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MarketScreener Homepage  >  Equities  >  Nasdaq  >  T. Rowe Price Group Inc.    TROW

T. ROWE PRICE GROUP INC.

(TROW)
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Wall Street Week Ahead: Investors await BlackRock earnings after blistering second quarter market rally

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07/11/2020 | 03:35am EDT
The Fearless Girl statue is seen outside the NYSE in New York

Investors will watch next week's earnings from BlackRock, the world's largest asset manager, for a snapshot of how the industry performed during the second quarter's dramatic rebound in global financial markets.

Investors will watch next week's earnings from BlackRock, the world's largest asset manager, for a snapshot of how the industry performed during the second quarter's dramatic rebound in global financial markets.

Most expect numbers from industry bellwether BlackRock and other asset managers to reflect the sharp stock market rebound. The S&P 500 rose 20% in the second quarter after falling as much in the first three months of 2020 as the coronavirus pandemic slammed the economy.

Since the performance of asset managers tends to be tied to how markets fare, investors see a range of risks ahead, including further acceleration of U.S. coronavirus cases and potential market volatility around the Nov. 3 presidential election.

Still, "just on a market level, the asset managers are inmuch better shape coming out of the second quarter than theywere coming out of the first quarter," said Macrae Sykes, global financial services sector analyst at Gabelli Funds.

BlackRock is scheduled to report on July 17, with T. Rowe Price, WisdomTree Investments and Invesco among asset managers reporting in the following weeks.

Analysts expect a strong recovery in the sector's assets under management (AUM) in the second quarter, driven by rising financial markets and improving risk appetite. Higher levels of AUM mean more fees and stronger margins and earnings, analysts said.

BlackRock's assets fell to $6.47 trillion at the end of the first-quarter, from $7.43 trillion at the end of 2019.

(GRAPHIC: BlackRock's stock performance -

)

Improving fund flows are also likely to help second-quarter earnings for the group, analysts said. Fixed income flows reversed back into positive territory in April and stayed that way throughout the quarter while equity flows improved from March lows, according to Jefferies.

Analysts at Morgan Stanley recently raised their estimate for second-quarter earnings-per-share for traditional asset managers by 19%.

Most analysts expect BlackRock to show robust flows into its $2 trillion exchange-traded funds business, with strength in the fixed income and alternatives ETFs offsetting outflows from equities.

Investors will also look for details on BlackRock's role in the Federal Reserve's debt-buying efforts as the central bank sought to stabilize a corporate bond market roiled by economic fallout of the pandemic.

The firm's own ETFs accounted for a large share of corporate bond ETFs it bought on behalf of the Fed as part of the central bank's relief program. BlackRock waived asset management fees on ETFs purchased on behalf of the Fed.

BlackRock's shares are up about 9% year-to-date, outperforming a 3% decline in the S&P 500. The broader sector has not fared as well, with the Refinitiv U.S. Investment Management & Fund Operators Price Return Index <.TRXFLDUSPINVM> is down about 13% for the year.

Some investors worry asset managers could take a hit if a resurgent pandemic forces parts of the United States to halt or reverse the reopening of their economies.

Analysts at Goldman Sachs last week said the U.S. economy would shrink by 4.6% in 2020, from an earlier forecast of a 4.2% contraction.

"We remain cautious with equity markets nearing post Covid-outbreak highs amid risk of a market correction should a second coronavirus wave impede the pace of the global economic recovery," analysts at Deutsche Bank said in a note to clients about the sector.

The U.S. presidential election could also heighten market volatility. A victory by Democratic challenger Joe Biden could threaten Republican policies championed by President Donald Trump and generally favored by Wall Street, including lower corporate tax rates and fewer regulations, analysts said.

A separate indication of the financial industry's health may come next week from several big Wall Street banks set to report earnings, including Goldman Sachs Group Inc and Morgan Stanley.

(Reporting by Saqib Iqbal Ahmed; Editing by Ira Iosebashvili and David Gregorio)

By Saqib Iqbal Ahmed
Stocks mentioned in the article
ChangeLast1st jan.
BLACKROCK, INC. 0.61% 590.24 Delayed Quote.17.41%
DEUTSCHE BANK AG 0.28% 8.26 Delayed Quote.19.42%
DJ INDUSTRIAL 1.05% 27976.84 Delayed Quote.-1.97%
INVESCO LTD. 4.11% 11.39 Delayed Quote.-36.65%
MORGAN STANLEY 1.16% 52.38 Delayed Quote.2.46%
NASDAQ 100 2.59% 11157.722277 Delayed Quote.24.54%
NASDAQ COMP. 2.13% 11012.238958 Delayed Quote.20.18%
S&P 500 1.40% 3380.35 Delayed Quote.3.19%
T. ROWE PRICE GROUP INC. -0.37% 138.45 Delayed Quote.13.63%
THE GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP, INC. 0.51% 212.13 Delayed Quote.-8.21%
WISDOMTREE INVESTMENTS, INC. -3.30% 4.1 Delayed Quote.-15.29%
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Financials (USD)
Sales 2020 5 950 M - -
Net income 2020 1 901 M - -
Net cash 2020 1 613 M - -
P/E ratio 2020 16,8x
Yield 2020 2,58%
Capitalization 31 542 M 31 542 M -
EV / Sales 2020 5,03x
EV / Sales 2021 4,74x
Nbr of Employees 7 527
Free-Float 98,3%
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Mean consensus OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts 17
Average target price 142,60 $
Last Close Price 138,96 $
Spread / Highest target 15,1%
Spread / Average Target 2,62%
Spread / Lowest Target -18,0%
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Managers
NameTitle
William Joseph Stromberg Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer
Céline Dufétel Chief Financial Officer, Treasurer & VP
Nigel K. Faulkner Head-Global Technology
Robert F. MacLellan Independent Director
Mary K. Bush Independent Director
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