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Company Valuation: Alibaba Group Holding Limited
Data adjusted to current consolidation scope
| Fiscal Period: March | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capitalization 1 | 4,027,830 | 1,853,787 | 1,800,888 | 1,310,939 | 2,215,816 | 2,500,910 | - | - |
| Change | - | -53.98% | -2.85% | -27.21% | 69.03% | 12.87% | - | - |
| Enterprise Value (EV) 1 | 3,845,890 | 1,805,233 | 1,769,156 | 1,233,590 | 2,265,198 | 2,299,487 | 2,258,871 | 2,151,008 |
| Change | - | -53.06% | -2% | -30.27% | 83.63% | 1.51% | -1.77% | -4.78% |
| P/E ratio | 27.2x | 30.3x | 25.6x | 16.7x | 17.9x | 22.2x | 19.2x | 15.3x |
| PBR | 4.35x | 1.98x | 1.87x | 1.35x | 2.29x | 2.36x | 2.1x | 1.86x |
| PEG | - | -0.5x | 1.2x | 1.2x | 0.3x | -3.63x | 1.2x | 0.6x |
| Capitalization / Revenue | 5.62x | 2.17x | 2.07x | 1.39x | 2.22x | 2.41x | 2.18x | 1.98x |
| EV / Revenue | 5.36x | 2.12x | 2.04x | 1.31x | 2.27x | 2.21x | 1.97x | 1.71x |
| EV / EBITDA | 19.5x | 11.4x | 10.1x | 6.44x | 11.2x | 15.6x | 10.7x | 8.05x |
| EV / EBIT | 42.9x | 25.9x | 17.6x | 10.9x | 16.1x | 24.6x | 15x | 11.3x |
| EV / FCF | 20x | 18.3x | 10.3x | 7.9x | 30.7x | 44.2x | 28.9x | 16.3x |
| FCF Yield | 5% | 5.48% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 3.26% | 2.26% | 3.46% | 6.13% |
| Dividend per Share 2 | - | - | - | 12.02 | 14.34 | 7.297 | 7.664 | 8.04 |
| Rate of return | - | - | - | 2.3% | 1.49% | 0.65% | 0.68% | 0.72% |
| EPS 2 | 54.7 | 22.74 | 27.46 | 31.24 | 53.59 | 50.31 | 58.44 | 73.22 |
| Distribution rate | - | - | - | 38.5% | 26.8% | 14.5% | 13.1% | 11% |
| Net sales 1 | 717,289 | 853,062 | 868,687 | 941,168 | 996,347 | 1,038,348 | 1,148,573 | 1,261,384 |
| EBITDA 1 | 196,842 | 158,205 | 175,710 | 191,668 | 202,325 | 147,476 | 210,813 | 267,246 |
| EBIT 1 | 89,678 | 69,638 | 100,351 | 113,350 | 140,905 | 93,477 | 150,341 | 190,965 |
| Net income 1 | 150,308 | 61,959 | 72,509 | 79,741 | 129,470 | 116,309 | 140,991 | 169,831 |
| Net Debt 1 | -181,940 | -48,554 | -31,732 | -77,349 | 49,382 | -201,423 | -242,039 | -349,902 |
| Reference price 2 | 1,485.67 | 689.78 | 701.89 | 522.95 | 959.53 | 1,119.31 | 1,119.31 | 1,119.31 |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 2,711,119 | 2,687,500 | 2,565,752 | 2,506,837 | 2,309,279 | 2,234,339 | - | - |
| Announcement Date | 5/13/21 | 5/26/22 | 5/18/23 | 5/14/24 | 5/15/25 | - | - | - |
1CNY in Million2CNY
Estimates
P/E ratio, Detailed evolution
| P/E (Y) | EV / Sales (Y) | EV / EBITDA (Y) | Dividend Yield (Y) | Capi.($) | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22.25x | 2.21x | 15.59x | 0.65% | 354B | ||
| 201.3x | 17.73x | 104.14x | -.--% | 210B | ||
| 11.76x | 1.92x | 8.09x | -.--% | 167B | ||
| 51.08x | 3.52x | 24.57x | -.--% | 105B | ||
| -23.57x | 1.2x | -37.13x | -.--% | 77.72B | ||
| 23.58x | 6.72x | 15.96x | - | 37.48B | ||
| 19.83x | 3.73x | 12.03x | 1.39% | 37.28B | ||
| 10.25x | 0.41x | 4.54x | 2.37% | 9.92B | ||
| 117.01x | 6.61x | 32.58x | -.--% | 6.9B | ||
| 19.73x | 6.05x | 10.55x | 2.95% | 5.08B | ||
| Average | 45.32x | 5.01x | 19.09x | 0.82% | 100.96B | |
| Weighted average by Cap. | 57.65x | 5.70x | 29.48x | 0.33% |
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Historical PBR trend
Evolution Enterprise Value / Sales
Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
- Stock Market
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- BABA Stock
- Valuation Alibaba Group Holding Limited
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