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USDA Supply/Demand: U.S. Soybeans and Products- Jul 11

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07/11/2019 | 12:17pm EDT
            U.S. Soybeans and Products Supply and Use (Domestic Measure) 1/ 
============================================================================== 
Item                           2018/2019                      2019/2020 
                             prev     Jul 11            prev            Jul 11 
============================================================================== 
SOYBEANS                                Million acres 
Area 
 Planted                     89.2       89.2           84.6 *          80.0 ** 
 Harvested                   88.1       88.1           83.8 *          79.3 ** 
                                       Bushels 
Yield per harvested 
 acre                        51.6       51.6           49.5 *          48.5 ** 
                                     Million bushels 
 Beginning stocks             438        438            1,070            1,050 
 Production                 4,544      4,544            4,150            3,845 
 Imports                       17         17               20               20 
 Supply, total              4,999      4,999            5,240            4,915 
 Crushings                  2,100      2,085            2,115            2,115 
 Exports                    1,700      1,700            1,950            1,875 
 Seed                          98         93               96               96 
 Residual                      31         72               34               34 
 Use, total                 3,929      3,949            4,195            4,120 
 Ending stocks              1,070      1,050            1,045              795 
 Avg farm prc ($/bu) 2/      8.50       8.50             8.25             8.40 
                                    Million pounds 
SOYBEAN OIL 
Beginning stocks            1,995      1,995            1,950            1,875 
Production 4/              24,505     24,330           24,535           24,535 
Imports                       400        400              450              450 
Supply, total              26,900     26,725           26,935           26,860 
Domestic Disappearance     22,800     22,800           23,600           23,600 
Biodiesel 3/                8,200      8,200            8,700            8,700 
Food,Feed & Other 
            Industrial     14,600     14,600           14,900           14,900 
Exports                     2,150      2,050            1,800            1,725 
Use, total                 24,950     24,850           25,400           25,325 
Ending stocks               1,950      1,875            1,535            1,535 
Avg farm prc (c/lb) 2/      28.00      28.00            29.50            29.50 
                                  Thousand short tons 
SOYBEAN MEAL 
Beginning stocks              555        555              450              450 
Production 4/              49,145     48,870           49,650           49,650 
Imports                       700        725              500              500 
Supply, total              50,400     50,150           50,600           50,600 
Domestic                   35,950     35,800           36,600           36,600 
Exports                    14,000     13,900           13,600           13,600 
Use, total                 49,950     49,700           50,200           50,200 
Ending stocks                 450        450              400              400 
Avg farm prc ($/s.t) 2/    305.00     310.00           295.00           300.00 
============================================================================== 
Note:  Totals may not add due to rounding.  Reliability calculations at end 
of report.  1/ Marketing year beginning September 1 for soybeans; October 1 
for soybean oil and soybean meal.  2/ Prices: soybeans  marketing year 
weighted average price received by farmers; oil  simple average of crude 
soybean oil  Decatur; meal  simple average of 48 percent protein  Decatur. 
3/ Reflects only biodiesel made from methyl ester as reported by the U.S. 
Energy Information Administration.  4/ Based on an October year crush of 2 
085 million bushels for 2018/19 and 2 115 million bushels for 2019/20. 
*Planted acres are reported in the March 29  2019 Prospective Plantings 
report.  Harvested acres are based on the 5-year average harvested-to-planted 
ratio.  The projected yield is based on a weather-adjusted trend model. 
**Planted and harvested acres are from the June 28  2019 Acreage report.  The 
projected yield is based on a weather-adjusted trend model and reflects the 
impact of delayed planting. 
 
 
Write to Linda Rice at csstat@dowjones.com 
 

Stocks mentioned in the article
ChangeLast1st jan.
ROUGH RICE FUTURES (ZR) - CBE (ELECTRONIC)/C1 0.38% 11.93 End-of-day quote.18.33%
SOYBEAN MEAL FUTURES (ZM) - CBE (ELECTRONIC)/C1 1.34% 308.2 End-of-day quote.1.63%
SOYBEAN OIL FUTURES (ZL) - CBE (ELECTRONIC)/C1 1.99% 27.79 End-of-day quote.2.00%
SOYBEANS FUTURES (S) - CBR (FLOOR)/C1 2.30% 888.25 End-of-day quote.2.15%
SOYBEANS FUTURES (ZS) - CBE (ELECTRONIC)/C1 2.24% 888 End-of-day quote.2.15%
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