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Dollar dips before consumer price inflation data

04/12/2021 | 03:49pm EDT
U.S. one dollar banknotes are seen in front of displayed stock graph

NEW YORK (Reuters) - The dollar dipped slightly on Monday as traders awaited highly anticipated U.S. inflation and retail sales data in coming days, and as the Treasury Department saw solid demand for new sales of three-year and 10-year notes.

The dollar has rebounded this year as U.S. Treasury yields rise on expectations of faster economic growth and higher inflation.

U.S. consumer price data for March due on Tuesday is a major economic focus. Investors are betting that price pressures will increase due to increased fiscal and monetary stimulus and as businesses reopen from COVID-19 related closures.

Comparisons with last year are also likely to be strong, due to a drop in inflation a year ago when businesses closed due to the spread of the virus.

"With U.S. data expected to come in strong this week, we believe the dollar's rise can continue," analysts at Brown Brothers Harriman said in a report on Monday.

Retail sales data for March is due on Thursday.

The dollar index fell 0.04% against a basket of currencies to 92.164. It is holding above a three-week low of 91.995 reached on Thursday.

The euro was little changed on the day at $1.1900.

Treasury yields dipped from session highs but were higher on the day before the Treasury will sell 30-year bonds on Tuesday, and after Monday's auctions saw good demand. [US/]

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said on Sunday that the U.S. economy was at "an inflection point" and looked set for a strong rebound in the coming months, but he also warned of risks stemming from a hasty reopening.

Boston Fed President Eric Rosengren also said on Monday that the U.S. economy could see a significant rebound this year thanks to accommodative monetary and fiscal policy, though the labor market still has much room for improvement.

For a graphic on U.S. dollar index:


Bitcoin chopped around the $60,000 level on Monday and is holding just below a record high of $61,782 reached last month.

Sterling rose 0.22% to $1.3724 as traders cheered the latest phase of the British government's economic reopening plan.

The dollar fell 0.19% to 109.44 yen versus the Japanese currency.

U.S. dollar net short positions have fallen to their lowest in nearly three years, according to data published on Friday.

ING analysts noted that speculators had cut their net short dollar positions for the 12th consecutive week, which could prove a headwind for further dollar gains.

"At this stage, the dollar has lost all its positioning 'advantage,' having a neutral speculative positioning, which suggests we should no longer see dollar rallies against most G10 currencies exacerbated by the unwinding of USD shorts," they wrote.

(Reporting by Karen Brettell in New York; additional reporting by Tommy Wilkes in London; editing by Jonathan Oatis and Nick Zieminski)

By Karen Brettell

© Reuters 2021
Stocks mentioned in the article
ChangeLast1st jan.
AUSTRALIAN DOLLAR / BRITISH POUND (AUD/GBP) -0.01% 0.5602 Delayed Quote.-0.34%
AUSTRALIAN DOLLAR / EURO (AUD/EUR) -0.08% 0.6447 Delayed Quote.2.45%
AUSTRALIAN DOLLAR / US DOLLAR (AUD/USD) 0.74% 0.78433 Delayed Quote.1.22%
BITCOIN - EURO 1.32% 47919.03 Real-time Quote.98.79%
BITCOIN - UNITED STATES DOLLAR 1.40% 58220.72 Real-time Quote.96.08%
BRITISH POUND / EURO (GBP/EUR) -0.18% 1.1496 Delayed Quote.2.93%
BRITISH POUND / US DOLLAR (GBP/USD) 0.68% 1.39885 Delayed Quote.1.61%
CANADIAN DOLLAR / BRITISH POUND (CAD/GBP) 0.00% 0.589498 Delayed Quote.2.92%
CANADIAN DOLLAR / EURO (CAD/EUR) 0.00% 0.677939 Delayed Quote.5.97%
CANADIAN DOLLAR / US DOLLAR (CAD/USD) 0.00% 0.8233 Delayed Quote.4.73%
DOW JONES FXCM DOLLAR INDEX 0.01% 11696.16 Delayed Quote.0.67%
EURO / BRITISH POUND (EUR/GBP) 0.14% 0.86943 Delayed Quote.-2.81%
EURO / US DOLLAR (EUR/USD) 0.81% 1.21625 Delayed Quote.-1.22%
INDIAN RUPEE / BRITISH POUND (INR/GBP) 0.00% 0.009753 Delayed Quote.-2.39%
INDIAN RUPEE / EURO (INR/EUR) 0.00% 0.011212 Delayed Quote.0.51%
INDIAN RUPEE / US DOLLAR (INR/USD) 0.00% 0.013643 Delayed Quote.-0.75%
NEW ZEALAND DOLLAR / US DOLLAR (NZD/USD) 0.70% 0.72793 Delayed Quote.0.73%
US DOLLAR / BRITISH POUND (USD/GBP) 0.00% 0.714873 Delayed Quote.-1.58%
US DOLLAR / EURO (USD/EUR) -0.80% 0.822199 Delayed Quote.1.23%
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