Sweden – economic forecasts summary

The table below will be updated when new economic forecasts are released by forecasting institutes.

Today, the list has been updated with Danske Bank.

In some cases, figures are missing from the data, which is marked with an x.

Sweden forecasts
Key figures, percent	2025	2026	2027
BANKS:
Danske Bank:
GDP	1.5	3.0	2.7
GDP, calendar adjusted	1.8	2	2.5
CPI	0	0	2.2
CPIF	2	1.1	1
Key interest rate (at year-end)	1.75	2	2
Forecast dated: 2026-03-04
DNB Carnegie:
GDP	2	2.9	2
GDP, calendar adjusted	x	x	x
CPI	x	x	x
CPIF	2.6	1.1	2
Key interest rate (at year-end)	1.75	2	2
Forecast dated: January 21, 2026
Handelsbanken:
GDP	1.6	2.9	2
GDP, calendar adjusted	1	2.7	2
CPI	x	x	x
CPIF	2	1.2	1.7
Key interest rate (at year-end)	1.7	1.7	2.2
Forecast dated: 2026-01-21
Nordea:
GDP	1.6	3.3	2
GDP, calendar adjusted	1.9	3	2
CPI	0	0	2
CPIF	2	0.9	1.7
Key interest rate (end of year)	1.7	1.7	2.5
Forecast dated: 2026-01-21
SBAB:
GDP	1	2	2
GDP, calendar adjusted	x	x	x
CPI	1	1.4	2
CPIF	2.7	1.4	1.9
Key interest rate (annual average)	2.0	1.7	1.9
Forecast dated: 2025-11-20
SEB
GDP	1	3	2
GDP, calendar adjusted	1.9	2	2.7
CPI	0	0	1.7
CPIF	2	1	1.6
Key interest rate (at year-end)	1.7	1	2
Forecast dated: January 27, 2026
Swedbank:
GDP	1.5	2.9	2.5
GDP, calendar adjusted	1	2.6	2
CPI	0	0	1
CPIF	2	1	1.5
Key interest rate (Dec)	1.7	1.7	2
Forecast dated: 2026-01-21
AUTHORITIES:
National Financial Management Authority:
GDP	1.1	2.7	2.6
GDP, calendar adjusted	1	2.5	2
CPI	0	0	2
CPIF	2	1	2.1
Key interest rate (at year-end)	1.75	2	2
Forecast dated: November 18, 2025
National Institute of Economic Research:
GDP	1.6	2.9	2
GDP, calendar adjusted	1	2.7	2
CPI	0	0	2
CPIF	2	0	1
Key interest rate (at year-end)	1.75	2	2
Forecast dated: 2025-12-19
Government
GDP	1.6	3	2
GDP, calendar adjusted	1.8	2.8	2
CPI	0	0	2
CPIF	2.7	1	1
Key interest rate (annual average)	2	1.7	1.8
Forecast dated: 2025-12-16
Swedish Central Bank:
GDP	1.5	2	2
GDP, calendar adjusted	1	2.6	2
CPI	0	0	2
CPIF	2.7	0.9	1.7
Key interest rate (annual average)	2	1	1.9
Forecast dated: 2025-12-18
National Debt Office:
GDP	0	2	2.5
GDP, calendar adjusted	1	2.5	2
CPI	x	x	x
CPIF	2.6	0.8	1
Key interest rate (at year-end)	x	x	x
Forecast dated: 2025-11-27
ORGANIZATIONS:
LO:
GDP	1.6	2	x
GDP, calendar adjusted	x	x	x
CPI	0	0	x
CPIF	2.7	0.9	x
Key interest rate (at year-end)	1.7	1.7	x
Forecast dated: 2025-12-12
Confederation of Swedish Enterprise:
GDP	0.9	2	x
GDP, calendar adjusted	x	x	x
CPI	x	x	x
CPIF	2.6	1.5	x
Key interest rate (at year-end)	1.7	1	x
Forecast dated: 2025-09-18
Technology companies/
Industrial Employers:
GDP	1.6	3	2.5
GDP, calendar adjusted	x	x	x
CPI	x	x	x
CPIF	2.6	1.0	1
Key interest rate (at year-end)	1.7	1.5	2
Forecast dated: 2026-02-18
The Union:
GDP	1	2	x
GDP, calendar adjusted	1.7	2	x
CPI	0	0	x
CPIF	2.7	1	x
Key interest rate (at year-end)	1.7	1	x
Forecast dated: 2025-11-12
OTHER:
European Commission
GDP	1.5	2.6	2
GDP, calendar adjusted	x	x	x
CPI	x	x	x
CPIF	x	x	x
Key interest rate (at year-end)	x	x	x
Forecast dated: November 17, 2025
HUI:
GDP	1	2.6	2.4
GDP, calendar adjusted	x	x	x
CPI	x	x	x
CPIF	x	x	x
Key interest rate (at year-end)	x	x	x
Forecast dated: December 12, 2025
Länsförsäkringar:
GDP	1.3	3	2
GDP, calendar adjusted	x	x	x
CPI	x	x	x
CPIF	0.7	0.9	1
Key interest rate (at year-end)	1.7	1.7	2.0
Forecast dated: December 10, 2025
OECD
GDP	1.6	2.6	2
GDP, calendar adjusted	x	x	x
CPI	0.9	1	1.8
CPIF	2.8	1.1	1.8
Key interest rate (at year-end)	x	x	x
Forecast dated: 2025-12-02