Projected Income Statement: AGC Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: AGC Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 738,145 407,363 440,525 548,947 541,749 568,879 541,520 506,644
Change - -44.81% 8.14% 24.61% -1.31% 5.01% -4.81% -6.44%
Announcement Date 2/5/21 2/8/22 2/8/23 2/7/24 2/7/25 2/6/26 - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: AGC Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 241,348 216,503 236,553 231,715 257,458 231,667 182,600 185,650
Change - -10.29% 9.26% -2.05% 11.11% -10.02% -21.18% 1.67%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -15,956 116,141 71,834 32,756 27,357 23,050 91,300 98,175
Change - 827.88% -38.15% -54.4% -16.48% -15.74% 296.1% 7.53%
Announcement Date 2/5/21 2/8/22 2/8/23 2/7/24 2/7/25 - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: AGC Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 15.54% 21.97% 18.15% 15.06% 14.85% 14.93% 16.74% 17.47%
EBIT Margin (%) 5.37% 12.15% 9.04% 6.38% 6.09% 6.19% 7.24% 7.95%
EBT Margin (%) 4.04% 12.37% 2.87% 6.08% -2.42% 6.06% 6.72% 7.46%
Net margin (%) 2.32% 7.3% -0.15% 3.26% -4.55% 3.36% 3.93% 4.36%
FCF margin (%) -1.13% 6.84% 3.53% 1.62% 1.32% 1.12% 4.27% 4.49%
FCF / Net Income (%) -48.77% 93.78% -2,279% 49.78% -29.09% 38.26% 108.7% 102.93%

Profitability

        
ROA 2.35% 8.08% 2.14% 4.27% -1.72% 4.27% 3.85% 3.09%
ROE 2.9% 10.2% -0.2% 4.6% -6.5% 4.7% 5.73% 6.44%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 3.36x 1.09x 1.19x 1.81x 1.76x 1.81x 1.51x 1.33x
Debt / Free cash flow -46.26x 3.51x 6.13x 16.76x 19.8x 24.68x 5.93x 5.16x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 17.09% 12.76% 11.62% 11.48% 12.45% 11.23% 8.54% 8.49%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 109.96% 58.06% 64% 76.2% 83.84% 73.87% 51.04% 48.6%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -1,512.58% 186.41% 329.31% 707.4% 941.1% 1,005.06% 200% 189.1%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 797.3 1,312 823.4 1,117 411.6 1,174 1,972 1,657
Change - 64.56% -37.24% 35.63% -63.15% 185.3% 53.6% -15.97%
Dividend per Share 1 120 210 210 210 210 210 210 213.8
Change - 75% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1.79%
Book Value Per Share 1 5,039 5,930 6,271 6,832 6,774 7,004 7,408 7,398
Change - 17.7% 5.75% 8.94% -0.85% 3.39% 9.19% -0.13%
EPS 1 147.8 559.1 -14.22 304.7 -443.7 326.2 396.8 459
Change - 278.19% -102.54% 2,242.97% -245.61% 173.52% 39.76% 15.68%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 221,618 221,902 221,659 211,781 212,279 212,359 212,359 212,359
Announcement Date 2/5/21 2/8/22 2/8/23 2/7/24 2/7/25 2/6/26 - -
1JPY
Estimates
2025 2026 *
P/E ratio 15.9x 15.4x
PBR 0.74x 0.82x
EV / Sales 0.54x 0.86x
Yield 3.44% 3.44%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
8
Last Close Price
6,107.00JPY
Average target price
5,540.00JPY
Spread / Average Target
-9.28%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise