1st Quarter 2019
Earnings Webcast
May 22, 2019
This press release contains forward-looking statements that are based on our current expectations, assumptions, estimates and projections about us and our industry. These
forward-looking statements can be identified by words or phrases such as "anticipate," "forecast", "believe," "continue," "estimate," "expect," "intend," "is/are likely to," "may," "plan," "should," "would," or other similar expressions.
The forward-looking statements included in this press release relate to, among others: (i) our business prospects and future results of operations; (ii) the implementation of our business strategy, including our development of the Ivinhema project; (iii) our plans relating to acquisitions, joint ventures, strategic alliances or divestitures; (iv) the implementation of our financing strategy and capital expenditure plan; (v) the maintenance of our relationships with customers; (vi) the competitive nature of the industries in which we operate; (vii) the cost and availability of financing; (viii) future demand for the commodities we produce; (ix) international prices for commodities; (x) the condition of our land holdings; (xi) the development of the logistics and infrastructure for transportation of our productions in the countries where we operate; (xii) the performance of the South American and world economies; (xiii) weather and other natural phenomena; (xiv) the relative value of the Brazilian Real, the Argentine Peso, and the Uruguayan Peso compared to other currencies; and (xv) developments in, or changes to, the laws, regulations and governmental policies governing our business, including environmental laws and regulations.
These forward-looking statements involve various risks and uncertainties. Although we believe that our expectations expressed in these forward-looking statements are reasonable, our expectations may turn out to be incorrect. Our actual results could be materially different from our expectations. In light of the risks and uncertainties described above, the estimates and forward-looking statements discussed in this press release might not occur, and our future results and our performance may differ materially from those expressed in these forward-looking statements due to, inclusive, but not limited to, the factors mentioned above. Because of these uncertainties, you should not make any investment decision based on these estimates and forward-looking statements.
The forward-looking statements made in this press release related only to events or information as of the date on which the statements are made in this press release. We undertake no obligation to update any forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after the date on which the statements are made or to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events.
Sugar, Ethanol & Energy Business- Rainfalls & Sugarcane Crushing
Mato Grosso do Sul Rains
9 | (In mm) |
YoY Rains
1Q18 | 722 | 10 year | ||||||||
Avg. | ||||||||||
294 | 1Q19 | 510 | ||||||||
∆ % | ||||||||||
249 | (29.4%) | |||||||||
227 | 226 | 233 | ||||||||
204 | 216 | 201 | 185 | |||||||
190 | ||||||||||
170 | ||||||||||
2 | 164 | 154 | 162 | |||||||
78 | ||||||||||
18 | Nov-17 | Nov-18 | Dec-17 | Dec-18 | Jan-18 | Jan-19 | Feb-18 | Feb-19 | Mar-18 | Mar-19 |
Sugarcane crushing
(In Thousands Tons) | ||||||||||
(11.3%) | ||||||||||
Operational Metrics - 1Q18 vs. 1Q19 | 1,524 | |||||||||
Operational Metrics | 1Q18 | 1Q19 | % Change | 1,352 | ||||||
Total Days | 90 | 90 | 0% | |||||||
Effective Milling Days | 34.6 | 34.8 | 0% | |||||||
Total Crushing (k tons) | 1,524 | 1,352 | (11%) | |||||||
Milling per Day (k tons) | 39,009 | 32,688 | (16.2%) | |||||||
Harvested area (ha) | 14,064 | 14,610 | 3.9% | |||||||
1Q18 | 1Q19 | |||||||||
Yield per Hectare
(tons/hectare)
107.4 | (14.3%) |
92.0 | |
1Q18 | 1Q19 |
TRS per Ton
(kg/ton)
(0.7%) | |
108 | 107 |
1Q18 | 1Q19 |
TRS per Hectare
(kg/hectare)
11,601 | (14.9%) |
9,871 | |
1Q18 | 1Q19 |
Price Evolution | Ethanol Production Mix Evolution | |||||
26 | (in cts/lb) | (in %) | ||||
24 | 1Q18 | 1Q19 | 3% | |||
22 | ||||||
26% | ||||||
20 | Sugar | 50% | 47% | |||
18 | ||||||
16 | Ethanol | 74% | 97% | |||
14 | 50% | 53% | ||||
12 | ||||||
10 | ||||||
12M16 | 12M17 | 12M18 | 1Q19 | |||
Anhydrous MS (cts/lb) | ||||||
Ethanol Production | SE&E EBITDA Distribution | |||||
(M3) | (in %) | |||||
12.3% | 11.2% | 16.9% | 13.8% | 10.4% | ||
3.8% | ||||||
Energy | 34.5% | 27.1% | ||||
200,390 | 46.7% | |||||
178,363 | Sugar | |||||
Ethanol | 86.6% | |||||
48.6% | 59.2% | |||||
42.2% | ||||||
1Q18 | 1Q19 | 2 0 1 6 | 2 0 1 7 | 2 0 1 8 | 1 Q 1 9 | |
Ethanol Sales Volume (m3)
15.6 | 12.4 | |
Average | (20.5%) | 139,297 |
Realized | 19.2% | |
Price (1) |
cts/lbs
116,899
1Q181Q19
Energy Sales Volume (MWh)
56.0 | 30.3% | 73.0 |
Average | 60.3% | 115,036 |
Realized
Price
71,764
1Q18 | 1Q19 | |
Sugar Sales Volume (Tons) | ||
16.2 | ||
Average | (6.7%) | 15.1 |
Realized | 54,395 | ||||
Price (1) | (41.2%) | ||||
cts/lbs | 31,996 | ||||
1Q181Q19
Net Sales 1Q18 vs 1Q19
($´000)
(9.4%)
90,310
81,811
(6.1%)
66,862
62,795 | Ethanol | |
Sugar | ||
Energy | ||
(45.2%)
19,46410,674
3,984 | 109.0% | 8,342 |
1Q181Q19
(1) Sugar #11 Equivalent
Total Cash Cost of Production
(cts/lb)
Adjusted
EBITDA
Margin(1)
Adjusted EBITDA 1Q19 vs. 1Q18
($´000)
47.9%
25.5.9
(6.7%)
9.28.6
%
47,988
(35.0%)
31,197
1Q18 | 1Q19 | 1Q18 | 1Q19 |
Farming Production Data | |||||||||||
Planting & Production | Planted Area (hectares) | 2018/19 Harvested Area | Yields (Tons per hectare) (3) | ||||||||
2018/19 | 2017/18 | Chg % | Hectares % Harvested Production | 2018/19 | 2017/18 | Chg % | |||||
Soybean | 47,690 | 58,120 | (17.9%) | 29,119 | 61.1% | 103,098 | 3.5 | 2.7 | 32.1% | ||
Soybean 2ndCrop | 25,620 | 23,254 | 10.2% | 10,239 | 40.0% | 13,980 | 1.4 | 1.6 | (15.2%) | ||
Corn (1) | 43,396 | 45,964 | (6%) | 9,907 | 22.8% | 79,802 | 8.1 | 6.3 | 27.9% | ||
Corn 2ndCrop | 4,458 | 10,847 | (58.9%) | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | n.a | ||
Wheat (2) | 40,210 | 36,533 | 10.1% | 40,216 | 100.0% | 114,735 | 2.9 | 2.2 | 30.9% | ||
Sunflower | 3,825 | 2,869 | 33.3% | 3,808 | 99.6% | 5,937 | 1.6 | 1.7 | (6.2%) | ||
Cotton | 5,316 | 3,132 | 69.7% | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | n.a | ||
Peanut | 15,608 | 9,375 | 66.5% | 174 | 1.1% | 890 | 5.1 | - | n.a | ||
Silage | 5,828 | 2,749 | 112.0% | 5,828.0 | 100.0% | - | - | 13.7 | (100.0%) | ||
Total Crops | 191,950 | 192,842 | (0.5%) | 99,291 | 51.7% | 318,442 | n.a | ||||
Rice | 40,417 | 40,279 | 0.3% | 38,067 | 94.2% | 231,190 | 6.1 | 5.9 | 2.8% | ||
Total Farming | 232,367 | 233,121 | (0.3%) | 137,358 | 59.1% | 549,632 | |||||
Owned Croppable Area | 113,509 | 124,912 | (9.1%) | ||||||||
Leased Area | 86,436 | 72,157 | 19.8% | ||||||||
Second Crop Area | 32,422 | 36,052 | (10.1%) | ||||||||
Total Farming Area | 232,367 | 233,121 | (0.3%) | ||||||||
Milking Cows (Average Heads) | Milk Production (MM liters)(1) | Productivity (Liters per cow per day) | |||||||||
Dairy | 1Q19 | 1Q18 | Chg % | 1Q19 | 1Q18 | Chg % | 1Q19 | 1Q18 | Chg % | ||
Milk Production | 8,338 | 7,094 | 17.5% | 26.9 | 24.5 | 9.6% | 35.8 | 37.6 | (4.7%) |
- Includes chia
- Includes barley.
- Yields for 2018/19 season are partial yields related to the harvested area as of April 30, 2018. Yields for 2017/18 reflect the full harvest season.
Note: Some planted areas may reflect minor adjustments compared to previous reports due to a more accurate area measurement, which occurred during the current period
current period.
Farming & Land Transformation Adjusted EBITDA 1Q19 vs. 1QM18
($ ´000)
69.6%
31,942
1Q18 | 1Q19 | |
18,831
44.5% | ~2x | 14,029 | |||||
9,849 | 9,376 | ||||||
20,5% | |||||||
6,783 | |||||||
5,466 | |||||||
2,304 | 2,777 | ||||||
0 | |||||||
Crops | Rice | Dairy | (105)Others294 | Land Transformation | Farming & LT |
Brazil | 1Q19 vs. 1Q18 Adj. EBITDA |
(in million USD) |
Alto Alegre Farm
6.080 has
TO
10.3 | 33% premium | |
above Cushman & | ||
Wakefield | ||
3.3 | ||||||
- | ||||||
1Q18 | 1Q19 | |||||
Book Value | EBITDA | |||||
Financial Summary | |||||||||
Area & Production | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 1Q18 | 1Q19 | Chg% |
Farming Planted Area (hect.) | 219,305 | 224,343 | 210,556 | 224,877 | 230,197 | 232,796 | 233,121 | 232,367 | (0.3%) |
Sugarcane Planted Area (hect.) | 99,409 | 124,412 | 129,299 | 134,591 | 137,697 | 153,690 | 138,360 | 157,638 | 13.9% |
Farming Production (tons) | 699,179 | 848,843 | 807,535 | 804,397 | 876,750 | 813,874 | 728,952 | 549,632 | (24.6%) |
Sugarcane Crushing (tons) | 6,417,951 | 7,232,827 | 8,335,448 | 10,241,803 | 10,241,803 | 11,359,204 | 1,523,835 | 1,352,150 | (11%) |
Net Sales | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 12M18 | 1Q18 | 1Q19 | Chg% |
Farming & Land Transformation | 327,163 | 315,837 | 273,692 | 272,543 | 322,559 | 299,671 | 57,656 | 72,063 | 25.0% |
Sugar, Ethanol & Energy | 297,265 | 378,633 | 374,978 | 568,820 | 576,232 | 470,355 | 90,310 | 81,811 | (9.4%) |
Total | 624,428 | 694,470 | 648,670 | 841,363 | 898,791 | 770,026 | 147,966 | 153,874 | 4.0% |
Adjusted EBITDA | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 12M18 | 1Q18 | 1Q19 | Chg% |
Farming & Land Transformation | 88,942 | 85,234 | 70,282 | 53,962 | 50,656 | 96,418 | 18,831 | 31,942 | 69.6% |
Sugar, Ethanol & Energy | 115,239 | 153,503 | 167,180 | 265,044 | 247,301 | 238,284 | 47,988 | 31,197 | (35.0%) |
Corporate | (23,478) | (23,233) | (21,776) | (20,957) | (21,664) | (19,971) | (4,879) | (4,838) | (0.8%) |
Total | 180,704 | 215,504 | 215,686 | 298,049 | 276,293 | 314,731 | 61,940 | 58,301 | (5.9%) |
Adjusted EBITDA Margin | 28.9% | 31.0% | 33.3% | 35.4% | 30.7% | 40.9% | 41.9% | 37.9% | (9.5%) |
1Q19 Net Debt | 1Q19 Debt Term Structure | ||||
($ million) | |||||
S&E | |||||
Farming | 20% | Average life of | |||
Net debt/EBITDA LTM | |||||
6.2 years | |||||
886 | 2.34x | 2.19x | |||
673 | 80% | ||||
Short term | Long Term | ||||
729 | |||||
645 | |||||
1Q19 Debt Term Structure | |||||
10% | Average Interest (1) | ||||
BRL | 4.9% | ||||
USD | 6.0% | ||||
(1) As of March 31, 2019 | |||||
213 | 90% | ||||
157 | |||||
Brazilian Reals | US Dollars | ||||
Debt | Cash | Net debt | Net debt 1Q18 |
Charlie Boero Hughes - CFO | JuanIgnacio Galleano - IRO Email: |
Email: chboero@adecoagro.com | jgalleano@adecoagro.com TEL: |
TEL: +5411 4836 8804 | +5411 4836 8624 |
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Adecoagro SA published this content on 22 May 2019 and is solely responsible for the information contained herein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 22 May 2019 14:12:08 UTC