AlphaValue sees UPM-Kymmene’s resilient EPS, balance sheet flexibility after its Strategic Investment Phase, and potential Ukraine Peace Restoration as catalysts for a re-rating, with shareholder rewards supported even before full Earnings recovery and without relying on forest monetisation.
Published on 12/27/2025
at 05:19 am EST
Alphavalue
Share
This article is reserved for subscribers.
Alphavalue, the European leader in independent research, is exclusively available on MarketScreener.
UPM-Kymmene Oyj is one of the world's leading paper producers. Net sales (including intragroup) break down by family of products as follows:
- papers (40.5%): magazine papers (worldwide No. 1 producer), fine and special paper (No. 1 in Europe; coated and glazed fine papers, packaging papers, letter-head paper, envelopes) and newspaper papers (No. 2 in Europe);
- pulp and timber products (30.1%): pulp, sawn timber and plywood;
- processed products (15.1%): adhesive labels, packaging (for the paper, steel and wood industries), silicon papers for the hygiene products, etc.;
- other (14.3%): primarily electricity production from renewable energy.
At the end of 2024, the group had 54 production plants worldwide.
Net sales are distributed geographically as follows: Finland (12.6%), Germany (10.4%), the United Kingdom (5%), France (3.7%), Poland (2.9%), Austria (1.1%), Europe (18.2%), the United States (17.4%), China (16.9%), Uruguay (1%) and other (10.8%).
This super rating is the result of a weighted average of the rankings based on the following ratings: Global Valuation (Composite), EPS Revisions (4 months), and Visibility (Composite). We recommend that you carefully review the associated descriptions.
Investor
Investor
This super composite rating is the result of a weighted average of the rankings based on the following ratings: Fundamentals (Composite), Global Valuation (Composite), EPS Revisions (1 year), and Visibility (Composite). We recommend that you carefully review the associated descriptions.
Global
Global
This composite rating is the result of an average of the rankings based on the following ratings: Fundamentals (Composite), Valuation (Composite), Financial Estimates Revisions (Composite), Consensus (Composite), and Visibility (Composite). The company must be covered by at least 4 of these 5 ratings for the calculation to be performed. We recommend that you carefully review the associated descriptions.
Quality
Quality
This composite rating is the result of an average of the rankings based on the following ratings: Capital Efficiency (Composite), Quality of Financial Reporting (Composite), and Financial Health (Composite). The company must be covered by at least 2 of these 3 ratings for the calculation to be performed. We recommend that you carefully review the associated descriptions.