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Excess mortality again in week 22

06/11/2021 | 09:12am EDT

From mid-September (week 39) up to and including mid-February (week 6), weekly mortality was higher than expected. There was excess mortality until mid-January (week 3). In the following weeks, mortality was not elevated and fluctuated around the expected numbers for that period. In the last week of April (week 17), there was a short period of excess mortality, but since then mortality has continued to decline. The estimate for week 22 is around 200 deaths above the expected number and outside the range of usual fluctuations. This means there is excess mortality based on the estimate. The National Institute for Public Health and the Environment (RIVM) registered 51 COVID-19 deaths in week 22 (as at 8 June).

2020 1 3103 3277 2908 - 3645
2020 2 3364 3311 2930 - 3692
2020 3 3157 3344 2945 - 3742
2020 4 3046 3392 3008 - 3776
2020 5 3164 3407 3027 - 3788
2020 6 3196 3401 2979 - 3823
2020 7 3198 3408 2916 - 3901
2020 8 2959 3387 2851 - 3922
2020 9 3098 3352 2805 - 3898
2020 10 3107 3315 2785 - 3845
2020 11 3218 3253 2756 - 3751
2020 12 3614 3174 2711 - 3637
2020 13 4458 3104 2703 - 3505
2020 14 5085 3024 2712 - 3337
2020 15 4982 2957 2719 - 3195
2020 16 4308 2915 2711 - 3120
2020 17 3910 2869 2677 - 3060
2020 18 3383 2841 2650 - 3032
2020 19 2989 2821 2633 - 3009
2020 20 2777 2794 2626 - 2962
2020 21 2770 2770 2620 - 2920
2020 22 2732 2753 2608 - 2898
2020 23 2682 2735 2591 - 2880
2020 24 2689 2737 2600 - 2875
2020 25 2696 2725 2594 - 2855
2020 26 2659 2717 2577 - 2857
2020 27 2638 2723 2544 - 2902
2020 28 2619 2719 2515 - 2923
2020 29 2528 2720 2507 - 2934
2020 30 2673 2707 2515 - 2900
2020 31 2666 2687 2492 - 2882
2020 32 2642 2682 2483 - 2881
2020 33 3209 2669 2481 - 2857
2020 34 2856 2663 2510 - 2815
2020 35 2735 2667 2526 - 2807
2020 36 2692 2676 2549 - 2804
2020 37 2742 2698 2564 - 2832
2020 38 2721 2729 2585 - 2873
2020 39 2891 2752 2618 - 2886
2020 40 3002 2786 2628 - 2943
2020 41 3022 2807 2655 - 2960
2020 42 3222 2839 2677 - 3001
2020 43 3448 2862 2661 - 3063
2020 44 3687 2889 2683 - 3095
2020 45 3589 2902 2692 - 3111
2020 46 3580 2932 2710 - 3155
2020 47 3335 2972 2742 - 3202
2020 48 3405 3012 2762 - 3263
2020 49 3530 3037 2742 - 3332
2020 50 3615 3100 2800 - 3399
2020 51 3909 3166 2830 - 3501
2020 52 3867 3222 2871 - 3573
2020 53 4103 3266 2906 - 3625
2021 1 4142 3309 2940 - 3677
2021 2 3850 3343 2962 - 3724
2021 3 3859 3376 2978 - 3775
2021 4 3713 3425 3040 - 3809
2021 5 3651 3440 3060 - 3821
2021 6 3548 3434 3012 - 3856
2021 7 3525 3441 2949 - 3934
2021 8 3204 3420 2884 - 3955
2021 9 3104 3384 2838 - 3931
2021 10 3243 3347 2817 - 3877
2021 11 3036 3285 2787 - 3782
2021 12 3039 3205 2742 - 3668
2021 13 3172 3134 2733 - 3535
2021 14 3156 3054 2741 - 3366
2021 15 3130 2986 2748 - 3224
2021 16 3138 2944 2739 - 3148
2021 17 3111 2897 2705 - 3088
2021 18 2988 2869 2677 - 3060
2021 19 2995 2849 2660 - 3037
2021 20 2969 2821 2653 - 2989
2021 21 2777 2797 2646 - 2947
2021 22 2988 2780 2635 - 2925
2021 23 2762 2617 - 2906
2021 24 2764 2627 - 2901
2021 25 2751 2620 - 2882
2021 26 2743 2603 - 2883
2021 27 2750 2571 - 2929
2021 28 2745 2541 - 2949
2021 29 2747 2534 - 2960
2021 30 2734 2541 - 2926
2021 31
2021 32
2021 33
2021 34
2021 35
2021 36
2021 37
2021 38
2021 39
2021 40
2021 41
2021 42
2021 43
2021 44
2021 45
2021 46
2021 47
2021 48
2021 49
2021 50
2021 51
2021 52
* Provisional figures. Week 22 in 2021 is an estimate.

Mortality up among long-term care users and the rest of the population

Based on the estimate, mortality increased among people receiving care under the Long-term Care Act (Wlz) in week 22. As of the last week of February (week 8), mortality in this group was below the expected level. In week 22, mortality was above the expected level but within the range of usual fluctuations. The number of deaths among the rest of the population rose as well in week 22, based on the estimate, and was at the upper limit of the range. From the first week of April (week 14) until week 20, there was excess mortality in this group.

In week 22, there were nearly 1,100 deaths among long-term care users, including residents of nursing homes and institutions for the disabled. Among the rest of the population, approximately 1,900 deaths were recorded.

2020 1 1210 1252 1052 - 1451 1893 2025 1780 - 2270
2020 2 1265 1272 1076 - 1468 2099 2039 1793 - 2285
2020 3 1135 1282 1086 - 1478 2022 2062 1805 - 2319
2020 4 1125 1301 1113 - 1489 1921 2091 1842 - 2339
2020 5 1098 1310 1118 - 1503 2066 2097 1853 - 2341
2020 6 1142 1309 1099 - 1519 2054 2092 1826 - 2358
2020 7 1155 1309 1069 - 1549 2043 2099 1796 - 2403
2020 8 1129 1296 1044 - 1549 1830 2091 1762 - 2419
2020 9 1195 1276 1005 - 1546 1903 2076 1756 - 2396
2020 10 1164 1260 989 - 1531 1943 2056 1752 - 2359
2020 11 1200 1229 950 - 1507 2018 2025 1741 - 2308
2020 12 1336 1191 928 - 1454 2278 1983 1714 - 2252
2020 13 1656 1156 912 - 1400 2802 1948 1715 - 2180
2020 14 2212 1120 915 - 1326 2873 1904 1709 - 2100
2020 15 2409 1091 910 - 1273 2573 1866 1709 - 2022
2020 16 2066 1075 912 - 1238 2242 1840 1691 - 1990
2020 17 1716 1055 898 - 1211 2194 1814 1663 - 1965
2020 18 1429 1048 900 - 1195 1954 1793 1643 - 1944
2020 19 1186 1038 897 - 1179 1803 1783 1631 - 1935
2020 20 1031 1029 902 - 1155 1746 1765 1615 - 1915
2020 21 1069 1015 892 - 1138 1701 1755 1615 - 1895
2020 22 1004 1007 887 - 1127 1728 1746 1602 - 1890
2020 23 909 995 886 - 1104 1773 1740 1585 - 1895
2020 24 958 997 888 - 1106 1731 1740 1592 - 1889
2020 25 913 989 879 - 1099 1783 1736 1585 - 1886
2020 26 940 985 864 - 1107 1719 1732 1585 - 1879
2020 27 932 992 850 - 1134 1706 1731 1567 - 1896
2020 28 911 998 849 - 1147 1708 1721 1552 - 1890
2020 29 900 1003 855 - 1152 1628 1717 1555 - 1879
2020 30 957 1004 854 - 1154 1716 1704 1553 - 1855
2020 31 946 997 851 - 1143 1720 1690 1540 - 1840
2020 32 904 993 846 - 1140 1738 1690 1546 - 1834
2020 33 1311 987 840 - 1134 1898 1682 1531 - 1832
2020 34 1113 980 849 - 1111 1743 1683 1553 - 1813
2020 35 995 974 860 - 1087 1740 1693 1550 - 1835
2020 36 942 973 860 - 1087 1750 1703 1562 - 1844
2020 37 942 977 865 - 1089 1800 1721 1579 - 1862
2020 38 980 989 876 - 1102 1741 1740 1594 - 1886
2020 39 1054 1001 892 - 1110 1837 1751 1606 - 1896
2020 40 1076 1015 897 - 1133 1926 1771 1632 - 1909
2020 41 1090 1028 908 - 1147 1932 1780 1638 - 1922
2020 42 1219 1042 910 - 1175 2003 1797 1663 - 1930
2020 43 1317 1054 912 - 1195 2131 1808 1650 - 1966
2020 44 1520 1068 920 - 1215 2167 1821 1662 - 1981
2020 45 1391 1074 925 - 1224 2198 1827 1664 - 1991
2020 46 1424 1086 936 - 1235 2156 1846 1678 - 2014
2020 47 1287 1102 953 - 1252 2048 1870 1684 - 2056
2020 48 1287 1121 964 - 1278 2118 1892 1702 - 2081
2020 49 1286 1135 970 - 1300 2244 1901 1683 - 2120
2020 50 1452 1163 996 - 1329 2163 1937 1721 - 2153
2020 51 1607 1193 1019 - 1368 2302 1972 1739 - 2205
2020 52 1727 1223 1035 - 1410 2140 1999 1763 - 2236
2020 53 1732 1244 1050 - 1437 2370 2022 1781 - 2263
2021 1 1657 1264 1065 - 1463 2485 2045 1799 - 2290
2021 2 1588 1284 1089 - 1480 2262 2059 1813 - 2305
2021 3 1539 1294 1098 - 1491 2320 2082 1825 - 2339
2021 4 1464 1313 1125 - 1501 2249 2111 1863 - 2360
2021 5 1436 1323 1131 - 1515 2215 2117 1874 - 2361
2021 6 1351 1322 1112 - 1532 2197 2112 1846 - 2379
2021 7 1366 1322 1082 - 1562 2159 2120 1816 - 2423
2021 8 1158 1309 1056 - 1561 2046 2111 1783 - 2439
2021 9 1103 1288 1018 - 1559 2001 2096 1776 - 2416
2021 10 1147 1272 1001 - 1543 2096 2075 1772 - 2379
2021 11 997 1241 962 - 1519 2039 2044 1761 - 2328
2021 12 1044 1203 939 - 1466 1995 2002 1733 - 2271
2021 13 1030 1167 923 - 1412 2142 1967 1734 - 2199
2021 14 990 1131 925 - 1337 2166 1923 1727 - 2118
2021 15 976 1102 920 - 1283 2154 1884 1727 - 2040
2021 16 973 1085 922 - 1248 2165 1858 1708 - 2008
2021 17 1042 1065 908 - 1221 2069 1832 1681 - 1983
2021 18 1009 1058 910 - 1205 1979 1811 1660 - 1961
2021 19 1004 1048 907 - 1189 1991 1800 1648 - 1952
2021 20 989 1039 912 - 1165 1980 1782 1632 - 1933
2021 21 980 1025 902 - 1147 1797 1772 1632 - 1912
2021 22 1082 1017 897 - 1137 1906 1763 1619 - 1907
2021 23 1005 896 - 1114 1757 1602 - 1912
2021 24 1007 897 - 1116 1757 1609 - 1906
2021 25 999 889 - 1109 1752 1602 - 1903
2021 26 995 874 - 1116 1749 1601 - 1896
2021 27 1002 859 - 1144 1748 1584 - 1913
2021 28 1008 858 - 1157 1737 1569 - 1906
2021 29 1013 865 - 1161 1734 1572 - 1896
2021 30 1013 863 - 1164 1720 1569 - 1871
2021 31
2021 32
2021 33
2021 34
2021 35
2021 36
2021 37
2021 38
2021 39
2021 40
2021 41
2021 42
2021 43
2021 44
2021 45
2021 46
2021 47
2021 48
2021 49
2021 50
2021 51
2021 52
* Provisional figures. Week 22 in 2021 is an estimate.

Mortality up in all age groups

In week 22, mortality increased in all age groups, based on the estimate. Mortality among people aged 80 and over was above the expected level in week 22, but within the range of usual fluctuations. An estimated slightly more than 1,600 deaths were recorded among the over-80s. Since the second week of February (week 6), mortality in this age group had been below the expected level.

Mortality among people aged 65 to 79 years showed an upward trend from the first week of March (week 9), with a decline starting in the last week of April (week 17). From the end of March (week 13) up to and including week 20, there was excess mortality in this age group. In week 21, the number of deaths was at the expected level, but in week 22 mortality was elevated again, based on the estimate. There were around 950 deaths among 65 to 79-year-olds in that week.

Among people under the age of 65, there was excess mortality between the start of April (week 14) and the start of May (week 18). Mortality declined after that. Based on the estimate, mortality in week 22 was just below the upper limit of the range. There were over 400 deaths among people under 65.

2020 1 385 415 374 - 456 896 947 852 - 1041 1822 1918 1632 - 2204
2020 2 432 413 371 - 456 967 944 851 - 1038 1965 1957 1650 - 2263
2020 3 418 415 371 - 460 913 944 851 - 1038 1826 1988 1657 - 2319
2020 4 354 417 374 - 459 936 949 856 - 1043 1756 2030 1701 - 2360
2020 5 450 417 375 - 460 924 956 857 - 1056 1790 2039 1717 - 2360
2020 6 401 417 371 - 463 982 957 843 - 1071 1813 2032 1691 - 2373
2020 7 408 420 374 - 466 938 961 832 - 1091 1852 2032 1649 - 2415
2020 8 340 420 374 - 467 870 961 815 - 1108 1749 2009 1600 - 2418
2020 9 404 420 370 - 470 911 951 805 - 1096 1783 1984 1574 - 2394
2020 10 394 417 370 - 464 889 944 804 - 1085 1824 1957 1557 - 2357
2020 11 410 415 367 - 463 948 932 803 - 1062 1860 1909 1537 - 2281
2020 12 449 410 364 - 456 1079 917 796 - 1039 2086 1849 1503 - 2195
2020 13 502 407 366 - 448 1401 907 806 - 1008 2555 1791 1486 - 2097
2020 14 499 401 357 - 444 1503 889 806 - 972 3083 1735 1490 - 1981
2020 15 485 394 355 - 432 1435 876 809 - 942 3062 1688 1496 - 1880
2020 16 426 389 350 - 427 1234 867 799 - 935 2648 1660 1505 - 1815
2020 17 455 383 341 - 425 1155 857 787 - 926 2300 1630 1490 - 1769
2020 18 446 381 342 - 419 1000 847 779 - 916 1937 1613 1472 - 1755
2020 19 391 380 339 - 420 915 845 777 - 912 1683 1597 1458 - 1735
2020 20 374 378 339 - 418 835 834 768 - 901 1568 1581 1460 - 1703
2020 21 367 377 335 - 419 805 832 766 - 898 1598 1560 1459 - 1661
2020 22 371 376 330 - 422 858 830 764 - 895 1503 1547 1451 - 1643
2020 23 386 378 335 - 421 835 827 767 - 887 1461 1529 1425 - 1634
2020 24 405 383 340 - 425 834 829 770 - 888 1450 1525 1431 - 1619
2020 25 375 382 341 - 423 855 827 765 - 889 1466 1514 1427 - 1601
2020 26 381 384 342 - 426 828 825 763 - 887 1450 1507 1407 - 1606
2020 27 402 385 342 - 428 809 829 764 - 894 1427 1507 1375 - 1639
2020 28 390 386 347 - 424 812 830 760 - 899 1417 1501 1352 - 1650
2020 29 373 389 351 - 426 775 830 762 - 899 1380 1499 1337 - 1661
2020 30 407 387 349 - 425 823 828 759 - 896 1443 1491 1343 - 1639
2020 31 376 383 347 - 419 841 824 752 - 896 1449 1478 1334 - 1622
2020 32 420 384 345 - 423 820 829 755 - 904 1402 1467 1318 - 1615
2020 33 463 382 345 - 418 928 826 749 - 904 1818 1459 1325 - 1592
2020 34 417 382 342 - 422 863 829 756 - 901 1576 1450 1346 - 1554
2020 35 353 384 338 - 429 865 831 761 - 900 1517 1450 1354 - 1546
2020 36 416 385 339 - 431 828 833 766 - 900 1448 1456 1373 - 1538
2020 37 396 390 343 - 437 898 839 773 - 905 1448 1466 1383 - 1548
2020 38 395 397 350 - 445 845 850 777 - 923 1481 1479 1390 - 1568
2020 39 394 396 346 - 447 880 855 785 - 924 1617 1498 1416 - 1580
2020 40 435 400 348 - 453 917 865 789 - 941 1650 1518 1416 - 1620
2020 41 379 400 354 - 447 990 868 785 - 950 1653 1537 1436 - 1638
2020 42 432 405 360 - 449 987 872 788 - 956 1803 1560 1446 - 1674
2020 43 425 406 362 - 450 1080 878 787 - 969 1943 1576 1438 - 1713
2020 44 409 403 360 - 447 1166 888 798 - 979 2112 1595 1443 - 1748
2020 45 434 403 362 - 443 1111 890 807 - 973 2044 1607 1441 - 1774
2020 46 435 408 369 - 446 1059 898 814 - 982 2086 1625 1449 - 1801
2020 47 417 411 376 - 447 1083 913 829 - 996 1835 1647 1468 - 1826
2020 48 436 414 377 - 450 1084 925 845 - 1005 1885 1673 1482 - 1863
2020 49 446 411 373 - 450 1112 933 843 - 1022 1972 1692 1481 - 1903
2020 50 464 413 374 - 451 1104 938 853 - 1023 2047 1749 1525 - 1973
2020 51 473 416 378 - 454 1187 941 848 - 1034 2249 1809 1563 - 2056
2020 52 432 415 375 - 455 1146 944 849 - 1039 2289 1865 1598 - 2132
2020 53 462 413 372 - 454 1280 958 863 - 1052 2361 1898 1621 - 2174
2021 1 429 411 369 - 452 1178 971 877 - 1065 2535 1930 1644 - 2215
2021 2 410 409 367 - 451 1110 969 875 - 1062 2330 1969 1662 - 2275
2021 3 424 411 366 - 455 1087 969 875 - 1062 2348 2000 1670 - 2331
2021 4 403 412 370 - 455 1105 974 880 - 1067 2205 2042 1713 - 2372
2021 5 380 413 370 - 455 1099 981 881 - 1080 2172 2051 1730 - 2372
2021 6 410 413 366 - 459 1097 981 867 - 1095 2041 2044 1703 - 2385
2021 7 476 415 369 - 462 1038 986 856 - 1115 2011 2044 1661 - 2427
2021 8 403 416 369 - 463 983 986 840 - 1133 1818 2021 1612 - 2430
2021 9 415 415 365 - 466 969 975 830 - 1121 1720 1997 1587 - 2407
2021 10 415 413 365 - 460 990 969 828 - 1109 1838 1969 1569 - 2369
2021 11 410 410 363 - 458 983 956 827 - 1085 1643 1921 1549 - 2292
2021 12 387 405 360 - 451 1006 941 819 - 1062 1646 1860 1514 - 2206
2021 13 412 402 361 - 444 1037 930 830 - 1031 1723 1802 1497 - 2108
2021 14 445 396 353 - 440 1047 912 829 - 995 1664 1746 1500 - 1992
2021 15 438 390 351 - 428 1074 898 831 - 965 1618 1699 1507 - 1891
2021 16 449 385 346 - 423 1019 890 822 - 958 1670 1670 1515 - 1825
2021 17 429 379 337 - 420 1042 879 809 - 948 1640 1640 1500 - 1779
2021 18 405 377 338 - 415 1019 869 801 - 937 1564 1623 1482 - 1764
2021 19 488 376 335 - 416 926 866 799 - 934 1581 1607 1468 - 1745
2021 20 408 374 335 - 414 1020 855 789 - 922 1541 1591 1469 - 1712
2021 21 388 373 331 - 415 855 854 788 - 920 1534 1570 1469 - 1671
2021 22 416 372 326 - 418 949 851 786 - 916 1623 1556 1460 - 1652
2021 23 374 331 - 417 848 789 - 908 1539 1434 - 1643
2021 24 378 336 - 421 850 791 - 909 1534 1440 - 1629
2021 25 378 337 - 419 848 787 - 910 1523 1437 - 1610
2021 26 380 338 - 422 846 784 - 908 1516 1417 - 1615
2021 27 381 338 - 424 851 786 - 916 1516 1385 - 1648
2021 28 382 343 - 420 851 782 - 920 1510 1361 - 1659
2021 29 385 347 - 422 852 783 - 920 1509 1347 - 1671
2021 30 383 345 - 421 849 781 - 917 1500 1352 - 1648
2021 31
2021 32
2021 33
2021 34
2021 35
2021 36
2021 37
2021 38
2021 39
2021 40
2021 41
2021 42
2021 43
2021 44
2021 45
2021 46
2021 47
2021 48
2021 49
2021 50
2021 51
2021 52
* Provisional figures. Week 22 in 2021 is an estimate.

COVID-19 mortality known up to February inclusive

The figures on (excess) mortality are based on daily reports on the number of deaths received by CBS. These reports do not contain any information about the cause of death. CBS receives such information at a later stage via a death cause certificate. The cause of death is known for all deceased up to and including February 2021. According to these figures, 27,056 thousand people died of COVID-19 between March 2020 and February 2021, as published by CBS on 3 June. Excess mortality during the first wave and during the first nineteen weeks of the second wave is entirely attributable to mortality from the novel coronavirus.

Data sources for RIVM

To date, RIVM has registered 17,694 COVID-19 deaths. These include 15,819 recorded until February 2021 inclusive (as at 8 June 2021). RIVM receives data on confirmed COVID-19 deaths from municipal health services (GGD) around the country on a daily basis. The actual COVID-19-related death count in the Netherlands is higher because of the following reasons: it is possible that not all people with COVID-19 have themselves tested, there is no reporting obligation for COVID-19 and registration sometimes takes a little longer.

Estimate for week 22

The figures for week 22 are estimates, based on 84 percent of the overall number of death records to be received by CBS. CBS will publish provisional weekly mortality figures for week 22 on Friday 18 June. The figures will be more complete by then.

Disclaimer

CBS - Statistics Netherlands published this content on 11 June 2021 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 11 June 2021 13:11:08 UTC.


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