2025 Performance Largely in Line, But Somewhat Weak

The multi-technical services group reported production of €10,379.9 million for 2025, up 4.8% compared to 2024, with organic growth reaching 2%, driven notably by particularly strong activity in Germany.

This figure came in slightly below the market consensus, which stood at €10,424 million.

In a reaction note, UBS analysts highlighted especially the weaker-than-expected organic growth in the fourth quarter, at +1.5% versus the market's forecast of +2.1%.

Ebita reached €793.5 million in 2025, representing another double-digit increase (+11.4%) after a +21.9% rise in 2024.

The operating margin stood at 7.6%, a performance in line with previously announced guidance and up 40 basis points year-on-year.

At €524 million, compared to €570 million in 2024 and a consensus of €538 million, free cash flow (FCF) came in below specialist forecasts.

Margin Target Raised, But Already Priced In

Portzamparc lamented a "somewhat sluggish" publication in terms of activity, but preferred to emphasize that the energy and communications specialist had raised its operating margin (Ebita) target to 8% by 2028, up from at least 7.7% previously.

"The maintenance of the average annual growth assumptions presented at the 2025 Capital Markets Day (CMD) nevertheless suggests a rebound in organic growth and an acceleration in bolt-on acquisitions (targeted acquisition strategy, Ed.)," the research firm noted.

At Jefferies, where the publication was deemed "rather disappointing," analysts pointed out that the market consensus was already targeting an 8% margin by 2028, while describing the outlook for 2026 as "cautious."

For the current fiscal year, Spie set relatively vague objectives, forecasting "strong overall growth" driven by continued organic growth and robust bolt-on acquisition activity, accompanied by further Ebita margin expansion.

No-Surprise Governance Changes

Having reached the age limit, Gauthier Louette announced he would not seek renewal of his CEO mandate when it expires in April 2026, leading the group to separate the roles of chairman of the board and chief executive officer.

As expected, Markus Holzke, currently managing director of Spie's strategic branch in Germany, Switzerland, and Austria, was unanimously appointed CEO by the board, while Patrick Jeantet was chosen as non-executive chairman.

The stock, up 1.7% this year in a Paris market now down 1.7%, has gained more than 20% over the past 12 months.

Since its IPO in 2015, the share price has nearly tripled.