Projected Income Statement: Aristocrat Leisure Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: Aristocrat Leisure Limited

Fiscal Period: September 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 1,568 805 -564 -809 1,140 423 68.6 -447
Change - -48.66% -170.06% -43.44% 240.91% -62.89% -53.33% -751.6%
Announcement Date 11/17/20 11/17/21 11/15/22 11/14/23 11/12/24 11/11/25 - -
1AUD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Aristocrat Leisure Limited

Fiscal Period: September 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 196.1 173.2 208.2 352 419.2 397.5 387 401.4
Change - -11.68% 20.21% 69.07% 19.09% -5.19% -2.64% 3.72%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 775.1 1,155 1,038 1,447 1,346 1,510 1,752 1,901
Change - 49.04% -10.16% 39.44% -6.99% 12.2% -3.56% 8.5%
Announcement Date 11/17/20 11/17/21 11/15/22 11/14/23 11/12/24 11/11/25 - -
1AUD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Aristocrat Leisure Limited

Fiscal Period: September 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 26.32% 32.57% 33.21% 33.44% 37.39% 41.75% 41.95% 43.05%
EBIT Margin (%) 18.63% 26.97% 28.58% 28.71% 32.12% 35.48% 34.9% 35.82%
EBT Margin (%) 8.69% 21.47% 22.05% 26.53% 26.15% 28.88% 33.03% 35.05%
Net margin (%) 33.29% 17.31% 17.02% 23.1% 19.74% 26.05% 24.18% 25.59%
FCF margin (%) 18.73% 24.39% 18.62% 22.99% 20.38% 23.98% 26.77% 27.45%
FCF / Net Income (%) 56.26% 140.88% 109.41% 99.52% 103.27% 92.07% 110.71% 107.28%

Profitability

        
ROA 5.93% 10.47% 11.7% 12.61% 14.65% 14.57% 15.62% 17.08%
ROE 14.23% 24.59% 22.17% 20.81% 23.91% 22.3% 24.58% 26.12%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.44x 0.52x - - 0.46x 0.16x 0.03x -
Debt / Free cash flow 2.02x 0.7x - - 0.85x 0.28x 0.04x -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 4.74% 3.66% 3.74% 5.59% 6.35% 6.37% 5.91% 5.8%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 18% 11.23% 11.25% 16.72% 16.98% 15.37% 14.09% 13.46%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 25.3% 14.99% 20.06% 24.32% 31.14% 21.88% 22.09% 21.11%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1.603 2.082 1.87 2.739 2.758 3.244 3.376 3.784
Change - 29.87% -10.2% 46.48% 0.68% 17.63% 4.08% 12.07%
Dividend per Share 1 0.1 0.41 0.52 0.64 0.78 0.93 0.9954 1.115
Change - 310% 26.83% 23.08% 21.88% 19.23% 12.61% 12.06%
Book Value Per Share 1 4.98 4.94 9.139 10.37 9.978 11.47 11.22 12.31
Change - -0.8% 85% 13.48% -3.79% 14.97% -2.18% 9.74%
EPS 1 2.16 1.285 1.423 2.214 2.036 2.615 2.585 2.951
Change - -40.51% 10.74% 55.59% -8.04% 28.44% 0.97% 14.16%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 638,544 638,548 662,122 648,561 629,382 616,481 616,481 616,481
Announcement Date 11/17/20 11/17/21 11/15/22 11/14/23 11/12/24 11/11/25 - -
1AUD
Estimates
2025 2026 *
P/E ratio 26.8x 21.9x
PBR 4.94x 5.05x
EV / Sales 6.92x 5.35x
Yield 1.33% 1.76%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
15
Last Close Price
56.71AUD
Average target price
72.81AUD
Spread / Average Target
+28.39%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. ALL Stock
  4. Financials Aristocrat Leisure Limited