Projected Income Statement: Air China Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: Air China Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 77,483 123,837 159,763 140,390 129,584 204,094 197,663 210,466
Change - 59.82% 29.01% -12.13% -7.7% 57.5% -3.15% 6.48%
Announcement Date 3/30/22 3/30/23 3/28/24 3/27/25 3/26/26 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Air China Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 5,861 6,965 22,769 20,104 15,675 39,772 27,109 14,585
Change - 18.83% 226.92% -11.7% -22.03% 153.72% -31.84% -46.2%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 7,026 -23,727 12,649 7,880 26,370 5,765 10,313 19,682
Change - -437.68% 153.31% -37.71% 234.65% -78.14% 78.89% 90.85%
Announcement Date 3/30/22 3/30/23 3/28/24 3/27/25 3/26/26 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Air China Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) -16.59% -26.78% 21.41% 18.79% 7.67% 16.5% 19.88% 22.66%
EBIT Margin (%) -29.32% -67% 2.2% 1.33% -1.19% 2.07% 4.73% 7.32%
EBT Margin (%) -29.3% -86.73% -1.17% -0.96% -0.94% -2.3% 2.52% 6.41%
Net margin (%) -22.33% -73% -0.74% -0.14% -1.04% 0.07% 2.3% 5.04%
FCF margin (%) 9.43% -44.85% 8.96% 4.73% 15.38% 2.99% 5.14% 8.94%
FCF / Net Income (%) -42.22% 61.44% -1,218.12% -3,388.29% -1,474.87% 4,040.94% 223.84% 177.45%

Profitability

        
ROA -5.71% -13.02% -0.33% -0.07% -0.51% -1.4% 0.69% -
ROE -23.95% -90.86% -2.77% -0.56% -4.04% -0.41% 9.18% 17.38%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) -6.27x -8.74x 5.29x 4.48x 9.86x 6.64x 4.99x 4.17x
Debt / Free cash flow 11.03x -5.22x 12.63x 17.82x 4.91x 35.4x 19.17x 10.56x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 7.86% 13.17% 16.14% 12.06% 9.14% 20.64% 13.51% 6.78%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) -47.4% -49.16% 75.37% 64.19% 119.25% 129.37% 68.44% 29.23%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 83.42% -29.35% 180.01% 255.14% 59.44% 689.88% 262.86% 74.1%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.5191 - 2.3 1.764 - 1.009 1.644 2.08
Change - - - -23.3% - - 62.93% 26.51%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 4.23 - 2.298 2.846 - 2.61 2.514 2.817
Change - - - 23.84% - - -3.67% 12.04%
EPS 1 -1.211 -2.812 -0.0674 -0.0147 -0.11 -0.1841 0.2585 0.5614
Change - -132.13% 97.6% 78.19% -648.3% -67.4% 240.36% 117.22%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 14,524,815 14,524,815 16,200,793 17,448,421 17,448,421 17,385,421 17,385,421 17,385,421
Announcement Date 3/30/22 3/30/23 3/28/24 3/27/25 3/26/26 - - -
1CNY
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio -20.9x 14.9x
PBR 1.47x 1.53x
EV / Sales 1.54x 1.48x
Yield - -

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
9
Last Close Price
3.847CNY
Average target price
4.855CNY
Spread / Average Target
+26.20%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. 753 Stock
  4. Financials Air China Limited