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Romain Fournier

Chief Editor
Having worked in the British, French and Swiss financial press, Romain is able to report on local and international issues, as comfortable in French as in the language of Shakespeare, Romain Fournier leads the editorial team at Marketscreener. Fine connoisseur of the English-speaking markets, Romain delivers an editorial every day on US and UK markets.

Fed verdict is imminent

09/22/2021 | 09:42am EDT

There is a lot going on today. For example, China Evergrande seems to have gotten its hands on some cash to meet a bond payment. There is also feverish anticipation ahead of the US central bank's monetary policy decision later today. It will be accompanied by new macroeconomic projections that are highly anticipated.

Have markets already put China Evergrande on the chopping block? That is the question today, as we wait for the US central bank to release its monetary policy decision and new macroeconomic projections.

For now, It would appear that Hurricane Evergrande has been downgraded to the lower category. In other words, we have gone from a worldwide event, symptomatic of the excesses of finance, to a Chinese crisis. But we should be wary of the pendulum effect: the returns are often painful. In reality, the easing seen this morning is based on the fact that Evergrande's main subsidiary will honor a bond maturity on September 23 as planned.

In the chapter of good news with no guarantee that they will last, we must also include the favorable vote of the House of Representatives on the increase of the federal spending and debt ceiling until December 3. The country has a chronic need to adjust its spending authority for the administration, which results in a ruthless bipartisan battle. The House of Representatives' bill will probably be rejected in the Senate, so it will have to go through the usual dealings, which are a source of instability for markets. In the recent past, civil servants had their wages frozen because of the delay in reaching a compromise. So watch out.

Investors are obviously waiting for the US central bank's verdict on its monetary policy later today. Many commentators believe that the monetary policy committee will pave the way for a decision on the reduction of the economic support plan at the November meeting. The content of Jerome Powell's speech will be analyzed in depth to try to find out if the Fed's first rate hike will come sooner than currently expected by economists. The interpretation could vary depending on the new growth and inflation projections that the institution is expected to announce in parallel. Investors will remain nervous today, even if the Evergrande announcement reduced volatility a bit (the VIX index is losing altitude after approaching May peaks yesterday).


Economic highlights of the day:

Along with the Fed's decision on its monetary policy and the conference to present the decision, today’s agenda includes the US housing figures for August and the DOE's weekly oil inventories. Earlier today, the Bank of Japan left its monetary policy unchanged, highlighting the supply constraints weighing on the economy.

The dollar/euro pair is stable at EUR 0.8525. Gold is trading at USD 1773 per ounce. Brent is up to USD 75.57 and WTI to USD 71.63 per barrel. The yield on US 10-year bond debt is up slightly to 1.32%, while the Bund yield is unchanged at -0.32%. Bitcoin is recovering 5% to USD 42,300.


On markets:

* U.S. gaming and betting group DraftKings submitted a $22.4 billion takeover offer to Britain's Entain on Tuesday after U.S. casino operator MGM Resorts rejected an $11 billion bid earlier this year.

* FedEx fell 6 percent in premarket trading after announcing Tuesday that it had lowered its full-year forecast for the current fiscal year due to a labor shortage, which is causing slowdowns in package delivery and higher costs.

* United Parcel Service, which is scheduled to report third-quarter results at the end of October, fell 2.3% in premarket trading, trailing FedEx.

* Adobe dropped 3.6% in premarket trading on disappointing fourth-quarter sales expectations. Citigroup, Jefferies, JP Morgan, Oppenheimer and Piper Sandle, however, raised their price targets on the Photoshop company's stock.

* Liberty Global sold cable operator UPC Poland to Iliad's Polish subsidiary Play for an enterprise value of 7.0 billion zlotys (approximately $1.8 billion).

* General Electric - EDF announced on Wednesday that it has opened discussions with the U.S. group on a possible deal for the nuclear activities of its subsidiary GE Steam Power.

* Facebook told Australian media operators it was ending negotiations on licensing deals, six months after the passage of a law that requires online platforms to pay for publishing news content, shows an email to the industry seen by Reuters.

* The U.S. plans to give several countries around the world an additional 500 million doses of the COVID-19 vaccine developed by Pfizer and BioNtech, for a total of more than 1 billion doses, according to a source close to the matter.

* Incyte is down 2.5% in pre-market trading. The FDA approved the drugmaker's eczema treatment Opzelura on Tuesday night but attached warnings, including the risk of serious infections, an increased risk of heart attack and a risk of stroke.

* Hyatt Hotels is down 2.9% in pre-market trading after the launch of the planned capital increase to fund the buyout of Apple Leisure Group.


Analyst recommendations:

  • AO World: Davy starts tracking at neutral, targeting GBp 200.
  • Blackstone : UBS lifts  group's price target to $135 from $110, keeps buy rating
  • Burberry: Oddo BHF resumes tracking at Underperform targeting GBp 1848. Barclays starts tracking with an in-line weighting. Societe Generale upgrades its rating from Hold to Buy, targeting GBP 2,270.
  • Canadian National Railway : Desjardins adjusts pt to ca$163 from ca$162, maintains hold rating
  • FedEx: price target was lowered to $250 from $270 at Morgan Stanley
  • Hershey: Morgan Stanley lowers pt to $180 from $182, maintains equal weight rating
  • GXO Logistics : Oppenheimer adjusts pt to $91 from $78, maintains outperform rating
  • Kellogg: Morgan Stanley adjusts pt to $64 from $66, maintains equal weight rating
  • Lam Research: UBS drops price target to $715 from $780, keeps buy rating
  • The Kraft Heinz Company: Morgan Stanley adjusts price target to $37 from $38, maintains equalweight rating
  • Micron Technology: UBS lowers price target to $95 from $100, keeps buy rating
  • Regeneron Pharmaceuticals: BMO Capital raises price target to $706 from $669, keeps outperform rating
  • ServiceNow: New coverage, rated New Buy at DZ Bank; PT $725
  • Thermo Fisher Scientific: UBS lifts Price Target to $670 from $595, Keeps Buy Rating
  • Tod's: Barclays starts tracking at Underweight. 
  • Truist Financial : Odeon Capital lowers truist financial pt to $52.90 from $62.30, maintains hold rating


© MarketScreener.com 2021
Stocks mentioned in the article
ChangeLast1st jan.
ADOBE INC. 0.68% 643.01 Delayed Quote.27.70%
AO WORLD PLC -3.92% 149.5 Delayed Quote.-62.14%
APPLE INC. -0.25% 149.15 Delayed Quote.12.65%
AUSTRALIAN DOLLAR / US DOLLAR (AUD/USD) 0.04% 0.74646 Delayed Quote.-2.32%
BARCLAYS PLC 1.00% 198.86 Delayed Quote.34.24%
BELIEVE 0.45% 17.578 Real-time Quote.0.00%
BIONTECH SE -3.67% 276.31 Delayed Quote.251.28%
BITCOIN (BTC/EUR) -3.29% 51964.29 Real-time Quote.127.46%
BITCOIN (BTC/USD) -3.19% 60501.15 Real-time Quote.116.02%
BLACKSTONE INC. 3.60% 137.24 Delayed Quote.104.47%
BRITISH POUND / US DOLLAR (GBP/USD) -0.26% 1.37558 Delayed Quote.1.08%
BURBERRY GROUP PLC 1.17% 1896 Delayed Quote.4.72%
CANADIAN DOLLAR / US DOLLAR (CAD/USD) -0.03% 0.8081 Delayed Quote.3.27%
CANADIAN NATIONAL RAILWAY COMPANY 2.32% 168.2 Delayed Quote.17.36%
CHINA EVERGRANDE GROUP 4.26% 2.69 End-of-day quote.-81.95%
CITIGROUP INC. 1.28% 71.405 Delayed Quote.14.35%
DRAFTKINGS INC. -5.26% 46.33 Delayed Quote.5.07%
ELECTRICITÉ DE FRANCE 0.67% 12.81 Real-time Quote.-1.32%
ENTAIN PLC 0.19% 2127 Delayed Quote.87.30%
EURO / US DOLLAR (EUR/USD) 0.11% 1.16367 Delayed Quote.-4.60%
EVERGRANDE PROPERTY SERVICES GROUP LIMITED 1.70% 4.79 End-of-day quote.-46.42%
FACEBOOK INC -5.92% 321.35 Delayed Quote.25.16%
FEDEX CORPORATION -0.01% 232.845 Delayed Quote.-10.32%
GENERAL ELECTRIC COMPANY 0.97% 104.14 Delayed Quote.19.39%
GXO LOGISTICS, INC. 0.11% 85.84 Delayed Quote.0.00%
HERSHEY CREAMERY COMPANY, INC. -1.92% 2795.4 Delayed Quote.-37.88%
HYATT HOTELS CORPORATION -1.24% 82.84 Delayed Quote.12.98%
INCYTE CORPORATION 0.16% 65.98 Delayed Quote.-24.52%
INDIAN RUPEE / US DOLLAR (INR/USD) -0.08% 0.013349 Delayed Quote.-2.34%
KELLOGG COMPANY 0.39% 61.96 Delayed Quote.-0.35%
LAM RESEARCH CORPORATION 0.55% 558.99 Delayed Quote.17.61%
LIBERTY GLOBAL PLC 0.61% 29.72 Delayed Quote.21.92%
LONDON BRENT OIL 1.31% 85.62 Delayed Quote.66.07%
MGM RESORTS INTERNATIONAL -0.30% 47.91 Delayed Quote.52.62%
MICRON TECHNOLOGY, INC. -1.19% 67.8 Delayed Quote.-8.70%
MORGAN STANLEY 1.54% 101.785 Delayed Quote.46.33%
NEW ZEALAND DOLLAR / US DOLLAR (NZD/USD) -0.15% 0.71439 Delayed Quote.0.26%
PFIZER, INC. 0.48% 43.07 Delayed Quote.16.27%
REGENERON PHARMACEUTICALS 0.29% 571.05 Delayed Quote.17.86%
S&P 500 -0.10% 4544.99 Delayed Quote.20.77%
S&P GSCI CRUDE OIL INDEX 2.35% 459.1142 Delayed Quote.70.96%
SERVICENOW, INC. 0.36% 689.005 Delayed Quote.24.69%
THE KRAFT HEINZ COMPANY -0.12% 36.35 Delayed Quote.4.96%
THERMO FISHER SCIENTIFIC 0.19% 609.85 Delayed Quote.30.02%
TOD'S S.P.A. -0.64% 46.84 Delayed Quote.65.64%
TRUIST FINANCIAL CORPORATION 1.13% 64.31 Delayed Quote.32.65%
UBS GROUP AG 0.85% 16.07 Delayed Quote.27.79%
UNITED PARCEL SERVICE INC 2.28% 203.995 Delayed Quote.18.43%
WTI 1.79% 83.796 Delayed Quote.73.60%