Log in
E-mail
Password
Remember
Forgot password ?
Become a member for free
Sign up
Sign up
New member
Sign up for FREE
New customer
Discover our services
Settings
Settings
Dynamic quotes 
OFFON

MarketScreener Homepage  >  News  >  Economy & Forex

News : Latest News
Latest NewsCompaniesMarketsEconomy & ForexCommoditiesInterest RatesBusiness LeadersFinance Pro.CalendarSectors 
All NewsEconomyCurrencies & ForexEconomic EventsCryptocurrenciesCybersecurityPress Releases

Euro zone inflation holds steady before expected spike

03/02/2021 | 05:00am EDT

FRANKFURT, March 2 (Reuters) - Euro zone inflation held steady as expected last month, taking a break in what is likely to be a temporary but sharp spike in consumer prices in the coming months, data showed on Tuesday.

Prices in the 19 countries sharing the euro rose by 0.2% on the month in January and 0.9% compared to a year earlier, in line with analyst expectations, a flash estimate from Eurostat, the European Union's statistics office, showed.

Prices are likely to rise further, driven by a slew of one-off factors, and inflation could even exceed the European Central Bank's 2% target in the coming months, challenging the bank's projection for a 1% average inflation rate this year.

Still, the upside surprises are unlikely to prompt the ECB to tighten policy, as the spike is considered temporary and inflation is likely to fall sharply towards the end of the year, staying well below the ECB's target for years thereafter.

Much of the monthly price increase was driven by rising food and fuel prices but the growth in underlying prices slowed, another reason for the ECB not to hurry with policy tightening.

Prices excluding volatile food and energy prices, which the ECB define as core inflation, slowed to 1.2% from 1.4% a month earlier while an even narrower measure, which excludes alcohol and tobacco prices, slowed to 1.1% from 1.4%.

The rebound in crude oil prices and the reversal of the German value added tax cut are the biggest factors driving inflation higher this year while new weights in the inflation basket also had an impact.

But central banks have little sway over prices in the near term so they tend to look through temporary swings. ECB officials have already made clear they will live with this year's spike.

Instead of tightening policy on higher inflation, the ECB may actually ease further, possibly as soon as its March 11 meeting, to counter a recent rise in nominal yields, which threatens to choke off growth by making borrowing more expensive.

"Headline inflation will almost certainly rise further in the coming months, to around 2% due to further rises in food and energy price inflation," ABN Amro said in a note before the data release. "However, it will very likely be a one off... leading to a sharp drop in inflation as the disinflationary pressures from the economic shock come to the fore."

For more detail on Eurostat's inflation data, click on: http://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/news/news-releases (Reporting by Balazs Koranyi)


© Reuters 2021
Stocks mentioned in the article
ChangeLast1st jan.
AUSTRALIAN DOLLAR / EURO (AUD/EUR) -0.03% 0.6401 Delayed Quote.2.00%
CANADIAN DOLLAR / EURO (CAD/EUR) 0.00% 0.670884 Delayed Quote.3.79%
LONDON BRENT OIL -0.41% 62.98 Delayed Quote.22.48%
WTI -0.61% 59.359 Delayed Quote.23.95%
Latest news "Economy & Forex"
05:53pCentral Bank of Cyprus balance sheet as at the end of February 2021
PU
05:53pAggregate Cyprus banking sector data (non-performing loans data) with reference date 31 December 2020
PU
05:53pCENTRAL BANK OF CYPRUS  : Aggregate Cyprus banking sector data (profitability, balance sheet and capital adequacy data) with reference date ...
PU
04:01pSouth African variant can 'break through' Pfizer vaccine, Israeli study says
RE
02:57pArgentina's economy minister heads to Europe to woo finance officials over debts
RE
02:36pUK'S JOHNSON WILL NOT ATTEND PRINCE PHILIP FUNERAL : Downing St
RE
02:36pUk pm johnson's move will allow as many family members as possible to attend funeral under covid rules - statement
RE
02:35pUk pm johnson will not attend funeral of prince philip - statement from johnson's office
RE
12:03pJACK MA : Events leading up to China's $2.75 billion fine on Alibaba
RE
12:03pEXPERT VIEW : China's Alibaba hit with record $2.75 billion antitrust fine
RE
Latest news "Economy & Forex"