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5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 53.66 EUR | -6.29% |
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+0.41% | +15.44% |
| May. 13 | Alcoa Corporation Presents at Bank of America Global Metals, Mining & Steel Conference 2026, May-13-2026 10:00 AM | |
| May. 12 | Alcoa to Invest $65 Million to Expand Production at Norway Smelter | MT |
Projected Income Statement: Alcoa Corporation
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 12,152 | 12,451 | 10,551 | 11,895 | 12,831 | 14,804 | 14,998 | 14,859 |
| Change | - | 2.46% | -15.26% | 12.74% | 7.87% | 15.38% | 1.31% | -0.93% |
| EBITDA 1 | 2,763 | 2,224 | 536 | 1,589 | 1,984 | 3,190 | 3,053 | 3,105 |
| Change | - | -19.51% | -75.9% | 196.46% | 24.86% | 60.79% | -4.3% | 1.69% |
| EBIT 1 | 2,099 | 1,607 | -96 | 947 | 1,361 | 2,558 | 2,561 | 2,658 |
| Change | - | -23.44% | -105.97% | 1,086.46% | 43.72% | 87.95% | 0.1% | 3.81% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -195 | -106 | -107 | -156 | -158 | -133.8 | -126.6 | -72.2 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 1,199 | 723 | -584 | 289 | 1,083 | 2,658 | 2,617 | 2,799 |
| Change | - | -39.7% | -180.77% | 149.49% | 274.74% | 145.39% | -1.52% | 6.95% |
| Net income 1 | 429 | -102 | -651 | 60 | 1,170 | 1,811 | 1,722 | 1,969 |
| Change | - | -123.78% | -538.24% | 109.22% | 1,850% | 54.83% | -4.93% | 14.35% |
| Announcement Date | 1/19/22 | 1/18/23 | 1/17/24 | 1/22/25 | 1/22/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: Alcoa Corporation
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | -12 | 444 | 923 | 1,407 | 851 | -235 | -1,573 | -2,512 |
| Change | - | 3,800% | 107.88% | 52.44% | -39.52% | -127.61% | -569.36% | -59.69% |
| Announcement Date | 1/19/22 | 1/18/23 | 1/17/24 | 1/22/25 | 1/22/26 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: Alcoa Corporation
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 390 | 480 | 531 | 580 | 618 | 727.9 | 761 | 755 |
| Change | - | 23.08% | 10.62% | 9.23% | 6.55% | 17.78% | 4.54% | -0.78% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 530 | 342 | -440 | 42 | 567 | 840.5 | 1,320 | 2,109 |
| Change | - | -35.47% | -228.65% | 109.55% | 1,250% | 48.24% | 57% | 59.82% |
| Announcement Date | 1/19/22 | 1/18/23 | 1/17/24 | 1/22/25 | 1/22/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: Alcoa Corporation
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 22.74% | 17.86% | 5.08% | 13.36% | 15.46% | 21.55% | 20.36% | 20.89% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 17.27% | 12.91% | -0.91% | 7.96% | 10.61% | 17.28% | 17.07% | 17.89% |
| EBT Margin (%) | 9.87% | 5.81% | -5.54% | 2.43% | 8.44% | 17.95% | 17.45% | 18.84% |
| Net margin (%) | 3.53% | -0.82% | -6.17% | 0.5% | 9.12% | 12.24% | 11.48% | 13.25% |
| FCF margin (%) | 4.36% | 2.75% | -4.17% | 0.35% | 4.42% | 5.68% | 8.8% | 14.19% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | 123.54% | -335.29% | 67.59% | 70% | 48.46% | 46.4% | 76.62% | 107.09% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 8.69% | - | -4.5% | 0.43% | 6.61% | 9.43% | 7.08% | 5.4% |
| ROE | 32.63% | 18.29% | -8.68% | 6.29% | 17.71% | 25.32% | 19.03% | 15.83% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | - | 0.2x | 1.72x | 0.89x | 0.43x | - | - | - |
| Debt / Free cash flow | - | 1.3x | -2.1x | 33.5x | 1.5x | - | - | - |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 3.21% | 3.86% | 5.03% | 4.88% | 4.82% | 4.92% | 5.07% | 5.08% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 14.12% | 21.58% | 99.07% | 36.5% | 31.15% | 22.82% | 24.93% | 24.32% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | 73.58% | 140.35% | -120.68% | 1,380.95% | 108.99% | 86.6% | 57.67% | 35.8% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 4.844 | 4.55 | 0.5103 | 2.906 | 4.537 | 5.485 | 8.144 | 8.427 |
| Change | - | -6.07% | -88.79% | 469.43% | 56.13% | 20.91% | 48.47% | 3.48% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | - | 0.4002 | 0.4008 | 0.4023 |
| Change | - | 300% | 0% | 0% | - | - | 0.16% | 0.38% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 24.88 | 28.58 | 23.82 | 24.29 | 23.48 | 31.32 | 37.38 | 45.39 |
| Change | - | 14.85% | -16.66% | 1.96% | -3.32% | 33.41% | 19.33% | 21.42% |
| EPS 1 | 2.26 | -0.57 | -3.65 | 0.26 | 4.42 | 7.478 | 6.583 | 6.927 |
| Change | - | -125.22% | -540.35% | 107.12% | 1,600% | 69.17% | -11.96% | 5.22% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 187,103 | 176,937 | 178,472 | 258,361 | 261,263 | 263,890 | 263,890 | 263,890 |
| Announcement Date | 1/19/22 | 1/18/23 | 1/17/24 | 1/22/25 | 1/22/26 | - | - | - |
| 2026 * | 2027 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E ratio | 8.36x | 9.5x |
| PBR | 2x | 1.67x |
| EV / Sales | 1.1x | 1x |
| Yield | 0.64% | 0.64% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
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