Projected Income Statement: Alithya Group Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Alithya Group Inc.

Fiscal Period: March 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 57.7 63.5 110 123 120 90.9 58.5 37.9
Change - 10.05% 73.23% 11.82% -2.44% -24.28% -35.64% -35.21%
Announcement Date 6/19/20 6/10/21 6/17/22 6/8/23 6/13/24 - - -
1CAD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Alithya Group Inc.

Fiscal Period: March 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 4.488 2.104 - 1.736 0.746 0.596 0.596 0.9
Change - -53.12% - - -57.03% -20.11% 0% 51.01%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 4.204 -2.56 -3.348 27.15 14.92 32.06 35.34 47.8
Change - -160.89% 30.78% -910.81% -45.03% 114.81% 10.25% 35.24%
Announcement Date 6/19/20 6/10/21 6/17/22 6/8/23 6/13/24 - - -
1CAD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Alithya Group Inc.

Fiscal Period: March 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 4.23% 3.35% 5.16% 6.91% 7.22% 8.75% 9.64% 10.19%
EBIT Margin (%) -4.63% -2.04% 0.66% 0.4% 1.32% - - -
EBT Margin (%) - -6.82% - -6.96% -3.38% 0.03% 1.91% -
Net margin (%) - -6.03% -3.55% -5.76% -3.39% 0.37% 2.44% 3.81%
FCF / Net Income (%) 1.51% -0.89% -0.76% 5.19% 3.04% 6.39% 6.73% 9%

Profitability

        
ROA - - - -2.79% 3.09% 0.4% 2.5% 4.8%
ROE -28.45% -14.73% - -6.57% 7.47% 1% 5.3% 9.6%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 4.89x 6.58x 4.88x 3.41x 3.38x 2.07x 1.16x 0.7x
Debt / Free cash flow 13.71x -24.81x -32.94x 4.54x 8.04x 2.84x 1.66x 0.79x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.61% 0.73% - 0.33% 0.15% 0.12% 0.11% 0.17%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 38.06% 21.81% - 4.81% 2.1% 1.36% 1.18% 1.66%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 106.76% -82.19% - 6.4% 5% 1.86% 1.69% 1.88%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 - 1.84 - - 1.836 - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
EPS 1 -0.7 -0.3 -0.18 -0.32 -0.17 0.02 0.14 -
Change - -57.14% -40% 77.78% -46.88% -111.76% 700% -
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 58,074 58,243 92,534 95,213 95,462 95,333 95,333 -
Announcement Date 6/19/20 6/10/21 6/17/22 6/8/23 6/13/24 - - -
1CAD
Estimates

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
C+
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
7
Last Close Price
1.980CAD
Average target price
3.071CAD
Spread / Average Target
+55.12%
Consensus
  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. ALYA Stock
  4. Financials Alithya Group Inc.