Projected Income Statement: Aon plc

Forecast Balance Sheet: Aon plc

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 6,537 8,556 9,628 10,052 15,712 12,451 13,712 13,026
Change - 30.89% 12.53% 4.4% 56.31% -20.75% -5.14% -5%
Announcement Date 2/5/21 2/4/22 2/3/23 2/2/24 1/31/25 1/30/26 - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Aon plc

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 141 137 196 252 218 263 299.2 312.4
Change - -2.84% 43.07% 28.57% -13.49% 20.64% 13.54% 4.4%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 2,642 2,045 3,023 3,183 2,817 3,218 3,863 4,563
Change - -22.6% 47.82% 5.29% -11.5% 14.24% 6.97% 18.14%
Announcement Date 2/5/21 2/4/22 2/3/23 2/2/24 1/31/25 1/30/26 - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Aon plc

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 30.08% 31.59% 31.98% 32.46% 32.63% 33.47% 33.88% 34.68%
EBIT Margin (%) 28.47% 30.12% 30.77% 31.57% 31.46% 32.38% 33.2% 33.96%
EBT Margin (%) 22.28% 15.84% 25.29% 23.69% 22.05% 27.7% 23.82% 26.09%
Net margin (%) 17.79% 10.29% 20.75% 19.17% 16.91% 21.51% 18.45% 19.99%
FCF margin (%) 23.87% 16.77% 24.22% 23.8% 17.94% 18.73% 21.36% 23.71%
FCF / Net Income (%) 134.18% 162.95% 116.76% 124.14% 106.14% 87.09% 115.79% 118.58%

Profitability

        
ROA - 3.92% 8.01% 8.7% 6.4% 7.41% 6.3% 7%
ROE 66.55% 119.14% 1,073.31% - 125.25% 47.9% 40.57% 39.25%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.96x 2.22x 2.41x 2.32x 3.07x 2.17x 2.24x 1.95x
Debt / Free cash flow 2.47x 4.18x 3.18x 3.16x 5.58x 3.87x 3.55x 2.85x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.27% 1.12% 1.57% 1.88% 1.39% 1.53% 1.66% 1.62%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 4.24% 3.56% 4.91% 5.8% 4.26% 4.57% 4.89% 4.68%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 5.34% 6.7% 6.48% 7.92% 7.74% 8.17% 7.75% 6.85%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 - 9.651 15.1 16.76 14.28 16.03 19.04 -
Change - - 56.45% 10.98% -14.76% 12.26% 12.23% -
Dividend per Share 1 1.78 1.99 2.19 2.41 2.64 2.866 3.126 3.385
Change - 11.8% 10.05% 10.05% 9.54% 8.57% 9.05% 8.3%
Book Value Per Share 1 15.5 4.94 -2.575 -4.159 28.34 43.6 47.7 54.69
Change - -68.13% -152.14% -61.49% 781.35% 53.85% 18.97% 14.66%
EPS 1 8.45 5.55 12.14 12.51 12.49 17.02 15.51 18.24
Change - -34.32% 118.74% 3.05% -0.16% 36.27% 15.67% 17.59%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 226,164 220,332 206,853 200,216 216,266 214,500 214,500 214,500
Announcement Date 2/5/21 2/4/22 2/3/23 2/2/24 1/31/25 1/30/26 - -
1USD
Estimates
2025 2026 *
P/E ratio 20.7x 20.3x
PBR 8.09x 6.59x
EV / Sales 5.14x 4.49x
Yield 0.91% 0.99%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
22
Last Close Price
314.49USD
Average target price
398.00USD
Spread / Average Target
+26.55%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise