TIM PARTICIPAÇÕES S.A. | TIM S.A. |
Publicly-Held Company | Closed Company |
Corporate Taxpayer's ID (CNPJ/MF): | Corporate Taxpayer's ID (CNPJ/MF): |
02.558.115/0001-21 | 02.421.421/0001-11 |
Corporate Registry (NIRE): 33 300 276 963 | Corporate Registry (NIRE): 33.300.324.631 |
MATERIAL FACT
STRATEGIC PLAN 2020-2022 AND GUIDANCE RELEASE
TIM PARTICIPAÇÕES S.A. ("Company" or "TPAR) (B3: TIMP3; NYSE: TSU) and its wholly owned subsidiary TIM S.A. ("Subsidiary" or "TSA"), in compliance with Article 157 of Law No 6,404 and the provisions of CVM Instruction N. 358, hereby informs its shareholders, the market in general and other interested parties that Telecom Italia Group released today its forecasts for 2020-2022 period. In this context, TIM updates the forecasts of its Strategic Plan 2019-2021, released to the market through a Material Fact dated February 21st, 2019.
The Company releases this update after a year of consistent improvements, with the achievement of a significant part of the short-term objectives outlined in its Strategic Plan 2019- 2021, which demonstrates the correctness of the strategy implemented throughout the year. These objectives were achieved despite macroeconomic expectations that were not confirmed due to a slower and more unstable recovery of the economy, compared to projections made by the market in general and by TPAR and its subsidiary.
Projections 2019-21
with IFRS 9+15
KPIi | 2019 Projection (Short | 2019 Results | ||||||
Term) | ||||||||
Service Revenues Growth (YoY) | 3-5% | 2.4% | ||||||
EBITDA Growth (YoY) | Mid to High-Single Digit | 6.7% | ||||||
Growth | ||||||||
EBITDA Margin | ≥39% in 2020 | 39.1% | ||||||
% CAPEX over Net Revenues | Low 20's | 22.2% | ||||||
% EBITDA - CAPEX over Net Revenues | >15% | 16.9% | ||||||
IoE distribution | ~R$ 1 bln | R$ 995 mln |
TIM, however, in this new triennium, reaffirms its commitment with (i) the preservation of an austere approach in cost controls, aiming to raise the profitability of its operation, and so it adjusts the goal to exceed the level of 40% EBITDA Margin in 2022, as well as (ii) an efficient capital allocation, characterized by the CAPEX destination to infrastructure (network and IT) extension and modernization projects, and (iii) the continuous expansion of the cash generation characterized by the growth of EBITDA - CAPEX over Revenues indicator to surpass the level of 20%.
Projections 2019-21 | Projections 2020-22 | |||||||||
with IFRS 9+15 | with IFRS 9+15 and IFRS16 | |||||||||
KPIi | 2019 (Short Term) | Long Term | 2020 (Short Term) | Long Term | ||||||
Service Revenues | 3-5% | CAGR '18-'21 | Mid-Single Digit | CAGR '19-'22 | ||||||
Growth (YoY) | Mid-Single Digit | Mid-Single Digit | ||||||||
EBITDA Growth (YoY) / | Mid to High-Single | ≥39% in 2020 | Mid-Single Digit | ≥40% in 2022 | ||||||
% EBITDA Margin | Digit Growth | (≥47% w/ IFRS 16) | ||||||||
% CAPEX over Net Revs. | Low 20's | ~R$ 12.0 bln | Low 20's | R$ 12.0 - 12.5 bln | ||||||
/ ∑ CAPEX | (∑'19-'21) | (∑'20-'22) | ||||||||
% EBITDA - CAPEX | >15% | ≥20% in 2021 | >16% | ≥20% in 2022 | ||||||
over Net Revenues | (>20% w/ IFRS 16) | (≥25% w/ IFRS 16) | ||||||||
Lastly, TIM presents, as an attachment to this Material Fact, additional details about the 2020- 2022 Strategic Plan and its guidance.
Rio de Janeiro, March 10th, 2020.
TIM Participações S.A. | TIM S.A. |
Adrian Calaza | Adrian Calaza |
Chief Financial Officer and | Chief Financial Officer and |
Investor Relations Officer | Investor Relations Officer |
2020-2022 Strategic Plan
March, 2020
2019 Financial and Operational Highlights
Net Service Revenues1,2
R$ 16.6 bln
(+2.4% YoY)
TIM Live1,2
R$ 491 mln
(+30.6% YoY)
Net Service Revenues
Growth2 (%YoY)
3.0% | 3.2% | ||
2.4% | |||
1.0% | |||
1Q19 | 2Q19 | 3Q19 | 4Q19 |
Mobile ARPU2 (R$)
22.5 +5.6% 23.7
20182019
Network evolution supported by innovation: 5G trials, massive MIMO, refarming, MOU with Vivo
Improved network quality recognized by independent measures
Assertive adjustment in offers' portfolio, back to the right dynamic
EBITDA1,2 | EBITDA Margin3 | ||||
R$ 6.8 bln | 39.8% | ||||
(+6.7% YoY) | 36.6% | 38.5% | |||
33.5% | |||||
31.5% | |||||
6 consecutive | |||||
years of EBITDA | |||||
growth | |||||
(CAGR 15-19: | |||||
6.5%) | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 |
EBITDA - CAPEX3
(% on Net Revenues ; R$ bln)
15.6% | 16.9% | |||
11.1% | ||||
3.7% | 4.7% | 2.7 | 2.9 | |
1.8 | ||||
0.7 | ||||
0.6 | ||||
2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 |
in go-to-market
Image recovery in all segments
Record high organization climate
results
The year 2019 confirms the company's transformation in the last 5 years
(1) In 2019; (2) KPIs ex-IFRS 16 impacts; (3) Pro-forma basis (excluding IFRS 9, 15 and 16 impacts)
2
Strategic Pillars for 2020-22
Evolution Transformation
1 | INFRASTRUCTURE |
Preparing for the future |
Evolution
-
IT: solve operational issues through architecture and
platforms review leveraging digital and automation - Network: focus to improve
spectrum efficiency
through new sites deployments and use of innovative technology (M- MIMO) and refarming
Transformation
- 5G and data monetization
- Artificial Intelligence
- 2G / 3G consolidation
- Content distribution
2 | MOBILE |
From Volume to | |
Value |
Evolution
- Sustaining residual growth opportunity in a mature market
- Portfolio review to unlock upselling opportunities
-
Selective "more for more" approach to increase
ARPU - Leveraging customer experience and mitigate attrition to reduce churn
UBB
3 Growth
Opportunity
Evolution
- Rollout plan with cherry picking approach based on geomarketing analyses
- Naked broadband with OTT friendly approach to differentiate our offers
Transformation | ||
→ Creation | of | an |
infrastructure | vehicle |
through partnership to further accelerate the coverage
4 | EFFICIENCY | 5 | BEYOND CORE |
To the next level, | Monetizing | ||
enhancing CEX | customer base | ||
Evolution | Transformation | ||
→ | Accelerate digital & | → | IoT Services |
automation | → Growing market in mobile | ||
→ Revise make vs. buy | |||
digital advertising | |||
approach | → | Unique opportunity in | |
mobile financial services | |||
Transformation |
- E2E transformation to
improve cash cost efficiency - Network sharing
- Cloudification
3
Infrastructure: Preparing TIM Brasil for the future
IT to the next level in 18-24 months
Big data | NBA | Cognitive |
evolution | roll-out | systems |
Application and | Catalogue | |
architecture review | creation |
Network 5 key pillars
Data | 5G | IoT |
Growth | ||
ready | ||
New | Fixed | |
initiatives | Broadband |
Benefits:
Customers'
Integrated view
New capabilities
Fixed
Wireless
Access
New IoT businesses opportunities
Time-to- market
Automation of processes and efficiency increase
Decommissioning Savings
Densification and innovative solutions
Convergent architecture
Evolution | Transformation | 4 |
Mobile: Move from volume to value to sustain mobile business growth, leveraging customer experience
Premium Price | |||
P2 | |||
Convergence | P3 | Innovation | |
2022 | |||
2019 |
P4 2014
Low Price
Residual growth: churn management becomes more important
Mobile Unique Users1,2 (MM)
139 | 146 | |
Reduce | ||
104 |
churn
Playing by opportunity, meeting clients true needs
Customer Base Mix1 (MM)
167 | 185 | Attack all |
30 | 117 Prepaid | |
56 | segments | |
82 Postpaid
Postpaid Churn Rate (% p.m.)
3.5% 3.8%
-0.6 p.p.
until 2022
Mobile Customer Base by Segment (MM)
36
33
20 | 21 | Postpaid |
>45% in 2022 | ||
- Eliminate pain points: discount management
- Lock in high propensity customers
- Improve service level
- Prepaid acceleration (regional + smart promo, channel mgmt.)
- Postpaid: brand positioning, handsets
- SMB: consumerization
Innovation positioning:
ensuring execution and
Increasing "share of wallet"
SIMs per Unique Users1
Mobile ARPU (R$ / month)
→ Unlock upselling |
customer satisfaction to
succeed.
1.9 | 1.7 | |
1.4 | ||
ARPU increase
22.5
23.7
CAGR 19-22 low to mid single digit
opportunities |
→ Price with "more for more" |
approach |
→ Boost big data, data |
analytics, NBA capabilities |
(1) Total market; (2) Population > 10 years.
2010 | 2015 | 2020 2022 |
2018 | 2020 | 2022 |
Evolution | Transformation | 5 |
Ultrabroadband: Industrialization to capture growth opportunity with financial discipline
Footprint expansion and operational | Fixed Net Revenues | FTTx Customer Base | ||||||||||
improvement | The lever for | TIM Live CAGR 19-22: | Mln | In 2020… | ||||||||
→ Cherry peaking deployment | +15 | |||||||||||
>30% | ||||||||||||
fixed business | 1.5 | +40% | ||||||||||
→ Reduce early churn | cities | |||||||||||
growth. | households | |||||||||||
From | → Improve care and self-care | 1.0 | covered | |||||||||
Evolution… | → Reliable bill to cash processes | FTTH | ||||||||||
Differentiation: UBB + Content | TIM Live | 0.5 | ||||||||||
Others | ||||||||||||
→ OTT content friendly approach | FTTC | |||||||||||
→ Wi-Fi experience | - | |||||||||||
2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 |
... To Transformation
Strategic Partnership
Expanding TIM Live's services with the right balance between Sales and Capex, unlocking additional value of this asset
Create in partnership a neutral fiber infrastructure asset in Brazil
Market sound process with an advisor to find the right partner
Evolution | Transformation | 6 |
Efficiency: Keep the lead in profitability taking efficiency to the next level, while enhancing customer experience
E2E transformation to improve cash cost efficiency, leveraging digital, automation, new make vs buy models.
Process efficiency | Digital & Automation | |
Make vs buy
Smart CAPEX
- Bad Debt (e.g. new credit models, collections systems improvement)
- Legal processes (e.g.
predictive models to reduce JEC expenses - special court for small cases)
- Self-Provisioning(e.g.,
Naked SIM)
- Self-caring:Cognitive
IVR and WhatsApp services (e.g., second invoice, balance check and etc.)
- Self-healing(e.g.,
technical resolution for broadband services)
- Administrative
processes (e.g.,
commissioning, ground leasing)
- Pay-rollmanagement IT Planning & Development
- Industrial agreements
(e.g. VIVO MoU)
- Innovative
Technologies (Massive
MIMO)
-
TIM Live's
Transformation with partnership - Cloudification (storage
as commodity)
Evolution | Transformation | 7 |
Beyond the core: Leverage our assets with strategic partnerships through a unique window of opportunity
IoT
Develop at scale and monetize IoT
verticals to explore B2B opportunities.
Latin America IoT Market in 2022
Mobile Advertising
R$ 24.2 bln
Brazil's digital ad market in 2022
R$ 19 bln
Mobile Financial Services
Penetration over Brazilian Population
59% | 79% |
27% |
2x connections
reaching 106.3 mln of IoT devices (19.6% CAGR).
US$~750 mln
addressable market in agriculture
delivered through mobile
Credit Card | Debit Card | Mobile Penetration 2 | ||
Ownership1 | Ownership1 | |||
1 | HIGH-END | 2 | LOW-END | |
Convenience and | Access to banking | |||
simplicity. | services. |
US$~400 mln
addressable market in transport / logistics
1 | TIM as | 2 | TIM as ad tech |
publisher | player | ||
Exploring | Leveraging on | ||
available touch- | customer knowledge | ||
points. | and ownership. |
→ | Full bank offer | → | Symbiotic |
→ | Commercial partnership | → | partnership (JV like) |
→ | Value generated by | Value generated by | |
profit sharing | |||
commissions in fees + | |||
equity
Connected Car | |
Sole operator in the | First mover: agreement |
initiative developing | with car manufacturer to |
agribusiness solutions | provide in-car connectivity |
based on IoT. | and automation. |
R$ 190 mln already generated in mobile ads products with a ~35% upside in 2020.
New trial contracts signed in the past 2 months.
Telecom + digital banking services.
Agreement with a digital bank to be announced in the coming weeks.
Partners short list under
analysis
Sources: GlobalData Market Opportunity Forecasts to 2023: Global IoT; Latin America Digital Ad Spending 2019 eMarketer; Global Findex Database 2017
(1) Population > 15 years; (2) Population > 10 years.
Evolution | Transformation | 8 |
TIM Brasil 2020-'22 Targets
GOALS | DRIVERS | SHORT TERM TARGETS | |
(2020) | |||
Revenue Growth | → | Leverage mobile ARPU improve | Service Revenues Growth: |
→ | Expand Residential UBB operations | Mid single digit | |
Sustainability | |||
→ | Tap B2B opportunity | (YoY) | |
Improve | → | Accelerate digital transformation | EBITDA Growth: |
→ | Maintain zero-based budget approach | Mid single digit | |
Profitability | |||
→ | Reliable bill to cash process | (YoY) | |
Infrastructure | → | Smart and selective Capex approach | Capex on Net Revenues: |
Development | Low 20's | ||
→ | EBITDA-Capex on Net | ||
Expand Cash | Strict financial discipline | Revenues: | |
Generation | → | Continue debt and tax rate optimization | >16% |
(>20% w/ IFRS 16) | |||
(1) KPIs with IFRS 15/9, except when otherwise indicated.
LONG TERM TARGETS
Service Revenues Growth:
Mid single digit (CAGR '19-'22)
EBITDA Margin:
≥40% in 2022
(≥47% w/ IFRS 16)
Capex:
R$ 12.0 - 12.5 bln
(∑'20-'22)
EBITDA-Capex on Net
Revenues:
≥20% in 2022
(≥25% w/ IFRS 16)
9
10
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TIM Participações SA published this content on 10 March 2020 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 10 March 2020 23:09:08 UTC