Projected Income Statement: ArcelorMittal

Forecast Balance Sheet: ArcelorMittal

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 4,030 2,236 2,898 5,079 7,931 7,544 6,105 4,609
Change - -44.52% 29.61% 75.26% 56.15% -4.88% -19.07% -24.5%
Announcement Date 2/10/22 2/9/23 2/8/24 2/6/25 2/5/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: ArcelorMittal

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 3,008 3,468 4,613 4,405 4,337 4,705 4,622 4,592
Change - 15.29% 33.02% -4.51% -1.54% 8.49% -1.77% -0.65%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 6,897 6,735 3,032 447 471 1,496 2,939 3,210
Change - -2.35% -54.98% -85.26% 5.37% 217.71% 96.4% 9.24%
Announcement Date 2/10/22 2/9/23 2/8/24 2/6/25 2/5/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: ArcelorMittal

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 25.34% 17.74% 11.07% 11.3% 10.66% 12.6% 14.71% 14.74%
EBIT Margin (%) 22.05% 14.5% 3.43% 5.3% 5.91% 7.58% 9.67% 9.55%
EBT Margin (%) 23.54% 14.1% 1.85% 4.67% 5.87% 6.87% 9.24% 9.28%
Net margin (%) 19.53% 11.65% 1.35% 2.14% 5.14% 5.27% 7.12% 7.14%
FCF margin (%) 9.01% 8.44% 4.44% 0.72% 0.77% 2.25% 4.22% 4.53%
FCF / Net Income (%) 46.12% 72.4% 329.92% 33.38% 14.94% 42.6% 59.23% 63.53%

Profitability

        
ROA 17.33% 10.05% 5.16% 1.46% 3.37% 3.22% 4.61% 4.77%
ROE 34.23% 18.19% 8.9% 2.6% 6.08% 6.32% 8.25% 8.3%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.21x 0.16x 0.38x 0.72x 1.21x 0.9x 0.6x 0.44x
Debt / Free cash flow 0.58x 0.33x 0.96x 11.36x 16.84x 5.04x 2.08x 1.44x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 3.93% 4.34% 6.76% 7.05% 7.07% 7.06% 6.63% 6.49%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 15.5% 24.49% 61.03% 62.46% 66.3% 56.04% 45.1% 44%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 43.61% 51.49% 152.14% 985.46% 920.81% 314.44% 157.28% 143.05%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 8.94 11.16 9.047 6.134 6.277 8.129 9.955 11.06
Change - 24.87% -18.95% -32.2% 2.33% 29.51% 22.46% 11.14%
Dividend per Share 1 0.38 0.4 0.5 0.55 - 0.6258 0.6701 0.6965
Change - 5.26% 25% 10% - - 7.08% 3.93%
Book Value Per Share 1 53.9 66 65.89 64.05 71.38 75.86 82.51 88.72
Change - 22.44% -0.17% -2.79% 11.46% 6.27% 8.76% 7.53%
EPS 1 13.49 10.18 1.09 1.69 4.11 4.611 6.738 6.945
Change - -24.54% -89.29% 55.05% 143.2% 12.2% 46.11% 3.08%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 911,415 816,000 838,000 785,388 760,600 761,126 761,126 761,126
Announcement Date 2/10/22 2/9/23 2/8/24 2/6/25 2/5/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 13.2x 9.01x
PBR 0.8x 0.74x
EV / Sales 0.81x 0.75x
Yield 1.03% 1.1%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
14
Last Close Price
60.71USD
Average target price
65.69USD
Spread / Average Target
+8.20%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. MT Stock
  4. Financials ArcelorMittal