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Fitch to Rate JPMDB Commercial Mortgage Securities Trust 2016 C2; Presale Issued

04/29/2016 | 01:45pm EST

Fitch Ratings has issued a presale report on JPMDB Commercial Mortgage Securities Trust 2016-C2 commercial mortgage pass-through certificates.

Fitch expects to rate the transaction and assign Rating Outlooks as follows:

--$23,342,000 class A-1 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;

--$160,394,000 class A-2 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;

--$120,000,000 class A-3A 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;

--$222,981,000 class A-4 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;

--$48,243,000 class A-SB 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;

--$700,848,000b class X-A 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;

--$44,639,000b class X-B 'AA-sf'; Outlook Stable;

--$75,888,000 class A-S 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;

--$44,639,000 class B 'AA-sf'; Outlook Stable;

--$36,828,000 class C 'A-sf'; Outlook Stable;

--$50,000,000a class A-3B 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;

--$80,352,000ab class X-C 'BBB-sf'; Outlook Stable;

--$43,524,000a class D 'BBB-'; Outlook Stable;

--$17,856,000a class E 'BBsf'; Outlook Stable;

--$12,276,000a class F 'B-sf'; Outlook Stable.

The following classes are not expected to be rated:

--$36,828,383 class NR.

a)Privately placed pursuant to Rule 144A.

b)Notional amount and interest-only.

The expected ratings are based on information provided by the issuer as of April 26, 2016.

The certificates represent the beneficial ownership interest in the trust, primary assets of which are 30 loans secured by 79 commercial properties having an aggregate principal balance of $892,799,383 as of the cut-off date. The loans were contributed to the trust by JP Morgan Chase Bank, National Association and German American Capital Corporation.

Fitch reviewed a comprehensive sample of the transaction's collateral, including site inspections on 86% of the properties by balance and asset summary reviews and cash flow analysis of 92% of the pool.

KEY RATING DRIVERS

Low Fitch Leverage: This transaction has lower leverage than other Fitch-rated transactions. The Fitch debt service coverage ratio (DSCR) for the trust is 1.26x, while the YTD 2016 and 2015 averages are 1.17x and 1.18x, respectively. The Fitch loan-to-value (LTV) for the trust is 99.9%, which is lower than both the respective YTD 2016 and 2015 averages of 107.9% and 109.3%. Excluding the credit-opinion loans (10.1% of the pool), the Fitch DSCR and LTV are 1.21x and 105.1%, respectively.

Concentrated Pool with Low Loan Count: The pool is more concentrated than other recent Fitch-rated multiborrower transactions. The top 10 loans comprise 59.5% of the pool, which is above recent averages of 55.8% for YTD 2016 and above the 2015 average of 49.3%. Additionally, the loan concentration index (LCI) and sponsor concentration index (SCI) are 481 and 653, respectively, above 2015 averages of 367 and 410.

Investment-Grade Credit Opinion Loans: The transaction has two credit opinion loans, totaling 10.1% of the pool. 787 Seventh Ave (6.7% of the pool) is the third largest loan in the transaction and has an investment-grade credit opinion of 'BBB+sf' on a stand-alone basis. Palisades Center (3.4% of the pool) is the 14th largest loan in the transaction and has an investment-grade credit opinion of 'AAsf' on a stand-alone basis. Excluding these loans, the conduit has a Fitch stressed DSCR of 1.21x and LTV 105.1%, respectively. The implied credit enhancement levels for the conduit portion of the transaction rated 'AAAsf' and 'BBB-sf' are 23.875% and 8.375%, respectively.

RATING SENSITIVITIES

For this transaction, Fitch's net cash flow (NCF) was 15% below the most recent year's net operating income (NOI; for properties for which a full-year NOI was provided, excluding properties that were stabilizing during this period). Unanticipated further declines in property-level NCF could result in higher defaults and loss severities on defaulted loans and in potential rating actions on the certificates.

Fitch evaluated the sensitivity of the ratings assigned to JPMDB 2016-C2 certificates and found that the transaction displays average sensitivity to further declines in NCF. In a scenario in which NCF declined a further 20% from Fitch's NCF, a downgrade of the junior 'AAAsf' certificates to 'A-sf' could result. In a more severe scenario, in which NCF declined a further 30% from Fitch's NCF, a downgrade of the junior 'AAAsf' certificates to 'BBB-sf' could result. The presale report includes a detailed explanation of additional stresses and sensitivities on page 12.

DUE DILIGENCE USAGE

Fitch was provided with third-party due diligence information from Ernst & Young, LLP. The third-party due diligence information was provided on Form ABS Due Diligence-15E and focused on a comparison and re-computation of certain characteristics with respect to each of the mortgage loans. Fitch considered this information in its analysis and the findings did not have an impact on the analysis. A copy of the ABS Due Diligence Form-15E received by Fitch in connection with this transaction may be obtained through the link contained on the bottom of the related rating action commentary (RAC).

Additional information is available at www.fitchratings.com.

JPMDB Commercial Mortgage Securities Trust 2016-C2

https://www.fitchratings.com/creditdesk/reports/report_frame.cfm?rpt_id=880733

Applicable Criteria

Counterparty Criteria for Structured Finance and Covered Bonds (pub. 14 May 2014)

https://www.fitchratings.com/creditdesk/reports/report_frame.cfm?rpt_id=744158

Criteria for Analyzing Large Loans in U.S. Commercial Mortgage Transactions (pub. 27 Aug 2015)

https://www.fitchratings.com/creditdesk/reports/report_frame.cfm?rpt_id=870009

Criteria for Analyzing Multiborrower U.S. and Canadian Commercial Mortgage Transactions (pub. 03 Mar 2016)

https://www.fitchratings.com/creditdesk/reports/report_frame.cfm?rpt_id=878298

Global Structured Finance Rating Criteria (pub. 06 Jul 2015)

https://www.fitchratings.com/creditdesk/reports/report_frame.cfm?rpt_id=867952

Rating Criteria for Structured Finance Servicers (pub. 23 Apr 2015)

https://www.fitchratings.com/creditdesk/reports/report_frame.cfm?rpt_id=864375

Rating Criteria for U.S. Commercial Mortgage Servicers (pub. 14 Feb 2014)

https://www.fitchratings.com/creditdesk/reports/report_frame.cfm?rpt_id=735382

U.S. and Canadian Fixed-Rate Multiborrower CMBS Surveillance and U.S. Re-REMIC Criteria (pub. 13 Nov 2015)

https://www.fitchratings.com/creditdesk/reports/report_frame.cfm?rpt_id=873395

Additional Disclosures

Dodd-Frank Rating Information Disclosure Form

https://www.fitchratings.com/creditdesk/press_releases/content/ridf_frame.cfm?pr_id=1003670

ABS Due Diligence Form 15E 1

https://www.fitchratings.com/creditdesk/press_releases/content/ridf15E_frame.cfm?pr_id=1003670&flm_nm=15e_1003670_1.pdf

Solicitation Status

https://www.fitchratings.com/gws/en/disclosure/solicitation?pr_id=1003670

Endorsement Policy

https://www.fitchratings.com/jsp/creditdesk/PolicyRegulation.faces?context=2&detail=31

ALL FITCH CREDIT RATINGS ARE SUBJECT TO CERTAIN LIMITATIONS AND DISCLAIMERS. PLEASE READ THESE LIMITATIONS AND DISCLAIMERS BY FOLLOWING THIS LINK: HTTP://FITCHRATINGS.COM/UNDERSTANDINGCREDITRATINGS. IN ADDITION, RATING DEFINITIONS AND THE TERMS OF USE OF SUCH RATINGS ARE AVAILABLE ON THE AGENCY'S PUBLIC WEBSITE 'WWW.FITCHRATINGS.COM'. PUBLISHED RATINGS, CRITERIA AND METHODOLOGIES ARE AVAILABLE FROM THIS SITE AT ALL TIMES. FITCH'S CODE OF CONDUCT, CONFIDENTIALITY, CONFLICTS OF INTEREST, AFFILIATE FIREWALL, COMPLIANCE AND OTHER RELEVANT POLICIES AND PROCEDURES ARE ALSO AVAILABLE FROM THE 'CODE OF CONDUCT' SECTION OF THIS SITE. FITCH MAY HAVE PROVIDED ANOTHER PERMISSIBLE SERVICE TO THE RATED ENTITY OR ITS RELATED THIRD PARTIES. DETAILS OF THIS SERVICE FOR RATINGS FOR WHICH THE LEAD ANALYST IS BASED IN AN EU-REGISTERED ENTITY CAN BE FOUND ON THE ENTITY SUMMARY PAGE FOR THIS ISSUER ON THE FITCH WEBSITE.


© Business Wire 2016
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