AMERICAN AIRLINES GROUP INC.

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American, United see fliers returning to skies in March, but costs weigh

01/20/2022 | 02:48pm EDT
FILE PHOTO: Holiday season at LAX airport

CHICAGO (Reuters) - U.S. carriers American Airlines and United Airlines on Thursday said a recovery in passenger traffic was likely to resume in March after a blip caused by the Omicron coronavirus variant, but warned that the latest wave of the health crisis would keep their costs elevated this year.

Texas-based American said while ticket sales are still not back to pre-Omicron levels, they are recovering "quickly" after dropping off "considerably" in early December.

Similarly, Chicago-based United said bookings and cancellations have started to return to normal levels. The carrier said its bookings this week were down 25% versus the same period in 2019, compared with a decline of 48% in the first week of January.

"As a result, we remain optimistic that Omicron's impact, while significant, will be focused on January and February at this point," United's Chief Commercial Officer Andrew Nocella told investors on an earnings call.

Nocella also said the impact of Omicron and each possible future variant on the carrier's revenue will likely pale in comparison with that of the Delta coronavirus variant.

Rival Delta Air Lines last week, too, predicted a swift recovery from the demand slump.

Encouraged by the improvement in bookings, United expects to report a profit in the second, third and fourth quarters of this year.

American also expects to return to profitability in March.

The company said domestic leisure and short-haul international traffic were approaching their 2019 levels, but demand for long-haul international remained challenged.

Domestic business travel, which accounted for 30% of the company's 2019 passenger revenue, recovered in the latest quarter to about 70% of the pre-pandemic level, it said.

American, however, said the volatility in travel demand due to new COVID-19 variants has created "the most challenging planning environment in the history of commercial aviation".

LOWER CAPACITY, HIGHER COSTS

Both the carriers plan to match their capacity with bookings trends.

American expects its capacity in the quarter through March would be down about 8% to 10% compared to the same period in 2019. Full-year capacity is projected to be 5% lower than in the pre-pandemic year.

United's 2022 capacity is now projected to be lower than in 2019, instead of growing 5% as estimated earlier.

Lower capacity as well as lower aircraft utilization because of delayed demand are estimated to drive up costs at the both the airlines. Higher fuel prices, rising wages and increased training costs are also pinching them.

United's costs this year are now expected to be higher than in 2019, instead of going down. American estimates its costs would be 5% higher in 2022 than in the pre-pandemic year.

United reported an adjusted loss of $1.60 per share for the quarter through December, compared with a loss of $7.00 per share a year ago.

American's adjusted loss for the quarter came in at $1.42 per share, compared with a loss of $3.86 per share a year ago.

(Additional reporting by Abhijith Ganapavaram and Aishwarya Nair in Bengaluru; Editing by Nick Zieminski)

By Rajesh Kumar Singh


© Reuters 2022
Stocks mentioned in the article
ChangeLast1st jan.
AMERICAN AIRLINES GROUP INC. -8.12% 15.4155 Delayed Quote.-6.74%
DELTA AIR LINES, INC. -6.50% 37.01 Delayed Quote.1.13%
UNITED AIRLINES HOLDINGS, INC. -7.91% 41.29 Delayed Quote.2.24%
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Financials (USD)
Sales 2022 46 396 M - -
Net income 2022 -1 312 M - -
Net Debt 2022 30 534 M - -
P/E ratio 2022 -8,59x
Yield 2022 -
Capitalization 10 879 M 10 879 M -
EV / Sales 2022 0,89x
EV / Sales 2023 0,82x
Nbr of Employees 127 000
Free-Float 99,0%
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Last Close Price 16,75 $
Average target price 19,58 $
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Robert D. Isom Chief Executive Officer & Director
Derek J. Kerr Executive VP, Chief Financial & Accounting Officer
William Douglas Parker Chairman
Maya Leibman Chief Information Officer & Executive VP
David G. Seymour Chief Operating Officer & Senior Vice President
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