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Stocks Close Higher at Start of New Quarter

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10/01/2020 | 05:17pm EDT

By Caitlin Ostroff and Dawn Lim

U.S. stocks edged slightly higher Thursday as investors tried to gauge the prospects of Washington passing an additional stimulus package to bolster the economy before next month's election.

The S&P 500 rose 0.5%, following its best six-month performance since 2009. Despite a decline in September, the benchmark is up more than 35% over the past six months. The Dow Jones Industrial Average wavered between losses and gains and was recently up 0.1%. Both indexes pared earlier gains.

The technology heavy Nasdaq Composite advanced 1.4%.

"The market is grappling with which way to go given how important fiscal stimulus is to the sustainability of the economic recovery," said Mark Luschini, chief investment strategist at Janney Montgomery Scott.

A renewed burst of optimism this week -- prompted by talks between Republican and Democratic leaders -- began to fade Wednesday after the House postponed a vote on a $2.2 trillion package. Democrats are trying to find common ground with the White House on a bipartisan agreement, though they remain far apart on key issues.

"The big wild card in the U.S. is whether we get more fiscal spending or not," said Gregory Perdon, co-chief investment officer at private bank Arbuthnot Latham. "The political backdrop is just so toxic."

The prospects of bipartisan agreement between lawmakers and the Trump administration on Thursday afternoon remained dim.

The lead-up to the presidential election -- and the prospect of a contested outcome -- is keeping a lid on the rally and creating turbulence in markets, traders said.

"It's a lot of maybe and maybe not," said Kathryn Kaminski, chief research strategist at AlphaSimplex Group. "We have a positive view on U.S. stocks, but are still skeptical."

Investors are also still assessing the course of the coronavirus. Infection rates in the U.S. have remained elevated for some months, and health experts have warned that the colder months may bring a new wave of cases.

Although investors don't expect to see a repeat of the spring's stringent lockdowns, fresh restrictions could threaten recovery in the labor market and weigh on consumer spending, which accounts for more than two-thirds of the U.S. economy.

About 837,000 Americans applied for new unemployment benefits through the week ended Sept. 26, down from 873,000 the week before, signaling an improving labor market though unemployment remains high. New figures from the Department of Commerce showed that U.S. consumers boosted spending by 1% in August from the month prior.

Activity in the U.S. manufacturing sector kept growing in September, albeit at a slightly slower speed than that of August, data from a survey compiled by the Institute for Supply Management showed Thursday.

U.S. consumer spending rose 1% in August while incomes fell, in part because of a decline in government aid for unemployed workers.

Some believe central bank stimulus measures will keep markets buoyant.

"If you look at the market, it's telling you that we're going to get a recovery next year. I'm convinced we're in a new bull market," said Patrick Spencer, managing director at U.S. investment firm Baird. "Even with the election, behind all that is central banks and liquidity."

The Nasdaq Composite's stronger performance than other major indexes show that technology has been a major recipient of what has ultimately an uneven rally, investors said.

Within the S&P 500, the energy sector was by far the weakest performer Thursday, falling 3.5%.

"There still has not been a dramatic amount of broad-based support, especially in energy and financials," said Jeremy Bryan, portfolio manager at Gradient Investments. "Those are the poster children of continued underperformance."

Financial stocks fell 0.1% in the S&P 500 Thursday, and the sector has dropped more than 21% this year. Only the energy group, with a 51% decline, has fared worse.

In corporate news, shares of Boeing rose 0.9% after the plane maker got a tentative personal endorsement for fixes to its beleaguered 737 MAX from the head of the Federal Aviation Administration. Shares in PepsiCo edged up 0.9% after the drinks and snacks company beat earnings estimates.

In bond markets, the yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury was 0.677% on Thursday, unchanged from Wednesday . In currency markets, investors' continued expectations of Fed stimulus, as well as heightened appetite for risk-taking outside the U.S., has contributed to the weakening of the dollar. The WSJ Dollar Index, which tracks the greenback against a basket of other major currencies, fell 0.1%.

Overseas, the pan-continental Stoxx Europe 600 rose 0.2%. In Asia, the Tokyo Stock Exchange halted all stock trading for Thursday due to a system problem and said it expects to resume normal trading Friday. Markets in China, Hong Kong and South Korea were closed for a holiday.

Write to Caitlin Ostroff at caitlin.ostroff@wsj.com and Dawn Lim at dawn.lim@wsj.com

(END) Dow Jones Newswires

10-01-20 1616ET


Stocks mentioned in the article
ChangeLast1st jan.
DJ INDUSTRIAL -2.75% 27544.41 Delayed Quote.-0.71%
EURO / US DOLLAR (EUR/USD) -0.28% 1.18151 Delayed Quote.5.68%
NASDAQ 100 -2.07% 11441.588141 Delayed Quote.33.89%
NASDAQ COMP. -2.06% 11301.256357 Delayed Quote.28.71%
PEPSICO, INC. -1.53% 137.34 Delayed Quote.2.11%
S&P 500 -2.28% 3384.69 Delayed Quote.7.26%
STOXX EUROPE 600 -1.81% 355.95 Delayed Quote.-12.83%
STOXX EUROPE 600 NR -1.80% 782.94 Delayed Quote.-11.16%
THE BOEING COMPANY -4.62% 159.67 Delayed Quote.-48.62%
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