Projected Income Statement: Alligo AB

Forecast Balance Sheet: Alligo AB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 2,272 - 2,640 2,903 3,143 2,686 2,322 1,942
Change - - - 9.96% 8.27% -14.54% -13.55% -16.37%
Announcement Date 2/15/22 2/16/23 2/16/24 2/14/25 2/13/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Alligo AB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 171 215 111 103 112.2 125.8 131.8
Change - - -48.37% -7.21% 8.98% 12.03% 4.77%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 772 778 841 695 1,038 1,040 1,112
Change - - 8.1% -17.36% 49.35% 0.22% 6.89%
Announcement Date 2/15/22 2/16/24 2/14/25 2/13/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Alligo AB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 14.2% 12.38% 13.54% 12.14% 11.26% 13.25% 14.17% 14.66%
EBIT Margin (%) 5.02% 7.17% 7.91% 5.35% 4.89% 6.94% 7.93% 8.54%
EBT Margin (%) 4.45% 6.56% 6.7% 3.8% 3.68% 5.93% 7.01% 7.72%
Net margin (%) 5.04% 43.51% 5.25% 2.9% 2.71% 4.64% 5.47% 6.02%
FCF margin (%) 9.07% - 8.22% 8.91% 7.21% 10.22% 9.68% 9.87%
FCF / Net Income (%) 179.95% - 156.54% 306.93% 266.28% 220.38% 177% 164.07%

Profitability

        
ROA 5.2% - 5.8% 3.02% - 5.2% 5.7% 6.2%
ROE 13.3% - 14.16% 7.61% 7% 11.95% 13.45% 14.12%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.88x - 2.06x 2.53x 2.9x 1.99x 1.53x 1.18x
Debt / Free cash flow 2.94x - 3.39x 3.45x 4.52x 2.59x 2.23x 1.75x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 2.01% - 2.27% 1.18% 1.07% 1.1% 1.17% 1.17%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 14.16% - 16.78% 9.69% 9.49% 8.34% 8.26% 7.98%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 22.15% - 27.63% 13.2% 14.82% 10.81% 12.09% 11.85%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 17.81 - 19.5 18.66 15.93 25 26.1 29.3
Change - - - -4.29% -14.65% 56.94% 4.4% 12.26%
Dividend per Share 1 1.75 - 3.5 2 2.2 3.625 4.332 5.068
Change - - - -42.86% 10% 64.77% 19.52% 16.96%
Book Value Per Share 1 67.95 - 70.95 73.06 74.89 83.1 91.08 100.1
Change - - - 2.97% 2.51% 10.96% 9.6% 9.93%
EPS 1 8.48 80.44 9.76 5.47 5.21 9.408 11.76 13.54
Change - 848.56% -87.87% -43.95% -4.75% 80.57% 25.01% 15.09%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 50,481 50,481 50,051 50,068 50,088 50,088 50,088 50,088
Announcement Date 2/15/22 2/16/23 2/16/24 2/14/25 2/13/26 - - -
1SEK
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 13.3x 10.6x
PBR 1.5x 1.37x
EV / Sales 0.88x 0.8x
Yield 2.9% 3.47%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
2
Last Close Price
125.00SEK
Average target price
171.00SEK
Spread / Average Target
+36.80%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise