Third Quarter Results 2024
November 6, 2024
Q3 2024 | Key highlights
Active ownership
FINANCIALS
NAV: NOK 57.0 billion (NOK 63.9bn in Q2)
Share price: NOK 548.0, down 10.9% in Q3 (Brent -15.3%, OSEBX -0.4%)
Upstream dividends: 2024 est. NOK >11 billion (4.4bn in 2023, 2.8bn in 2022)
Dividends: NOK 35.5 per share to be paid in Q4
- Full-yeardividends: NOK 51.0 per share (NOK 3.8 billion)
- Dividend policy adjusted to 4-6% of NAV (from 2-4% of NAV)
A MORE FOCUSED AKER - PRIORITIZING UPSTREAM CASH
NOK >18 billion of total shareholder distributions from portfolio companies recently announced
- Aker Solutions: NOK 10bn (OneSubsea JV transaction)
- Aker BP: USD 379m quarterly dividend
- Aker BioMarine: NOK 3.9bn (Feed Ingredients transaction)
- Solstad Maritime: NOK 233m for Q3 and initiated quarterly dividends
- AMSC: increased quarterly dividends to NOK 43m
Aker BioMarine - sale of Feed Ingredients
- Aker participates in the further value creation with a 40% ownership
- Aker supports efforts for further value creation in Aker BioMarine, incl. potential partnerships and transactions
Aker BP - Johan Sverdrup continued its outperformance, development projects continued on-track Cognite - continued its positive commercial development, ARR increasing further
SalMar Aker Ocean - four production cycles w/strong biological results vs. traditional fish farming
Solid financial metrics
Norwegian kroner
57bn | 66bn | |||||||||||||||||
Net Asset Value | Gross Asset Value | |||||||||||||||||
70% listed assets and cash | ||||||||||||||||||
767kr | 548kr | |||||||||||||||||
Per-share NAV | Share price at Q3 | |||||||||||||||||
41bn market cap | ||||||||||||||||||
7.9bn | >11bn | |||||||||||||||||
Liquidity reserve | est. upstream | |||||||||||||||||
incl. 0.7bn cash & liquid | dividends in 2024 | |||||||||||||||||
funds | ||||||||||||||||||
Approved for Q4-2024 | 51 | |||||||||||||||||
Dividends paid | ||||||||||||||||||
share | 23 23.5 23.5 | 29 | 30 | 35.5 | ||||||||||||||
NOKper | 5 | 18 | 2H1H | 2H1H | 15.5 | |||||||||||||
10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 2H1H | 2H1H | ||||||||||
8 | ||||||||||||||||||
2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | |||
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Dividend policy increased to 4-6% of year-end NAV
Dividend policy increased | Strong track-record of dividend distributions |
New policy: 4-6% of NAV | NOK per share | Dividends, in % of NAV | |||||||||||||||
▪ Increased from 2-4% of NAV | 60 | 6,0% | 6% | ||||||||||||||
▪ Aker's objective is 10% annual growth | 50 | 51 | |||||||||||||||
in Net Asset Value (NAV), implying | |||||||||||||||||
growing dividends with increasing NAV | 40 | 3,9% | 4,1% | 3,9% | 4,1% | 4,0% | 4% | ||||||||||
3,7% | |||||||||||||||||
3,6% | |||||||||||||||||
3,5% | 3,5% | ||||||||||||||||
3,3% | |||||||||||||||||
3,2% | 3,3% | 35.5 | |||||||||||||||
A more focused Aker | 3,1% | ||||||||||||||||
3,0% | 30 | ||||||||||||||||
30 | 29 | ||||||||||||||||
10% | 4-6% | 20 | 18 | 22.5 | 23.5 | 23.5 | 2H | 2H | 2% | ||||||||
2,0% | |||||||||||||||||
annual growth in NAV, | of NAV in annual | 13 | 16 | 2H | 2H | ||||||||||||
after dividend | |||||||||||||||||
12 | |||||||||||||||||
dividend payments | 11 | 10 | |||||||||||||||
payments | 10 | 8 | 10 | 10 | |||||||||||||
1H | 1H | 1H | 1H | 15.5 | |||||||||||||
5 | |||||||||||||||||
Prioritizing cash- | Fewer and larger | 0 | 0% | ||||||||||||||
2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015* | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024e | ||
yielding investments | portfolio companies | ||||||||||||||||
Approved for Q4-2024 | Dividends paid in % of previous year-end NAV | Dividends paid | |||||||||||||||
*In 2015, Aker paid a cash dividend of NOK 5.0 per share and a scrip dividend of NOK 5.0 per share |
3
Q3 2024 | NAV per share NOK 767, value adjusted equity 86%
Net asset value (NAV) development per share vs. share price | Net asset value (NAV) composition | |
NOK per share | NOK billion, % NAV as share of gross asset value |
1 200 |
1 000 |
800 |
600 |
400 |
200 |
0 |
1 006
953 954
825 | 810 | ||||
692
968
756
929
706
900
720
803
672
770
609
862
660
851
666
66.2 | ||||
813 | 860 | |||
767 | 795 | |||
624 | 615 | 54.9 | 57.0 | |
(83%) | ||||
548 | 563 | (86%) | ||
10.7 | 9.2 | |||
(16%) | ||||
0.6 |
Q3 Q4 Q1
2022
Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 |
2023 |
Q4
Q1 | Q2 | Q3 Nov 5 | Gross Asset Value | Liabilities |
2024 | 2024 | |||
Share price
Dividend allocated per share | NAV per share (after dividend allocation) | Industrial holdings | Cash | |
Financial investments ex. cash | Liabilities | |||
4
Q3 2024 | Net Asset Value development
NAV development - Q3 2024 | NAV development year-to-date 2024 | |
NOK billion, % change | NOK billion, % change |
-10.8% | ||||||||
63.9 | 0,7 | (-6.9bn) | ||||||
(5.3) | ||||||||
(0.7) | (0.5) | 57.0 | 57.0 | |||||
(1.1) | 0.0 | |||||||
Q2 | Aker | Aker BP* | Aker | Listed | Other* | Q3 | Dividends | Q3 |
2024 | BioMarine* | Solutions | financial | 2024 | paid | 2024 | ||
investments* |
-8.0% | |||||||
(-5.0bn) | |||||||
63.2 | 3,3 | (6.7) | |||||
(0.8) | 58.2 | 57.0 | |||||
(0.9) | |||||||
(1.2) | |||||||
Q4 | Aker | Aker BP* | Aker | Other* | Q3 | Dividends | Q3 |
2023 | BioMarine* | Horizons | 2024 | paid | 2024 |
*Incl. dividends received | |
Net asset value is determined by applying the market value for listed assets, most recent transaction value for non-listed assets subject to material transaction with third parties, and book value for other assets | 5 |
Q3 2024 | Asset Base of NOK 66 billion
Sector composition - Gross Asset Value (GAV)
% of GAV per Q3 2024 vs. (Q3 2023) | |||
Other | |||
Seafood and | 8% | ||
(8%) | |||
marine biotech | |||
9% | |||
(5%) | |||
Software 11% | 66.2 | ||
NOK billion | |||
(9%) | |||
54.9 | 11.3 | ||
Industrial | Financial | ||
7% | holdings | investments | |
Renewables and | |||
green technology | (7%) | ||
19% (15%)
Energy services
70% | NOK >200bn |
listed assets and cash | combined market value1) |
46% Oil & gas
(56%)
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listed companies2)
1) | Total combined market value of companies in which Aker has a direct ownership | |
2) | Where Aker is a shareholder directly or indirectly, incl. Aker Carbon Capture | 6 |
(Energy services sector: Aker Solutions, Akastor, Solstad Offshore & Solstad Maritime, AMSC and AMSC TRS) | ||
- Proven track record and set for growth
Production growth by delivering projects, IOR and exploration | Clear growth path | |
Production efficiency
(operated assets) +8%
85% 90% 92% 89%
2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 |
YTD |
GHG emission intensity
(kg CO2/boe, scope 1&2)
-40%
4.8
3.7
2.9 2.7
2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 |
YTD |
Production costs
(USD/boe)
-33%
9.2 8.7
6.2 6.3
2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 |
YTD |
2P reserves and production
(bn boe at year-end) +136%
2.0 2.1
0.9
2021 2022 2023
2P reserves
Cum. prod. from '21
Resources
(Aker BP reserves and resources, mmboe)
M&A
Exploration
potential (ILX),
net risked
3P reserves |
2C reserves |
2P reserves
(Numbers in graphs include the Lundin acquisition from 2021 onwards) | 7 |
- Addressing challenges of traditional fish farming
Strong biological results vs. traditional | Ambition, clear growth path | |
Lower mortality
(per production cycle)
19%
-74% | |
5% | |
Avg. | Avg. SAO |
Traditional** |
Fewer lice-treatments
(no. of treatments)
9 | |
-89% | |
1 | |
Avg. | OF1 2023 |
Traditional** |
Harvest capacity
(in '000 tons HOG)
150
21
13 8
Current Planned Future
capacity capacity growth (OF2) (ambition)
Faster grow-out period
(no. of weeks)
65
49 | -46% | |
35 | ||
Traditional | Traditional* | SAO* |
(smolt) | (post-smolt) |
- Higher growth and lower mortality demonstrates improved fish welfare
- Technology enables utilization of optimal locations
- Better rearing environment and optimal feeding yields market leading fish growth
• Two semi-offshore | • Holding eight |
concepts | development |
• Three successful | licenses and |
production cycles | locations for |
in OF1 (4th | offshore farming |
underway) | • Positioned for |
• One successful | international |
cycle in AOF (2nd | expansion and |
underway) | growth in Norway |
- Commenced FEED for OF2
- Using 700-gram post-smolt
- Source: Norwegian Fish Health Report 2023 - data from production area 6 (around the location of OF1) OF1: Offshore farm 1 - AOF: Arctic offshore farming - OF2: Offshore farm 2 (second generation concept)
HOG: Head-on, gutted (term referring to the processing stage after the salmon has been harvested and gutted)
8
Strong commercial development
Growing revenue and strong commercials | Annual Recurring Revenue increased further |
USD million
- Continued positive commercial development
- +44% increase in ARR1 year-over-year
- New all-time high
- Making up 80% of revenue (on 12months rolling basis)
- Annual Recurring Revenue1 (ARR) is a key performance metric demonstrating Cognite's strong potential for further growth and profitability
- +23% quarterly revenue growth year-over-year
- Cognite's Atlas AI platform gaining traction in the market
- Extending the capabilities of Cognite Data Fusion®
Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) | +44% |
ARR share of 12m rolling revenue | 92 |
81 | ||||||||||
68 | 73 | 75% | 80% | |||||||
64 | 70% | |||||||||
65% | ||||||||||
57 | ||||||||||
54 | 55 | 60% | ||||||||
45 | 56% | 56% | ||||||||
34 | 38 | |||||||||
Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 |
2022 | 2023 | 2024 |
1 ARR: annual recurring revenue, from Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) contracts, representing next 12 months' value of expected revenue from all active recurring software subscription contracts (see APM in appendix for definition)
9
Investing along attractive long-term global trajectories
Exposure to megatrends with strong potential for secular growth, good profitability and strong cash flow generation
ENERGY SECURITY, EFFICIENCY & TRANSITION
INDUSTRIAL DIGITALIZATION
SUSTAINABLE PROTEINS
& NUTRITION
MANAGED
ASSETS
Solstad Maritime &
Solstad Offshore
FEED Ingredients
Managed by: | Other equity investments, including: |
10
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Aker ASA published this content on November 06, 2024, and is solely responsible for the information contained herein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on November 06, 2024 at 06:28:08.009.