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Morgan Stanley turns bullish on emerging market sovereign debt

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05/18/2020 | 09:09am EDT
FILE PHOTO: The corporate logo of financial firm Morgan Stanley is pictured on a building in San Diego

Morgan Stanley slapped a buy call on emerging markets sovereign debt on Monday, citing cheap valuations, the prospect of significant policy support and the fact that sell-offs in recent months have created a space for investors to move into.

The U.S. investment bank said EM (emerging market) sovereign credit spreads had stabilised at cheap levels, especially against U.S. credit, fund outflows have stopped and issuance has resumed, suggesting that markets have priced in much of recent COVID-19 "shock".

"While we don't dismiss the risk of another leg down, we see many factors as supportive," Morgan Stanley analysts said.

So-called 'high-yield' countries with lowly credit ratings were "the only place to go" they added, recommending Argentina, Bahrain, Ghana and Pakistan.

Pemex (Mexico's state oil firm) also remained a top pick. However, they said they we're not adding Egypt to the buy list as it was already "priced to perfection". They also moved Ukraine down to a "dislike."

(Reporting by Marc Jones, editing by Huw Jones)


Stocks mentioned in the article
ChangeLast1st jan.
EURO / ARGENTINE PESO (EUR/ARS) -0.21% 91.2262 Delayed Quote.36.19%
LONDON BRENT OIL 0.53% 37.86 Delayed Quote.-43.09%
MORGAN STANLEY 0.06% 48.15 Delayed Quote.-5.81%
PROSPECT CO., LTD. 0.00% 35 End-of-day quote.20.69%
SPACE CO.,LTD. -1.15% 771 End-of-day quote.-39.62%
US DOLLAR / ARGENTINE PESO (USD/ARS) 0.00% 78.32 Delayed Quote.30.79%
WTI -1.29% 35.72 Delayed Quote.-41.06%
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