Projected Income Statement: Aluminum Corporation of China Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: Aluminum Corporation of China Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 73,329 52,560 55,561 37,382 32,923 18,339 -635 -20,843
Change - -28.32% 5.71% -32.72% -11.93% -44.3% -103.46% -3,182.36%
Announcement Date 3/23/21 3/22/22 3/21/23 3/27/24 3/26/25 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Aluminum Corporation of China Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 5,039 1,093 4,664 6,709 10,360 17,220 17,532 15,265
Change - -78.3% 326.6% 43.85% 54.41% 66.22% 1.81% -12.93%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 9,842 27,213 23,142 20,149 22,447 18,482 19,804 26,568
Change - 176.49% -14.96% -12.93% 11.41% -17.67% 7.15% 34.16%
Announcement Date 3/23/21 3/22/22 3/21/23 3/27/24 3/26/25 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Aluminum Corporation of China Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 7.34% 7.19% 9.32% 12.59% 15.29% 17.16% 19.74% 20.68%
EBIT Margin (%) 3.24% 4.16% 5.63% 7.84% 10.16% 12.44% 14.21% 13.89%
EBT Margin (%) 1.16% 3.77% 4.54% 6.7% 9.42% 12.22% 16.08% 16.37%
Net margin (%) 0.4% 1.88% 1.44% 2.98% 5.23% 6.13% 7.66% 7.94%
FCF margin (%) 5.29% 10.09% 7.95% 8.95% 9.47% 7.88% 8.17% 10.82%
FCF / Net Income (%) 1,328.26% 535.74% 552.06% 299.98% 181.02% 128.52% 106.64% 136.2%

Profitability

        
ROA 0.37% 2.62% - 3.17% 5.8% 7.08% 8.29% 8.4%
ROE 1.36% 9.09% 6.9% 11.7% 19.11% 19.21% 21.3% 19.8%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 5.37x 2.71x 2.05x 1.32x 0.91x 0.44x - -
Debt / Free cash flow 7.45x 1.93x 2.4x 1.86x 1.47x 0.99x - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 2.71% 0.41% 1.6% 2.98% 4.37% 7.34% 7.24% 6.22%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 36.89% 5.64% 17.2% 23.67% 28.58% 41.68% 34.68% 28.75%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 51.2% 4.02% 20.15% 33.3% 46.15% 93.17% 88.53% 57.46%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.87 1.658 - 1.559 1.925 2.213 2.72 2.952
Change - 90.62% - - 23.42% 14.98% 22.92% 8.53%
Dividend per Share 1 - 0.032 - 0.08 0.217 0.2876 0.417 0.506
Change - - - - 171.25% 32.53% 45.02% 21.34%
Book Value Per Share 1 3.19 3.364 - 3.523 4.059 4.687 5.624 6.656
Change - 5.45% - - 15.22% 15.47% 20% 18.34%
EPS 1 0.028 0.286 0.239 0.39 0.722 0.8403 1.097 1.138
Change - 921.43% -16.43% 63.18% 85.13% 16.39% 30.58% 3.73%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 17,022,673 17,022,673 17,161,592 17,161,592 17,156,499 17,154,971 17,154,971 17,154,971
Announcement Date 3/23/21 3/22/22 3/21/23 3/27/24 3/26/25 - - -
1CNY
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 14x 10.7x
PBR 2.5x 2.08x
EV / Sales 1.01x 0.89x
Yield 2.45% 3.56%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
13
Last Close Price
11.72CNY
Average target price
12.68CNY
Spread / Average Target
+8.13%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. 2600 Stock
  4. Financials Aluminum Corporation of China Limited