Retail banking, like most other industries, is currently being hit by political and economic uncertainty.

Former Head of Payments and Head of Strategy for Lloyds Banking Group Paul Cadbury is currently looking for a new job in the industry and has shared his insights with GlobalData.

Cadbury says: "As McKinsey recently reported, all customer groups - even those aged over 50 - now prefer digital channels. As a result, the key barrier to removing branch and telephone banking - and all the cost-saving this represents - has all but disappeared. This is leading to a massive rethink of the banking proposition.

"According to statements by the Accord Union, Lloyds announced internal restructures on five occasions in the last 12 months.

"This impacts 27 different business divisions which have all contributed to the approximate 60,000 job cuts the bank has made since its 2008 acquisition of Halifax Bank of Scotland. Roughly 75,000 staff remain.

"Meanwhile, the number of full-time staff employed by Royal Bank of Scotland has tumbled from 199,800 in 2008 at the time of its government bailout, to 68,600 at the end of September 2019.

Significant bank job losses announced in 2019 include:

- Deutsche Bank 18,000 (one-fifth of its workforce)

- HSBC 10,000 (4% of its workforce, 17% of its European workforce)

- Commerzbank 4,300 (one-tenth of its workforce)

- Barclays 3,000

- Société Générale 1,600

"Going forward, a recent study by Wells Fargo envisages even deeper cuts. They state that radical automation of back end processes, undertaken by robots and other technologies, will lead to a further "10% of total bank jobs being cut" in the next ten years, clearing the way for a "golden age of banking efficiency".

"Looking more broadly at the available 'Senior' roles, based on vacancies at present, the overarching trend for opportunities is for specialists with deep technical knowledge.

"Some predict this is a trend that is here to stay. Martin Chavez, CIO of Goldman Sachs, recently said the next generation of bankers will all need coding skills. He described it as important as "writing an English sentence".

"Whether it be retail banking or beyond, the key trait that will enable an individual to thrive in the future will be a willingness to adapt and learn.

"In an uncertain world, where many skill sets may not be readily available, recruiters and recruitees alike would be best to look for these softer skills; something which is currently very much a secondary consideration when it comes to recruitment.

"Until recruiters find a way to hire for adaptability rather than short term impact, the industry will continue to be highly inefficient."

GlobalData's banking editor Douglas Blakey says: "Pick just about any bank at random - big or small, incumbent or challenger and you can bet one thing.

"If it is an established high street lender it will claim to be in transformation mode, transitioning to a culture embracing agility and innovation.

"Moreover, the bank will try to assure its shareholders that it is learning from the GAFAs.

In particular, it will claim that its digital culture is one that seeks to attract and retain the brightest digital leaders.

"And if it is a digital neobank, it will claim that its culture from day one is one of innovation and nimbleness along the lines of a Google or an Amazon.

"Don't be kidded and don't be conned by such assurances from bank CEOs at the next set of quarterly investor presentations.

"Some of the brightest and most innovative digital leaders have upped sticks from UK banks in the past two or three years.

"As RBI reports, (link below) we are not seeing as many new senior digital roles at the banks as they might have us believe.

"The percentage of digital positions at most banks remains less than 10%. By contrast, most tech companies have a digital staff density of about 40%.

"And looking at the digital neobanks, the evidence is that they are not hiring from the incumbent banks.

"Lastly, but ominously, there is evidence that banks are struggling to attract and retain senior and talented data scientists."

ENDS

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