 | 110 | -50% | ||
U.S. | Italy | 118 | 142 | 109 | 64 | 114 | 132 | 100 | -8% | |
Thailand | 16 | 41 | 50 | 46 | 175 | 34 | 88 | 76% | ||
Spain | 21 | 19 | 26 | 22 | 21 | 44 | 78 | 198% | ||
Other | 232 | 406 | 364 | 538 | 538 | 757 | 561 | 54% | ||
TOTAL | 1,689 | 2,088 | 2,060 | 2,349 | 2,750 | 2,967 | 2,711 | 32% | ||
Crude exports were ≈2 MMBPD in 2018; reached 3.2 MMBPD in June 2019
EPD expects exports to reach
8 MMBPD in 2025, mostly light, low sulfur crude oil
*3Q 2019 includes July and August 2019 data Sources: EIA and EPD Fundamentals August 2019 Forecast
© ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. ENTERPRISE PRODUCTS PARTNERS L.P. | 51 |
PETROCHEMICAL DEMAND REMAINS STRONG WITH OR WITHOUT RECYCLING
400 | Global Ethylene Demand, million MT | 300 | Global Propylene Demand, million MT | ||||||||||||||||
300 | 2018 Demand: | 250 | |||||||||||||||||
165,000 kMT | |||||||||||||||||||
200 | |||||||||||||||||||
200 | Even in low case | 150 | |||||||||||||||||
ethylene demand | |||||||||||||||||||
≈doubles by 2040! | 100 | ||||||||||||||||||
100 | 2028-2040 CAGR | 2028-2040 CAGR | |||||||||||||||||
Base Case (BAU) | 3.9% | Base Case (BAU) | 3.8% | ||||||||||||||||
50 | |||||||||||||||||||
Low Case | 2.5% | Low Case | 3.0% | ||||||||||||||||
0 | - | ||||||||||||||||||
2012 | 2016 | 2020 | 2024 | 2028 | 2032 | 2036 | 2040 | 2000 | 2004 | 2008 | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 | 2024 | 2028 | 2032 | 2036 | 2040 | |
Global Ethylene Demand | Banned Ethylene | Recycled Ethylene | Global Propylene Demand | Recycling |
Plastics play an important role in rising standards of living - they lower food waste and produce less CO2 than any alternative
Single-use plastics are under threat (bans or recycling) - but only a small portion can be dispensed
This will affect Ethylene-based products mostly, such as LDPE (bags and film), PET (bottles), PS (cups, utensils)
Plastic environmental pollution - best in class disposal practices must be implemented worldwide, especially in Emerging Markets
Sources: Bloomberg and EPD Fundamentals
© ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. ENTERPRISE PRODUCTS PARTNERS L.P. | 52 |
PLASTICS: FASTEST GROWTH, PAST AND
FUTURE
Production Growth for Selected Bulk Materials and GDP
10 Year Global
Compounded Annual
Growth Rates (CAGR)
GDP 3.0%
Oil1.5%
Ethylene 3.3%
Propylene 4.2%
IEA: demand for plastics to double over the next 20 years, accounting for more than 1/3 of all oil demand growth by 2030
Petrochemical products provide substantial benefits to society versus the alternatives, and are also used in a number of clean, renewable technologies
Mismanaged plastics that end up in rivers and oceans is a problem in developing nations that lack recycling and proper landfills
The global chemicals industry has a unified effort to promote recycling in developing nations
Source: IEA
© ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. ENTERPRISE PRODUCTS PARTNERS L.P. | 53 |
≈95% OF PLASTIC IN THE WORLD'S OCEANS ORIGINATE FROM JUST 10 RIVERS
95% Of Plastic Polluting The World's Oceans
Comes From These 10 Rivers
Data Source: Schmidt - Export of Plastic Debris by Rivers into the Sea (2017)
Consumer products and petrochemical companies collaborated with Ocean Conservancy to form Circulate Capital ("CC") in 2018.
- is an impact-focused investment management firm dedicated to incubating and financing companies and infrastructure that prevent the flow of plastic waste into the world's oceans. CC focuses on the prevention of mismanaged plastic waste in countries located in South Asia and Southeast Asia, regions that contribute disproportionately to ocean plastic pollution primarily because they often lack the critical waste infrastructure to manage and recycle plastic pollution.
Founding Investors include: PepsiCo, Procter & Gamble, Dow, Danone, Unilever and The Coca-Cola Company; also supported by 3M, American Chemistry Council, Kimberly-Clark, Partnerships in Environmental Management for the Seas of East Asia (PEMSEA) and the World Plastics Council
© ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. ENTERPRISE PRODUCTS PARTNERS L.P. | 54 |
ENTERPRISE EXPORTS
© ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. ENTERPRISE PRODUCTS PARTNERS L.P. | enterpriseproducts.com |
ENTERPRISE EXPORT FACILITIES
≈5 MMBPD of Capacity and Growing
300 | Gross Ethane Export Volumes | ||||||||||
250 | |||||||||||
MBPD | 200 | ||||||||||
150 | |||||||||||
100 | |||||||||||
50 | |||||||||||
0 | |||||||||||
3Q 2017 | 1Q 2018 | 3Q 2018 | 1Q 2019 | 3Q 2019 | 1Q 2020E | 3Q 2020E | |||||
Ethane | Capacity (1) | ||||||||||
5,000 | Gross Crude Export Volumes | ||||||||||
4,000 | |||||||||||
3,000 | |||||||||||
MBPD | Planned expansion: | ||||||||||
4Q 2020 +840 MBPD | |||||||||||
2,000 | |||||||||||
1,000 | |||||||||||
0 | |||||||||||
3Q 2017 | 1Q 2018 | 3Q 2018 | 1Q 2019 | 3Q 2019 | 1Q 2020E | 3Q 2020E | |||||
Crude | Capacity (1) |
(1) Capacity shown is max loading rate based on BPH; operational max is closer to 80-85% of loading. Note: Other products not represented above include: C5s, MTBE and refined products.
1,200 | Gross LPG Export Volumes | |||||||||
1,000 | ||||||||||
800 | ||||||||||
MBPD | 600 | |||||||||
Planned expansion: | ||||||||||
3Q 2020 +260 MBPD | ||||||||||
400 | ||||||||||
200 | ||||||||||
0 | ||||||||||
3Q 2017 | 1Q 2018 | 3Q 2018 | 1Q 2019 | 3Q 2019 | 1Q 2020E | 3Q 2020E | ||||
LPG | Capacity (1) | |||||||||
140 | Gross PGP Export Volumes | |||||||||
120 | Planned expansion: | |||||||||
4Q 2020 +67 MBPD | ||||||||||
MBPD | 100 | |||||||||
80 | ||||||||||
60 | ||||||||||
40 | ||||||||||
20 | ||||||||||
0 | ||||||||||
3Q 2017 | 1Q 2018 | 3Q 2018 | 1Q 2019 | 3Q 2019 | 1Q 2020E | 3Q 2020E | ||||
PGP | Capacity (1) |
© ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. ENTERPRISE PRODUCTS PARTNERS L.P. | 56 |
ENTERPRISE HOUSTON SHIP CHANNEL
The U.S. Premier Hydrocarbon Export Facility
• | Crude Oil | • | Bunker Fuels | |
s | • | Condensate | • | Refrigerated Low Ethane Propane (LEC3) |
L S | • | Natural Gasoline (C5+) | • | HD5 Propane (C3) |
E , N G D U C T | ||||
• Refinery Grade Propylene (RGP) | • | Isobutane (IC4) | ||
• | Normal Butane (NC4) | |||
• | Refinery Grade Butane (RGB) | |||
D O | • | Methyl Tertiary Butyl Ether (MTBE) | • | LPG Mix |
Butane Mix | ||||
R U P R | • | |||
• | Isooctane (IC8) | |||
• | PGP | |||
C & | • | Isooctene (IC8=) | ||
• | Naphtha | |||
- Methanol (MeOH)
HOUSTON SHIP CHANNEL | MONT BELVIEU | |
EHSC | ||
CROSS CHANNEL | ||
CONNECTIONS |
S T O R A G E & D O C K S
Storage
- Over 26 MMBbls crude and products storage
- Additional ≈1.0 MMBbls nearing completion
- Room to grow
Docks
- 7 ship docks, 1 barge dock
- Up to 45' draft
- Up to LOA - 950'/Beam - 175'
© ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. ENTERPRISE PRODUCTS PARTNERS L.P.
57
JANUARY-SEPTEMBER 2019 USGC CRUDE EXPORTS 710 MMBbls
Enterprise USGC Exports: 226 MMbbls (32%)
NWE: 26% of
U.S. Crude Exports
Asia: 31% of U.S.
Jan-Sept
Crude Exports
710 Exported
= 27% Exports
15% of U.S.
Crude Exports
Sources: EIA and EPD Fundamentals
© ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. ENTERPRISE PRODUCTS PARTNERS L.P. | 58 |
JANUARY-SEPTEMBER 2019: 51% OF USGC NGL EXPORTS WENT TO ASIA!
Enterprise: 168 MMBbls (42%)
Jan-Sept 2019 USGC Exported
395 MMBbls C2: 48 MMBbls C3: 280 MMBbls C4: 67 MMBbls
LatAm: 17%
of U.S. NGL Exports
C2: 1 MMBbls
C3: 57 MMBbls
C4: 8 MMBbls
Europe: 13% of | Far East Asia: 43% |
of U.S. NGL Exports | |
U.S. NGL Exports | |
C2: 2 MMBbls | |
C2: 21 MMBbls | |
C3: 137 MMBbls | |
C3: 25 MMBbls | |
C4: 31 MMBbls | |
C4: 4 MMBbls | |
Indian Ocean: 8% | |
Other Countries: 20% | of U.S. NGL Exports |
C2: 21 MMBbls | |
of U.S. NGL Exports | C3: 6 MMBbls |
C2: 3 MMBbls | C4: 4 MMBbls |
C3: 54 MMBbls | |
C4: 21 MMBbls |
Source: Waterborne
© ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. ENTERPRISE PRODUCTS PARTNERS L.P. | 59 |
HOUSTON VS. CORPUS CHRISTI AREA
Market vs. Destination
The Houston marketoffers an implicit hedge on operational upsets, closed arbs and volatile demand.
Corpus is a destination-one with little margin for error in refiner runs, storage and export economics (ultimately controlled by OPEC).
Houston Area | Corpus Christi | |
Supply | 5 MMBPD | 1.4 MMBPD |
(Growing to 8 MMBPD) | ||
Refiner Demand | 4.4 MMBPD | 0.8 MMBPD |
# Local Refiners | 12 | 3 |
Average Refiner Distillation Unit | 330 MBPD | 250 MBPD |
Capacity | ||
Average Refiner % of Demand | 8% | 30% |
Storage Capacity | >300 MMBbl | <20 MMBbl |
Storage Capacity as Days of Supply | 75 days | 14 days |
Price Transparency | Argus; CME and ICE | Nothing |
Futures Contracts |
There are only 2 forms of oil demand:
- Refineries (Domestic & Global)
- Storage
o Refinery runs are unreliable
o Regular maintenance and upsets can be significant and extended
It took 4 months for USGC refinery runs to return to normal after Hurricane Harvey;
Enterprise's export docks were fully operational in less than a week.
© ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. ENTERPRISE PRODUCTS PARTNERS L.P. | 60 |
GROWTH PROJECTS UPDATE
© ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. ENTERPRISE PRODUCTS PARTNERS L.P. | enterpriseproducts.com |
PERMIAN EXPANSION PROJECTS
>$8 Billion of Capital Investments
NGL Projects
In-service:
South Eddy and Waha Gas Plants added 350 MMcf/d
Orla Gas Plant and related gathering
- 3 trains added 900 MMcf/d of capacity and 120 MBPD of NGL production
Shin Oak NGL Pipeline moved 350 MBPD at end of 3Q 2019; expected ramp to 550 MBPD in 4Q 2019
9th NGL Fractionator at Mont Belvieu added 90 MBPD capacity
Under Construction:
Mentone Gas Plant (scheduled 1Q 2020); 300 MMcf/d
- Will bring total Permian plant capacity >1.6 Bcf/d and >250 MBPD of NGLs
Frac 10 and 11 (scheduled 4Q 2019 and 2Q 2020); expected to add 300 MBPD
- Will bring total Mont Belvieu area capacity to >1 MMBPD
Crude Oil Projects
In-service:
Midland-to-ECHO 1 and 2 Crude Pipeline
- ≈820 MBPD
Permian Crude Gathering System
Red Hills to Loving / to Midland Crude Pipeline
- Current: 200 MBPD; expandable to 350 MBPD
Under construction:
Midland and ECHO storage expansions 2.4 MBMBbls under construction
Midland-to-ECHO 3 expected to add 450 MBPD of capacity (scheduled 3Q 2020) Midland-to-ECHO 4 expected to add 450 MBPD of capacity (scheduled 1H 2021)
© ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. ENTERPRISE PRODUCTS PARTNERS L.P.
Mont Belvieu
62
OFFSHORE CRUDE OIL EXPORT TERMINAL
6 MMBPD Supply, 2 MMBPD Export Capacity
Burnet | Milam | Brazos |
Existing EPD Pipeline | ||
Proposed Onshore Pipeline | ||
Proposed Offshore Pipeline |
Gillespie | Blanco | |
Bastrop | ||
Hays | ||
Kendall | ||
Comal | Caldwell | |
Guadalupe | SEALY | |
Bexar | Colorado | |
Gonzales | ||
Commercial Details: |
Final Investment Decision made pending regulatory approval Wharton | |
Announced Chevron as anchor shipper | |
Anticipate approximately 2 year construction period once | |
approval received | Matagorda |
Signed letter of intent to jointly develop SPOT with Enbridge |
Operational Details:
Access to >300 MMBbls of Gulf Coast storage and 6 MMBPD of supply
Capable of loading at 85 MBPH
Manned platform meets or exceeds USCG regulations Located ≈30 nautical miles offshore in ≈115' water depth Dedicated anchorage area
Dual 36" pipelines will provide flexibility and reliability
© ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. ENTERPRISE PRODUCTS PARTNERS L.P.
Walker | Polk | Tyler |
San Jacinto | ||
Jasper | ||
Hardin | ||
Montgomery | Orange | |
Liberty | ||
Harris
EHSC Chambers
ECHO
Brazoria
36"
Freeport New Terminal
ENTERPRISE CME / NYMEX HOUSTON WTI FUTURES CONTRACT
Meeting customer demands:
Specifications are reflective of Midland crude and provide a consistent, quality barrel of crude oil
Cushing | Refinery | Cushing | Export |
Magellan | EHSC | Magellan | |
• | 40 -44 API | |
°° | ||
• | 0.275% sulfur | |
• | 4 ppm nickel | |
• | 4 ppm vanadium | Midland |
3 delivery points
- ECHO
• | Enterprise Genoa | Contracts |
• | Enterprise Houston Ship Channel (EHSC) | 30,000 |
25,000 | ||
EPD-CME futures contracts have traded | 20,000 |
on average over 105%more volume than 15,000 | |
the ICE contract since November 2018 | 10,000 |
5,000 |
-
EPD ECHOExport
GENOA
Refinery
XOM Baytown
Houston Futures Contract Volumes
CME | ICE | Sources: NYMEX and ICE |
© ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. ENTERPRISE PRODUCTS PARTNERS L.P. | 64 |
PROPANE DEHYDROGENATION UNIT ("PDH") 2
Under Construction
Commercial Details
Announced anchor contracts with Lyondell affiliate
Long-term contract durations
Fixed fee contracts
Integrates with existing propane and propylene network:
- PDH 1, propylene fractionation, storage, pipelines and export facility
Operational Details
Designed to consume up to 35 MBPD of propane and produce 25 MBPD (or 1.65 billion lbs/yr) of polymer grade propylene ("PGP")
Scheduled to be completed 1H 2023
Fixed Fee Engineering, Procurement and Construction contract
Expanding Petrochemical Midstream Services
PDH 1: Catofin dehydro with splitter
iBDH: Oleflex dehydro
PDH 2: Oleflex dehydro with splitter
Rendering
© ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. ENTERPRISE PRODUCTS PARTNERS L.P. | 65 |
iBDH
The "Other" DeHydrogenation Project
Capacity
- 937 million pounds of isobutylene annually (425,000 metric tons)
- Doubles Enterprise's capacity
- Consumes 30 MBPD butane
Schedule
- >75% complete and on budget
- Expected 4Q 2019 completion
Contracts
- 50% will fill Crude Isobutylene sales on a 15-year,fee-based contract with an investment grade company, all on a feedstock cost-plus basis
Facility rendering
- 25% will fill Enterprise's HPIB capacity for lubricants, additives and rubber, all on a feedstock cost-plus basis
- 25% will fill Enterprise's MTBE capacity into the export motor gasoline market
© ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. ENTERPRISE PRODUCTS PARTNERS L.P. | 66 |
ENTERPRISE ETHYLENE SYSTEM
Under Development
STORAGE & CONNECTIVITY | PIPELINE | EXPORT TERMINAL |
- Cavern capacity 600 million lbs.
- Cavern In / Out delivery rates expandable up to 420,000 lbs. per hour
- 8 industry pipelines within half mile of Enterprise storage header
- Additional MTBV Enterprise owned caverns available for market growth
- Access to USGC ethylene via Enterprise Mont Belvieu system
- New pipeline enhances industry connectivity by directly linking Mont Belvieu Caverns to the export terminal and to USGC markets
- Export System capable of 2.2 billion lbs. per year
- Loading rate of 2.2 million lbs. per hour
- On-siterefrigerated storage for 66 million lbs.
- Multiple docks for loading
- Expected in-service: 4Q 2019; full operations by 4Q 2020
3rd Party Storage | Ethylene Refrigeration | Ethylene Export |
& On-Site Storage | ||
Ethylene | ||
Pipeline | ||
Mont Belvieu Caverns | ||
New Ethylene Cavern | ||
3rd Party Olefins Plants | 3rd Party Ethylene Connections | |
© ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. ENTERPRISE PRODUCTS PARTNERS L.P. | 67 |
GILLIS LATERAL
Expansion and Extension of the Acadian Gas System
Commercial Details
Supported by long-term contracts
Demand oriented, offers suppliers access to higher value markets
Links Acadian system to 3rd party interconnects near Gillis, Louisiana, including pipelines serving LNG export facilities
Operational Details
Anticipated expansion of Acadian system to 2.1 Bcf/d
Gillis Lateral
- Planning construction of an ≈80-milenew-build pipeline
- 1 Bcf/d expected capacity
Anticipated in-servicemid-2021
Gas Processing Plant
Underground Storage
Compressor Station
Enterprise Natural Gas Pipelines
Selected 3rd Party Pipelines
© ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. ENTERPRISE PRODUCTS PARTNERS L.P. | 68 |
MORE GROWTH ON THE HORIZON
Potential >$5 Billion of Opportunities
Producer driven projects
- Additional gas processing plants
- Expand existing and build additional NGL fractionators
- Expand Seaway crude oil pipeline capacity (announced
open season)
-
Add natural gas, NGL & other crude pipeline capacity
Demand driven projects - Offshore crude oil port (FID, pending regulatory approval)
- Additional LPG export capacity
- Expand Aegis ethane pipeline
- Additional marine terminal capacity (multi-product)
© ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. ENTERPRISE PRODUCTS PARTNERS L.P. | 69 |
ENVIRONMENTAL, SOCIAL AND
GOVERNANCE ("ESG")
© ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. ENTERPRISE PRODUCTS PARTNERS L.P. | enterpriseproducts.com |
IEA EXPECTS NATURAL GAS TO HELP REDUCE CO2 EMISSIONS AT THE EXPENSE OF COAL
AND OIL
The world needs fossil fuels
Pounds CO2 per MMBtu
Natural gas is expected to play a central role in reducing CO2 emissions
Natural gas is needed to displace coal and oil as it emits 30%-50% less CO2 per unit of energy
Worldwide, 450 coal plants currently under construction or planned; two-thirds are in China, India and SE Asia(1)
Thousand Megawatt Hours
5,000,000 | Net Power Generation by Source |
4,000,000
3,000,000
2,000,000
1,000,000
0
2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 |
Coal | Petroleum Liquids | Petroleum Coke | Natural Gas | Other Gas | Nuclear | Conventional Hydro | Solar Other Renewables | Other | |||
(1) "Getting Real About the Green New Deal" by Jason Bordoff | Source: EIA |
© ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. ENTERPRISE PRODUCTS PARTNERS L.P. | 71 |
POWER GENERATION FROM SHALE NATURAL GAS AND RENEWABLES HAS LED TO LOWER CO2 EMISSIONS
15% Decrease in U.S. CO2 Emissions Since 2007 | |||||
Tons | 3,500 | 7,000 | |||
Metric | 3,000 | 6,000 | Tons | ||
Million | 2,500 | 5,000 | Metric | ||
Gas & Petroleum in | 2,000 | 4,000 | Emissions in Million | ||
1,500 | 3,000 | ||||
1,000 | 2,000 | ||||
Natural | 500 | 1,000 | Total | ||
Coal, | 0 | 0 | |||
Total | Coal | Natural Gas | Petroleum & Liquids |
The U.S. accounted for 14 % of Global GHG emissions in 2017 while China accounted for 27% of Global GHG emissions according to the World Resources Institute
- China's average annual growth rate for coal consumption from 2000 to 2013 was ≈9%.
- China's coal fire capacity could expand by another 30% according to the research unit of the China State Grid Corporation
Source: EIA
© ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. ENTERPRISE PRODUCTS PARTNERS L.P. | 72 |
NGLS PRODUCE ADVANCED MATERIALS FOR MAKING LIGHTER CARS AND PLANES
Approximately 35% of NGLs are consumed as a feedstock for producing plastics and chemicals, which are used in everyday life
Advanced plastics and coatings enables more efficient planes, cars, houses and appliances, thus reducing energy usage and corresponding CO2 emissions
In some developing countries, "single use" plastics end up as rubbish, pollution on land, or in oceans
- Particularly countries lacking adequate rubbish collection and disposal, or recycling policies and incentives
- Many countries have banned or limited the use of plastic bags while other have implemented serious recycling policies with consumer awareness programs Source: EPD Fundamentals
© ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. ENTERPRISE PRODUCTS PARTNERS L.P.
ETHYLENE AND ITS USAGE
PRODUCTS YOU CAN'T DO WITHOUT
% of Total | ||||
Derivative Name | in 000's MT | Ethylene | Common Uses | Recycling |
High Density Polyethylene | 46,000 | 29% | Housewares, Crates, Drums, Bottles (strong) | average |
Linear Low Density Polyethylene | 32,000 | 20% | Food Packaging, Film, Trash Bags, Diapers, Toys | difficult |
Ethylene Oxide | 25,000 | 16% | Mostly Bottles, Antifreeze, Clothing, Film | common |
Low Density Polyethylene | 22,000 | 14% | Food Containers, Squeezable Bottles, Film, Plastic Bags, Toys | average |
Ethylene Dichloride | 14,000 | 9% | Siding, Windows, Frames, PVC Pipe, Medical Tubing | difficult |
Styrene / Ethyl Benzene | 9,000 | 6% | Insulation, Cups, Lenses, Tires, Hoses, Latex, Carpeting, Coatings | difficult |
Other | 13,000 | 8% | difficult | |
Total | 161,000 | |||
Ethylene is used to make what are known as single use plastics such as water bottles, bags, films and packaging
- Less than 25% of ethylene demand is prime target for mandated or incentive-based recycling; however,
- Most other ethylene-based products are extremely hard to replace or recycle
- Plastic bags and film packaging cannot be recycled if contaminated
- Depending on use, film packaging can have differing formulations making them harder to recycle
Sources: Bloomberg and EPD
© ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. ENTERPRISE PRODUCTS PARTNERS L.P. | 74 |
PROPYLENE IS USED IN DURABLE GOODS
AGAIN, EXTREMELY HARD TO REPLACE
% of Total | ||||
Derivative Name | in 000's MT | Propylene | Common Uses | Recycling |
PolyPropylene | 69,000 | 67% | Automotive, Diapers, Consumer Products, Clothing | difficult |
Propylene Oxide | 7,500 | 7% | Furniture, Insulation, Fiberglass, Appliances, Automotive, Detergent, Solvents | difficult |
Acrylonitrile | 6,500 | 6% | Clothing, Carpet, Appliance, Automotive, Rubber | difficult |
Cumene | 4,000 | 4% | Parmaceuticals, Cosmetics, Lenses, Polyesters, Soda Bottles, Solvents | difficult |
Acrylic Acid | 4,000 | 4% | Paints, Adhesives, Textiles, Super-absorbants | difficult |
Butanols | 2,500 | 2% | difficult | |
2-Ethylhexanol | 2,500 | 2% | difficult | |
Isopropanol | 800 | 1% | PMMA (Acrylic), Solvents | difficult |
Others | 6,000 | 6% | ||
Total | 102,800 | |||
Propylene is used for its durability and light weight
Product complexity (generally part of larger consumer product or structure) and lifespan often makes it a poor target for recycling
Sources: Bloomberg and EPD
© ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. ENTERPRISE PRODUCTS PARTNERS L.P. | 75 |
ENVIRONMENTAL, SOCIAL AND
GOVERNANCE PRIORITIES
Governance and Oversight:
The Governance Committee oversees implementation of policies related to environmental protection, transportation compliance, health & safety policies
- Board-levelcommittee includes Chairman of the board and two external directors
The Safety Leadership Council has executive-level oversight of safety and environmental stewardship
- Members include the CEO, Chairman, President and other executives who meet weekly
Safety Objectives:
Abide by "GoalZero" policy
• | Daily safety moments remind employees that: | |
"No task is so important that it be done at the | Rate | |
risk of safety" | ||
Injury | ||
• | Every meeting begins with a safety moment | |
≈$1 billion spent on maintaining our assets
Best-in-class training
In 2018, over 280,000 hours of safety, technical and compliance training was provided
- Some courses offered to external stakeholders and regulators
The OHSA Recordable Rate is calculated by multiplying the number of recordable injury cases by 200,000 and then dividing that number by the actual number of labor hours at the company
© ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. ENTERPRISE PRODUCTS PARTNERS L.P. | 76 |
ESG PRIORITIES (continued)
Environmental Stewardship Principles: Continuous monitoring of environmental data, allows us to anticipate and prevent issues. Utilize systems to track operational and emissions data, and identify opportunities for improvement.
- Evaluate opportunities to lower emissions and energy consumption to promote efficiencies and better protect the public and environment
- Proactive involvement in the environmental regulatory process helps ensure responsible government policy.
- Collaborate with industry associations such as: Houston Regional Monitoring, Gas Processors Association and Texas Pipeline Association to share best practices for continuous improvement
Other areas of emphasis:
- Stakeholder Engagement: Leadership role in over two dozen key state and federal associations, allowing us to coordinate advocacy and participate in key industry issues, including environmental and safety initiatives, pipeline security, safe and reliable pipeline construction and engagement with landowners and Native Americans.
- Community Support: >$110MM of investments, financial contributions and commitments from 2015 through November 2019 have supported economic development, first responders, educational development and Public Safety awareness
© ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. ENTERPRISE PRODUCTS PARTNERS L.P. | 77 |
TOTAL DIRECT EMISSIONS AND ECONOMIC INTENSITY
Million MT CO2e
Total Direct CO2e Emissions(1,2,3)
10.0 | |||||||||
+10 % | |||||||||
8.0 | 8.9 | 8.7 | 9.0 | 9.5 | |||||
8.6 | 8.4 | 8.2 | 8.6 | ||||||
6.0
4.0
2.0
0.0
2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 |
GOM ($ / MT Direct CO e Emissions 2
Gross Operating Margin / Direct Emissions
$900 | |||||||||||
+71% improvement | $771 | ||||||||||
$800 | |||||||||||
$700 | $598 | $653 | $611 | $634 | |||||||
$600 | $576 | ||||||||||
$495 | |||||||||||
$500 | |||||||||||
$451 | |||||||||||
$400 | |||||||||||
$300 | |||||||||||
$200 | |||||||||||
$100 | |||||||||||
$0 | |||||||||||
2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | ||||
Percent Change
70% | Increase in Volumes from 2011-2018 vs. Increase in Emissions | |||
59.7% | 57.6% | |||
60% | 55.0% | |||
50% | ||||
40% | ||||
30% | 26.0% | |||
20% | ||||
10% | ||||
0% | ||||
10%
Total Petrochemical | Total NGL Fractionation | Total Liquid Pipeline | Total Fee-based | Total Direct |
Facilities Volumes | Volumes | Volumes | Processing Volumes | CO2e Emissions |
- Reportable direct CO2 equivalent emissions with global warming potential ratios.
- Includes new assets from acquisitions or construction including: Oiltanking and EFS acquisitions, new pipelines, processing facilities, storage and export facilities.
- See Definitions in Appendix.
© ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. ENTERPRISE PRODUCTS PARTNERS L.P. | 78 |
EPD HAS ADDED ASSETS WITHOUT INCREASING CARBON INTENSITY(3)
2.8 | Total Direct CO2e Emissions/Bbl(1,2) | |||||||
2.5 | (16%) | |||||||
MMBoe | 2.4 | |||||||
2.1 | 2.2 | 2.2 | ||||||
2.1 | 2.1 | 2.1 | ||||||
2.0 | ||||||||
1.4 | ||||||||
e per | ||||||||
2 | ||||||||
CO | 0.7 | |||||||
MT | ||||||||
0.0 | ||||||||
2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 |
Output | 3.5 | NGL Fractionation CO2e Emissions/Bbl(1) | |||||||||
2.8 | 3.3 | ||||||||||
(33%) | |||||||||||
of | 2.8 | 2.9 | 2.6 | 2.5 | |||||||
MBbl | 2.1 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 2.2 | |||||||
e per | 1.4 | ||||||||||
2 | 0.7 | ||||||||||
MT CO | |||||||||||
0.0 | |||||||||||
2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 |
Natural Gas Processing CO e Emissions/Bbl(1) | |||||||||
Output | 20.0 | 2 | |||||||
(13%) | |||||||||
18.9 | |||||||||
16.0 | 18.3 | 17.4 | |||||||
16.7 | 16.4 | ||||||||
of | 15.5 | 15.4 | |||||||
14.3 | |||||||||
per MBbl | 12.0 | ||||||||
8.0 | |||||||||
e | |||||||||
2 | |||||||||
CO | 4.0 | ||||||||
MT | 0.0 | ||||||||
2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 |
Output | 3.0 | MTBV PGP Splitters CO2e Emissions/Bbl(1) | |||||||
2.5 | 2.8 | 2.6 | 2.5 | (25%) | |||||
of | |||||||||
2.0 | 2.2 | ||||||||
MBbl | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 2.1 | |||||
1.5 | |||||||||
per | 1.0 | ||||||||
e | |||||||||
2 | |||||||||
CO | 0.5 | ||||||||
MT | 0.0 | ||||||||
2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 |
- Reportable direct CO2 equivalent emissions with global warming potential ratios.
- Includes new assets from acquisitions or construction including: Oiltanking and EFS acquisitions, new pipelines, processing facilities, storage and export facilities.
- Processing, Fractionation and Splitters make up ≈50% of total emissions.
© ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. ENTERPRISE PRODUCTS PARTNERS L.P. | 79 |
APPENDIX
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CREDIT QUALITY OF TOP CUSTOMERS
Revenue from Top 25 Customers by Rating(1)
Top 25 Customers
Account for 63% of EPD's 2018 revenue
≈89% of revenue is from customers with an investment grade credit rating or backed by a letter of credit
Top 200 Customers
B- to B+
1.7%
LC
9.1%
BB- to
BB+
9.1%A- to AA
38.0%
BBB- to
BBB+
42.1%
Account for 96.0% of EPD's 2018 revenue
≈79% of revenue is from customers with an investment grade credit rating or backed by a letter of credit
Less than 5% of revenue from non-rated or sub-investment grade independent E&P's
- 19 customers
- As of January 31, 2019
Revenue from Top 200 Customers by Rating(1)
Not Rated | |
2.7% | |
LC | |
11.8% | |
B- to B+ | A- to AA |
5.0% | 30.8% |
BB- to | |
BB+ | |
12.9% | |
BBB- to | |
BBB+ | |
36.7% |
© ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. ENTERPRISE PRODUCTS PARTNERS L.P. | 81 |
GROWTH CAPITAL PROJECTS
2019 YTD | 4Q 2019 | 1Q 2020 | 2Q 2020 | 3Q 2020 | 4Q 2020 | 2021+ | ||||||
NGL Pipeline & Services | ||||||||||||
Orla gas plants - 900 MMcf/d and related pipeline (I & II in service, III 2Q 2019) | Done | |||||||||||
Shin Oak (Permian to Mont Belvieu) 24" NGL pipeline in service, ramp to 550 MBPD (4Q 2019) | Done | √ | ||||||||||
Shoup, South Texas Fractionation Optimization (2Q 2019) | Done | |||||||||||
Front Range and Texas Express mixed NGL pipeline expansions (1Q 2020) | √ | |||||||||||
EHT - LPG dock metering and refrigeration expansion (3Q 2019 & 4Q 2020) | Done | √ | ||||||||||
Panola III gas plant and related pipelines (4Q 2019) | √ | |||||||||||
Mentone gas plant in Permian and related pipelines (1Q 2020) | √ | |||||||||||
Mont Belvieu fractionators - 150 MBPD each (4Q 2019 & 2Q 2020) | √ | √ | ||||||||||
ATEX pipeline expansion - 45 MBPD (2022) | √ | |||||||||||
Crude Oil Pipelines & Services | ||||||||||||
Midland-to-ECHO 24" pipeline (in service) and four 240 MBbl storage at Sealy | Done | |||||||||||
Permian pipelines - Red Hills-Loving-Midland and gathering (June 2018 & 1Q 2020) | √ | |||||||||||
Houston Ship Channel 58 acres tanks | Done | √ | ||||||||||
Eagle Ford (JV) - crude oil dock at Corpus Christi (2Q 2019) | Done | |||||||||||
Midland-to-ECHO 2 NGL pipeline conversion (2Q 2019) | Done | |||||||||||
Midland-to-ECHO 3 pipeline expansion and related storage (3Q 2020 & 1Q 2021) | √ | √ | ||||||||||
EHT crude export dock replacement and expansion (4Q 2020) | √ | √ | ||||||||||
EFS condensate delivery expansions (2Q 2020) | √ | |||||||||||
Midland-to-ECHO 4 pipeline (2Q 2021) | √ | |||||||||||
Petrochemical & Refined Products Services | ||||||||||||
Refined products export dock - Beaumont expansion (1Q 2018-2019) | Done | |||||||||||
Ethylene storage, 12" Mont Belvieu to Bayport pipeline and export terminal (2019-2020) | Done | √ | √ | √ | ||||||||
Isobutane Dehydrogenation ("iBDH") unit (4Q 2019) | √ | |||||||||||
Mont Belvieu DIB expansion (3Q 2020) | √ | |||||||||||
Mont Belvieu ISOM and HPiC4 pipeline (2022) | √ | |||||||||||
EHT propylene refrigeration and export expansion (4Q 2020) | √ | |||||||||||
Propylene pipelines - PGP expansion (2Q 2019) and RGP expansion (4Q 2020) | Done | √ | ||||||||||
PDH2 - 35 MBPD of propane and 1.65 B lbs/year of PGP (1H 2023) | √ | |||||||||||
Other | Done | √ | √ | |||||||||
Natural Gas Pipelines & Services | ||||||||||||
Permian gathering systems (3Q 2019) | Done | |||||||||||
Gillis lateral 80-mile pipeline (1 Bcf/d) and capacity increase on Acadian pipeline (mid-2021) | √ | |||||||||||
Value of capital placed in service ($ Billions) $ | 3.0 | |||||||||||
Value of remaining capital projects to be placed in service ($ Billions) | $ | 2.5 | $ | 0.5 | $ | 0.6 | $ | 0.8 | $ | 0.9 | $ | 3.8 |
© ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. ENTERPRISE PRODUCTS PARTNERS L.P. | 82 |
MONT BELVIEU FRACTIONATION CAPACITY
MBbls |
6,000 |
5,000 |
4,000 |
3,000 |
2,000 |
1,000 |
- |
Existing | Potential New Frac Capacity | Cumulative New Supply |
This chart measures total supply vs. Mont Belvieu Frac capacity and does not consider available capacity in Louisiana, South Texas or at Conway | Source: IEA and EPD Fundamentals published Aug. 2019 | |
© ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. ENTERPRISE PRODUCTS PARTNERS L.P. | 83 |
CAPITAL PROJECTS VS. BUYBACKS SUPPORT
Capital Deployment Scenario
$2B "Grossed Up" Growth Capital Assumptions:
$1B retained cash flow funded and $1B debt funded with a 2 year construction period
• Assumes 30 year debt financing at 4%
12% ROIC
Current distribution coverage of 1.6x is maintained
Maintenance expense beginning year 3 after completion
Credit neutral
$1B Growth Capital Assumptions:
$1B spend with a 2 year construction period
Assumes 100% retained cash flow funded
12% ROIC
Current distribution coverage of 1.6x is maintained
Maintenance expense beginning year 3 after completion
Credit positive
$1B Buyback Assumptions:
$1B buyback over a 2 year period ($500 MM/year)
Assumes 100% retained cash flow funded
Assumes a $26 stock price (11% DCF yield)
Current distribution coverage of 1.6x is maintained
Credit neutral / negative
© ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. ENTERPRISE PRODUCTS PARTNERS L.P. | 84 |
DEFINITIONS
Return on Invested Capital ("ROIC") is calculated by dividing non-GAAP gross operating margin for the assets (the numerator) by the average historical cost of the underlying assets (the denominator). The average historical cost includes fixed assets, investments in unconsolidated affiliates, intangible assets and goodwill. Like gross operating margin, the historical cost amounts used in determining ROIC are before depreciation and amortization and reflect the original purchase or construction cost.
Operational Distributable Cash Flow ("DCF") represents DCF excluding proceeds from asset sales and property damage insurance claims and net receipts / payments from the monetization of interest rate derivative instruments.
Distributable Cash Flow ("DCF") per Unit is determined by dividing DCF for a period by the average number of fully diluted common units outstanding for that period.
Net Cash Flows Provided by Operating Activities ("CFFO") represents the GAAP financial measure "Net cash flows provided by operating activities".
CFFO Yield is calculated as trailing 12 month CFFO per share divided by stock price.
Free Cash Flow ("FCF") per unit is calculated as the free cash flow divided by the number of fully diluted common units outstanding for that period.
Total Return is defined as distribution yield plus price appreciation.
Price / Earnings is defined as current share price relative to trailing 12 months earnings per share.
Price / Cash Flow is defined as current share price relative to trailing 12 months cash flow from operations divided by the basic weighted average number of shares.
CFFO Payout Ratio is calculated as trailing 12 months distribution per share divided by the trailing 12 months cash flow from operations.
Leverage is defined as net debt divided by adjusted EBITDA.
Adjusted EBITDA is adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization. EV / EBITDA is calculated as Enterprise Value divided by estimated EBITDA.
© ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. ENTERPRISE PRODUCTS PARTNERS L.P. | 85 |
DEFINITIONS - ESG
Direct
- Subpart C - Emissions from Stationary Combustion Equipment (regardless of facility)
- Subpart W - Emissions from Petroleum and Natural Gas Systems: all other equipment emissions from natural gas processing, transmission, storage. Also, includes emissions from gas gathering and boosting.
© ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. ENTERPRISE PRODUCTS PARTNERS L.P. | 86 |
INDICATIVE ATTRIBUTION OF GROSS
OPERATING MARGIN
Slides 29-31 attribute gross operating margin (GOM) among fee-based,commodity-based and differential- based business activities. Most activities fit easily into one category; however, the classification of certain activities involves an element of subjectivity. The classifications reflected in the referenced slides represent what we currently believe is the most logical fit of our business activities into the categories described below, based on the underlying fee or pricing characteristics applicable thereto.
These classifications may be subject to change in the event that management's estimates or assumptions underlying such classifications are revised or updated. In addition, our attribution of GOM into the categories described below may not be comparable to similar classifications by other companies because such companies may use different estimates and assumptions than we do in defining such categories or otherwise calculating such attributions.
Three categories of GOM:
- Fee-based: Pipeline transportation fees and tariffs, NGL and propylene fractionation fees, storage capacity reservation and throughput fees, export terminal fees, marine and trucking fees, fee-based natural gas processing arrangements, isomerization and dehydrogenation fees, demand and deficiency fees, and similar activities that are predominantly fee- oriented.
- Commodity-based:Percentage-of-liquids and percentage-of-proceeds natural gas processing arrangements, certain condensate sales, gathering revenues on our San Juan natural gas pipeline system, and similar activities that have commodity price exposure.
- Differential-based: Certain business activities where earnings are generated based on price differentials or spreads between locations, time periods and products in excess of any related fees, tariffs and other expenses.
© ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. ENTERPRISE PRODUCTS PARTNERS L.P. | 87 |
NON-GAAP RECONCILIATIONS
© ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. ENTERPRISE PRODUCTS PARTNERS L.P. | enterpriseproducts.com |
DISTRIBUTABLE CASH FLOW
We measure cash available for distribution by reference to distributable cash flow ("DCF"). DCF is a quantitative standard used by the investment community for evaluating publicly traded partnerships since the value of a partnership unit is, in part, measured by its yield, which is based on the amount of cash distributions a partnership can pay to a unitholder. Our management compares the DCF we generate to the cash distributions we expect to pay our partners to compute our distribution coverage ratio. Our calculation of DCF may or may not be comparable to similarly titled measures used by other companies. The GAAP financial measure most directly comparable to DCF is cash flow from operations ("CFFO"), otherwise referred to as net cash flows provided by operating activities.
See "Investors - Non-GAAP Financial Measures" on our website (www.enterpriseproducts.com) for more information regarding DCF, including additional reconciliation detail. The following table presents our calculation of DCF for each of the three years ended December 31, 2018 or periods presented below (dollars in millions):
YTD 2019 | 3Q 2019 | 2Q 2019 | 1Q 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | ||||||||
Net income attributable to limited partners (GAAP) | $ | 3,494 | $ | 1,018 | $ | 1,215 | $ | 1,261 | $ | 4,172 | $ | 2,799 | $ | 2,513 |
Depreciation, amortization and accretion | 1,457 | 494 | 488 | 475 | 1,792 | 1,644 | 1,552 | |||||||
Distributions received from unconsolidated affiliates | 485 | 170 | 171 | 144 | 529 | 483 | 452 | |||||||
Equity in income of unconsolidated affiliates | (431) | (139) | (137) | (155) | (480) | (426) | (362) | |||||||
Sustaining capital expenditures | (233) | (91) | (80) | (62) | (321) | (244) | (252) | |||||||
Proceeds from asset sales | 17 | 1 | 14 | 2 | 161 | 40 | 47 | |||||||
Other, net | 201 | 187 | 51 | (37) | 136 | 206 | 154 | |||||||
Distributable Cash Flow (non-GAAP) | 4,990 | 1,640 | 1,722 | 1,628 | 5,989 | 4,502 | 4,103 | |||||||
Reconciliation to Cash Flow from Operations: | ||||||||||||||
Sustaining capital expenditures | 233 | 91 | 80 | 62 | 321 | 244 | 252 | |||||||
Proceeds from asset sales | (17) | (1) | (14) | (2) | (161) | (40) | (47) | |||||||
Net effect of changes in operating accounts | (409) | (77) | 228 | (560) | 16 | 32 | (181) | |||||||
Other, net | 30 | (10) | 7 | 33 | (39) | (72) | (61) | |||||||
Cash Flow from Operations (GAAP) | $ | 4,827 | $ | 1,643 | $ | 2,023 | $ | 1,161 | $ | 6,126 | $ | 4,666 | $ | 4,067 |
Average Fully-Diluted Units Outstanding during period (millions) | 2,202 | 2,202 | 2,203 | 2,202 | 2,189 | 2,159 | 2,100 | |||||||
© ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. ENTERPRISE PRODUCTS PARTNERS L.P. | 89 |
GROSS OPERATING MARGIN
We evaluate segment performance based on our financial measure of gross operating margin ("GOM"). GOM is an important performance measure of the core profitability of our operations and forms the basis of our internal financial reporting. We believe that investors benefit from having access to the same financial measures that our management uses in evaluating segment results. GOM is presented on a 100 percent basis before any allocation of earnings to noncontrolling interests. Our calculation of GOM may or may not be comparable to similarly titled measures used by other companies. The GAAP financial measure most directly comparable to total segment GOM is operating income.
See "Investors - Non-GAAP Financial Measures" on our website (www.enterpriseproducts.com) for more information regarding GOM, including additional reconciliation detail. The following table presents our calculation of GOM for each of the three years ended December 31, 2018 or periods presented below (dollars in millions):
YTD 2019 | 3Q 2019 | 2Q 2019 | 1Q 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | ||||||||
GOM by segment: | ||||||||||||||
NGL Pipelines & Services | $ | 2,933 | $ | 1,008 | $ | 966 | $ | 959 | $ | 3,831 | $ | 3,258 | $ | 2,991 |
Crude Oil Pipelines & Services | 1,671 | 496 | 513 | 662 | 1,511 | 987 | 855 | |||||||
Natural Gas Pipelines & Services | 825 | 259 | 302 | 264 | 891 | 715 | 735 | |||||||
Petrochemical & Refined Products Services | 836 | 288 | 305 | 243 | 1,058 | 715 | 651 | |||||||
Total segment GOM | 6,265 | 2,051 | 2,086 | 2,128 | 7,291 | 5,675 | 5,232 | |||||||
Other adjustments, net | (14) | (15) | (5) | 6 | 35 | 6 | 17 | |||||||
Total GOM (non-GAAP) | 6,251 | 2,036 | 2,081 | 2,134 | 7,326 | 5,681 | 5,249 |
Reconciliation to Operating Income: Depreciation, amortization and accretion General & administrative costs
Other, including non-cash impairment charges Operating income (GAAP)
(1,381) | (467) | (463) | (451) | (1,687) | (1,531) | (1,457) | |||||||
(160) | (55) | (53) | (52) | (208) | (181) | (160) | |||||||
(50) | (40) | (5) | (5) | (22) | (39) | (51) | |||||||
$ | 4,660 | $ | 1,474 | $ | 1,560 | $ | 1,626 | $ | 5,409 | $ | 3,929 | $ | 3,581 |
© ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. ENTERPRISE PRODUCTS PARTNERS L.P. | 90 |
FREE CASH FLOW
Free cash flow ("FCF") is a traditional cash flow metric that is widely used by investors and other participants in the financial community. In general, FCF is a measure of how much cash flow a business generates during a specified time period after accounting for all capital investments, including expenditures for growth and sustaining capital projects. We believe that FCF is important to investors since it reflects the amount of cash available for reducing debt, investing in additional capital projects, paying distributions, common unit repurchases and similar matters. Our calculation of FCF may or may not be comparable to similarly titled measures used by other companies. The GAAP financial measure most directly comparable to FCF is CFFO.
See "Investors - Non-GAAP Financial Measures" on our website (www.enterpriseproducts.com) for more information regarding FCF, including additional reconciliation detail. The following table presents our calculation of FCF for each of the three years ended December 31, 2018 or periods presented below (dollars in millions):
Cash Flow from Operations (GAAP) Net cash used in investing activities
Cash distributions from noncontrolling interests Cash contributions paid to noncontrolling interests Free Cash Flow (non-GAAP)
YTD 2019 | 3Q 2019 | 2Q 2019 | 1Q 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | |||||||
$ | 4,827 | $ | 1,643 | $ | 2,023 | $ | 1,161 | $ | 6,126 | $ | 4,666 | $ | 4,067 |
(3,373) | (1,086) | (1,112) | (1,175) | (4,282) | (3,286) | (4,006) | |||||||
591 | 491 | 65 | 35 | 238 | - | 20 | |||||||
(70) | (23) | (29) | (18) | (81) | (49) | (47) | |||||||
$ | 1,975 | $ | 1,025 | $ | 947 | $ | 3 | $ | 2,001 | $ | 1,331 | $ | 34 |
© ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. ENTERPRISE PRODUCTS PARTNERS L.P. | 91 |
ADJUSTED EBITDA
Adjusted EBITDA is commonly used as a supplemental financial measure by our management and external users of our financial statements, such as investors, commercial banks, research analysts and rating agencies, to assess the financial performance of our assets without regard to financing methods, capital structures or historical cost basis; the ability of our assets to generate cash sufficient to pay interest and support our indebtedness; and the viability of projects and the overall rates of return on alternative investment opportunities. Our calculation of Adjusted EBITDA may or may not be comparable to similarly titled measures used by other companies. The GAAP financial measure most directly comparable to Adjusted EBITDA is CFFO.
See "Investors - Non-GAAP Financial Measures" on our website (www.enterpriseproducts.com) for more information regarding Adjusted EBITDA, including additional reconciliation detail. The following table presents our calculation of Adjusted EBITDA for each of the three years ended December 31, 2018 or periods presented below (dollars in millions):
YTD 2019 | 3Q 2019 | 2Q 2019 | 1Q 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | ||||||||
Net income (GAAP) | $ | 3,562 | $ | 1,045 | $ | 1,237 | $ | 1,280 | $ | 4,239 | $ | 2,856 | $ | 2,553 |
Depreciation, amortization and accretion | 1,416 | 480 | 475 | 461 | 1,723 | 1,566 | 1,487 | |||||||
Interest expense | 950 | 383 | 290 | 277 | 1,097 | 985 | 983 | |||||||
Distributions received from unconsolidated affiliates | 485 | 170 | 171 | 144 | 529 | 483 | 452 | |||||||
Provision for income taxes | 37 | 15 | 10 | 12 | 61 | 26 | 23 | |||||||
Equity in income of unconsolidated affiliates | (431) | (139) | (137) | (155) | (480) | (426) | (362) | |||||||
Other, net | 79 | 69 | 43 | (33) | 54 | 125 | 120 | |||||||
Adjusted EBITDA | 6,098 | 2,023 | 2,089 | 1,986 | 7,223 | 5,615 | 5,256 | |||||||
Reconciliation to Cash Flow from Operations: | ||||||||||||||
Interest expense | (950) | (383) | (290) | (277) | (1,097) | (985) | (983) | |||||||
Net effect of changes in operating accounts | (409) | (77) | 228 | (560) | 16 | 32 | (181) | |||||||
Other, net | 88 | 80 | (4) | 12 | (16) | 4 | (25) | |||||||
Cash Flow from Operations (GAAP) | $ | 4,827 | $ | 1,643 | $ | 2,023 | $ | 1,161 | $ | 6,126 | $ | 4,666 | $ | 4,067 |
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INVESTOR RELATIONS
CONTACT INFORMATION
Randy Burkhalter - Vice President, Investor Relations
- (713) 381-6812
- rburkhalter@eprod.com
Jackie Richert - Director, Investor Relations
- (713) 381-3920
- jmrichert@eprod.com
Libby Strait - Manager, Investor Relations
- (713) 381-4754
- ecstrait@eprod.com
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Enterprise Products Partners LP published this content on 11 December 2019 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 11 December 2019 12:40:05 UTC