Projected Income Statement: Aluminum Corporation of China Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: Aluminum Corporation of China Limited

balance-sheet-analysis-chart ALUMINUM-CORPORATION-OF-C
Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net Debt 1 93,771 73,329 69,424 55,561 37,382 39,050 19,442 6,016
Change - -21.8% -5.33% -19.97% -32.72% 4.46% -50.21% -69.06%
Announcement Date 3/26/20 3/23/21 3/22/22 3/21/23 3/27/24 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Aluminum Corporation of China Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
CAPEX 1 7,953 5,039 2,136 4,664 6,519 12,984 12,891 10,523
Change - -36.64% -57.62% 118.41% 39.77% 99.16% -0.72% -18.37%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 3,382 9,842 26,095 23,142 20,331 21,622 26,828 29,193
Change - 191.02% 165.13% -11.32% -12.14% 6.35% 24.08% 8.82%
Announcement Date 3/26/20 3/23/21 3/22/22 3/21/23 3/27/24 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Aluminum Corporation of China Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 7.89% 7.34% 8.12% 8.1% 11.24% 16.41% 17.08% 17.65%
EBIT Margin (%) 3.4% 3.24% 4.97% 4.7% 6.8% 11.47% 12.3% 12.55%
EBT Margin (%) 1.11% 1.16% 3.77% 4.54% 6.7% 10.52% 11.51% 11.89%
Net margin (%) 0.45% 0.4% 1.88% 1.44% 2.98% 5.06% 5.24% 5.55%
FCF margin (%) 1.78% 5.29% 9.67% 7.95% 9.03% 9.12% 11.16% 11.97%
FCF / Net Income (%) 397.43% 1,328.26% 513.72% 552.06% 302.69% 180.43% 213.17% 215.47%

Profitability

        
ROA 0.42% 0.37% 2.62% - 3.17% 6.87% 7.24% 7.45%
ROE 1.59% 1.36% 9.09% 6.9% 12.02% 17.9% 16.57% 15.35%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 4.63x 5.37x 3.17x 2.36x 1.82x 1.09x 0.63x 0.16x
Debt / Free cash flow 20.54x 7.45x 2.66x 2.4x 2.26x 1.82x 0.86x 0.21x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 4.18% 2.71% 0.79% 1.6% 2.9% 5.57% 5.48% 4.42%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 53.05% 36.89% 9.75% 19.8% 25.77% 35.94% 34.87% 27.85%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 235.14% 51.2% 8.18% 20.15% 32.06% 60.05% 48.05% 36.05%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.7328 0.87 1.658 - 1.559 1.787 2.112 2.008
Change - 18.72% 90.62% - - 14.62% 18.17% -4.95%
Dividend per Share 1 - - 0.032 - 0.08 0.1453 0.161 0.1669
Change - - - - - 81.66% 10.78% 3.64%
Book Value Per Share 1 3.668 3.19 3.364 - 3.523 4.371 4.879 5.594
Change - -13.02% 5.45% - - 24.07% 11.62% 14.66%
EPS 1 0.037 0.028 0.286 0.239 0.39 0.7 0.7038 0.7502
Change - -24.32% 921.43% -16.43% 63.18% 79.48% 0.55% 6.6%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 17,022,673 17,022,673 17,022,673 17,161,592 17,161,592 17,156,499 17,156,499 17,156,499
Announcement Date 3/26/20 3/23/21 3/22/22 3/21/23 3/27/24 - - -
1CNY
Estimates
2024 *2025 *
P/E ratio 6.32x 6.28x
PBR 1.01x 0.91x
EV / Sales 0.66x 0.57x
Yield 3.29% 3.64%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

eps-dividend-chart ALUMINUM-CORPORATION-OF-C

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

evolution-chart ALUMINUM-CORPORATION-OF-C

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

evolution-chart ALUMINUM-CORPORATION-OF-C
Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
B
surperformance-ratings-light-chart ALUMINUM-CORPORATION-OF-CMore Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
13
Last Close Price
4.422CNY
Average target price
5.998CNY
Spread / Average Target
+35.65%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
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  4. Financials Aluminum Corporation of China Limited