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Projected Income Statement: ASML Holding N.V.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 18,611 | 21,173 | 27,558 | 28,263 | 32,667 | 38,827 | 46,773 | 51,146 |
| Change | - | 13.77% | 30.16% | 2.56% | 15.58% | 18.86% | 20.47% | 9.35% |
| EBITDA 1 | 7,007 | 7,084 | 9,782 | 9,941 | 12,327 | 15,253 | 19,853 | 22,220 |
| Change | - | 1.1% | 38.08% | 1.63% | 24% | 23.74% | 30.15% | 11.92% |
| EBIT 1 | 6,536 | 6,501 | 9,042 | 9,023 | 11,301 | 14,092 | 18,445 | 20,742 |
| Change | - | -0.55% | 39.1% | -0.22% | 25.26% | 24.69% | 30.89% | 12.45% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -44.6 | -44.6 | 41.2 | 19.8 | 104.7 | -85.33 | -65 | -61.67 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 6,706 | 6,456 | 9,084 | 9,042 | 11,406 | 14,266 | 18,642 | 20,705 |
| Change | - | -3.72% | 40.7% | -0.45% | 26.14% | 25.07% | 30.67% | 11.07% |
| Net income 1 | 5,883 | 5,624 | 7,839 | 7,572 | 9,393 | 11,954 | 15,491 | 17,251 |
| Change | - | -4.4% | 39.38% | -3.41% | 24.05% | 27.27% | 29.58% | 11.36% |
| Announcement Date | 1/19/22 | 1/25/23 | 1/24/24 | 1/29/25 | 1/28/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: ASML Holding N.V.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | -3,515 | -3,862 | -2,379 | -9,064 | -10,613 | -10,225 | -16,120 | -23,651 |
| Change | - | -9.87% | 38.4% | -281% | -17.09% | 3.65% | -57.65% | -46.72% |
| Announcement Date | 1/19/22 | 1/25/23 | 1/24/24 | 1/29/25 | 1/28/26 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: ASML Holding N.V.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 900.7 | 1,282 | 2,156 | 2,067 | 1,574 | 1,920 | 2,124 | 2,237 |
| Change | - | 42.31% | 68.17% | -4.1% | -23.88% | 22.03% | 10.61% | 5.33% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 9,945 | 7,205 | 3,288 | 9,099 | 11,085 | 6,943 | 13,078 | 15,826 |
| Change | - | -27.55% | -54.37% | 176.75% | 21.83% | -37.36% | 88.36% | 21.01% |
| Announcement Date | 1/19/22 | 1/25/23 | 1/24/24 | 1/29/25 | 1/28/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: ASML Holding N.V.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 37.65% | 33.46% | 35.5% | 35.17% | 37.74% | 39.29% | 42.44% | 43.44% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 35.12% | 30.7% | 32.81% | 31.92% | 34.6% | 36.29% | 39.44% | 40.55% |
| EBT Margin (%) | 36.03% | 30.49% | 32.96% | 31.99% | 34.92% | 36.74% | 39.86% | 40.48% |
| Net margin (%) | 31.61% | 26.56% | 28.44% | 26.79% | 28.75% | 30.79% | 33.12% | 33.73% |
| FCF margin (%) | 53.44% | 34.03% | 11.93% | 32.19% | 33.93% | 17.88% | 27.96% | 30.94% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | 169.05% | 128.11% | 41.94% | 120.17% | 118.02% | 58.08% | 84.43% | 91.74% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 20.46% | 16.91% | 20.56% | 17.1% | 18.95% | 23% | 26.64% | 24.4% |
| ROE | 49.01% | 59.35% | 70.42% | 47.43% | 49.32% | 54.6% | 57.54% | 49.69% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Debt / Free cash flow | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 4.84% | 6.05% | 7.82% | 7.31% | 4.82% | 4.95% | 4.54% | 4.37% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 12.85% | 18.09% | 22.04% | 20.79% | 12.77% | 12.59% | 10.7% | 10.07% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | 9.06% | 17.79% | 65.56% | 22.72% | 14.2% | 27.66% | 16.24% | 14.14% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 26.43 | 13.44 | 13.81 | 28.37 | 32.55 | 33.89 | 43.26 | 50.42 |
| Change | - | -49.14% | 2.77% | 105.39% | 14.73% | 4.12% | 27.64% | 16.55% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | 5.5 | 5.8 | 6.1 | 6.4 | 7.5 | 8.6 | 10.48 | 11.83 |
| Change | - | 5.45% | 5.17% | 4.92% | 17.19% | 14.66% | 21.88% | 12.88% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 24.75 | 22.15 | 34.13 | 46.94 | 50.68 | 59.23 | 79.55 | 104 |
| Change | - | -10.47% | 54.07% | 37.53% | 7.96% | 16.87% | 34.31% | 30.78% |
| EPS 1 | 14.34 | 14.13 | 19.89 | 19.24 | 24.71 | 31.33 | 41.28 | 47.27 |
| Change | - | -1.46% | 40.76% | -3.27% | 28.43% | 26.77% | 31.78% | 14.52% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 406,474 | 398,937 | 394,590 | 393,028 | 386,196 | 384,870 | 384,870 | 384,870 |
| Announcement Date | 1/19/22 | 1/25/23 | 1/24/24 | 1/29/25 | 1/28/26 | - | - | - |
| 2026 * | 2027 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E ratio | 39.7x | 30.1x |
| PBR | 21x | 15.6x |
| EV / Sales | 12.1x | 9.89x |
| Yield | 0.69% | 0.84% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Trader
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Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise
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- Financials ASML Holding N.V.
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