(CercleFinance.com) -Wall Street recorded its heaviest consolidation since November 21: the Dow Jones lost -0.45%, the S&P -0.55% and the Nasdaq -0.85% (the sharpest decline since November 9, with the "tech" sector down -1.5% (Sirius down -6.6%, Palo-Alto -3.2%, Intel -3.2%, Meta and Microsoft -1.5%....).

Investors are beginning to take profits following an unprecedented 5-week bull run - not the most bullish in history, admittedly - but the one in which the drawdown was the lowest in the 21st century.

After recovering more than 12% from its October 27 low, the S&P 500 is now just 5% off its all-time high of early 2022, and the Dow Jones is back to within 1% of its highs of early 2020 or February 2022, with the VIX falling back to 12.60 on 11/30, but now back above 13.
The bond market also seems to be trying to catch its breath after one of the biggest 5-week rises since 2009: Thursday and Friday's sessions were euphoric.
The 'ten-year' recovered +2.7pts to 4.2700%, but is still trading at its lowest level since the end of August (4.20%).

Fed boss Jerome Powell said on Friday that it was premature to talk about a rate cut and assured investors that a rate hike remained on the table, but the markets seem to have decoded another message that said 'we will cut rates sooner rather than later'.

Investors are hoping that Friday's 'NFP' will confirm a slowdown in the pace of job creation, followed by a slight rise in unemployment, reinforcing hopes of a 'pivot' as early as March 2024.
The 'NFP' will be preceded on Tuesday by the ISM services index, then on Wednesday by the ADP survey of private-sector job creation, before the Michigan consumer confidence index is released on Friday.

The 'ten-year' is up +2.7pts at 4.2700%, but is still trading at its lowest level since the end of August.

Copyright (c) 2023 CercleFinance.com. All rights reserved.