Q2 2020 RESULTS CONFERENCE CALL
AUGUST 6, 2020
2
Cautionary Statement
Forward Looking Statements
This presentation contains "forward looking information" and "forward looking statements" within the meaning of applicable Canadian securities laws and the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, respectively, which may include, but are not limited to, statements with respect to future events or future performance, management's expectations regarding Franco-Nevada's growth, results of operations, estimated future revenues, carrying value of assets, future dividends and requirements for additional capital, mineral reserve and mineral resource estimates, production estimates, production costs and revenue, future demand for and prices of commodities, expected mining sequences, business prospects and opportunities, audits being conducted by the Canada Revenue Agency ("CRA"), the expected exposure for current and future assessments and available remedies, the remedies relating to and consequences of the ruling of the Supreme Court of Panama in relation to the Cobre Panama project, the aggregated value of common shares which may be issued pursuant to the at-the-market ("ATM") program, the Company's expected use of the net proceeds of the ATM program, if any, and the acquisition of the SolGold royalty interest. In addition, statements (including data in tables) relating to reserves and resources and gold equivalent ounces are forward looking statements, as they involve implied assessment, based on certain estimates and assumptions, and no assurance can be given that the estimates and assumptions are accurate and that such reserves and resources and gold equivalent ounces will be realized. Such forward looking statements reflect management's current beliefs and are based on information currently available to management. Often, but not always, forward looking statements can be identified by the use of words such as "plans", "expects", "is expected", "budgets", "scheduled", "estimates", "forecasts", "predicts", "projects", "intends", "targets", "aims", "anticipates" or "believes" or variations (including negative variations) of such words and phrases or may be identified by statements to the effect that certain actions "may", "could", "should", "would", "might" or "will" be taken, occur or be achieved. Forward looking statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors, which may cause the actual results, performance or achievements of Franco-Nevada to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by the forward looking statements. A number of factors could cause actual events or results to differ materially from any forward looking statement, including, without limitation: the price at which Common Shares are sold in the ATM program and the aggregate net proceeds received by the Corporation as a result of the ATM program; fluctuations in the prices of the primary commodities that drive royalty and stream revenue (gold, platinum group metals, copper, nickel, uranium, silver, iron-ore and oil and gas); fluctuations in the value of the Canadian, Australian dollar and Mexican Peso and any other currency in which revenue is generated, relative to the U.S. dollar; changes in national and local government legislation, including permitting and licensing regimes and taxation policies, and the enforcement thereof; regulatory, political or economic developments in any of the countries where properties in which Franco-Nevada holds a royalty, stream or other interest are located or through which they are held; risks related to the operators of the properties in which Franco-Nevada holds a royalty, stream or other interest, including changes in the ownership and control of such operators; influence of macroeconomic developments; business opportunities that become available to, or are pursued by Franco-Nevada; reduced access to debt and equity capital; litigation; title, permit or license disputes related to interests on any of the properties in which Franco-Nevada holds a royalty, stream or other interest; whether or not Franco-Nevada is determined to have "passive foreign investment company" ("PFIC") status as defined in Section 1297 of the United States Internal Revenue Code of 1986, as amended; potential changes in Canadian tax treatment of offshore streams; excessive cost escalation as well as development, permitting, infrastructure, operating or technical difficulties on any of the properties in which Franco-Nevada holds a royalty, stream or other interest; access to sufficient pipeline capacity; actual mineral content may differ from the reserves and resources contained in technical reports; rate and timing of production differences from resource estimates, other technical reports and mine plans; risks and hazards associated with the business of development and mining on any of the properties in which Franco-Nevada holds a royalty, stream or other interest, including, but not limited to unusual or unexpected geological and metallurgical conditions, slope failures or cave-ins, flooding and other natural disasters, terrorism, civil unrest or an outbreak of contagious disease; the impact of the COVID-19 (coronavirus) pandemic; and the integration of acquired assets. The forward looking statements contained in this presentation are based upon assumptions management believes to be reasonable, including, without limitation: the ongoing operation of the properties in which Franco-Nevada holds a royalty, stream or other interest by the owners or operators of such properties in a manner consistent with past practice; the accuracy of public statements and disclosures made by the owners or operators of such underlying properties; no material adverse change in the market price of the commodities that underlie the asset portfolio; Franco-Nevada's ongoing income and assets relating to determination of its PFIC status; no material changes to existing tax treatment; risks related to the completion of the acquisition of the SolGold royalty interest; the expected application of tax laws and regulations by taxation authorities; the expected assessment and outcome of any audit by any taxation authority; no adverse development in respect of any significant property in which Franco-Nevada holds a royalty, stream or other interest; the accuracy of publicly disclosed expectations for the development of underlying properties that are not yet in production; integration of acquired assets; and the absence of any other factors that could cause actions, events or results to differ from those anticipated, estimated or intended. However, there can be no assurance that forward looking statements will prove to be accurate, as actual results and future events could differ materially from those anticipated in such statements and investors are cautioned that forward looking statements are not guarantees of future performance. In addition, there can be no assurance as to the outcome of the ongoing audit by the CRA or the Company's exposure as a result thereof. Franco-Nevada cannot assure investors that actual results will be consistent with these forward looking statements and investors should not place undue reliance on forward looking statements due to the inherent uncertainty therein.
For additional information with respect to risks, uncertainties and assumptions, please refer to the "Risk Factors" section of Franco-Nevada's most recent Annual Information Form filed with the Canadian securities regulatory authorities on www.sedar.com and Franco-Nevada's most recent Annual Report filed on Form 40-F filed with the SEC on www.sec.gov. The forward-looking statements herein are made as of the date herein only and Franco-Nevada does not assume any obligation to update or revise them to reflect new information, estimates or opinions, future events or results or otherwise, except as required by applicable law.
Non-IFRS Measures
Cash Costs, Adjusted Net Income, Adjusted EBITDA and Margin are intended to provide additional information only and should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for measures of performance prepared in accordance with International Financial Reporting Standards ("IFRS"). They do not have any standardized meaning under IFRS, and may not be comparable to similar measures presented by other issuers. Management uses these measures to evaluate the underlying operating performance of the Company as a whole for the reporting periods presented, to assist with the planning and forecasting of future operating results, and to supplement information in its financial statements. The Company also uses Margin in its annual incentive compensation process to evaluate management's performance in increasing revenue and containing costs. Management believes that in addition to measures prepared in accordance with IFRS such as Net Income and Earnings per Share ("EPS"), our investors and analysts use these measures to evaluate the results of the underlying business of the Company, particularly since the excluded items are typically not included in guidance. While the adjustments to Net Income and EPS include items that are both recurring and non-recurring, management believes these measures are useful measures of the Company's performance because they adjust for items which may not relate to or have a disproportionate effect on the period in which they are recognized, impact the comparability of our core operating results from period to period, are not always reflective of the underlying operating performance of our business, and/or are not necessarily indicative of future operating results. For a reconciliation of these measures to various IFRS measures, please see the end of this presentation or the Company's most recent Management's Discussion and Analysis filed with the Canadian securities regulatory authorities on www.sedar.comand with the SEC on www.sec.gov.
This presentation does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to purchase any security in any jurisdiction.
Gold and Gold Equivalents Sold
ounces) | 140 | Other | ||||
120 | Other | Other | ||||
PGM | ||||||
(000's | 100 | Silver | ||||
PGM | PGM | |||||
Silver | ||||||
80 | Silver | |||||
Equivalent | Gold | |||||
40 | Gold | Gold | ||||
60 | ||||||
Gold | 20 | |||||
Q2 | ||||||
0 | ||||||
Q2 2019 | Q2 2020 | H1 2019 | ||||
3
Other | 240 | ounces) |
PGM | ||
200 | ||
Silver | ||
160 | (000's | |
Equivalent | ||
120 | ||
Gold | 80 | |
GoldH1 | ||
40 | ||
0 | ||
H1 2020 | ||
Gold and Gold Equivalents stable despite COVID Impact
4
Revenue Performance
$280 | |||||
(millions) | $240 | $214.0 | |||
$200 | $180.8 | ||||
$160 | $142.9 | ||||
Revenue | |||||
$120 | |||||
GEOs | $80 | ||||
$40 | |||||
$0 | |||||
Q2 2019 | Q1 2020 | Q2 2020 | |||
$50 | $60 | ||||
Energy Revenue (millions) | $40 | ||||
$40 | |||||
$30 | $27.6 | $26.5 | |||
$20 | $14.6 | ||||
$20 | |||||
$10 | Average(US$/bbl)PriceWTIOil | ||||
$0 | $0 | ||||
Q2 2019 | Q1 2020 | Q2 2020 |
GEOs Revenue:
Increase year over year due to higher precious metals prices
Energy Revenue:
Benefit of increase in production impacted by lower energy prices
1. Average WTI Oil Price
5
Q2 2020 Financial Results
($ millions except gold price, GEOs, per share and %) | Q2 2020 | Q2 2019 | H1 2020 | H1 2019 |
Average Gold Price ($/ounce) | $1,711 | $1,310 | $1,645 | $1,307 |
Gold Equivalent Ounces (GEOs) | 104,330 | 107,774 | 239,271 | 229,823 |
Revenue | $195.4 | $170.5 | $435.9 | $350.3 |
Adjusted EBITDA1 | $158.1 | $137.9 | $350.8 | $278.8 |
Adjusted EBITDA1 per share | $0.83 | $0.74 | $1.85 | $1.49 |
Net Income (Loss) | $94.4 | $64.0 | ($4.4) | $129.2 |
Net Income (Loss) per share | $0.50 | $0.34 | ($0.02) | $0.69 |
Adjusted Net Income1 | $91.8 | $64.0 | $201.0 | $129.2 |
Adjusted Net Income1 per share | $0.48 | $0.34 | $1.06 | $0.69 |
Margin1 | 80.9% | 80.9% | 80.5% | 79.6% |
1. Please see notes on Appendix slide - Non-IFRS Measures
Q2 2020 Revenue Diversification
6
Antamina
Other
1%
PGM
11%
Silver 10%
Energy
8%
Commodity
Gold
70%
Rest of
WorldUS
18%23%
Geography
Canada | |
Latin | 18% |
America | |
41% |
7%
Antapaccay
6%
Candelaria
14%
By Assets
Cobre
OthersPanama
64%9%
7
A High Margin and Scalable Business
Per ounce
$1,800
$1,600
$1,400
$1,200
$1,000
$800
$600
$400
$200
$-
$1,711 | Average Gold Price | |
$1,583 | |||||||||||||||||
$1,452 | |||||||||||||||||
$1,480 | |||||||||||||||||
$1,474 | |||||||||||||||||
$1,275 | |||||||||||||||||
$1,310 | |||||||||||||||||
$1,198 | $1,193 | ||||||||||||||||
$1,072 |
Margin
$238 | $276 | $287 | $308 | $259 | Cash Costs | ||||||
Q2 2019 | Q3 2019 | Q4 2019 | Q1 2020 | Q2 2020 |
1. Please see notes on Appendix slide - Non-IFRS Measures
8
2020 Revised Guidance
Expected GEOs1: 475,000 to 505,000
Assumes mines return to normal operations
Energy revenue2: $60M to $75M
Lower oil price
Funding Commitments
Estimate spending up to $40M of the $100M capital commitment with Continental
- Assuming: $1,800/oz Au; $20.00/oz Ag; $900/oz Pt; $2,200/oz Pd
- Assuming $40/bbl WTI, Henry Hub of $2.00 mcf
Alpala Royalty
Agreement to acquire a 1% royalty on all minerals with reference to 100% of the Cascabel concession for US$100M with SolGold Plc
- SolGold has the option until January 2021 to increase deal by 50% and an option to buyback half of the royalty
- Franco-Nevadaoption to convert to a gold royalty once operating
One of the best copper-gold development projects in the world
- M&I resources of 2.7 Bt @ 0.53% CuEq1 including 21.7 Moz Au
- High grade core of 442 Mt @ 1.40% CuEq2
SolGold is advancing a prefeasibility study with the proceeds
US$15M bridge loan provided to allow completion of due diligence
9
Alpala - High Grade Core
Source: SolGold: News Release dated April 7, 2020
- 0.21% CuEq cut-off.
- 0.80% CuEq cut-off.
10
Organic Portfolio Growth
Cobre PanamaAntapaccayStillwater
2020 | 2022+ | ENERGY GROWTH | |||
Cobre Panama (Panama) ramp-up | Antapaccay/Coroccohuayco (Peru) | Marcellus (Pennsylvania) | |||
Tasiast (Mauritania) 24k expansion | Macassa (Ontario) | Permian Basin (Texas) | |||
South Arturo (Nevada) restart | West Detour (Ontario) | Orion (Alberta) phase 2D expansion | |||
Castle Mountain (California) start-up | Salares Norte (Chile) | LONG-TERM GROWTH | |||
Eagle (Yukon) full year production | Valentine Lake (Newfoundland) | Rosemont (Arizona) | |||
2021 | Monument Bay (Manitoba) | Taca Taca (Argentina) | |||
Stillwater (Montana) Blitz expansion | Hardrock (Ontario) | NuevaUnión (Chile) | |||
Cobre Panama (Panama) ramp-up | Alpala (Ecuador) | ||||
Musselwhite (Ontario) restart | Ring of Fire (Ontario) | ||||
11
Organic Portfolio Growth
DEVELOPMENT UPDATES
Tasiast (Mauritania) Tasiast Sud mining right granted
Duketon (Australia) Expanding Rosemont OP to UG
Hardrock (Ontario) Operational permit progress
Stibnite Gold (Idaho) Draft EIA August 2020
Tasiast | Island Gold (Ontario) Phase III production expansion |
EXPLORATION SUCCESS
Detour Lake (Ontario) Saddle zone expansion
Malartic (Quebec) East Gouldie resource expansion
Macassa (Ontario) SMC, Main and Amalgamated break
Hemlo (Ontario) Down plunge of C-zone
Detour Lake | Eskay Creek (British Columbia) Infilling 21 A, B&C zones |
12
Available Capital
Working Capital1, 2 | $478.0 M |
Marketable Securities1 | $140.0 M |
Credit Facilities3 | $1.1 B |
Available Capital | US$1.7 B | Antapaccay |
DEBT FREE
1. | As at June 30, 2020 | 3. As at June 30, 2020. Facilities include $1B Corporate, $100M Barbados. |
2. | Please see notes on Appendix slide - Non-IFRS Measures |
13
Appendix - Non-IFRS Measures
- GEOs include our gold, silver, platinum, palladium and other mining assets. GEOs are estimated on a gross basis for NSR royalties and, in the case of stream ounces, before the payment of the per ounce contractual price paid by the Company. For NPI royalties, GEOs are calculated taking into account the NPI economics. Platinum, palladium, silver and other minerals are converted to GEOs by dividing associated revenue, which includes settlement adjustments, by the relevant gold price. The gold price used in the computation of GEOs earned from a particular asset varies depending on the royalty or stream agreement, which may make reference to the market price realized by the operator, or the average for the month, quarter, or year in which the mineral was produced or sold.
- Adjusted Net Income and Adjusted Net Income per share are non-IFRS financial measures, which exclude the following from net income and EPS: impairment charges related to royalty, stream and working interests and investments; gains/losses on sale of royalty, streams and working interests and investments; foreign exchange gains/losses and other income/expenses; unusual non- recurring items; and the impact of income taxes on these items. Please refer to the Q2 2020 MD&A for details as to the relevance of these non-IFRS measures, and to the following appendix for a reconciliation to the closest IFRS measures.
- Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA per share are non-IFRS financial measures, which exclude the following from net income and earnings per share ("EPS"): income tax expense/recovery; finance expenses; finance income; depletion and depreciation; non-cash costs of sales; impairment charges related to royalty, stream and working interests and investments; gains/losses on sale of royalty, streams and working interests and investments; and foreign exchange gains/losses and other income/expenses. Please refer to the Q2 2020 MD&A for details as to the relevance of these non-IFRS measures, and to the following appendix for a reconciliation to the closest IFRS measures.
- Cash Costs attributable to GEOs sold and Cash Costs per GEO sold are non-IFRS financial measures. Cash Costs attributable to GEOs sold is calculated by starting with total costs of sale and excluding depletion and depreciation, costs not attributable to GEOs sold such as our Energy operating costs, and other non-cash costs of sales such as costs related to our prepaid gold purchase agreement. Cash Costs is then divided by GEOs sold, excluding prepaid ounces, to arrive at Cash Costs per GEO sold. Please refer to the Q2 2020 MD&A for details as to the relevance of these non-IFRS measures, and to the following appendix for a reconciliation to the closest IFRS measures.
- Margin is defined by the Company as Adjusted EBITDA divided by revenue. Please refer to the Q2 2020 MD&A for details as to the relevance of this non-IFRS measures, and to the following appendix for a reconciliation to the closest IFRS measure.
- The Company defines Working Capital as current assets less current liabilities.
- Fiscal years 2010 through 2020 were prepared in accordance with IFRS. Fiscal years 2008 and 2009 were prepared in accordance with Canadian GAAP.
Q2 2020 | Q2 2019 | |
Gold | $1,711/oz. | $1,310/oz. |
Silver | $16.38/oz. | $14.89/oz. |
Platinum | $790/oz. | $842/oz. |
Palladium | $1,965/oz. | $1,388/oz. |
14
Appendix - Non-IFRS Measures
Adjusted Net Income
Adjusted EBITDA
15
Appendix - Non-IFRS Measures
Cash Costs
Margin
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Franco-Nevada Corporation published this content on 06 August 2020 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 06 August 2020 13:08:09 UTC