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MarketScreener Homepage  >  Equities  >  NATIONAL STOCK EXCHANGE OF INDIA  >  Reliance Communications    RCOM   INE330H01018

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India's telecom sector on the ropes after $13 billion levy ruling

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11/28/2019 | 04:24am EST

India's telecoms sector has been rocked by a Supreme Court ruling last month that sided with the government in a dispute over how levies are calculated, saddling the industry with a combined $13 billion in fresh debt.

Below is a rundown of India's telecoms sector, once the poster child of the country's liberalisation push, and its current woes.

THREE MAJOR CARRIERS

Just three carriers - Vodafone Idea Ltd, Bharti Airtel Ltd and Reliance Jio Infocomm Ltd [RELIB.UL] - serve 90% of the country's 1.18 billion mobile subscribers. Each control about 30% of the market.

Vodafone Idea, a venture between the local unit of Vodafone Group and India's Idea Cellular, is the biggest with more than 370 million subscribers.

Jio, controlled by Asia's richest man Mukesh Ambani, entered the market in 2016, launching a brutal price war that encouraged more consolidation and collapse of smaller mobile operators such as Reliance Communications Ltd, owned by his brother Anil Ambani. It is now the No. 2 mobile carrier.

Bharti Airtel is backed by Singapore Telecommunications Ltd, the biggest shareholder in the Indian mobile carrier with an effective stake of about 35%.

THE CURRENT CRISIS

The Supreme Court overturned a lower court ruling and agreed with the government's definition of adjusted gross revenue (AGR), which has been contested by mobile carriers for over a decade.

Companies argue AGR should comprise just revenue accrued from core services, while the government says AGR should include all revenue, including, for example, money from rent, land sales or sale of scrap.

Indian mobile carriers pay the Department of Telecommunications nearly 3-5% of their AGR in usage charges for spectrum and 8% of AGR as license fees.

The court ruling means companies have to pay not only higher fees to the government, but also clear $13 billion in arrears, penalty and interest payments.

WHAT'S OWED

Vodafone Idea needs to pay more than 283 billion rupees ($3.9 billion) while Airtel owes roughly 216 billion Indian rupees ($3.0 billion) to the Department of Telecommunications. The amounts are due by late January.

In response to cries from the sector for help, the Indian government has deferred upcoming spectrum payments for the next two financial years until March 2022, raising expectations that it may provide more relief.

Those expectations have bolstered the companies' shares, with Bharti Airtel jumping 20.3% since the ruling and Vodafone Idea gaining 4.4%.

A BIG BUT TROUBLED MARKET

Even without the Supreme Court ruling, the market has been tough going for its carriers.

On one hand, the number of India mobile customers has jumped over the past decade to 1.18 billion, making it one of the world's biggest telecoms markets by subscriber numbers.

But average monthly revenue per user, a key metric to gauge operator health is low. It fell to 64.30 rupees as of the second quarter in 2018, the last quarter for which the Cellular Operators Association of India has collated data. That is down more than 80% from 400 rupees in early 2005.

That slide in revenue accelerated after deep-pocketed Jio began offering free voice calls and cut-price data plans - a move that gave millions of low-income Indians internet access but battered rivals as they sought to keep up.

(GRAPHIC: India's mobile operators (Interactive): https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/editorcharts/INDIA-MOBILE/0H001QXKT9JD/index.html)

(GRAPHIC: Dwindling average revenue per user https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/editorcharts/INDIA-MOBILE/0H001QXKX9JQ/eikon.png)

(GRAPHIC: Dwindling average revenue per user (interactive) https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/editorcharts/INDIA-MOBILE/0H001QXKX9JN/index.html)

HUGE LOSSES AND MOUNTING DEBT

Vodafone Idea, which had been barely profitable in the past year, plunged to a 509 billion rupees ($7 billion) consolidated net loss in the end-September quarter, in large part due to provisions for outstanding payments to the government.

Airtel reported a consolidated loss of 230.45 billion rupees in the September quarter, its second consecutive quarter of losses.

In contrast, Jio logged a quarterly consolidated net profit of 9.9 billion rupees.

The bruising price war has also resulted in heavy debt levels. Vodafone Idea's net debt stood at 1.02 trillion rupees as of end-September, while Bharti Airtel's net debt stood at 1.18 trillion rupees.

(GRAPHIC: Reliance Jio profit rises, while others suffer png https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/editorcharts/INDIA-MOBILE/0H001QXKT9JF/eikon.png)

(GRAPHIC: Airtel & Vodafone Idea debt wores (interactive) https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/editorcharts/INDIA-TELCO/0H001QXLD9L2/index.html)

(GRAPHIC: Airtel & Vodafone Idea debt woes https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/editorcharts/INDIA-TELCO/0H001QXLD9L4/eikon.png)

(GRAPHIC: India's wireless subscriber base https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/editorcharts/INDIA-MOBILE/0H001QXKY9JT/eikon.png)

(GRAPHIC: India's wireless subscriber base (interactive) https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/editorcharts/INDIA-MOBILE/0H001QXKY9JR/index.html)

(Reporting by Nallur Sethuraman and Sankalp Phartiyal; Editing by Miyoung Kim and Edwina Gibbs)

By Nallur Sethuraman

Stocks mentioned in the article
ChangeLast1st jan.
AIRTEL AFRICA PLC 1.14% 70.8 Delayed Quote.-12.45%
BHARTI AIRTEL LTD 5.47% 500 End-of-day quote.10.13%
CORE CORPORATION 4.68% 1588 End-of-day quote.10.74%
MAJOR HOLDINGS LIMITED 0.00% 0.07 End-of-day quote.9.38%
RELIANCE COMMUNICATIONS -5.56% 0.85 End-of-day quote.5.56%
RELIANCE INDUSTRIES 0.10% 1533.9 End-of-day quote.4.42%
SINGAPORE TELECOMMUNICATIONS LIMITED 0.00% 3.3 End-of-day quote.-2.65%
VODAFONE GROUP PLC 0.18% 155.3 Delayed Quote.5.61%
VODAFONE IDEA LIMITED 22.68% 5.95 End-of-day quote.-26.83%
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