Madrid, July 24, 2020
SPANISH SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Please find attached the documentation to be presented to investors in upcoming meetings.
Ángel L. Dávila Bermejo General Counsel
6M 2020 Results
Analyst & Investor presentation
July 24th, 2020
Key highlights
Insurance units performing well >
- Benefitting from lower frequency as well as restructuring and profitability initiatives
COVID-19 P&L impacts >
- Largest impact has been on the top-line due to confinement measures, lower economic activity, currency movements and an unfavorable environment for Life Savings products
- Direct impacts at insurance units, mainly in Burial and Health segments, have been mitigated by lower frequency across all markets, especially in Motor
- COVID-19related claims at MAPFRE RE (-€56.9 mn net impact)
- Travel assistance business, but with lower claims activity in the second quarter
- Updating of IBNR reserves
Conservative asset valuation approach >
- Extensive review of equity, fixed income and real estate portfolios, intangibles and accounts receivable
- Investments in undeveloped land valuations adapted accordingly (-€20.5 mn net impact)
NatCat events >
- Earthquakes in Puerto Rico and storm Gloria in the Northeast of Spain in H1 2020 (-€77.3 mn net impact)
Resilient capital position >
- Solvency ratio within target range, with a high degree of financial flexibility
2
Key Figures > 6M 2020
at constant | |||||||
6M 2020 | exchange | ||||||
rates | |||||||
Revenue | 13,277 | -11.8% | -7.6% | ||||
Total written and accepted premiums | 10,983 | -12.3% | -7.7% | ||||
- Non-Life | 8,763 | -9.7% | -5.7% | ||||
- Life | 2,220 | -21.4% | -14.6% | ||||
Non-Life Combined Ratio - MAPFRE S.A. | 96.7% | 0.8 p.p | |||||
Non-Life Loss Ratio | 67.6% | 0.1 p.p | |||||
Non-Life Expense Ratio | 29.1% | 0.7 p.p | |||||
Non-Life Combined Ratio - Insurance units | 93.8% | -2.1 p.p | |||||
at constant exchange | |||||||
rates | |||||||
Attributable result | 270.7 | -27.7% | 292.6 | -21.9% | |||
excluding goodwill | |||||||
writedowns (3) | |||||||
ROE (1) | 5.9% | -1.3 p.p | 6.6% | -1.3 p.p | |||
Balance sheet (1) | |||||||
Assets under management | 60,890 | -4.3% | |||||
Shareholders' equity | 8,342 | -5.8% | |||||
3M 2020 | |||||||
Solvency ratio (1) | 177.2% | -9.6 p.p | |||||
12M 2019 | |||||||
Market Consistent Embedded Value (MCEV) (2) | 7,854.5 | 20.5% | |||||
- Variation calculated against data at December 31st, 2019
- Variation calculated against data at December 31st, 2018
- Excluding 2019 goodwill writedowns
Million euros | 3 |
Adjusted attributable result
6M 2019 | 6M 2020 | (mn) | (%) | |
Attributable result | 374.5 | 270.7 | (103.8) | -27.7% |
Weather related and NatCat claims | (77.3) | (77.3) | ||
Direct insurance operations (1) | (36.0) | (36.0) | ||
MAPFRE RE (2) | (41.3) | (41.3) | ||
COVID related claims (MAPFRE RE) | (56.9) | (56.9) | ||
Attributable result excluding weather related, NatCat and COVID claims | 374.5 | 404.8 | 30.3 | 8.1% |
Reorganization of operations (3) | 4.5 | (15.0) | (19.5) | |
Financial Gains & Losses | 37.5 | 13.6 | (23.9) | |
Real estate (4) | 0.9 | (6.5) | (7.4) | |
Financial investments (5) | 36.6 | 20.1 | (16.5) | |
Attributable result (adjusted) | 332.5 | 406.3 | 73.8 | 22.2% |
- Puerto Rican earthquakes (-€25.8 mn) and severe rain and storms in Spain (-€10.2 mn) at insurance units
- Puerto Rican earthquakes (-€35.4 mn) and severe rain and storms in Spain (-€5.9 mn) at MAPFRE RE
- Organizational structure re-alignment(-€14.7 mn) and sale of related financial assets (€19.2 mn) at MAPFRE USA in 2019; provision for restructuring (-€15 mn) in 2020
- Sale of real estate in the Philippines (€0.9 mn) in 2019; mainly sale of real estate at MAPFRE USA (€14 mn) as well as real estate provisions in Spain (-€20.5 mn) in 2020
- Financial gains & losses, net of writedowns, in actively managed financial investment portfolios in the euro area
(IBERIA & MAPFRE RE)
All impacts after tax and minorities
Million euros | 4 |
Key figures > by business unit
Premiums - Breakdown by business unit
ASISTENCIA | |||||||||||||
2.7% | |||||||||||||
IBERIA | |||||||||||||
MAPFRE RE | 32.2% | ||||||||||||
23.6% | 17.2% | ||||||||||||
Reinsurance | |||||||||||||
Global Risks | 6.4% | ||||||||||||
LATAM | |||||||||||||
INTERNATIONAL | 26.2% | ||||||||||||
15.3% | |||||||||||||
BRAZIL | 13.1% | ||||||||||||
NORTH AMERICA | 9.0% | ||||||||||||
LATAM NORTH | 7.2% | ||||||||||||
EURASIA | 6.3% | ||||||||||||
LATAM SOUTH | 5.9% | ||||||||||||
Million euros
Attributable result | Premiums | Combined ratio | ROE (2) | ||||||
6M 2020 | mn | % | 6M 2020 | % | 6M 2020 | p.p. | 6M 2020 | p.p. | |
IBERIA | 221.2 | (10.5) | -4.6% | 3,978 | -8.3% | 93.8% | -0.0 p.p | 11.8% | -0.8 p.p |
of which: | |||||||||
MAPFRE ESPAÑA* | 132.9 | (10.6) | -7.4% | 3,067 | 1.5% | 94.5% | 0.0 p.p | 10.2% | -1.0 p.p |
MAPFRE VIDA | 88.3 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 911 | -30.8% | -- | -- | 14.3% | -0.3 p.p |
LATAM | 131.2 | 27.8 | 26.8% | 3,225 | -21.6% | 89.6% | -3.2 p.p | 12.7% | 2.1 p.p |
BRAZIL | 60.3 | 11.4 | 23.4% | 1,612 | -21.6% | 88.8% | -2.8 p.p | 12.0% | 2.4 p.p |
LATAM NORTH | 43.6 | 14.7 | 50.8% | 887 | -29.2% | 87.8% | -5.3 p.p | 17.8% | 2.6 p.p |
LATAM SOUTH | 27.3 | 1.6 | 6.4% | 727 | -10.0% | 93.9% | -1.8 p.p | 9.8% | -0.0 p.p |
INTERNATIONAL | 76.2 | 31.2 | 69.3% | 1,892 | -12.7% | 98.4% | -4.3 p.p | 6.0% | 1.3 p.p |
NORTH AMERICA | 53.2 | 7.7 | 16.8% | 1,116 | -8.2% | 99.1% | -0.9 p.p | 6.3% | 0.2 p.p |
EURASIA | 23.0 | 23.6 | -- | 776 | -18.4% | 97.1% | -10.8 p.p | 5.6% | 3.4 p.p |
TOTAL INSURANCE | 428.6 | 48.4 | 12.7% | 9,095 | -14.4% | 93.8% | -2.1 p.p | -- | -- |
Reinsurance | (47.7) | (130.8) | -157.4% | 2,123 | -5.1% | 106.5% | 13.0 p.p | -- | -- |
Global Risks | (4.0) | (5.8) | -- | 787 | 38.8% | 109.1% | 2.2 p.p | -- | -- |
ASISTENCIA | (13.3) | (7.7) | -138.8% | 338 | -25.3% | 100.3% | -2.9 p.p | -- | -- |
OTHER(1) | (93.0) | (8.0) | -9.4% | -1,360 | -0.9% | -- | -- | -- | -- |
TOTAL | 270.7 | (103.8) | -27.7% | 10,983 | -12.3% | 96.7% | 0.8 p.p | 5.9% | -1.3 p.p |
- "Other" includes Corporate Areas and consolidation adjustments
- Variation calculated against data at 12M 2019
* MAPFRE ESPAÑA includes the business in Portugal
5
Shareholders' equity
Change in shareholders' equity (€ mn)
Balance at 12/31 previous year | 8,854 |
Result for the period | 271 |
Dividends | -262 |
Net unrealized capital gains of AFS portfolio* | -86 |
Currency conversion differences | -424 |
Others | -11 |
Balance at period end | 8,342 |
*Net of shadow accounting adjustments
Net unrealized capital gains - AFS portfolio (€ bn)
12.31.2019 | 06.30.2020 | ||
Net unrealized gains | 1.01 | 0.92 | |
Unrealized gains | 3.57 | 3.36 | |
Shadow accounting adjustments | -2.56 | -2.44 | |
Currency conversion differences (€ mn)
Sensitivity to 1 | ||||
06.30.2020 | % currency | pp move in | ||
currency | ||||
Total | -1,664** | -424 | - | |
of which: | ||||
US dollar | 487 | -3 | -0.2% | 19 |
Brazilian real | -917 | -269 | -26.1% | 10 |
Turkish lira | -329 | -20 | -13.3% | 1 |
Mexican peso | -158 | -54 | -17.9% | 3 |
**Currency conversion differences include -€539 mn of adjustments in Venezuelan and Argentine currencies (hyperinflationary economies)
AFS portfolio - IBERIA - breakdown by portfolio type (€ bn)
Actively managed | ||||
Immunized | Free | Conditioned | Total | |
Net unrealized gains | -0.04 | 0.59 | 0.21 | 0.76 |
Unrealized gains | 1.75 | 0.59 | 0.92 | 3.26 |
Shadow accounting adjustments | -1.79 | 0.00 | -0.71 | -2.50 |
Market Value | 13.57 | 6.92 | 6.34 | 26.83 |
6
Capital structure & credit metrics
Capital structure
Subordinated | ||
debt | ||
Bank financing | 9% | |
7% | ||
Senior debt | ||
8% | ||
€ 12.6 | Equity | |
76% | ||
billion |
Leverage (%) (1)
Solvency II position (€ mn)
12.31.2019 | 03.31.2020 | |
Eligible Own Funds (EOF) | 8,976 | 8,197 |
Solvency Capital Requirement (SCR) | 4,805 | 4,625 |
EOF-SCR | 4,171 | 3,572 |
Solvency II ratio | 186.8% | 177.2% |
Fully loaded * | 172.3% | 163.8% |
* Excluding impacts of transitional measures for technical provisions and equity
Pro-forma impacts from regulatory developments**
22.7%
24.3%
Matching adjustment - diversification | 12.0% |
Longevity internal model | 9.9% |
Pro-forma combined impacts | 17.1% |
**Calculations at December 31, 2019. Regulatory developments currently in progress:
12.31.2019 06.30.2020
- Total Debt / (Total Equity + Total Debt)
- Credit risk diversification benefit for matching adjustment portfolios
- Spanish Life business internal model for longevity risk: approved by local regulator for MAPFRE VIDA and in process for MAPFRE Group calculations
7
Investment portfolio & Assets under management
Investment portfolio - Breakdown by asset class
51.3 | ||||||
Other investments (4%) | 2.0 | |||||
2.3 | ||||||
Unit Linked (4.5%) | ||||||
2.7 | ||||||
Cash (5.2%) | ||||||
1.6 | ||||||
Mutual funds (3.1%) | 2.5 | |||||
Equity (4.8%) | 2.4 | |||||
Real Estate (4.7%) | 9.5 | |||||
Corporate fixed income | ||||||
(18.5%) | ||||||
Government fixed income | ||||||
(55.3%) | ||||||
Spain | 17.7 | |||||
Italy | 2.9 | |||||
Rest of Europe | 1.8 | 28.4 | ||||
United States | 1.6 | |||||
Brazil | 2.1 | |||||
Rest of LATAM | 1.7 | |||||
Other | 0.6 | |||||
Assets under management
12.31.2019 | 06.30.2020 | % | |
Assets under management | 63.6 | 60.9 | -4.3% |
of which: | |||
Investment portfolio | 53.5 | 51.3 | -4.1% |
Pension funds | 5.5 | 5.3 | -2.7% |
Mutual funds & other | 4.6 | 4.2 | -9.2% |
Financial gains & losses (€ mn)1
Non-Life | Life | Total | |||||
6M 2019 | 6M 2020 | 6M 2019 | 6M 2020 | 6M 2019 | 6M 2020 | ||
IBERIA | 24.6 | 17.4 | 10.5 | 2.0 | 35.1 | 19.4 | |
MAPFRE RE | 13.2 | 8.1 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 14.8 | 9.6 | |
TOTAL | 37.8 | 25.5 | 12.1 | 3.5 | 49.9 | 28.9 | |
- Includes only actively managed financial investment portfolios and real estate in the Euro area, net of writedowns, before taxes and non-controlling interests
Billion euros | 8 |
Fixed income portfolios
Euro area - actively managed (IBERIA & MAPFRE RE)
Market value | Accounting Yield | Market yield | Modified | ||
(€bn) | (%) | (%) | duration (%) | ||
NON-LIFE | 12.31.2019 | 7.27 | 1.95 | 0.78 | 8.25 |
06.30.2020 | 7.15 | 1.78 | 0.62 | 8.22 | |
LIFE | 12.31.2019 | 6.82 | 3.53 | 0.33 | 6.89 |
06.30.2020 | 6.56 | 3.56 | 0.34 | 6.77 | |
Other main regions & units
Market value | Accounting Yield | Modified duration | ||
(€bn) | (%) | (%) | ||
BRAZIL - MAPFRE | 12.31.2019 | 1.99 | 5.25 | 1.24 |
SEGUROS | 06.30.2020 | 1.23 | 3.18 | 1.55 |
LATAM NORTH | 12.31.2019 | 0.95 | 6.44 | 2.96 |
06.30.2020 | 0.81 | 6.42 | 3.20 | |
LATAM SOUTH | 12.31.2019 | 1.89 | 7.09 | 7.06 |
06.30.2020 | 1.74 | 6.63 | 6.77 | |
NORTH AMERICA | 12.31.2019 | 2.03 | 2.88 | 5.06 |
06.30.2020 | 2.13 | 2.76 | 5.15 | |
9
Closing remarks
Insurance units (€428.6 mn net result, +12.7%) > outstanding performance with combined ratio of 93.8%, despite impact of Puerto Rico earthquakes on insurance unit
- IBERIA (€221 mn, -4.6%) > remarkable growth in several Non-Life segments with strong profitability trends even with a prudent balance sheet approach
- LATAM (€131 mn, +26.8%) > outstanding performance in Brazil, Mexico, Panama and Colombia, despite currency headwinds, but top-line affected by lower business activity
- INTERNATIONAL (€76 mn, +69.3%) > improving results in USA, Turkey, and Italy
MAPFRE RE > manageable COVID-19 exposures, supported by prudent approach and financial strength
Defensive business positioning > top priority right now is protecting client portfolio, cost contention and streamlining of business units
Resilient financial position > strong capital base, cash generation & remittances, financial flexibility and liquidity
Proven commitment to shareholders > the Board of Directors will continue to monitor the current situation and will assess future dividends during the fourth quarter of the year
10
Terminology
Revenue | Top line figure which includes premiums, financial income, and revenue from non-insurance entities and other revenue |
Combined ratio - Non-Life | Expense ratio + Loss ratio |
Expense ratio - Non-Life | (Operating expenses, net of reinsurance - other technical revenue + other technical expenses) / Net premiums earned |
Loss ratio - Non-Life | (Net claims incurred + variation in other technical reserves + profit sharing and returned premiums) / Net premiums earned |
Result of Non-Life business | Includes technical result, financial result and other non-technical result of the Non-Life business |
Result of Life business | Includes technical result, financial result and other non-technical result of the Life business |
Corporate Areas and Consolidation | Includes expenses from Corporate Areas, consolidation adjustments, as well the result attributable to MAPFRE RE and MAPFRE INTERNACIONAL's non-controlling |
Adjustments | interests and other concepts |
Other business activities | Includes the Group's non-insurance activities undertaken by the insurance subsidiaries, as well as by other subsidiaries, including activities of the holding companies |
of MAPFRE S.A. and MAPFRE INTERNACIONAL | |
Solvency II ratio | Eligible Own Funds (EOF) / Solvency Capital Requirement (SCR) |
ROE (Return on Equity) | (Attributable result for the last twelve months) / (Arithmetic mean of equity attributable to the controlling company at the beginning and closing of the period |
(twelve months)) | |
Other investments | Includes interest rate swaps, investments in associates, accepted reinsurance deposits and others |
Alternative Performance Measures (APM) used in this report correspond to those financial measures that are not defined or detailed within the framework of the applicable financial information. Their definition and calculation can be consulted at the following link:
https://www.mapfre.com/corporate/institutional-investors/financial-information/
Disclaimer
This document is purely informative. Its content does not constitute, nor can it be interpreted as, an offer or an invitation to sell, exchange or buy, and it is not binding on the issuer in any way. The information about the plans of the Company, its development, its results and its dividends represents a simple forecast whose formulation does not represent a guarantee with respect to the future performance of the Company or the achievement of its targets or estimated results. The recipients of this information must be aware that the preparation of these forecasts is based on assumptions and estimates, which are subject to a high degree of uncertainty, and that, due to multiple factors, future results may differ materially from expected results. Among such factors, the following are worth highlighting: the development of the insurance market and the general economic situation of those countries where the Group operates; circumstances which may affect the competitiveness of insurance products and services; changes in the basis of calculation of mortality and morbidity tables which may affect the insurance activities of the Life and Health segments; frequency and severity of claims covered; effectiveness of the Groups reinsurance policies and fluctuations in the cost and availability of covers offered by third party reinsurers; changes in the legal environment; adverse legal actions; changes in monetary policy; variations in interest rates and exchange rates; fluctuations in liquidity and the value and profitability of assets which make up the investment portfolio; restrictions in the access to third party financing.
MAPFRE S.A. does not undertake to update or revise periodically the content of this document.
Certain numerical figures included in the Investor Presentation have been rounded. Therefore, discrepancies in tables between totals and the sums of the amounts listed may occur due to such rounding.
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Mapfre SA published this content on 24 July 2020 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 24 July 2020 14:00:02 UTC