Projected Income Statement: ArcelorMittal

Forecast Balance Sheet: ArcelorMittal

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 6,380 4,030 2,236 2,898 5,079 5,181 5,244 5,049
Change - -36.83% -44.52% 29.61% 75.26% 2.01% 1.22% -3.72%
Announcement Date 2/11/21 2/10/22 2/9/23 2/8/24 2/6/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: ArcelorMittal

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 2,439 3,008 3,468 4,613 4,405 4,651 4,647 4,609
Change - 23.33% 15.29% 33.02% -4.51% 5.57% -0.09% -0.82%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 1,643 6,897 6,735 3,032 447 1,063 1,573 1,836
Change - 319.78% -2.35% -54.98% -85.26% 137.76% 48.01% 16.74%
Announcement Date 2/11/21 2/10/22 2/9/23 2/8/24 2/6/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: ArcelorMittal

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 8.07% 25.34% 17.74% 11.07% 11.3% 11.73% 12.91% 13.15%
EBIT Margin (%) 3.96% 22.05% 14.5% 3.43% 5.3% 6.83% 7.99% 8.11%
EBT Margin (%) 2.04% 23.54% 14.1% 1.85% 4.67% 6.32% 7.43% 7.96%
Net margin (%) -1.38% 19.53% 11.65% 1.35% 2.14% 4.9% 5.76% 6.18%
FCF margin (%) 3.08% 9.01% 8.44% 4.44% 0.72% 1.76% 2.51% 2.87%
FCF / Net Income (%) -224.15% 46.12% 72.4% 329.92% 33.38% 35.92% 43.54% 46.37%

Profitability

        
ROA -0.86% 17.33% 10.05% 5.16% 1.46% 3.03% 3.88% 4.14%
ROE -1.91% 34.23% 18.19% 8.9% 2.6% 5.8% 6.76% 6.9%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.48x 0.21x 0.16x 0.38x 0.72x 0.73x 0.65x 0.6x
Debt / Free cash flow 3.88x 0.58x 0.33x 0.96x 11.36x 4.87x 3.33x 2.75x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 4.58% 3.93% 4.34% 6.76% 7.05% 7.7% 7.4% 7.19%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 56.71% 15.5% 24.49% 61.03% 62.46% 65.65% 57.34% 54.71%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 148.45% 43.61% 51.49% 152.14% 985.46% 437.58% 295.38% 250.96%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 3.581 8.94 11.16 9.047 6.134 6.902 7.253 8.142
Change - 149.66% 24.87% -18.95% -32.2% 12.53% 5.08% 12.26%
Dividend per Share 1 0.3 0.38 0.4 0.5 0.55 0.557 0.5764 0.5964
Change - 26.67% 5.26% 25% 10% 1.28% 3.47% 3.48%
Book Value Per Share 1 33.58 53.9 66 65.89 64.05 68.9 73.42 78.77
Change - 60.52% 22.44% -0.17% -2.79% 7.58% 6.55% 7.29%
EPS 1 -0.64 13.49 10.18 1.09 1.69 3.993 4.954 5.352
Change - 2,207.81% -24.54% -89.29% 55.05% 136.28% 24.06% 8.03%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,066,637 911,415 816,000 838,000 785,388 768,547 768,547 768,547
Announcement Date 2/11/21 2/10/22 2/9/23 2/8/24 2/6/25 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 7.79x 6.28x
PBR 0.45x 0.42x
EV / Sales 0.48x 0.46x
Yield 1.79% 1.85%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG MSCI
BB
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
13
Last Close Price
31.10USD
Average target price
34.85USD
Spread / Average Target
+12.05%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. MT Stock
  4. Financials ArcelorMittal
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