LONDON, May 16 (Reuters) - Sterling steadied on Monday after
Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey said the current
inflation surge was the central bank's biggest challenge since
it gained independence in 1997.
In a choppy day, sterling had fallen both against the U.S.
dollar and the euro as weak Chinese economic data added pressure
on risky currencies. But it reversed some of those declines to
trade flat after Bailey's speech to the Treasury Committee in
the lower house of parliament.
He said the current high inflation "is a bad situation to be
in." He added he did not think the central bank could have done
anything to stop it.
Investors scaled down their expectations for Bank of England
interest rate rises. Money markets were pricing in around 133
basis points (bps) of BoE rate hikes by year-end earlier in
London morning trading, from 144 bps in April. They now expected
111 bps by December.
"Previously a huge proportion of rate hikes had been priced
in to the market, (and) this outlook is now being re-assessed,"
said Jane Foley, head of FX at Rabobank London.
"The market has been turning its attention to recession
risks in the UK," she also said.
Expectations for rising interest rates tend to boost the
value of a currency.
The BoE earlier this month raised interest rates to their
highest level since 2009, hiking by a quarter of a percentage
point to 1%. It warned that Britain risks a recession.
Investors will be watching a slew of UK economic data due
this week including job numbers on Tuesday, expected to be under
pressure, and inflation on Wednesday, seen jumping to 9.1%.
Risk-sensitive sterling has fallen almost 10% against the
dollar this year as the war in Ukraine, rising inflation, poor
domestic economic growth and fears of a slowdown in the global
economy amid COVID-19 lockdowns in China have hit risk
"Sterling's short-term outlook remains strictly tied to
developments in global risk sentiment," said Francesco Pesole,
FX strategist at ING.
"Unless we see a recovery in risk appetite this week, the
risk of another drop in cable to the $1.2000 mark remains quite
high," he added.
Sterling was flat against the dollar to trade at
$1.2265, and was not too far from a two-year low of $1.2156
touched on Friday.
It was also flat versus the euro at 84.93 pence,
after hitting a seven-month low of 86.18 pence last week.
(Reporting by Joice Alves in London
Editing by Bradley Perrett and Matthew Lewis)