Projected Income Statement: Alligo AB

Forecast Balance Sheet: Alligo AB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 2,272 - 2,640 2,903 3,143 2,661 2,300 1,922
Change - - - 9.96% 8.27% -15.34% -13.57% -16.43%
Announcement Date 2/15/22 2/16/23 2/16/24 2/14/25 2/13/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Alligo AB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 171 215 111 103 126.7 126.5 132.5
Change - - -48.37% -7.21% 22.98% -0.13% 4.74%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 772 778 841 695 1,061 1,040 1,116
Change - - 8.1% -17.36% 52.71% -2.01% 7.34%
Announcement Date 2/15/22 2/16/24 2/14/25 2/13/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Alligo AB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 14.2% 12.38% 13.54% 12.14% 11.26% 13.19% 14.08% 14.63%
EBIT Margin (%) 5.02% 7.17% 7.91% 5.35% 4.89% 6.96% 7.97% 8.59%
EBT Margin (%) 4.45% 6.56% 6.7% 3.8% 3.68% 5.96% 7.07% 7.79%
Net margin (%) 5.04% 43.51% 5.25% 2.9% 2.71% 4.67% 5.52% 6.07%
FCF margin (%) 9.07% - 8.22% 8.91% 7.21% 10.4% 9.63% 9.86%
FCF / Net Income (%) 179.95% - 156.54% 306.93% 266.28% 222.74% 174.57% 162.55%

Profitability

        
ROA 5.2% - 5.8% 3.02% - 5.5% 5.9% 6.4%
ROE 13.3% - 14.16% 7.61% 7% 12.12% 13.8% 14.22%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.88x - 2.06x 2.53x 2.9x 1.98x 1.51x 1.16x
Debt / Free cash flow 2.94x - 3.39x 3.45x 4.52x 2.51x 2.21x 1.72x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 2.01% - 2.27% 1.18% 1.07% 1.24% 1.17% 1.17%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 14.16% - 16.78% 9.69% 9.49% 9.41% 8.32% 8%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 22.15% - 27.63% 13.2% 14.82% 11.93% 12.16% 11.87%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 17.81 - 19.5 18.66 15.93 24.8 26.3 29.5
Change - - - -4.29% -14.65% 55.69% 6.05% 12.17%
Dividend per Share 1 1.75 - 3.5 2 2.2 3.7 4.382 5.128
Change - - - -42.86% 10% 68.18% 18.45% 17%
Book Value Per Share 1 67.95 - 70.95 73.06 74.89 83.26 91.55 100.6
Change - - - 2.97% 2.51% 11.18% 9.96% 9.87%
EPS 1 8.48 80.44 9.76 5.47 5.21 9.512 11.92 13.71
Change - 848.56% -87.87% -43.95% -4.75% 82.58% 25.26% 15.07%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 50,481 50,481 50,051 50,068 50,088 50,088 50,088 50,088
Announcement Date 2/15/22 2/16/23 2/16/24 2/14/25 2/13/26 - - -
1SEK
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 14.5x 11.6x
PBR 1.66x 1.51x
EV / Sales 0.94x 0.85x
Yield 2.68% 3.18%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
2
Last Close Price
138.00SEK
Average target price
168.25SEK
Spread / Average Target
+21.92%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise