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MORGAN STANLEY

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Morgan Stanley : analysts say Fed to cut U.S. rates in September

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08/12/2019 | 02:56pm EDT
FILE PHOTO: A sign is displayed on the Morgan Stanley building in New York

NEW YORK (Reuters) - Morgan Stanley analysts said on Monday that they now expect the U.S. Federal Reserve to cut rates in September and then again in October.

"Trade's 'simmer' has begun to boil, business sentiment and capex (capital expenditures) have softened further, global growth remains weak and inflation expectations have fallen," while the gap between 3-month <US3MT=RR> and 10-year U.S. government bonds <US10YT=RR> points to overly restrictive monetary policy, the investment bank's analysts said in a note.

The analysts previously predicted a cut in October alone, saying the central bank would "wait for further evidence that downside risks are weighing on the economy."

The bank joins a number of investors betting that the Fed's first rate cut since 2008, late last month, will be the first of several moves to lower borrowing costs. Goldman Sachs said earlier this month it sees a strong chance of rate cuts in both September and October.

Morgan Stanley is one of 24 so-called primary dealers that can trade directly with the Fed's main market desk in New York.

(Reporting by Trevor Hunnicutt; Editing by Will Dunham)

Stocks mentioned in the article
ChangeLast1st jan.
GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC 1.65% 199.42 Delayed Quote.19.38%
MORGAN STANLEY 2.15% 39.94 Delayed Quote.0.73%
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Financials (USD)
Sales 2019 39 899 M
EBIT 2019 10 600 M
Net income 2019 7 997 M
Debt 2019 148 B
Yield 2019 3,25%
P/E ratio 2019 8,19x
P/E ratio 2020 7,66x
EV / Sales2019 5,35x
EV / Sales2020 5,20x
Capitalization 66 012 M
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Technical analysis trends MORGAN STANLEY
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Mean consensus BUY
Number of Analysts 27
Average target price 52,77  $
Last Close Price 39,94  $
Spread / Highest target 72,8%
Spread / Average Target 32,1%
Spread / Lowest Target -4,86%
EPS Revisions
Managers
NameTitle
James Patrick Gorman Chairman & Chief Executive Officer
Thomas Colm Kelleher President
Jonathan M. Pruzan Chief Financial Officer & Executive Vice President
Bjarne Stroustrup Managing Director-Technology
Katy L. Huberty Managing Director-Research
Sector and Competitors
1st jan.Capitalization (M$)
MORGAN STANLEY0.73%64 623
GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC19.38%70 539
THE CHARLES SCHWAB CORPORATION-11.97%47 791
CITIC SECURITIES COMPANY33.23%33 599
HUATAI SECURITIES17.65%22 589
CHINA SECURITIES CO LTD94.26%16 096