Projected Income Statement: Aristocrat Leisure Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: Aristocrat Leisure Limited

Fiscal Period: September 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net Debt 1 2,224 1,568 805 -564 -809 1,140 238 -334
Change - -29.5% -48.66% -170.06% -243.44% 40.91% -80.67% -240.34%
Announcement Date 11/19/19 11/17/20 11/17/21 11/15/22 11/14/23 11/12/24 - -
1AUD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Aristocrat Leisure Limited

Fiscal Period: September 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
CAPEX 1 316.6 196.1 173.2 208.2 352 419.2 379 393.1
Change - -38.06% -11.68% 20.21% 69.07% 19.09% 4.32% 3.73%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 837.6 775.1 1,155 1,038 1,447 1,346 1,786 1,827
Change - -7.46% 49.04% -10.16% 39.44% -6.99% 15.22% 2.28%
Announcement Date 11/19/19 11/17/20 11/17/21 11/15/22 11/14/23 11/12/24 - -
1AUD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Aristocrat Leisure Limited

Fiscal Period: September 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 36.31% 26.32% 32.57% 33.21% 33.44% 37.39% 39.27% 40.87%
EBIT Margin (%) 26.44% 18.63% 26.97% 28.58% 28.71% 32.12% 33.31% 34.83%
EBT Margin (%) 22.14% 8.69% 21.47% 22.05% 26.53% 26.15% 29.37% 31.5%
Net margin (%) 15.89% 33.29% 17.31% 17.02% 23.1% 19.74% 24.09% 24.87%
FCF margin (%) 19.05% 18.73% 24.39% 18.62% 22.99% 20.38% 25.43% 25.6%
FCF / Net Income (%) 119.86% 56.26% 140.88% 109.41% 99.52% 103.27% 105.59% 102.91%

Profitability

        
ROA 14.68% 5.93% 10.47% 11.7% 12.61% 14.65% 16.16% 16.76%
ROE 46.15% 14.23% 24.59% 22.17% 20.81% 23.91% 26.02% 25.78%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.39x 1.44x 0.52x - - 0.46x 0.09x -
Debt / Free cash flow 2.66x 2.02x 0.7x - - 0.85x 0.13x -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 7.2% 4.74% 3.66% 3.74% 5.59% 6.35% 5.4% 5.51%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 19.83% 18% 11.23% 11.25% 16.72% 16.98% 13.74% 13.48%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 37.8% 25.3% 14.99% 20.06% 24.32% 31.14% 21.22% 21.52%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1.702 1.603 2.082 1.87 2.739 2.758 3.305 3.627
Change - -5.77% 29.87% -10.2% 46.48% 0.68% 13.26% 9.75%
Dividend per Share 1 0.56 0.1 0.41 0.52 0.64 0.78 0.9232 1.017
Change - -82.14% 310% 26.83% 23.08% 21.88% 17.49% 10.14%
Book Value Per Share 1 3.357 4.98 4.94 9.139 10.37 9.978 11.12 12.23
Change - 48.35% -0.8% 85% 13.48% -3.79% 3.73% 10.01%
EPS 1 1.095 2.16 1.285 1.423 2.214 2.036 2.756 2.897
Change - 97.26% -40.51% 10.74% 55.59% -8.04% 20.28% 5.14%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 638,544 638,544 638,548 662,122 648,561 625,941 625,941 625,941
Announcement Date 11/19/19 11/17/20 11/17/21 11/15/22 11/14/23 11/12/24 - -
1AUD
Estimates
2024 2025 *
P/E ratio 28.8x 27.9x
PBR 5.87x 6.93x
EV / Sales 5.76x 6.9x
Yield 1.33% 1.2%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG MSCI
AA
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
15
Last Close Price
77.00AUD
Average target price
74.03AUD
Spread / Average Target
-3.85%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
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  4. Financials Aristocrat Leisure Limited