(dollars in thousands, except per share data)
Results of Operations
This section of this Form 10-K generally discusses 2019 and 2018 items and
year-to-year comparisons between 2019 and 2018. Discussions of 2017 items and
year-to-year comparisons between 2018 and 2017 that are not included in this
Form 10-K can be found in "Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial
Condition and Results of Operations" in Part II, Item 7 of the Company's Annual
Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2018.
Overview
Business
Our primary business is the construction and sale of single-family detached
homes, townhomes and condominium buildings, all of which are primarily
constructed on a pre-sold basis. To fully serve customers of our homebuilding
operations, we also operate a mortgage banking and title services business. We
primarily conduct our operations in mature markets. Additionally, we generally
grow our business through market share gains in our existing markets and by
expanding into markets contiguous to our current active markets. Our four
homebuilding reportable segments consist of the following regions:

Mid Atlantic:   Maryland, Virginia, West Virginia, Delaware and Washington, D.C.
North East:     New Jersey and Eastern Pennsylvania
Mid East:       New York, Ohio, Western Pennsylvania, Indiana and Illinois
South East:     North Carolina, South Carolina, Florida and Tennessee


Our lot acquisition strategy is predicated upon avoiding the financial
requirements and risks associated with direct land ownership and development. We
generally do not engage in land development (see discussion below of our land
development activities). Instead, we typically acquire finished lots at market
prices from various third party land developers pursuant to Lot Purchase
Agreements. These Lot Purchase Agreements require deposits, typically ranging up
to 10% of the aggregate purchase price of the finished lots, in the form of cash
or letters of credit that may be forfeited if we fail to perform under the Lot
Purchase Agreement. This strategy has allowed us to maximize inventory turnover,
which we believe enables us to minimize market risk and to operate with less
capital, thereby enhancing rates of return on equity and total capital.
In addition to constructing homes primarily on a pre-sold basis and utilizing
what we believe is a conservative lot acquisition strategy, we focus on
obtaining and maintaining a leading market position in each market we serve.
This strategy allows us to gain valuable efficiencies and competitive advantages
in our markets, which we believe contributes to minimizing the adverse effects
of regional economic cycles and provides growth opportunities within these
markets. Our continued success is contingent upon our ability to control an
adequate supply of finished lots on which to build.
In limited specific strategic circumstances, we deviate from our historical lot
acquisition strategy and engage in joint venture arrangements with land
developers or directly acquire raw ground already zoned for its intended use for
development. Once we acquire control of raw ground, we determine whether to sell
the raw parcel to a developer and enter into a Lot Purchase Agreement with the
developer to purchase the finished lots or to hire a developer to develop the
land on our behalf. While joint venture arrangements and direct land development
activity are not our preferred method of acquiring finished building lots, we
may enter into additional transactions in the future on a limited basis where
there exists a compelling strategic or prudent financial reason to do so. We
expect, however, to continue to acquire substantially all of our finished lot
inventory using Lot Purchase Agreements with forfeitable deposits.
As of December 31, 2019, we controlled lots as described below.
Lot Purchase Agreements
We controlled approximately 101,300 lots under Lot Purchase Agreements with
third parties through deposits in cash and letters of credit totaling
approximately $439,500 and $5,500, respectively. Included in the number of
controlled lots are approximately 4,600 lots for which we have recorded a
contract land deposit impairment reserve of approximately $27,600 as of
December 31, 2019.
Joint Venture Limited Liability Corporations ("JVs")
We had an aggregate investment totaling approximately $26,700 in five JVs,
expected to produce approximately 6,300 lots. Of the lots to be produced by the
JVs, approximately 2,950 lots were controlled by us and approximately 3,350 lots
were either under contract with unrelated parties or currently not under
contract.
Land Under Development
We directly owned five separate raw land parcels, zoned for their intended use,
with a current cost basis, including development costs, of approximately $69,200
that we intend to develop into approximately 650 finished lots. We had
additional funding

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commitments of approximately $6,100 under a joint development agreement related
to one parcel, a portion of which we expect will be offset by development
credits of approximately $2,800.
See Notes 3, 4 and 5 to the consolidated financial statements included herein
for additional information regarding Lot Purchase Agreements, JVs and land under
development, respectively.
Raw Land Purchase Agreements
In addition to the lots we currently control as discussed above, we have certain
properties under contract with land owners that are expected to yield
approximately 7,000 lots. Some of these properties may require rezoning or other
approvals to achieve the expected yield. These properties are controlled with
cash deposits and letters of credit totaling approximately $1,900 and $100,
respectively, as of December 31, 2019, of which approximately $900 is refundable
if we do not perform under the contract. We generally expect to assign the raw
land contracts to a land developer and simultaneously enter into a Lot Purchase
Agreement with the assignee if the project is determined to be feasible.
Current Business Environment and Key Financial Results
During 2019, general market conditions were favorably impacted by low
unemployment and strong consumer confidence. Additionally, affordability issues
which had slowed demand for new homes during the second half of 2018, were
favorably impacted by a pull back in interest rates throughout 2019, which
contributed to improved demand.
Our consolidated revenues for the year ended December 31, 2019 totaled
$7,388,664, an increase of 3% from $7,163,674 in 2018. Our net income for 2019
was $878,539, or $221.13 per diluted share, increases of 10% and 14% compared to
2018 net income and diluted earnings per share, respectively. Our homebuilding
gross profit margin percentage increased to 19.0% in 2019 from 18.7% in 2018.
New orders, net of cancellations ("New Orders") during 2019 were 19,536, an
increase of 7% from 2018 while our average New Order sales price decreased 2% to
$368.4 in 2019. Our backlog of homes sold but not yet settled with the customer
as of December 31, 2019 decreased on a unit basis by 2% to 8,233 units and
decreased on a dollar basis by 1% to $3,130,282 when compared to December 31,
2018.
We believe that the strength in demand for new homes is dependent upon sustained
economic growth, driven by favorable unemployment levels and continued
improvements in wage growth and household formation. Demand is also impacted by
homebuyer affordability concerns, which are driven by both home prices and
interest rate movements. We expect to continue to face gross profit margin
pressure which will be impacted by modest pricing power and our ability to
manage land and construction costs. We also expect to face pressure on mortgage
banking profit due to the competitive pricing pressures in the mortgage market.
We believe that we are well positioned to take advantage of opportunities that
may arise from future economic and homebuilding market volatility due to the
strength of our balance sheet.
Homebuilding Operations
The following table summarizes the results of our consolidated homebuilding
operations and certain operating activity for each of the last three years:
                                                             Year Ended December 31,
                                                    2019              2018              2017
Financial data:
Revenues                                       $   7,220,844     $   7,004,304     $   6,175,521
Cost of sales                                  $   5,849,862     $   5,692,127     $   4,990,378
Gross profit margin percentage                          19.0 %            18.7 %            19.2 %
Selling, general and administrative expenses   $     447,547     $     428,874     $     392,272
Operating data:
New orders (units)                                    19,536            18,281            17,608
Average new order price                        $       368.4     $       376.3     $       383.2
Settlements (units)                                   19,668            18,447            15,961
Average settlement price                       $       367.1     $       379.7     $       386.9
Backlog (units)                                        8,233             8,365             8,531
Average backlog price                          $       380.2     $       376.9     $       384.2
New order cancellation rate                             14.6 %            14.5 %            14.0 %



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Consolidated Homebuilding
Homebuilding revenues increased 3% in 2019 compared to 2018, as a result of a 7%
increase in the number of units settled, offset by a 3% decrease in the average
settlement price year over year. The increase in the number of units settled was
primarily attributable to a higher backlog turnover rate year over year. The
decrease in the average settlement price was attributable to a 2% lower average
price of units in backlog entering 2019 compared to the same period in 2018 and
to a shift in settlements to smaller, lower priced products and to lower priced
markets in 2019. Gross profit margin percentage in 2019 increased slightly, to
19.0% from 18.7% in 2018.
The number of New Orders increased 7% while the average sales price of New
Orders decreased 2% in 2019 when compared to 2018. The increase in New Orders
was attributable primarily to an increase in New Orders in our Mid East and
South East market segments, partially driven by an increase in the average
number of active communities in each of these segments. Additionally, more
favorable market conditions in 2019 led to a higher community absorption rate
year over year. The decrease in the average sales price of New Orders was
attributable to a shift to markets with lower average sales prices, as well as a
continued shift to smaller, lower priced products.
Selling, general and administrative ("SG&A") expenses in 2019 increased by 4%
compared to 2018, and as a percentage of revenue increased slightly to 6.2% in
2019 from 6.1% in 2018. SG&A expenses were higher primarily due to an
approximate $12,100 increase in personnel costs and an increase in equity-based
compensation attributable to incurring a full year of expense for the equity
awards granted in the second quarter of 2018.
Backlog units and dollars were 8,233 units and $3,130,282, respectively, as of
December 31, 2019 compared to 8,365 units and $3,152,873, respectively, as of
December 31, 2018. The 2% decrease in backlog units is attributable primarily to
a higher backlog turnover rate year over year. The decrease in backlog dollars
was primarily attributable to the decrease in backlog units.
Backlog may be impacted by customer cancellations for various reasons that are
beyond our control, such as failure to obtain mortgage financing, inability to
sell an existing home, job loss, or a variety of other reasons. In any period, a
portion of the cancellations that we experience are related to New Orders that
occurred during the same period, and a portion are related to New Orders that
occurred in prior periods and therefore appeared in the beginning backlog for
the current period. Expressed as the total of all cancellations during the
period as a percentage of gross New Orders during the period, our cancellation
rate was 14.6%, 14.5% and 14.0% in 2019, 2018, and 2017, respectively.
Additionally, approximately 6% in 2019, 5% in 2018 and 6% in 2017, of a
reporting quarter's opening backlog cancelled during the quarter. We can provide
no assurance that our historical cancellation rates are indicative of the actual
cancellation rate that may occur in future years. Other than those units that
are cancelled, we expect to settle substantially all of our December 31, 2019
backlog during 2020. See "Risk Factors" in Item 1A of this Form 10-K.
The backlog turnover rate is impacted by various factors, including, but not
limited to, changes in New Order activity, internal production capacity,
external subcontractor capacity and other external factors over which we do not
exercise control.
Reportable Homebuilding Segments
Homebuilding segment profit before tax includes all revenues and income
generated from the sale of homes, less the cost of homes sold, SG&A expenses,
and a corporate capital allocation charge determined by corporate management.
The corporate capital allocation charge eliminates in consolidation and is based
on the segment's average net assets employed. The corporate capital allocation
charged to the operating segment allows the Chief Operating Decision Maker to
determine whether the operating segment is providing the desired rate of return
after covering our cost of capital.
We record charges on contract land deposits when we determine that it is
probable that recovery of the deposit is impaired. For segment reporting
purposes, impairments on contract land deposits are generally charged to the
operating segment upon the termination of a Lot Purchase Agreement with the
developer or the restructuring of a Lot Purchase Agreement resulting in the
forfeiture of the deposit. We evaluate our entire net contract land deposit
portfolio for impairment each quarter. For presentation purposes below, the
contract land deposit reserve at December 31, 2019 and 2018 has been allocated
to the reportable segments for the respective years to show contract land
deposits on a net basis. The net contract land deposit balances below also
include approximately $5,500 and $3,900 at December 31, 2019 and 2018,
respectively, of letters of credit issued as deposits in lieu of cash.
The following tables summarize certain homebuilding operating activity by
reportable segment for each of the last three years:

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Selected Segment Financial Data:


                        Year Ended December 31,
                   2019           2018           2017
Revenues:
Mid Atlantic   $ 3,901,573    $ 3,893,358    $ 3,543,687
North East         514,804        580,726        517,141
Mid East         1,501,139      1,455,834      1,250,165
South East       1,303,328      1,074,386        864,528


                             Year Ended December 31,
                          2019         2018         2017
Gross profit margin:
Mid Atlantic           $ 734,017    $ 726,655    $ 663,650
North East               100,520      115,169      104,501
Mid East                 285,091      279,050      244,832
South East               260,804      211,870      173,961


                                     Year Ended December 31,
                                    2019         2018      2017
Gross profit margin percentage:
Mid Atlantic                        18.8 %       18.7 %   18.7 %
North East                          19.5 %       19.8 %   20.2 %
Mid East                            19.0 %       19.2 %   19.6 %
South East                          20.0 %       19.7 %   20.1 %


                        Year Ended December 31,
                     2019         2018         2017
Segment profit:
Mid Atlantic      $ 478,537    $ 462,178    $ 398,494
North East           51,728       69,789       60,218
Mid East            173,374      175,134      149,639
South East          155,144      118,296       95,826



Segment Operating Activity:
                                               Year Ended December 31,
                                   2019                    2018                  2017
                                         Average               Average               Average
                            Units         Price      Units      Price      Units      Price
New orders, net of cancellations:
Mid Atlantic                   8,799    $  424.4     8,906    $  429.4     8,654    $  438.9
North East                     1,349    $  390.8     1,296    $  400.4     1,362    $  409.7
Mid East                       4,628    $  323.2     4,314    $  328.0     4,171    $  332.7
South East                     4,760    $  302.6     3,765    $  297.7     3,421    $  293.5
Total                         19,536    $  368.4    18,281    $  376.3    17,608    $  383.2



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                                   Year Ended December 31,
                      2019                  2018                  2017
                          Average               Average               Average
                Units      Price      Units      Price      Units      Price
Settlements:
Mid Atlantic    9,335    $  417.9     8,982    $  433.4     7,971    $  444.5
North East      1,325    $  388.5     1,415    $  410.4     1,288    $  401.5
Mid East        4,621    $  324.8     4,406    $  330.4     3,772    $  331.4
South East      4,387    $  297.1     3,644    $  294.8     2,930    $  295.1
Total          19,668    $  367.1    18,447    $  379.7    15,961    $  386.9


                                 Year Ended December 31,
                      2019                 2018                 2017
                         Average              Average              Average
               Units      Price     Units      Price     Units      Price
Backlog:
Mid Atlantic   3,612    $  440.1    4,148    $  423.4    4,224    $  432.2
North East       587    $  408.8      563    $  404.1      682    $  424.3
Mid East       1,813    $  332.0    1,806    $  336.2    1,898    $  341.2
South East     2,221    $  314.6    1,848    $  304.1    1,727    $  298.4
Total          8,233    $  380.2    8,365    $  376.9    8,531    $  384.2


 Operating Data:
                                  Year Ended December 31,
                                 2019         2018      2017
New order cancellation rate:
Mid Atlantic                     15.0 %       15.2 %   15.2 %
North East                       13.0 %       12.5 %   13.3 %
Mid East                         14.1 %       12.9 %   11.5 %
South East                       14.9 %       15.5 %   14.3 %


                                    Year Ended December 31,
                                      2019           2018    2017
Average active communities:
Mid Atlantic                      206                 234     238
North East                         33                  36      42
Mid East                          134                 119     121
South East                         97                  88      84
Total                             470                 477     485


Homebuilding Inventory:

                      As of December 31,
                      2019           2018
Sold inventory:
Mid Atlantic      $   575,216    $   622,997
North East             77,965         79,530
Mid East              190,700        195,149
South East            230,640        182,458
Total (1)         $ 1,074,521    $ 1,080,134



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                                              As of December 31,
                                              2019          2018
Unsold lots and housing units inventory:
Mid Atlantic                               $  104,459    $  74,689
North East                                     28,331       11,088
Mid East                                       15,333        9,045
South East                                     35,420       20,611
Total (1)                                  $  183,543    $ 115,433



(1)       Total segment inventory differs from consolidated inventory due to

certain consolidation adjustments necessary to convert the reportable

segments' results, which are predominantly maintained on a cash basis,

to a full accrual basis for external financial statement presentation


          purposes. These consolidation adjustments are not allocated to our
          operating segments.

Lots Controlled and Land Deposits:


                            As of December 31,
                              2019         2018
Total lots controlled:
Mid Atlantic                42,400        40,350
North East                   9,900         8,950
Mid East                    24,200        24,350
South East                  28,400        26,050
Total                      104,900        99,700


                                  As of December 31,
                                  2019          2018
Contract land deposits, net:
Mid Atlantic                   $  205,433    $ 199,917
North East                         50,348       42,591
Mid East                           57,053       52,899
South East                        106,523      104,693
Total                          $  419,357    $ 400,100


                                                            Year Ended December 31,
                                                          2019         2018       2017
Contract land deposit impairments (recoveries), net:
Mid Atlantic                                           $    (141 )   $ 2,743    $ 2,945
North East                                                 1,050       1,033        290
Mid East                                                     175         211         11
South East                                                    21       1,911         99
Total                                                  $   1,105     $ 5,898    $ 3,345



Mid Atlantic
The Mid Atlantic segment had an approximate $16,400, or 4%, increase in segment
profit in 2019 compared to 2018, driven primarily by improved margins year over
year and reduced marketing costs attributable to a 12% decrease in the average
number of active communities year over year. Segment revenues were relatively
flat year over year as the 4% increase in the number of units settled was offset
by a 4% decrease in the average settlement price year over year. The increase in
the number of units settled is attributable primarily to a higher backlog
turnover rate year over year. The average settlement price in the current year
was negatively impacted by a shift in settlements to lower priced products and
lower priced markets within the segment. The Mid Atlantic segment's gross profit
margin percentage was essentially flat, increasing to 18.8% in 2019 from 18.7%
in 2018.

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Segment New Orders and the average sales price of New Orders each decreased 1%
in 2019 compared to 2018. The decrease in New Orders was due primarily to a 12%
decrease in the average number of active communities year over year, offset by a
higher community absorption rate year over year. The decrease in the average
sales price of New Orders is attributable to a relative shift in New Orders to
lower priced products and a shift to markets with lower average sales prices
within the segment.
North East
The North East segment had an approximate $18,100, or 26%, decrease in segment
profit in 2019 compared to 2018, driven primarily by a decrease in segment
revenues of approximately $65,900, or 11%, year over year. The decrease in
segment revenues was attributable to decreases in the number of units settled
and the average settlement price of 6% and 5%, respectively, due primarily to a
17% lower backlog unit balance and a 5% lower average sales price of units in
backlog entering 2019 compared to the backlog entering 2018. Additionally, the
average settlement price was negatively impacted by a shift in settlements to
lower priced products. The North East segment's gross profit margin percentage
decreased to 19.5% in 2019 from 19.8% in 2018, due primarily to higher
construction costs, offset partially by lower lot costs as a percentage of
revenue.
Segment New Orders increased 4%, while the average sales price of New Orders
decreased 2% in 2019 compared to 2018. New Orders increased primarily due to a
7% increase in the average number of active communities in the fourth quarter of
2019 compared to the same period in 2018, coupled with favorable market
conditions which led to a higher segment absorption rate year over year. The
average sales price of New Orders was negatively impacted primarily by a
relative shift in New Orders to lower priced products.
Mid East
The Mid East segment had an approximate $1,800, or 1%, decrease in segment
profit in 2019 compared to 2018. Segment profit was lower despite an increase in
segment revenues of approximately $45,300, or 3%, year over year. Segment
revenues increased due to a 5% increase in the number of units settled, offset
partially by a 2% decrease in the average settlement price year over year. The
increase in the number of units settled is attributable to a higher backlog
turnover rate year over year. The average settlement price was negatively
impacted by a shift in settlements to lower priced products and to lower priced
markets within the segment. The segment's gross profit margin percentage
decreased slightly, to 19.0% in 2019 from 19.2% in 2018.
Segment New Orders increased 7%, while the average sales price of New Orders
decreased 2%, in 2019 compared to 2018. New Orders increased primarily due to a
12% increase in the average number of active communities in 2019 compared to
2018. The average sales price of New Orders was negatively impacted by a
relative shift to lower priced products and a shift to markets with lower
average sales prices within the segment.
South East
The South East segment had an approximate $36,800, or 31%, increase in segment
profit in 2019 compared to 2018. The increase in segment profit was driven
primarily by an increase in segment revenues of approximately $228,900, or 21%,
year over year, due primarily to a 20% increase in the number of units settled.
 The increase in settlements was primarily attributable to a 7% higher backlog
unit balance entering 2019 compared to the backlog unit balance entering 2018,
coupled with a 19% increase in New Orders for the first six months of 2019
compared to the same period in 2018. The South East segment's gross profit
margin percentage increased to 20.0% in 2019 from 19.7% in 2018 primarily due to
lower lumber costs, offset partially by higher lot costs as a percentage of
revenue year over year.
Segment New Orders and the average sales price of New Orders increased 26% and
2%, respectively, in 2019 compared to 2018. New Orders increased primarily due
to an 11% increase in the average number of active communities and by favorable
market conditions which led to a higher segment absorption rate year over year.
The average sales price of New Orders was favorably impacted by a relative shift
to markets within the segment with higher average sales prices.
Homebuilding Segment Reconciliations to Consolidated Homebuilding Operations
In addition to the corporate capital allocation and contract land deposit
impairments discussed above, the other reconciling items between homebuilding
segment profit and homebuilding consolidated profit before tax include
unallocated corporate overhead (which includes all management incentive
compensation), equity-based compensation expense, consolidation adjustments and
external corporate interest expense. Our overhead functions, such as accounting,
treasury and human resources, are centrally performed and the costs are not
allocated to our operating segments. Consolidation adjustments consist of such
items to convert the reportable segments' results, which are predominantly
maintained on a cash basis, to a full accrual basis for external financial
statement presentation purposes, and are not allocated to our operating
segments. External corporate interest expense is primarily comprised of interest
charges on our 3.95% Senior Notes due 2022 (the "Senior Notes"), and is not
charged to the operating segments because the charges are included in the
corporate capital allocation discussed above.

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                                                     Year Ended December 31,
                                              2019            2018            2017
Homebuilding consolidated gross profit:
Mid Atlantic                              $   734,017     $   726,655     $   663,650
North East                                    100,520         115,169         104,501
Mid East                                      285,091         279,050         244,832
South East                                    260,804         211,870         173,961
Consolidation adjustments and other            (9,450 )       (20,567 )        (1,801 )
Homebuilding consolidated gross profit    $ 1,370,982     $ 1,312,177     $ 1,185,143



                                                         Year Ended December 31,
                                                    2019          2018          2017
Homebuilding consolidated profit before taxes:
Mid Atlantic                                     $ 478,537     $ 462,178     $ 398,494
North East                                          51,728        69,789        60,218
Mid East                                           173,374       175,134       149,639
South East                                         155,144       118,296        95,826
Reconciling items:
Equity-based compensation expense (1)              (75,156 )     (70,865 )     (41,144 )
Corporate capital allocation (2)                   224,468       213,903    

198,384


Unallocated corporate overhead                    (105,125 )     (89,973 )     (89,514 )
Consolidation adjustments and other                 45,130        16,612        27,450
Corporate interest expense                         (24,221 )     (23,968 )     (22,983 )
Reconciling items sub-total                         65,096        45,709        72,193

Homebuilding consolidated profit before taxes $ 923,879 $ 871,106

$ 776,370

(1) The increase in equity-based compensation expense for the year ended

December 31, 2018 was primarily attributable to equity grants in the second

quarter of 2018. See Note 12 in the accompanying consolidated financial

statements for additional discussion of equity-based compensation.

(2) This item represents the elimination of the corporate capital allocation


      charge included in the respective homebuilding reportable segments. The
      corporate capital allocation charge is based on the segment's monthly
      average asset balance and is as follows for the years presented:


                                                  Year Ended December 31,
                                               2019         2018         2017
Corporate capital allocation charge:
Mid Atlantic                                $ 123,130    $ 123,855    $ 123,028
North East                                     19,755       17,893       16,115
Mid East                                       37,263       35,803       29,663
South East                                     44,320       36,352       29,578

Total corporate capital allocation charge $ 224,468 $ 213,903 $ 198,384






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Mortgage Banking Segment
We conduct our mortgage banking activity through NVRM, a wholly owned
subsidiary. NVRM focuses almost exclusively on serving the homebuilding segment
customer base. The following table summarizes the results of our mortgage
banking operations and certain statistical data for each of the last three
years:
                                               Year Ended December 31,
                                        2019            2018            2017
Loan closing volume:
Total principal                     $ 5,164,725     $ 4,829,406     $ 4,229,507

Loan volume mix:
Adjustable rate mortgages                     8 %            10 %             9 %
Fixed-rate mortgages                         92 %            90 %            91 %

Operating profit:
Segment profit                      $   105,292     $    93,462     $    73,959
Equity-based compensation expense        (3,376 )        (4,836 )        (3,418 )
Mortgage banking income             $   101,916     $    88,626     $    70,541

Capture rate:                                90 %            88 %            88 %

Mortgage banking fees:
Net gain on sale of loans           $   128,642     $   122,755     $    99,132
Title services                           38,537          36,001          30,626
Servicing fees                              641             614             561
                                    $   167,820     $   159,370     $   130,319



Loan closing volume in 2019 increased by approximately $335,300, or 7%, from
2018. The increase was primarily attributable to a 10% increase in the number of
loans closed year over year due primarily to the aforementioned increase in the
homebuilding segment's number of settlements in 2019 as compared to 2018 and was
partially offset by a 2% decrease in the average loan amount in 2019 as compared
to 2018.
Segment profit in 2019 increased by approximately $11,800, or 13%, from
2018. The increase in segment profit was primarily attributable to an increase
in mortgage banking fees. Mortgage banking fees increased by approximately
$8,500, or 5%, resulting from the aforementioned increase in loan closing
volume.

Mortgage Banking - Other
We sell all of the loans we originate into the secondary mortgage
market. Insofar as we underwrite our originated loans to the standards and
specifications of the ultimate investor, we have no further financial
obligations from the issuance of loans, except in certain limited instances
where repurchases or early payment default occur. Those underwriting standards
are typically equal to or more stringent than the underwriting standards
required by FNMA, GNMA, FHLMC, VA and FHA. Because we sell all of our loans and
do not service them, there is often a substantial delay between the time that a
loan goes into default and the time that the investor requests us to reimburse
them for losses incurred because of the default. We believe that all of the
loans that we originate are underwritten to the standards and specifications of
the ultimate investor to whom we sell our originated loans. We employ a quality
control department to ensure that our underwriting controls are effective, and
further assess the underwriting function as part of our assessment of internal
controls over financial reporting.
We maintain a reserve for losses on mortgage loans originated that reflects our
judgment of the present loss exposure from the loans that we have originated and
sold. At December 31, 2019, we had a repurchase reserve of approximately
$18,500.
NVRM is dependent on our homebuilding operation's customers for business. If new
orders and selling prices of the homebuilding segment decline, NVRM's operations
will also be adversely affected. In addition, NVRM's operating results may be
adversely affected in future periods due to tightening and volatility of the
credit markets, changes in investor funding times, increased regulation of
mortgage lending practices and increased competition in the mortgage market.


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Seasonality


We generally have higher New Order activity in the first half of the year and
higher home settlements, revenues and net income in the second half of the year.
Effective Tax Rate
Our consolidated effective tax rate in 2019, 2018 and 2017 was 14.36%, 16.94%
and 36.53%, respectively. The lower effective tax rate in 2019 compared to 2018
is attributable primarily to the retroactive reinstatement of certain expired
energy tax credits under The Further Consolidated Appropriations Act, which
resulted in the recognition of a tax benefit of approximately $15,100 in 2019
related to homes settled in 2018 and 2019. The lower effective tax rate in 2018
compared to 2017 resulted primarily from the enactment of the Tax Cuts and Jobs
Act (the "Act") in December 2017, which had the following impacts on
comparability between periods:
• reduction in our federal statutory rate from 35% to 21% in 2018, and


• remeasurement of our net deferred tax assets in the fourth quarter of


          2017, which resulted in a charge to income tax expense of $62,702 in
          2017.


Excluding the charge related to the net deferred tax asset remeasurement, our
effective tax rate in 2017 would have been 29.13%.
Additionally, our effective tax rates in 2019, 2018 and 2017 were favorably
impacted by the recognition of an income tax benefit related to excess tax
benefits from stock option exercises of $101,466, $77,478 and $58,681,
respectively. We expect continued rate volatility in future years attributable
to the recognition of excess tax benefits from equity plan activity and
distributions from the deferred compensation plans.
The Act eliminated the "performance-based compensation" exception from Section
162(m). The Act included a grandfathering provision for compensation pursuant to
a written binding contract which was in effect on November 2, 2017, and which
was not modified in any material respect after such date. We believe that our
outstanding equity grants and amounts in the deferred compensation plans as of
December 31, 2017 are in compliance with the grandfathering provision of the
Act, and thus, will remain deductible to the extent they are considered
"performance-based compensation."

Recent Accounting Pronouncements Pending Adoption
See Note 1 to the accompanying consolidated financial statements for discussion
of recently issued accounting pronouncements applicable to us.
Liquidity and Capital Resources
Lines of Credit and Notes Payable
Senior Notes
Our homebuilding segment funds its operations from cash flows provided by
operating activities, a short-term unsecured working capital revolving credit
facility and capital raised in the public debt and equity markets. On
September 10, 2012, we completed an offering for $600,000 aggregate principal
amount of 3.95% Senior Notes due 2022 under a Shelf Registration Statement filed
on September 5, 2012 with the SEC. The Senior Notes were issued at a discount to
yield 3.97% and have been reflected net of the unamortized discount in the
accompanying consolidated balance sheet. The Senior Notes mature on
September 15, 2022 and bear interest at 3.95%, payable semi-annually in arrears
on March 15 and September 15.
The Senior Notes are senior unsecured obligations and rank equally in right of
payment with any of our existing and future unsecured senior indebtedness, will
rank senior in right of payment to any of our future indebtedness that is by its
terms expressly subordinated to the Senior Notes and will be effectively
subordinated to any of our existing and future secured indebtedness to the
extent of the value of the collateral securing such indebtedness. The indenture
governing the Senior Notes does not contain any financial covenants; however, it
does contain, among other items, and subject to certain exceptions, covenants
that restrict our ability to create, incur, assume or guarantee secured debt,
enter into sale and leaseback transactions and conditions related to mergers
and/or the sale of assets. We were in compliance with all covenants under the
Senior Notes at December 31, 2019.
Credit Agreement
On July 15, 2016, we entered into an unsecured Credit Agreement (the "Credit
Agreement") with Bank of America, N.A., as Administrative Agent, Swing Line
Lender and L/C Issuer, Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Smith Incorporated as
Sole Lead Arranger and Sole Book Runner, and the other lenders party thereto,
which provides for aggregate revolving loan commitments of $200,000 (the
"Facility"). Proceeds of the borrowings under the Facility will be used for
working capital and general corporate purposes. Under the Credit Agreement, we
may request increases of up to $300,000 to the Facility in the form of revolving
loan commitments or term loans to the extent that new or existing lenders agree
to provide additional revolving loan or term loan commitments.

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The Credit Agreement provides for a $100,000 sublimit for the issuance of
letters of credit of which there was approximately $9,700 outstanding at
December 31, 2019, and a $25,000 sublimit for a swing line commitment.
Borrowings under the Credit Agreement generally bear interest for Base Rate
Loans at a Base Rate equal to the highest of (i) a Federal Funds Rate plus
one-half of one percent, (ii) Bank of America's publicly announced "prime rate,"
and (iii) the Eurodollar Rate plus one percent, plus the Applicable Rate which
is based on our debt rating, or for Eurodollar Rate Loans, at the Eurodollar
Rate equal to LIBOR plus the Applicable Rate.
The Credit Agreement contains various representations and affirmative and
negative covenants that are generally customary for credit facilities of this
type. Such covenants include, among others, the following financial maintenance
covenants: (i) minimum consolidated tangible net worth, (ii) minimum interest
coverage ratio or minimum liquidity and (iii) a maximum leverage ratio. The
negative covenants include, among others, certain limitations on liens,
investments and fundamental changes. The Credit Agreement termination date is
July 15, 2021. We were in compliance with all covenants under the Credit
Agreement at December 31, 2019. There were no borrowings outstanding under the
Credit Agreement as of December 31, 2019.
Repurchase Agreement
Our mortgage banking subsidiary, NVRM, provides for its mortgage origination and
other operating activities using cash generated from operations, borrowings from
its parent company, NVR, as well as a revolving mortgage repurchase facility,
which is non-recourse to NVR. On July 24, 2019, NVRM entered into the Eleventh
Amendment (the "Amendment") to its Amended and Restated Master Repurchase
Agreement dated August 2, 2011 with U.S. Bank National Association (as amended
by the Amendment and ten earlier amendments, the "Repurchase Agreement"). The
Repurchase Agreement provides borrowing capacity up to $150,000, subject to
certain sublimits. The purpose of the Repurchase Agreement is to finance the
origination of mortgage loans by NVRM. The Repurchase Agreement expires on July
22, 2020. Advances under the Repurchase Agreement carry a Pricing Rate based on
the LIBOR Rate plus the LIBOR Margin, as determined under the Repurchase
Agreement, provided that the Pricing Rate shall not be less than 1.85%. There
are several restrictions on purchased loans, including that they cannot be sold
to others, they cannot be pledged to anyone other than the agent, and they
cannot support any other borrowing or repurchase agreement.
The Repurchase Agreement contains various affirmative and negative covenants.
The negative covenants include among others, certain limitations on transactions
involving acquisitions, mergers, the incurrence of debt, sale of assets and
creation of liens upon any of its Mortgage Notes. Additional covenants include
(i) a tangible net worth requirement, (ii) a minimum liquidity requirement,
(iii) a minimum net income requirement, and (iv) a maximum leverage ratio
requirement. NVRM was in compliance with all covenants under the Repurchase
Agreement at December 31, 2019. At December 31, 2019, there was no debt
outstanding under the Repurchase Agreement and there were no borrowing base
limitations.
Equity Repurchases
In addition to funding growth in our homebuilding and mortgage banking
operations, we historically have used a substantial portion of our excess
liquidity to repurchase outstanding shares of our common stock in open market
and privately negotiated transactions. This ongoing repurchase activity is
conducted pursuant to publicly announced Board authorizations, and is typically
executed in accordance with the safe-harbor provisions of Rule 10b-18
promulgated under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended. In addition,
the Board resolutions authorizing us to repurchase shares of our common stock
specifically prohibit us from purchasing shares from our officers, directors,
Profit Sharing Plan Trust or Employee Stock Ownership Plan Trust. The repurchase
program assists us in accomplishing our primary objective, creating increases in
shareholder value. See "Market for Registrant's Common Equity, Related
Stockholder Matters and Issuer Purchases of Equity Securities" in Item 5 of this
Form 10-K for disclosure of amounts repurchased during the fourth quarter of
2019. For the year ended December 31, 2019, we repurchased 220,965 shares of our
common stock at an aggregate purchase price of $698,417. As of December 31,
2019, we had $317,141 available under Board approved repurchase authorizations.
Cash Flows
For the year ended December 31, 2019, cash, restricted cash and cash equivalents
increased by $428,556. Net cash provided by operating activities was $866,535,
due primarily to cash provided by earnings in 2019 and net proceeds of $91,178
from mortgage loan activity. Cash was primarily used to fund the increase in
inventory of $94,178, attributable to an increase in units under construction at
December 31, 2019 compared to December 31, 2018. Net cash used in investing
activities in 2019 of $13,284 was attributable primarily to cash used for
purchases of property, plant and equipment of $22,699, offset partially by the
receipt of capital distributions from our unconsolidated JVs totaling $8,247.
Net cash used in financing activities of $424,695, resulted primarily from our
repurchase of 220,965 shares of our common stock for an aggregate purchase price
of $698,417 under our ongoing common stock repurchase program as discussed
above, offset partially by $274,028 in proceeds from stock option exercises.
For the year ended December 31, 2018, cash and cash equivalents increased by
$42,691. Net cash provided by operating activities was $723,126, due primarily
to cash provided by earnings and net proceeds of $17,384 from mortgage loan
activity. Cash was primarily used to fund the increase in contract land deposits
of $30,863 and the decrease in accounts payable and accrued expenses of $30,713.
Net cash used in investing activities in 2018 of $8,177 was attributable
primarily to cash used for purchases of property, plant and equipment of
$19,665, offset partially by the receipt of capital distributions from our
unconsolidated JVs totaling

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$10,515. Net cash used in financing activities of $672,258, resulted primarily
from our repurchase of 300,815 shares of our common stock for an aggregate
purchase price of $846,134, offset partially by $174,110 in proceeds from stock
option exercises.
At December 31, 2019 and 2018, the homebuilding segment had restricted cash of
$17,943 and $16,982, respectively. Restricted cash in each year was attributable
to customer deposits for certain home sales.
We believe that our current cash holdings, cash generated from operations, and
cash available under our short-term unsecured credit agreement, revolving
mortgage repurchase facility and the public debt and equity markets will be
sufficient to satisfy near and long term cash requirements for working capital
and debt service in both our homebuilding and mortgage banking operations.

Off-Balance Sheet Arrangements
Lot Acquisition Strategy
We generally do not engage in land development. Instead, we typically acquire
finished building lots at market prices from various land developers under Lot
Purchase Agreements that require deposits that may be forfeited if we fail to
perform under the agreement. The deposits required under the Lot Purchase
Agreements are in the form of cash or letters of credit in varying amounts and
represent a percentage, typically ranging up to 10%, of the aggregate purchase
price of the finished lots.
We believe that our lot acquisition strategy reduces the financial requirements
and risks associated with direct land ownership and land development. We may, at
our option, choose for any reason and at any time not to perform under these Lot
Purchase Agreements by delivering notice of our intent not to acquire the
finished lots under contract. Our sole legal obligation and economic loss for
failure to perform under these purchase agreements is limited to the amount of
the deposit pursuant to the liquidated damage provision contained in the Lot
Purchase Agreements. We do not have any financial guarantees or completion
obligations and we typically do not guarantee lot purchases on a specific
performance basis under these Lot Purchase Agreements.
At December 31, 2019, we controlled approximately 104,900 lots through Lot
Purchase Agreements, JVs and land under development, with an aggregate purchase
price of approximately $10,000,000. These lots are controlled by making or
committing to make deposits of approximately $656,500 in the form of cash and
letters of credit. Our entire risk of loss pertaining to the aggregate purchase
price contractual commitment resulting from our non-performance under the
contracts is limited to $439,500 in deposits paid and $5,500 in letters of
credit issued as of December 31, 2019, plus approximately $211,500 related to
deposits to be paid subsequent to December 31, 2019 assuming that contractual
development milestones are met by the developers and we exercise our option. As
of December 31, 2019, we had recorded an impairment valuation allowance of
approximately $27,600 related to certain cash deposits currently outstanding.
Additionally, as of December 31, 2019, we had funding commitments totaling
$4,300 to two of our JVs and approximately $6,100 under a joint development
agreement related to our land under development, a portion of which we expect
will be offset by development credits of approximately $2,800.
In addition, we have certain properties under contract with land owners that are
expected to yield approximately 7,000 lots, which are not included in our number
of total lots controlled above. Some of these properties may require rezoning or
other approvals to achieve the expected yield. These properties are controlled
with cash deposits and letters of credit of approximately $1,900 and $100,
respectively, as of December 31, 2019, of which approximately $900 is refundable
if we do not perform under the contract and the remainder is at risk of loss. We
generally expect to assign the raw land contracts to a land developer and
simultaneously enter into a Lot Purchase Agreement with the assignee if the
project is determined to be feasible. Please refer to Note 1 in the accompanying
consolidated financial statements for a further discussion of the contract land
deposits and Note 3 in the accompanying consolidated financial statements for a
description of our lot acquisition strategy in relation to our accounting for
variable interest entities.
Bonds and Letters of Credit
We enter into bond or letter of credit arrangements with local municipalities,
government agencies, or land developers to collateralize our obligations under
various contracts. We had approximately $40,600 of contingent obligations under
such agreements as of December 31, 2019, inclusive of the $5,500 of lot
acquisition deposits in the form of letters of credit discussed above. We
believe we will fulfill our obligations under the related contracts and do not
anticipate any material losses under these bonds or letters of credit.
Mortgage Commitments and Forward Sales
In the normal course of business, NVRM enters into contractual commitments to
extend credit to our homebuyers with fixed expiration dates. The commitments
become effective when the borrowers "lock-in" a specified interest rate within
time frames established by us. All mortgagors are evaluated for credit
worthiness prior to the extension of the commitment. Market risk arises if
interest rates move adversely between the time of the "lock-in" of rates by the
borrower and the sale date of the loan to a broker/dealer. To mitigate the
effect of the interest rate risk inherent in providing rate lock commitments to
borrowers, we enter into optional or mandatory delivery forward sale contracts
to sell whole loans and mortgage-backed securities to broker/dealers. The
forward sale contracts lock in an interest rate and price for the sale of loans
similar to the specific rate lock commitments. We do not engage in speculative
or trading derivative activities. Both the rate lock commitments to borrowers
and the forward sale contracts to broker/dealers are undesignated derivatives,
and, accordingly, are marked to fair value through earnings. At December 31,
2019, we had

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contractual commitments to extend credit to borrowers aggregating $581,065 and
open forward delivery contracts aggregating $986,041, which hedge both the rate
lock commitments and closed loans held for sale (see Note 15 in the accompanying
consolidated financial statements for a description of our fair value
accounting).
Contractual Obligations
Our fixed, non-cancelable obligations as of December 31, 2019, were as follows:
                                                               Payments due by year
                                  Total           2020         2021 to 2022       2023 to 2024      2025 and Later
Debt (1)                      $   600,000     $        -     $      600,000     $            -     $             -
Interest on debt (1)               64,122         23,700             40,422                  -                   -
Finance leases (2)                  7,919            996              1,993              1,994               2,936
Operating leases (2)               99,184         30,670             37,505             21,098               9,911
Purchase obligations (3)          217,649          *                *                  *                   *
Uncertain tax positions (4)        31,090          *                *                  *                   *
Total                         $ 1,019,964     $   55,366     $      679,920     $       23,092     $        12,847

(1) See Note 9 in the accompanying consolidated financial statements for

additional information regarding the Senior Notes.

(2) See Note 13 in the accompanying consolidated financial statements for

additional information regarding our finance and operating leases.

(3) Amount represents expected payments of forfeitable deposits with land

developers under existing Lot Purchase Agreements assuming that contractual

development milestones are met by the developers and we exercise our

option, and estimated contractual obligations for land development

agreements. We expect to make the majority of payments of the deposits with

land developers within the next three years, but due to the nature of the

contractual development milestones that must be met we are unable to

accurately estimate the portion of the deposit obligation that will be made

within one year and that portion that will be made within one to three

years.

(4) Due to the nature of the uncertain tax positions, we are unable to make a


      reasonable estimate as to the period of settlement with the respective
      taxing authorities.



Critical Accounting Policies
General
The preparation of financial statements in conformity with GAAP requires us to
make estimates and assumptions that affect the reported amounts of assets and
liabilities, the disclosure of contingent assets and liabilities at the date of
the financial statements, and the reported amounts of revenues and expenses
during the reporting periods. We continually evaluate the estimates we use to
prepare the consolidated financial statements and update those estimates as
necessary. In general, our estimates are based on historical experience, on
information from third party professionals, and other various assumptions that
are believed to be reasonable under the facts and circumstances. Actual results
could differ materially from those estimates made by management.
Homebuilding Inventory
The carrying value of inventory is stated at the lower of cost or market value.
Cost of lots and completed and uncompleted housing units represent the
accumulated actual cost of the units. Field construction supervisors' salaries
and related direct overhead expenses are included in inventory costs. Interest
costs are not capitalized into inventory, with the exception of land under
development and joint venture investments, as applicable (see below). Upon
settlement, the cost of the unit is expensed on a specific identification basis.
Cost of building materials is determined on a first-in, first-out basis.
Sold inventory is evaluated for impairment based on the contractual selling
price compared to the total estimated cost to construct. Unsold inventory is
evaluated for impairment by analyzing recent comparable sale prices within the
applicable community compared to the costs incurred to date plus the expected
costs to complete. Any calculated impairments are recorded immediately in cost
of sales.
Contract Land Deposits and Land Under Development
Contract Land Deposits
We purchase finished lots under Lot Purchase Agreements that require deposits
that may be forfeited if we fail to perform under the contract. The deposits are
in the form of cash or letters of credit in varying amounts and represent a
percentage of the aggregate purchase price of the finished lots.
We maintain an allowance for losses on contract land deposits that reflects our
judgment of the present loss exposure in the existing contract land deposit
portfolio at the end of the reporting period. To analyze contract land deposit
impairments, we conduct a

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loss contingency analysis each quarter. In addition to considering market and
economic conditions, we assess contract land deposit impairments on a
community-by-community basis pursuant to the purchase contract terms, analyzing,
as applicable, current sales absorption levels, recent sales' direct profit, the
dollar differential between the contractual purchase price and the current
market price for lots, a developer's performance, a developer's financial
ability or willingness to reduce lot prices to current market prices, if
necessary, and the contract's default status by either us or the developer along
with an analysis of the expected outcome of any such default.
Our analysis is focused on whether we can sell houses at an acceptable margin
and sales pace in a particular community in the current market with which we are
faced. Because we do not own the finished lots on which we had placed a contract
land deposit, if the above analysis leads to a determination that we cannot sell
homes at an acceptable margin and sales pace at the current contractual lot
price, we then determine whether we will elect to default under the contract,
forfeit our deposit and terminate the contract, or whether we will attempt to
restructure the lot purchase contract, which may require us to forfeit the
deposit to obtain contract concessions from a developer. We also assess whether
an impairment is present due to collectability issues resulting from a
developer's non-performance because of financial or other conditions.
Although we consider the allowance for losses on contract land deposits
reflected on the December 31, 2019 consolidated balance sheet to be adequate
(see Note 1 to the accompanying consolidated financial statements included
herein), there can be no assurance that this allowance will prove to be adequate
over time to cover losses due to unanticipated adverse changes in the economy or
other events adversely affecting specific markets or the homebuilding industry.
Land Under Development
On a limited basis, we directly acquire raw parcels of land already zoned for
its intended use to develop into finished lots. Land under development includes
the land acquisition costs, direct improvement costs, capitalized interest,
where applicable, and real estate taxes.
Land under development, including the land under development held by our
unconsolidated JVs and the related joint venture investments, is reviewed for
potential write-downs when impairment indicators are present. In addition to
considering market and economic conditions, we assess land under development
impairments on a community-by-community basis, analyzing, as applicable, current
sales absorption levels, recent sales' direct profit, and the dollar
differential between the projected fully-developed cost of the lots and the
current market price for lots. If indicators of impairment are present for a
community, we perform an analysis to determine if the undiscounted cash flows
estimated to be generated by those assets are less than their carrying amounts,
and if so, impairment charges are required to be recorded in an amount by which
the carrying amount of the assets exceeds the fair value of such assets. Our
determination of fair value is primarily based on discounting the estimated
future cash flows at a rate commensurate with the inherent risks associated with
the assets and related estimated cash flow streams.
At December 31, 2019, we had approximately $69,200 in land under development in
five separate communities. In addition, at December 31, 2019, we had an
aggregate investment totaling approximately $26,700 in five separate JVs that
controlled land under development. None of the communities classified as land
under development nor any of the undeveloped land held by the JVs had any
indicators of impairment at December 31, 2019. As such, we do not believe that
any of the land under development is impaired at this time. However, there can
be no assurance that we will not incur impairment charges in the future due to
unanticipated adverse changes in the economy or other events adversely affecting
specific markets or the homebuilding industry.
Warranty/Product Liability Accruals
We establish warranty and product liability reserves to provide for estimated
future expenses as a result of construction and product defects, product recalls
and litigation incidental to our homebuilding business. Liability estimates are
determined based on our judgment considering such factors as historical
experience, the likely current cost of corrective action, manufacturers' and
subcontractors' participation in sharing the cost of corrective action,
consultations with third party experts such as engineers, and discussions with
our General Counsel and outside counsel retained to handle specific product
liability cases. Although we consider the warranty and product liability accrual
reflected on the December 31, 2019 consolidated balance sheet to be adequate
(see Note 14 to the accompanying consolidated financial statements included
herein), there can be no assurance that this accrual will prove to be adequate
over time to cover losses due to increased costs for material and labor, the
inability or refusal of manufacturers or subcontractors to financially
participate in corrective action, unanticipated adverse legal settlements, or
other unanticipated changes to the assumptions used to estimate the warranty and
product liability accrual.
Equity-Based Compensation Expense
We recognize equity-based compensation expense within our income statement for
all share-based payment arrangements, which include non-qualified stock options
to purchase shares of NVR common stock ("Options") and restricted share units
("RSUs"). Compensation expense is based on the grant-date fair value of the
Options and RSUs granted, and is recognized on a straight-line basis over the
requisite service period for the entire award (from the date of grant through
the period of the last separately vesting portion of the grant). Options and
RSUs which are subject to a performance condition are treated as a separate
award from the "service-only" Options and RSUs, and compensation expense is
recognized when it becomes probable that the stated performance target will be
achieved. We calculate the fair value of our Options, which are non-publicly
traded, using the Black-Scholes option-

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pricing model. The grant date fair value of the RSUs is the closing price of our
common stock on the day immediately preceding the date of grant. The reversal of
compensation expense previously recognized for grants forfeited is recorded in
the period in which the forfeiture occurs.
As noted above, we calculate the fair value of our Options, which are
non-publicly traded, using the Black-Scholes option-pricing model. While the
Black-Scholes model is a widely accepted method to calculate the fair value of
options, its results are dependent on input variables, two of which, expected
term and expected volatility, are significantly dependent on management's
judgment. We have concluded that our historical exercise experience is the best
estimate of future exercise patterns to determine an Option's expected term. To
estimate expected volatility, we analyze the historical volatility of our common
stock over a period equal to the Option's expected term. Changes in management's
judgment of the expected term and the expected volatility could have a material
effect on the grant-date fair value calculated and expensed within the income
statement.
In addition, when recognizing equity-based compensation cost related to
"performance condition" Option and RSU grants, we are required to make a
determination as to whether the performance conditions will be met prior to the
completion of the actual performance period. The performance metric is based on
our return on capital performance during a specified three year period based on
the date of Option grant. While we currently believe that this performance
condition will be satisfied at the target level and are recognizing compensation
expense related to such Options and RSUs accordingly, our future expected
activity levels could cause us to make a different determination, resulting in a
change to the compensation expense to be recognized related to performance
condition Option and RSU grants that would otherwise have been recognized to
date.
Although we believe that the compensation costs recognized in 2019 are
representative of the cumulative ratable amortization of the grant-date fair
value of unvested Options and RSUs outstanding, changes to the estimated input
values such as expected term and expected volatility and changes to the
determination of whether performance condition grants will vest, could produce
widely different expense valuations and recognition.
Mortgage Repurchase Reserve
We originate several different loan products to our customers to finance the
purchase of their home. We sell all of the loans we originate into the secondary
mortgage market, on a servicing released basis, typically within 30 days from
closing. All of the loans that we originate are underwritten to the standards
and specifications of the ultimate investor. Those underwriting standards are
typically equal to or more stringent than the underwriting standards required by
FNMA, GNMA, FHLMC, VA and FHA. Insofar as we underwrite our originated loans to
those standards, we bear no increased concentration of credit risk from the
issuance of loans, except in certain limited instances where repurchases or
early payment default occur. We employ a quality control department to ensure
that our underwriting controls are effectively operating, and further assess the
underwriting function as part of our assessment of internal controls over
financial reporting. We maintain a reserve for losses on mortgage loans
originated that reflects our judgment of the present loss exposure in the loans
that we have originated and sold. The reserve is calculated based on an analysis
of historical experience and exposure. Although we consider the mortgage
repurchase reserve reflected on the December 31, 2019 consolidated balance sheet
to be adequate (see Note 16 to the accompanying consolidated financial
statements included herein), there can be no assurance that this reserve will
prove to be adequate over time to cover losses due to unanticipated changes to
the assumptions used to estimate the mortgage repurchase reserve.
Impact of Inflation, Changing Prices and Economic Conditions
See "Risk Factors" included in Item 1A of this Form 10-K for a description of
the impact of inflation, changing prices and economic conditions on our business
and our financial results. See also the discussion of the current business
environment in the Overview section above.

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