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Global Stocks Rally Amid Light Trading Volumes

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08/11/2020 | 09:27am EDT

By Joe Wallace

Global stocks rose Tuesday amid light trading volumes and a slide in volatility as the summer vacation season gets under way in the U.S. and Europe.

Futures tied to the S&P 500 rose 0.5%, suggesting the benchmark index will open higher after advancing for the seventh day running on Monday, its longest winning streak in over a year. Overseas, the Stoxx Europe 600 jumped 2%, lifted by shares in travel-and-leisure companies and other sectors that are sensitive to the direction of the economy.

Trading has eased this month, leading to some outsize market moves. Through Monday, about 4.4 billion shares had changed hands on the New York Stock Exchange each trading day in August, almost a fifth lower than the average for the year as a whole, according to Dow Jones Market Data.

A key measure of turbulence in American stocks, the Cboe Volatility Index, has also dropped to its lowest level since late February.

"I can't see any reason for the market to stop trending upwards at the moment -- of course with reduced potential as we go along," said Johan Hagbarth, investment strategist at Swedish financial group SEB. A big question is whether the jump in cheap, or value, stocks is the start of a rally driven by stronger economic growth or a bounce after months of underperformance, he said.

Investor sentiment was boosted by signs that President Trump and Democrats are open to restarting negotiations on a broad economic relief package. Administration officials and Democratic leaders urged each other to return to the negotiating table after Mr. Trump issued executive actions on jobless aid and other relief over the weekend.

"The U.S. fiscal stimulus is absolutely critical to keeping market momentum positive," said Nicholas Brooks, head of economic and investment research at Intermediate Capital Group. "Markets are assuming that ultimately Congress will come through with a package, and that there's a lot of brinkmanship going on."

"If we don't get a deal, I think markets will correct quite quickly," Mr. Brooks said.

Mr. Trump also said Monday evening that he was "very seriously" considering a cut to capital-gains tax and paring taxes for middle-income families.

"It's not clear whether he'll get what he wants," said Mr. Brooks. "But just the mention of that has I think also increased equity market sentiment overnight."

New coronavirus cases continued to decline. The U.S. reported fewer than 50,000 new cases for the second day in a row Monday, pushing the total number close to 5.1 million, according to Johns Hopkins University.

However, investors are concerned by a pickup in infections in parts of Europe that had appeared to bring the virus under control.

"It's hard for markets to digest the conflicting newsflow" on the virus in different regions, said Hugh Gimber, global market strategist at J.P. Morgan Asset Management. One positive for the world economy is that local lockdown measures "have had a less striking impact on mobility and spending data than the much more stringent lockdowns earlier in the year, " he said.

Earnings season for the largest U.S. companies is in its final innings. Shares in International Flavors and Fragrances fell 3.7% premarket after the company reported a 40% drop in operating profits in the second quarter from a year before. Of the 91% of companies on the S&P 500 that had reported by Monday, 82% had beaten analysts' profit forecasts, according to FactSet.

Shares in cruise operators, airlines, casino owners and major banks rose before the bell.

In a sign that investors are embracing riskier assets, yields on 10-year U.S. Treasury notes rose to 0.634%, from 0.573% Monday. Yields rise as bond prices fall. The WSJ Dollar Index, which tracks the dollar against a basket of currencies, slipped 0.2%.

The price of gold, seen as a haven asset by many investors, fell 4.2% to $1,954.30 a troy ounce. Brent crude futures, the benchmark in international oil markets, rose 1.4% to $45.61 a barrel.

Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index snapped three days of losses to rise 2.1% by the close of trading. The increase was driven partly by a rally in shares of Macau casino stocks, which jumped after the semiautonomous territory's government eased quarantine requirements for visitors from mainland China. Sands China shares jumped 9.8%, while Galaxy Entertainment Group rose 5.5%.

Elsewhere, Japan's Nikkei 225 gained 1.9% while the Shanghai Composite Index lost 1.2%.

--Frances Yoon and Xie Yu contributed to this article.

Write to Joe Wallace at Joe.Wallace@wsj.com

 

Stocks mentioned in the article
ChangeLast1st jan.
DJ INDUSTRIAL -1.84% 27147.7 Delayed Quote.-4.87%
EURO / US DOLLAR (EUR/USD) -0.02% 1.1758 Delayed Quote.5.65%
GALAXY ENTERTAINMENT GROUP LIMITED -4.76% 55 End-of-day quote.-4.18%
HANG SENG -0.81% 23747.17 Real-time Quote.-15.07%
INTERMEDIATE CAPITAL GROUP PLC -0.69% 1155.98 Delayed Quote.-27.70%
INTERNATIONAL FLAVORS & FRAGRANCES INC. -1.72% 120.43 Delayed Quote.-6.66%
LONDON BRENT OIL 0.72% 41.96 Delayed Quote.-35.03%
NASDAQ 100 0.40% 10980.219627 Delayed Quote.25.24%
NASDAQ COMP. -0.13% 10778.79817 Delayed Quote.20.13%
NIKKEI 225 0.18% 23360.3 Real-time Quote.-1.25%
S&P 500 -1.16% 3281.06 Delayed Quote.2.75%
S&P/CITIC 300 INDEX 0.01% 4012.88 Delayed Quote.14.29%
S&P/CITIC 50 INDEX 0.03% 3966.67 Delayed Quote.6.99%
SANDS CHINA LTD. -4.83% 31.55 End-of-day quote.-24.25%
STOXX EUROPE 600 0.62% 359.31 Delayed Quote.-14.19%
STOXX EUROPE 600 NR 0.69% 789.64 Delayed Quote.-12.62%
WTI -0.23% 39.96 Delayed Quote.-34.94%
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