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World stocks set for 4th month of gains in data-heavy week

05/31/2021 | 05:15am EDT

* Graphic: Global asset performance http://tmsnrt.rs/2yaDPgn

* Graphic: World FX rates http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

LONDON, May 31 (Reuters) - World equities are set to post a fourth consecutive month of gains on Monday, while the dollar remains under pressure ahead of a slew of European and U.S. data that will confirm whether the global economy is on a steady recovery path.

MSCI's broadest index of world stocks drifted 0.1% higher, putting the gauge on track for a 1.4% gain for May. It is the longest monthly rising streak for the index since August 2020, when the gauge rose for five consecutive months, according to Refinitiv data.

But U.S. stock futures and European cash equities trading were quiet on Monday due to holidays in the United States and Britain, with benchmark indexes sticking to well-worn ranges.

May has proven to be a decent month for asset markets, but policymakers are increasingly faced with the dilemma that inflation is running above estimates while the underlying structural economy is not improving as quickly.

The main event of the week will be U.S. payrolls on Friday with median forecasts at 650,000 but the outcome is uncertain following April's shockingly weak 266,000 gain. Although U.S. inflation data last week was above estimates, another big miss on the jobs front would heap pressure on the Fed to postpone plans to wind down on stimulus.

"The question is, therefore, whether by September the Federal Reserve will be in a position to announce a tapering of its bond purchases starting next year, and the odds are quite decent though it might be delayed to December," said Sebastien Galy, a strategist at Societe Generale.

The Federal Reserve next meets on June 16 and this week will be the last chance for members to discuss policy before the blackout period starts on June 5.

So far, investors have taken the Fed at its word that the labour market needs to improve a lot more before it speaks of tapering. That helped yields on U.S. 10-year notes ease to 1.58% with Fed funds futures pricing in a first rate hike by the first quarter of 2023.

Elsewhere in equities, Asian shares edged higher and in Europe, indexes consolidated gains after last week's record close ahead of manufacturing PMI data this week.

YUAN RISING

A dovish Fed has also put the greenback under pressure against its rivals with the dollar nursing losses at a three-year low against the Chinese yuan.

The yuan was the big mover in global currency markets with bulls pushing its value against a trade-weighted basket of currencies to a five-year high and adding further pressure on exporters in the world's second-biggest economy.

That spurred fresh verbal intervention by local policymakers even as latest factory data showed China's factory activity growth may have peaked for now.

Concerns about global inflation and slowing growth have proved to be a boon for gold with prices for the yellow metal rising 8% this month, vaulting comfortably above the $1,900 level.

Oil prices were firm after gaining more than 5% last week to reach two-year closing highs as expectations of a rebound in global demand outweighed concerns about more supply from Iran once sanctions are lifted.

All eyes will be on OPEC this week as it reviews its supply agreement, and any hint of an increase in output could pressure prices.

Brent added 38 cents to $69.10 a barrel, while U.S. crude rose 39 cents to $66.71.

Usually volatile cryptocurrencies enjoyed a quiet start to the week with bitcoin steadying around $36,000 while its smaller rival Ethereum rose nearly 4% to $2,481.

(Reporting by Saikat Chatterjee; Additional reporting by Wayne Cole in SYDNEY and Danilo Masoni in MILAN; Editing by Jacqueline Wong)


ę Reuters 2021
Stocks mentioned in the article
ChangeLast1st jan.
AUSTRALIAN DOLLAR / CHINESE YUAN RENMINBI (AUD/CNY) -0.43% 4.693411 Delayed Quote.-6.86%
AUSTRALIAN DOLLAR / US DOLLAR (AUD/USD) -0.51% 0.7258 Delayed Quote.-6.01%
BITCOIN - EURO -5.66% 35984.14 Real-time Quote.61.73%
BITCOIN - UNITED STATES DOLLAR -5.86% 42134.89 Real-time Quote.55.13%
BRITISH POUND / CHINESE YUAN RENMINBI (GBP/CNY) -0.23% 8.843962 Delayed Quote.-1.35%
BRITISH POUND / US DOLLAR (GBP/USD) -0.29% 1.36755 Delayed Quote.-0.42%
CANADIAN DOLLAR / CHINESE YUAN RENMINBI (CAD/CNY) 0.07% 5.1063 Delayed Quote.-1.30%
CANADIAN DOLLAR / US DOLLAR (CAD/USD) 0.02% 0.78973 Delayed Quote.-0.40%
ETHEREUM (ETH/BTC) -2.13% 0.068812 Real-time Quote.176.10%
ETHEREUM (ETH/EUR) -7.54% 2475.79 Real-time Quote.345.85%
ETHEREUM - UNITED STATES DOLLAR -7.81% 2899.51 Real-time Quote.327.90%
EURO / CHINESE YUAN RENMINBI (EUR/CNY) -0.10% 7.5742 Delayed Quote.-5.26%
EURO / US DOLLAR (EUR/USD) -0.20% 1.1715 Delayed Quote.-4.31%
INDIAN RUPEE / CHINESE YUAN RENMINBI (INR/CNY) 0.09% 0.087599 Delayed Quote.-2.14%
INDIAN RUPEE / US DOLLAR (INR/USD) -0.01% 0.013548 Delayed Quote.-1.13%
LONDON BRENT OIL 1.06% 78.16 Delayed Quote.46.73%
NEW ZEALAND DOLLAR / US DOLLAR (NZD/USD) -0.68% 0.70155 Delayed Quote.-2.64%
UNITED STATES DOLLAR (B) / CHINESE YUAN IN HONG KONG (USD/CNH) 0.04% 6.46097 Delayed Quote.-0.42%
US DOLLAR / CHINESE YUAN RENMINBI (USD/CNY) 0.11% 6.466 Delayed Quote.-1.03%
WTI 1.12% 74.15 Delayed Quote.49.32%
YRC WORLDWIDE INC. -2.60% 5.615 Delayed Quote.30.25%
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