Projected Income Statement: AB Volvo

Forecast Balance Sheet: AB Volvo

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 -51,000 -50,400 -61,300 -66,700 -67,200 -52,641 -60,772 -64,400
Change - 1.18% -21.63% -8.81% -0.75% 21.67% -15.45% -5.97%
Announcement Date 2/3/21 1/28/22 1/26/23 1/26/24 1/29/25 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: AB Volvo

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 14,297 18,117 20,456 23,387 17,904 22,475 21,490 22,227
Change - 26.72% 12.91% 14.33% -23.44% 25.53% -4.38% 3.43%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 16,313 15,530 12,788 11,130 28,540 34,712 39,781 45,944
Change - -4.8% -17.66% -12.97% 156.42% 21.63% 14.6% 15.49%
Announcement Date 2/3/21 1/28/22 1/26/23 1/26/24 1/29/25 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: AB Volvo

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 14.53% 16.05% 15.04% 17.89% 16.75% 15.29% 16.2% 16.57%
EBIT Margin (%) 8.44% 11.02% 10.66% 14.05% 12.47% 11.09% 12% 12.41%
EBT Margin (%) 7.66% 11.6% 9.52% 12.07% 12.76% 10.96% 12.01% 12.45%
Net margin (%) 5.71% 8.81% 6.91% 9.01% 9.56% 8.34% 9.07% 9.48%
FCF margin (%) 4.82% 4.17% 2.7% 2.01% 5.42% 7.01% 7.62% 8.36%
FCF / Net Income (%) 84.44% 47.37% 39.08% 22.34% 56.64% 84.09% 84.04% 88.2%

Profitability

        
ROA 3.89% 6.39% 5.72% 8.95% 7.16% 6.67% 7.28% 6.99%
ROE 14.2% 21.79% 23.83% 34.26% 26.74% 21.68% 23.71% 23.93%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 4.22% 4.87% 4.32% 4.23% 3.4% 4.54% 4.12% 4.04%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 29.08% 30.33% 28.73% 23.66% 20.28% 29.7% 25.42% 24.41%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 87.64% 116.66% 159.96% 210.13% 62.73% 64.75% 54.02% 48.38%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 15.06 16.55 16.35 13.12 22.85 29.46 33.77 35.65
Change - 9.92% -1.2% -19.76% 74.15% 28.93% 14.64% 5.56%
Dividend per Share 1 6 13 14 18 18.5 17.56 18.68 19.58
Change - 116.67% 7.69% 28.57% 2.78% -5.07% 6.35% 4.83%
Book Value Per Share 1 71.45 69.36 80.03 87.45 95.4 94.65 102.4 107.1
Change - -2.93% 15.39% 9.28% 9.09% -0.78% 8.19% 4.6%
EPS 1 9.5 16.12 16.09 24.5 24.78 20.59 23.52 25.1
Change - 69.68% -0.19% 52.27% 1.14% -16.89% 14.22% 6.69%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 2,033,452 2,033,452 2,033,452 2,033,452 2,033,452 2,033,452 2,033,452 2,033,452
Announcement Date 2/3/21 1/28/22 1/26/23 1/26/24 1/29/25 - - -
1SEK
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 13.5x 11.8x
PBR 2.93x 2.7x
EV / Sales 1.03x 0.96x
Yield 6.34% 6.74%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG MSCI
A
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
20
Last Close Price
277.00SEK
Average target price
303.53SEK
Spread / Average Target
+9.58%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise