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MarketScreener Homepage  >  Equities  >  Nyse  >  Target Corporation    TGT


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Retailers Confront Coronavirus Uncertainty -- 2nd Update

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03/03/2020 | 12:18pm EDT

By Sarah Nassauer and Suzanne Kapner

Target Corp., Kohl's Corp. and other retailers that posted lackluster holiday results must now confront the uncertainty caused by the coronavirus epidemic, which could help or hurt sales in the coming months.

Executives at Target and Kohl's said Tuesday that the impact from the virus has been muted so far.

"As of today, we haven't seen a large impact on our business or outlook, " Target Chief Financial Officer Michael Fiddelke told analysts. He said the retailer hasn't seen anything that would cause its 2020 results to differ from its longer-term trends.

In recent days, grocers have logged strong sales as some consumers stock up on food and other staples. The epidemic could also speed the shift to online ordering as people avoid visiting stores.

Costco Wholesale Corp.'s website was sold out Monday in the New York City area of several items such as Jif peanut butter and Kraft Macaroni & Cheese. Meanwhile, Amazon.com Inc. warned customers of its Prime Now same-day grocery service in San Francisco, Seattle and other cities that delivery availability might be limited.

Economists say it is too soon to know how much the virus might affect consumer spending but that it could upend supply chains and cause some product shortages, especially as retailers run out of Chinese-made goods already stocked in warehouses.

On Tuesday, Target reported comparable sales, which include stores and digital channels operating for at least 12 months, rose 1.5% during the quarter ended Feb. 1. The results were in line with a warning the company issued in January, when executives cited weak toy and electronics sales.

For the new fiscal year 2020, Target forecast per-share earnings between $6.70 and $7.00. Analysts had expected full-year earnings per share of $6.88, according to FactSet. Target said the potential impact of the coronavirus crisis is factored into its current financial forecasts.

"We've set up a team over the last month that is literally meeting daily to monitor [product orders], to understand the state of production in China, to understand the rate of workers returning to work" and other factors, Target CEO Brian Cornell said. The retailer is shifting product selection to reflect increased demand and expected supply delays, he said.

While no company is immune to inventory risk, larger chains including Walmart Inc., Target and Home Depot Inc. are better positioned than smaller ones, Wells Fargo & Co. analysts wrote in a research note Monday.

Target's muted statement on potential supply-chain delays "suggests that the ripples of disruption across all of retail are probably lower than some are expecting at the moment," said John Zolidis, an analyst at Quo Vadis Capital.

On Tuesday, Kohl's reported flat sales and profit in the holiday quarter. For 2020, the retailer forecast a comparable sales change in the range of -1% to 1%, after posting a 1.3% decline for 2019. The 2020 estimates don't include any impact from the coronavirus.

Kohl's CEO Michelle Gass said the company is monitoring the impact of the virus on its business. She said Kohl's has a good supply of spring goods that it received in February, and is talking to its suppliers daily to monitor the situation.

She said the company has moved production of its private brands, which account for 40% of sales, out of China in recent years, giving it more flexibility. She added that foot traffic to its stores so far hasn't been affected by U.S. cases of the virus.

Target's comparable sales for the full year rose 3.4%, and digital sales rose 29%. For fiscal 2020, Target predicted comparable sales would rise by a low-single-digit percentage.

Shares of Walmart, Target, Costco and other big retailers rallied Monday, outpacing a broader market rally and recouping some recent losses. Shares of Target fell 3% in Tuesday morning trading, while Kohl's shares fell 1%.

Write to Sarah Nassauer at sarah.nassauer@wsj.com and Suzanne Kapner at Suzanne.Kapner@wsj.com


Stocks mentioned in the article
ChangeLast1st jan.
AMP LIMITED -2.28% 1.715 End-of-day quote.-10.44%
CHANGE INC. 3.17% 8140 End-of-day quote.179.92%
CHEESE FUTURES (CSC) - CMG (ELECTRONIC)/C1 0.23% 2.566 End-of-day quote.25.06%
COSTCO WHOLESALE CORPORATION 0.21% 326.23 Delayed Quote.10.99%
DEERE & COMPANY 0.91% 159.09 Delayed Quote.-9.01%
KOHL'S CORPORATION 2.33% 21.09 Delayed Quote.-58.61%
LINE CORPORATION -0.54% 5500 End-of-day quote.2.80%
RISE, INC. -3.13% 31 End-of-day quote.3.33%
SHIFT, INC. 13.90% 12780 End-of-day quote.60.15%
TARGET CORPORATION 0.81% 118.86 Delayed Quote.-7.29%
TEAM, INC. 4.75% 4.41 Delayed Quote.-73.64%
WALMART INC. 2.29% 130.68 Delayed Quote.9.96%
WELLS FARGO & COMPANY 5.95% 25.47 Delayed Quote.-52.66%
YUM BRANDS 1.00% 87.24 Delayed Quote.-14.25%
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Financials (USD)
Sales 2021 82 850 M - -
Net income 2021 2 540 M - -
Net Debt 2021 9 005 M - -
P/E ratio 2021 24,0x
Yield 2021 2,32%
Capitalization 59 432 M 59 432 M -
EV / Sales 2020
EV / Sales 2021 0,83x
Nbr of Employees 368 000
Free-Float 99,7%
Duration : Period :
Target Corporation Technical Analysis Chart | MarketScreener
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Technical analysis trends TARGET CORPORATION
Short TermMid-TermLong Term
Income Statement Evolution
Mean consensus OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts 30
Average target price 131,96 $
Last Close Price 118,86 $
Spread / Highest target 26,2%
Spread / Average Target 11,0%
Spread / Lowest Target -17,6%
EPS Revisions
Brian C. Cornell Chairman & Chief Executive Officer
John J. Mulligan Chief Operating Officer & Executive Vice President
Michael J. Fiddelke Chief Financial Officer & Executive Vice President
Paritosh Desai Chief Data & Analytics Officer
Michael E. McNamara Chief Information Officer & Executive VP
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