The following discussion of our financial condition and results of operations
should be read in conjunction with our consolidated financial statements and the
related notes thereto included in this Annual Report on Form 10-K. In addition
to historical information, some of the information contained in the following
discussion and analysis or set forth elsewhere in this report, including
information with respect to our plans and strategy for our business, includes
forward-looking information that involves risks, uncertainties and assumptions.
You should read the Risk Factors set forth in Item 1A of this Annual Report on
Form 10-K for a discussion of important factors that could cause actual results
to differ materially from the results described in or implied by the
forward-looking statements contained in the following discussion and analysis.
Our actual results and the timing of events could differ materially from those
anticipated by these forward looking statements.

Investors and others should note that we routinely use the Investors section of
our website to announce material information to investors and the marketplace.
While not all of the information that we post on the Investors section of our
website is of a material nature, some information could be deemed to be
material. Accordingly, we encourage investors, the media, and others interested
in us to review the information that we share on the Investors section of our
website, https://www.aerogel.com/.

Products

Our core businesses are organized into two reportable segments: Energy Industrial and Thermal Barrier. The following describes our key product offerings and new product innovations by reportable segment.

Energy Industrial



We design, develop and manufacture innovative, high-performance aerogel
insulation used primarily in the energy industrial and sustainable insulation
materials markets. We believe our aerogel blankets deliver the best thermal
performance of any widely used insulation product available on the market today
and provide a combination of performance attributes unmatched by traditional
insulation materials. Our end-user customers select our products where thermal
performance is critical and to save money, improve resource efficiency, enhance
sustainability, preserve operating assets and protect workers. Our insulation is
used by oil producers and the owners and operators of refineries, petrochemical
plants, liquefied natural gas facilities, power generating assets and other
energy industrial. Our Pyrogel® and Cryogel® product lines have undergone
rigorous technical validation by industry leading end-users and achieved
significant market adoption. Our Spaceloft® sustainable insulation materials are
increasingly used by building owners to improve the energy efficiency and to
enhance fire protection in buildings ranging from historic brownstones to modern
high rises.

We also derive revenue from a number of other end markets. Customers in these
markets use our products for applications as diverse as military and commercial
aircraft, trains, buses, appliances, apparel, footwear and outdoor gear. As we
continue to enhance our Aerogel Technology Platform, we believe we will have
additional opportunities to address high-value applications in the global
insulation market, the electric vehicle market and in a number of new,
high-value markets, including hydrogen energy, filtration, water purification,
and gas sorption.

We market and sell our products primarily through a sales force based in North America, Europe and Asia. The efforts of our sales force are supported by a small number of sales consultants with extensive knowledge of a particular market or region. Our sales force is responsible for establishing and maintaining customer and partner relationships, delivering highly technical information and ensuring high-quality customer service.



Our salespeople work directly with end-user customers and engineering firms to
promote the qualification, specification and acceptance of our aerogel and
thermal barrier products. We also rely on an existing and well-established
channel of qualified insulation distributors and contractors in more than 50
countries around the world to ensure rapid delivery of our aerogel products and
strong end-user support.

Thermal Barrier

We are also actively developing a number of promising aerogel products and
technologies for the electric vehicle market. We have developed and are
commercializing our proprietary line of PyroThin® aerogel thermal barriers for
use in battery packs in electric vehicles. Our PyroThin product is an
ultra-thin, lightweight and flexible thermal barrier designed with other
functional layers to impede the propagation of thermal runaway across multiple
lithium-ion battery system architectures. Our thermal barrier technology is
designed to offer a unique combination of thermal management, mechanical
performance and fire protection properties. These properties enable electric
vehicle manufacturers to achieve critical battery performance and safety goals.
In addition, we are seeking to leverage our patented carbon aerogel technology
to develop industry-leading battery materials for use in lithium-ion battery
cells.

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These battery materials have the potential to increase the energy density of the battery cells, thus enabling an increase in the driving range of electric vehicles.



The commercial potential for our PyroThin thermal barriers and our carbon
aerogel battery materials in the electric vehicle market is significant.
Accordingly, we are hiring additional personnel, incurring additional operating
expenses, incurring significant capital expenditures to expand aerogel
manufacturing capacity, establishing an automated thermal barrier fabrication
operation, enhancing research and development resources and expanding our
battery material research facilities, among other items.

We have entered into production contracts with certain major OEMs, including
General Motors LLC, or GM, to supply fabricated, multi-part thermal barriers for
use in the battery system of its next-generation electric vehicles. Pursuant to
the contracts with GM, we are obligated to supply the barriers at fixed annual
prices and at volumes to be specified by the customer up to a daily maximum
quantity through the term of the agreements, which expire at various times from
2026 through 2034. While GM has agreed to purchase its requirement for the
barriers from us at locations to be designated from time to time, it has no
obligation to purchase any minimum quantity of barriers under the contracts. In
addition, GM may terminate the contracts any time and for any or no reason. All
other terms of the contracts are generally consistent with GM's standard
purchase terms, including quality and warranty provisions customary in the
automotive industry.

Manufacturing Operations



We manufacture our products using our proprietary technology at our facility in
East Providence, Rhode Island. We have operated the East Providence facility
since 2008 and have increased our capacity in phases to approximately $250.0
million in annual revenue. To meet expected growth in demand for our aerogel
products in the electric vehicle market, we are in the process of expanding our
aerogel blanket capacity by constructing a second manufacturing plant in Bulloch
County, Georgia.

We had initially expected to build the second plant in two phases and had
previously estimated a cost of approximately $575.0 million for the first phase
and approximately $125.0 million for the second phase. However, we have refined
our approach to revenue capacity planning and corresponding project milestones
and are no longer taking a phased approach to the project. Instead, we are
focused on achieving a target revenue capacity increase in connection with the
second aerogel facility of over $1.2 billion, which was the originally
contemplated target revenue capacity of the first and second phases.
Additionally, as a result of cost inflation and supply chain challenges for this
project, we reviewed the plans, schedule and scope of the project in order to
manage these potential cost drivers with the aim of keeping our capital
expenditures on the second plant as close as possible to our prior estimates
while still seeking to achieve our original revenue capacity increases of over
$1.2 billion. As a result of the review of the schedule and scope of the
project, we are estimating a cost of approximately $710.0 million, which
includes approximately $164.5 million that we have spent through December 31,
2022. Nonetheless, further cost inflation and/or supply chain disruptions, as
well as potential changes in the scope of the facilities, could lead to
increases to our prior estimates. While the currently planned facilities can
accommodate additional equipment in the future to further increase revenue
capacity, this is not currently in scope. We expect to start up the second
aerogel plant in the first-half of 2024.

On February 17, 2022, we entered into an Inducement Agreement with the
Development Authority of Bulloch County (the Development Authority), the City of
Statesboro, Bulloch County, Georgia (collectively, Statesboro Entities).
Pursuant to the Inducement Agreement, the Statesboro Entities will provide
various incentives to induce us to invest at least $325.0 million in
constructing and equipping our second manufacturing facility in Bulloch County,
Georgia and to create at least 250 full-time jobs. Separately, and concurrently,
the Company entered into a Memorandum of Understanding (the MOU) with the
Georgia Department of Economic Development (the GDEcD). Pursuant to both the
Inducement Agreement and the MOU, the Local Governmental Entities and the GDEcD
will provide various incentives to induce the Company to invest at least $325.0
million in constructing and equipping a facility to produce aerogel-based
products in Bulloch County, Georgia and to create at least 250 full-time jobs
(the Project). We will also receive statutory incentives for economic
development provided by the State of Georgia. Incentives afforded by the
Statesboro Entities to us include, but are not limited to, property tax
reductions and utility and site infrastructure improvements for the Project.
Additionally, the Development Authority, with assistance from the GDEcD, will
also apply for a grant, the proceeds of which shall be used by us for certain
equipment in connection with the Project. The Development Authority will lease
to us an approximately 90-acre property along with buildings and equipment to be
built therein, for a term of five years, with an option to renew for an
additional five years, in consideration for the payment of nominal rent, and
grant to us an option to purchase the property upon the earlier of the
expiration or termination of the lease at a nominal price.

In addition, we entered into a (i) PILOT Agreement with the Statesboro Entities
that sets forth our rights and obligations with respect to the incentives
received pursuant to the Inducement Agreement and (ii) a Performance and
Accountability Agreement with other state authorities, which provides for a
grant of $1,000,000. Pursuant to these agreements, in the event that we fail to
meet at least 80% of the investment and job creation goals within 36 months
following the earlier to occur of (i) the completion and issuance of the
certificate of occupancy with respect to the planned second manufacturing
facility or (ii) December 31, 2024 (the Commencement

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Date), we may be required to repay portions of property tax savings, the grant
to the Development Authority and other incentives. In addition, we must maintain
our achievement of 80% of the investment and job creation goals for a period of
60 months thereafter.

Financial Summary

On November 5, 2020, we entered into a sales agreement for an at-the-market
("ATM") offering program with B. Riley Securities as our sales agent. During the
year ended December 31, 2021, we sold 929,981 shares of our common stock through
the ATM offering program with B. Riley Securities and received net proceeds of
$19.4 million. On March 16, 2022, we entered into a sales agreement for an ATM
offering program with Cowen and Company, LLC and Piper Sandler & Co., as our
sales agents, or the 2022 ATM offering program. During the year ended December
31, 2022, we sold 5,241,400 shares of our common stock through the 2022 ATM
offering program and received net proceeds of $72.7 million.

On February 3, 2021, we entered into a supply agreement with Silbond Corporation
for the purchase of certain silanes products. Pursuant to the agreement, we
agreed to purchase, and Silbond agreed to supply, all of our requirements for
the specified silanes at our East Providence facility through the term of the
agreement on September 30, 2023, unless either party terminates the agreement
earlier pursuant to its terms.

On June 29, 2021, we sold 3,462,124 shares to an affiliate of Koch, in a private
placement of our common stock and received net proceeds of $73.5 million after
deducting fees and offering expenses of $1.5 million. On March 28, 2022, we sold
to an affiliate of Koch, 1,791,986 shares of our common stock for aggregate
gross proceeds of $50.0 million, pursuant to a securities purchase agreement,
dated as of February 15, 2022, by and between us and the affiliate of Koch.

On February 18, 2022, we sold and issued to an affiliate of Koch $100.0 million
in aggregate principal amount of our Convertible Senior PIK Toggle Notes due
2027, or the Notes, pursuant to a note purchase agreement, dated as of February
15, 2022, by and between us and the affiliate of Koch. The Notes bear interest
at the Secured Overnight Financing Rate, or SOFR, plus 5.50% per annum if
interest is paid in cash, or the Cash Interest, or, if interest is paid in kind
(through an increase in the principal amount of the outstanding Notes or through
the issuance of additional Notes), at SOFR plus 6.50% per annum, or PIK
Interest. Under the terms of the investment, SOFR has a floor of 1% and a cap of
3%. We can elect to make any interest payment through Cash Interest, PIK
Interest or any combination thereof. Interest on the Notes is payable
semi-annually in arrears on June 30 and December 30, commencing on June 30,
2022. It is expected that the Notes will mature on February 18, 2027, subject to
earlier conversion, redemption or repurchase. On November 28, 2022, in
connection with the Loan Agreement (described below) we entered into an
amendment to the Notes, or the Convertible Note Amendment, to reduce the initial
Conversion Price (as defined in the Notes) by $5.00 per share from $34.936625
per share to $29.936625 per share, by increasing the initial Conversion Rate (as
defined in the Notes) from 28.623257 shares per $1,000 of Capitalized Principal
Amount (as defined in the Notes) to 33.400100 shares per $1,000 of Capitalized
Principal Amount under the Notes.

On November 28, 2022, our wholly owned subsidiary, Aspen Aerogels Georgia, LLC,
or the Borrower, entered into a Loan Agreement, or the "Loan Agreement", by and
between (i) the Borrower, (ii) Aspen Aerogels, Inc. and (iii) Aspen Aerogels
Rhode Island, LLC, a Rhode Island limited liability company, or Aspen RI, and,
together with the Borrower and Aspen Aerogels, Inc., each, a Loan Party and
collectively, the Loan Parties), as guarantors, and (iv) GM, as lender. The
Borrower is required to use the proceeds of the Loan in connection with the
construction and operation of our planned aerogel manufacturing facility in
Bulloch County, Georgia. The Loan Agreement provides for a multi-draw senior
secured term loan in an aggregate principal amount of up to $100.0 million, or
the Loan, available to the Borrower to draw on a delayed draw basis after
January 1, 2023 to September 30, 2023, subject to certain conditions precedent
to funding. The interest rate on the Loan is equal to the term Secured Overnight
Financing Rate published by CME Group Benchmark Administration Limited for a
six-month interest period, or Term SOFR, plus 8.0% per year, subject to a term
SOFR floor of 1.0%, or the Floor, with a maturity date of the earlier of (i)
March 31, 2025 and (ii) 90 days prior to the maturity date of any other debt
facility to which the Loan Parties may be a party (other than any revolving loan
agreement), or the Maturity Date. At the Borrower's election and prior to the
issuance of a certificate of occupancy for the Plant, interest may be
paid-in-kind at a rate equal to Term SOFR (subject to the Floor) plus 9.0% per
year.

On November 29, 2022, we completed an underwritten public offering of 29,052,631
shares of our common stock at a public offering price of $9.50 per share. We
received net proceeds of $267.5 million after deducting underwriting discounts
and commissions of $8.1 million and offering expenses of approximately $0.5
million.

On November 28, 2022, we terminated the Amended and Restated Loan and Security
Agreement, or the SVB Loan Agreement, with Silicon Valley Bank, or SVB. As of
the date of termination, we had no amounts due or owed to SVB under the SVB Loan
Agreement for any principal, interest, or other amounts, other than
approximately $1.2 million in letters of credit that were issued under the SVB
Loan Agreement and will be cash collateralized in connection with the
termination of the SVB Loan Agreement.

On May 1, 2020, our wholly owned subsidiary, Aspen Aerogels Rhode Island, LLC,
executed a note for an unsecured loan of $3.7 million, or PPP Loan, pursuant to
the Paycheck Protection Program established by the CARES Act, as amended, and

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administered by the U.S. Small Business Administration, or the SBA. On August
24, 2021, the SBA remitted $3.7 million in principal and less than $0.1 million
in accrued interest after approving the Borrower's application for forgiveness
of the PPP Loan under the provisions of the CARES Act. Accordingly, we recorded
a total gain on the extinguishment of debt of $3.7 million during the year ended
December 31, 2021.

Our revenue for the year ended December 31, 2022 was $180.3 million, which
represented an increase of $58.7 million, or 48%, from the year ended December
31, 2021. Net loss for the year ended December 31, 2022 was $82.7 million and
net loss per share was $2.10. Net loss for the year ended December 31, 2021, was
$37.1 million and net loss per share was $1.22.

Key Metrics and Non-GAAP Financial Measures



We regularly review a number of metrics, including the following key metrics, to
evaluate our business, measure our performance, identify trends affecting our
business, formulate financial projections and make strategic decisions.

Square Foot Operating Metric



We price our energy industrial product and measure our shipments in square feet.
We believe the square foot operating metric allows us and our investors to
measure our manufacturing capacity and energy industrial product shipments on a
uniform and consistent basis. The following chart sets forth energy industrial
product shipments in square feet associated with recognized revenue, including
revenue recognized over time utilizing the input method, for the periods
presented:

                                         Year Ended December 31,
                                     2022          2021         2020
                                       (Square feet in thousands)

Product shipments in square feet 32,589 34,557 28,635

Adjusted EBITDA



We use Adjusted EBITDA, a non-GAAP financial measure, as a means to assess our
operating performance. We define Adjusted EBITDA as net income (loss) before
interest expense, taxes, depreciation, amortization, stock-based compensation
expense and other items, from time to time, which we do not believe are
indicative of our core operating performance, which in 2021 included a gain on
the extinguishment of debt. Adjusted EBITDA is a supplemental measure of our
performance that is not presented in accordance with U.S. GAAP. Adjusted EBITDA
should not be considered as an alternative to net income (loss) or any other
measure of financial performance calculated and presented in accordance with
U.S. GAAP. In addition, our definition and presentation of Adjusted EBITDA may
not be comparable to similarly titled measures presented by other companies.

We use Adjusted EBITDA:

•

as a measure of operating performance because it does not include the impact of items that we do not consider indicative of our core operating performance;

for planning purposes, including the preparation of our annual operating budget;

to allocate resources to enhance the financial performance of our business; and

as a performance measure used under our bonus plan.



We also believe that the presentation of Adjusted EBITDA provides useful
information to investors with respect to our results of operations and in
assessing the performance and value of our business. Various measures of EBITDA
are widely used by investors to measure a company's operating performance
without regard to items that can vary substantially from company to company
depending upon financing and accounting methods, book values of assets, capital
structures and the methods by which assets were acquired.

Although measures similar to Adjusted EBITDA are frequently used by investors
and securities analysts in their evaluation of companies, we understand that
Adjusted EBITDA has limitations as an analytical tool, and you should not
consider it in isolation or as a substitute for net income (loss), income (loss)
from operations, net cash provided by (used in) operating activities or an
analysis of our results of operations as reported under U.S. GAAP. Some of these
limitations are:

Adjusted EBITDA does not reflect our historical cash expenditures or future requirements for capital expenditures or other contractual commitments;

Adjusted EBITDA does not reflect changes in, or cash requirements for, our working capital needs;

Adjusted EBITDA does not reflect stock-based compensation expense;


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Adjusted EBITDA does not reflect our income tax expense or cash requirements to pay our income taxes;

Adjusted EBITDA does not reflect our interest expense, or the cash requirements necessary to service interest or principal payments on our debt;

although depreciation, amortization and impairment charges are non-cash charges, the assets being depreciated, amortized or impaired will often have to be replaced in the future, and Adjusted EBITDA does not reflect any cash requirements for these replacements; and

other companies in our industry may calculate EBITDA or Adjusted EBITDA differently than we do, limiting their usefulness as a comparative measure.



Because of these limitations, our Adjusted EBITDA should not be considered as a
measure of discretionary cash available to us to reinvest in the growth of our
business or as a measure of cash available for us to meet our obligations.

To properly and prudently evaluate our business, we encourage you to review the
U.S. GAAP financial statements included elsewhere in this Annual Report on Form
10-K, and not to rely on any single financial measure to evaluate our business.

The following table presents a reconciliation of net loss, the most directly comparable U.S. GAAP measure, to Adjusted EBITDA for the years presented:



                                                             Year Ended December 31,
                                                        2022           2021           2020
                                                                 ($ in thousands)
Net loss                                             $  (82,738 )   $  (37,094 )   $  (21,809 )
Depreciation and amortization                             9,222          9,440         10,198
Stock-based compensation (1)                              9,385          5,176          5,004
Gain on the extinguishment of debt                            -         (3,734 )            -
Interest expense, convertible note - related party        5,110              -              -
Interest income (expense), net                           (1,617 )          229            240
Adjusted EBITDA                                      $  (60,638 )   $  (25,983 )   $   (6,367 )



(1)

Represents non-cash stock-based compensation related to vesting and modifications of stock option grants, vesting of restricted stock units and vesting and modification of restricted common stock.



The following table presents a reconciliation of net loss, the most directly
comparable U.S. GAAP measure, to Adjusted EBITDA for the quarters presented:

                                             Three Months Ended                                     Three Months Ended
                                                    2022                                                   2021
                             March 31       June 30      Sept. 30      Dec. 31      March 31      June 30      Sept. 30       Dec. 31
                                                                         ($ in thousands)
Net loss                     $ (19,484 )   $ (24,050 )   $ (29,595 )   $ (9,609 )   $  (6,250 )   $ (6,669 )   $  (7,822 )   $ (16,353 )
Depreciation and
amortization                     2,129         2,032         2,531        

2,530 2,638 2,104 2,114 2,584 Stock-based compensation (1)

                              1,828         2,295         2,590        2,672           976        1,070         1,554         1,576
Gain on the extinguishment
of debt                              -             -             -            -             -            -        (3,734 )           -
Interest expense,
convertible note - related
party                              819         1,550         1,734        1,007             -            -             -             -
Interest income (expense),
net                                 41          (146 )        (448 )     (1,064 )          75           55            58            41
Adjusted EBITDA              $ (14,667 )   $ (18,319 )   $ (23,188 )   $

(4,464 )   $  (2,561 )   $ (3,440 )   $  (7,830 )   $ (12,152 )



(1)

Represents non-cash stock-based compensation related to vesting and modifications of stock option grants, vesting of restricted stock units and vesting and modification of restricted common stock.



Our financial performance, including such measures as net income (loss),
earnings per share and Adjusted EBITDA, are affected by a number of factors
including volume and mix of aerogel products sold, average selling prices, our
material costs and manufacturing expenses, the costs associated with capacity
expansions and start-up of additional production capacity, and the amount and
timing of operating expenses. Accordingly, we expect that our net income (loss),
earnings per share and Adjusted EBITDA will vary from period to period.

During 2022, we experienced strong volume growth in both our energy industrial
and thermal barrier products. As a result, we experienced total revenue growth
of 48% during the year. We significantly increased staffing and spending levels
in support of

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growing demand for our thermal barrier business and our carbon aerogel battery
material opportunity in coming years. We also increased staffing and spending to
expand and defend our IP portfolio, and to enhance our general and
administrative functions to manage the anticipated strong growth in our
business. As a result, we experienced an increase in both net loss and Adjusted
EBITDA during 2022 versus 2021.

We expect to maintain strong revenue growth during 2023 driven by a continued
post-COVID recovery in the energy industrial market, accelerating demand in the
electric vehicle market and continued market share gains in the sustainable
insulation materials market. Our expectation to maintain strong revenue growth
is based, in part, on our OEM customers' production volume forecasts and targets
as well as our expectation to successfully scale our manufacturing capabilities
and address any potential supply chain issues to meet this expected demand. As a
result, we expect to experience a decrease in both net loss and Adjusted EBITDA
during 2023.

We also expect to incur significant capital expenditures and growing expenses
during 2023, related to our planned second aerogel manufacturing facility to be
located in Bulloch County, Georgia. We are estimating a cost of approximately
$710.0 million for the construction of our second aerogel manufacturing
facility, which includes approximately $164.5 million that we have spent through
December 31, 2022. We expect to start up the second aerogel plant in the
first-half of 2024.

At full capacity, we estimate the Georgia facility alone can produce thermal
barriers for 4.4 million electric vehicles per year and support more than $1.2
billion in annual revenue. In the aggregate, we project our East Providence and
Georgia plants will provide the capacity to support more than $1.6 billion in
annual revenue with potential gross margins of 35%, EBITDA margins of 25% and
free cash flow sufficient to fund future capacity expansions, including a third
aerogel plant.

Revenue

We recognize revenue from the sale of our energy industrial aerogel products and
thermal barriers. Revenue is recognized upon the satisfaction of contractual
performance obligations.

We record deferred revenue for product sales when (i) we have delivered products
but other revenue recognition criteria have not been satisfied or (ii) payments
have been received in advance of the completion of required performance
obligations.

The following table sets forth the total revenue for the periods presented:




                                 Year Ended
                                December 31,
                      2022          2021          2020
                              ($ in thousands)
Revenue:

Energy industrial $ 124,807 $ 114,958 $ 99,834 Thermal barrier 55,557 6,664

           439
Total               $ 180,364     $ 121,622     $ 100,273


Energy industrial revenue accounted for 69%, 95%, and greater than 99% of total
revenue the years ended December 31, 2022, 2021 and 2020, respectively. We
experienced a 48% increase in total revenue during 2022 driven by the increase
in our energy industrial business, particularly in Asia and North America, and
continued growth in the electric vehicle market.

We project revenue growth during 2023 due to accelerating demand in the electric
vehicle market and continued market share gains in the sustainable insulation
materials market.

A substantial majority of our revenue is generated from a limited number of
direct customers, including distributors, contractors, fabricators, partners and
end-user customers. Our ten largest customers accounted for approximately 72% of
our total revenue during the year ended December 31, 2022, and we expect that
most of our revenue will continue to come from a relatively small number of
customers for the foreseeable future.

In 2022, sales to GM and Distribution International, Inc. represented 25% and
22% of our total revenue, respectively. In 2021, sales to Distribution
International, Inc. represented 28% of our total revenue. In 2020, sales to
Distribution International, Inc. and SPCC Joint Venture represented 21% and 15%
of our total revenue, respectively. For each of the noted periods, there were no
other customers that represented 10% or more of our total revenues.

We conduct business across the globe and a substantial portion of our revenue is
generated outside of the United States. Total revenue from outside of the United
States, based on shipment destination, amounted to $66.4 million, or 37% of our
total revenue,

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$54.8 million, or 45% of our total revenue, and $55.4 million, or 55% of our total revenue, in the years ended December 31, 2022, 2021 and 2020, respectively.

Cost of Revenue

Cost of product revenue consists primarily of materials and manufacturing expense. Cost of product revenue is recorded when the related product revenue is recognized.



Material is our most significant component of cost of product revenue and
includes fibrous batting, silica materials and additives. Material costs as a
percentage of product revenue were 51%, 48% and 44% for the years ended December
31, 2022, 2021 and 2020, respectively. Material costs as a percentage of product
revenue vary from product to product due to differences in average selling
prices, material requirements, product thicknesses, and manufacturing yields. In
addition, we provide warranties for our products and record the estimated cost
within cost of revenue in the period that the related revenue is recorded or
when we become aware that a potential warranty claim is probable and can be
reasonably estimated. As a result of these factors, material costs as a
percentage of product revenue will vary from period to period due to changes in
the mix of aerogel products sold, the costs of our raw materials or the
estimated cost of warranties. In addition, global supply chain disturbances,
increased reliance on foreign materials procurement, industrial gas supply
constraints, increases in the cost of our raw materials, and other factors may
significantly impact our material costs and have a material impact on our
operations. We expect that material costs will increase in absolute dollars
during 2023 due to projected growth in product shipments, but decrease as a
percentage of revenue due to projected increases in average selling prices,
improved manufacturing, and fabrication yields and a favorable mix of products
sold.

Manufacturing expense is also a significant component of cost of revenue.
Manufacturing expense includes labor, utilities, maintenance expense, and
depreciation on manufacturing assets. Manufacturing expense also includes
stock-based compensation of manufacturing employees and shipping costs.
Manufacturing expense as a percentage of product revenue was 46%, 44% and 42%
for the years ended December 31, 2022, 2021 and 2020, respectively. We expect
that manufacturing expense will increase in absolute dollars and decrease as a
percentage of revenue during 2023. Manufacturing expense driven by increased
staffing and spending levels in support of our thermal barrier business,
including the start-up and operation of an automated fabrication facility in
Monterrey, Mexico and the initial staffing and operational requirements of our
planned second aerogel manufacturing facility in Bulloch County, Georgia.

During 2023, we expect that cost of product revenue will increase in absolute
dollars due to projected volume growth and a planned increase in staffing and
spending levels, but decrease as a percentage of product revenue due to
projected increases in average selling prices, improved manufacturing and
fabrication yields and a favorable mix of products sold.

Gross Profit



Our gross profit as a percentage of revenue is affected by a number of factors,
including the volume of products produced and sold, the mix of products sold,
average selling prices, our material and manufacturing costs, realized capacity
utilization and the costs associated with expansions and start-up of production
capacity. Accordingly, we expect our gross profit to vary significantly in
absolute dollars and as a percentage of revenue from period to period. Gross
profit as a percentage of total revenue was 3%, 8%, and 15% for the years ended
December 31, 2022, 2021 and 2020, respectively.

During 2023, we expect gross profit to increase in both absolute dollars and as
a percentage of total revenue due to the combination of a projected increase in
total revenue combined with projected reduction in material costs as a
percentage of total revenue, offset, in part, by a projected increase in
manufacturing expense as a percentage of revenue.

In the longer term, we expect gross profit to improve in absolute dollars and as
a percentage of revenue due to expected increases in total revenue, production
volumes and manufacturing productivity. In addition, we expect the gross profit
improvement derived from the increases in revenue, volume and productivity will
be supported by the continued implementation of lower cost product formulations
and realization of material purchasing efficiencies.

Operating Expenses



Operating expenses consist of research and development, sales and marketing, and
general and administrative expenses. Operating expenses include personnel costs,
legal fees, professional fees, service fees, insurance premiums, travel expense,
facilities related costs and other costs, expenses and fees. The largest
component of our operating expenses is personnel costs, consisting of salaries,
benefits, incentive compensation and stock-based compensation. In any particular
period, the timing and extent of personnel additions or reductions, legal
activities, including patent enforcement actions, marketing programs, research
efforts and a range of similar activities or actions could materially affect our
operating expenses, both in absolute dollars and as a percentage of revenue.

                                       65
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During 2023, we expect to continue to hire additional personnel and incur
additional operating expenses to support the anticipated multi-year growth in
our PyroThin thermal barrier business. As a result, we expect that operating
expenses will increase in absolute dollars, and remain consistent as a
percentage of revenue during the year. In the longer term, we expect that
operating expenses will increase in absolute dollars, but decrease as a
percentage of revenue.

Research and Development Expenses



Research and development expenses consist primarily of expenses for personnel
engaged in the development of next generation aerogel compositions, form factors
and manufacturing technologies. These expenses also include testing services,
prototype expenses, consulting services, trial formulations for new products,
equipment depreciation, facilities costs and related overhead. We expense
research and development costs as incurred. We expect to continue to devote
substantial resources to the development of new aerogel technologies, including
our carbon aerogel battery materials. We believe that these investments are
necessary to maintain and improve our competitive position. We also expect to
continue to invest in research and engineering personnel and the infrastructure
required in support of their efforts. While we expect our research and
development expenses will increase in absolute dollars but decrease as a
percentage of revenue in the longer term, in 2023 we expect these expenses will
increase in both absolute dollars and as a percentage of revenue.

Sales and Marketing Expenses



Sales and marketing expenses consist primarily of personnel costs, incentive
compensation, marketing programs, travel and related costs, consulting expenses
and facilities related costs. We expect that sales and marketing expenses will
increase in absolute dollars and remain consistent as a percentage of revenue
during 2023 principally due to an increase in compensation associated with the
addition of personnel in support of our PyroThin thermal barrier business. In
the longer term, we expect that sales and marketing expenses will increase in
absolute dollars but decrease as a percentage of revenue.

General and Administrative Expenses



General and administrative expenses consist primarily of personnel costs, legal
expenses, consulting and professional services, audit fees, compliance with
securities, corporate governance and related laws and regulations, investor
relations and insurance premiums, including director and officer insurance. In
addition, we expect our general and administrative expenses to increase as we
add general and administrative personnel to support the anticipated growth of
our business. We also expect that the patent enforcement actions, described in
more detail under "Legal Proceedings" in Part I, Item 3 of this Annual Report on
Form 10-K, if protracted, could result in significant legal expense over the
medium to long-term. While we expect that our general and administrative
expenses will increase in absolute dollars but decrease as a percentage of
revenue in the longer term, in 2023 we expect such expenses will increase in
both absolute dollars and as a percentage of revenue.

Interest Expense, Convertible Note - Related Party

Interest expense, convertible note - related party is net of the capitalized interest related to the $100.0 million in aggregate principal amount of our Convertible Senior PIK Toggle Notes.

Interest Income (Expense), Net



For the years ended December 31, 2022, 2021, and 2020, interest expense, net
consists of interest expense related to our revolving credit facility and in
2022, included interest earned on the cash balances invested in deposit
accounts, money market accounts, and high-quality debt securities issued by the
U.S. government.

Gain on Extinguishment of Debt



On May 1, 2020, our wholly-owned subsidiary, Aspen Aerogels Rhode Island, LLC,
executed a note for an unsecured PPP loan of $3.7 million pursuant to the CARES
Act. On August 24, 2021, the SBA remitted $3.7 million in principal and accrued
interest to the noteholder after approving the Aspen Aerogels Rhode Island,
LLC's application for forgiveness of the PPP Loan. Accordingly, we recorded a
total gain on the extinguishment of debt of $3.7 million during the year ended
December 31, 2021.

Provision for Income Taxes

We have incurred net losses since inception and have not recorded benefit
provisions for U.S. federal income taxes or state income taxes since the tax
benefits of our net losses have been offset by valuation allowances due to the
uncertainty associated with the utilization of net operating loss carryforwards.

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At December 31, 2022, we had $348.0 million of net operating losses available to
offset future federal income tax, if any, of which $194.6 million expire on
various dates through December 31, 2037. Net operating losses of $153.4 million
generated from 2018 through 2022 have an unlimited carryforward.

Results of Operations



The following tables set forth our results of operations for the periods
presented:

                                                             Year Ended December 31,
                                                        2022           2021           2020
                                                                 ($ in thousands)

Revenue                                              $  180,364     $  121,622     $  100,273
Cost of revenue                                         175,388        111,685         85,679
Gross (loss) profit                                       4,976          9,937         14,594
Operating expenses
Research and development                                 16,930         11,441          8,729
Sales and marketing                                      28,792         16,581         11,753
General and administrative                               38,499         22,514         15,681
Total operating expenses                                 84,221         50,536         36,163
Loss from operations                                    (79,245 )      (40,599 )      (21,569 )
Other income (expense)
Interest expense, convertible note - related party       (5,110 )            -              -
Interest income (expense), net                            1,617           (229 )         (240 )
Gain on extinguishment of debt                                -          3,734              -
Total other income (expense)                             (3,493 )        3,505           (240 )
Net loss                                             $  (82,738 )   $  (37,094 )   $  (21,809 )

Year ended December 31, 2022 compared to year ended December 31, 2021



The following tables set forth our results of operations for the periods
presented:

                                                                                                   Year Ended
                                                 Year Ended December 31,                          December 31,
                                     2022          2021        $ Change       % Change         2022          2021
                                                                                                 (Percentage of
                                             ($ in thousands)                                    total revenue)

Revenue                            $ 180,364     $ 121,622     $  58,742             48 %          100 %        100 %
Cost of revenue                      175,388       111,685        63,703             57 %           97 %         92 %
Gross (loss) profit                    4,976         9,937        (4,961 )          (50 )%           3 %          8 %
Operating expenses
Research and development              16,930        11,441         5,489             48 %            9 %          9 %
Sales and marketing                   28,792        16,581        12,211             74 %           16 %         14 %
General and administrative            38,499        22,514        15,985             71 %           21 %         19 %
Total operating expenses              84,221        50,536        33,685             67 %           47 %         42 %
Loss from operations                 (79,245 )     (40,599 )     (38,646 )           95 %          (44 )%       (33 )%
Other income (expense)
Interest expense, convertible
note - related party                  (5,110 )           -        (5,110 )          100 %           (3 )%         0 %

Interest income (expense), net 1,617 (229 ) 1,846

        (806 )%           1 %          0 %
Gain on extinguishment of debt             -         3,734        (3,734 )          100 %            - %          3 %

Total other income (expense) (3,493 ) 3,505 (6,998 )


       (200 )%          (2 )%         3 %
Net loss                           $ (82,738 )   $ (37,094 )   $ (45,644 )         (123 )%         (46 )%       (30 )%




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Revenue

                                                    Year Ended December 31,
                                            2022                              2021                           Change
                                               Percentage of                     Percentage of
                                 Amount           Revenue          Amount           Revenue          Amount       Percentage
                                                                      ($ in thousands)
Revenue:
Energy industrial               $ 124,807                  69 %   $ 114,958                  95 %   $  9,849                9 %
Thermal barrier                    55,557                  31 %       6,664                   5 %     48,893               NM
Total revenue                   $ 180,364                 100 %   $ 121,622                 100 %   $ 58,742               48 %



The following chart sets forth energy industrial product shipments in square
feet associated with recognized revenue, including revenue recognized over time
utilizing the input method, for the periods presented:

                                              Year Ended December 31,                  Change
                                               2022              2021         Amount        Percentage
Product shipments in square feet (in
thousands)                                       32,589           34,557        (1,968 )             (6 )%


Total revenue increased $58.7 million, or 48%, to $180.3 million in 2022 from $121.6 million in 2021. The increase in total revenue was the result of increases in both energy industrial and thermal barrier revenue.



Energy industrial revenue increased by $9.8 million, or 9%, to $124.8 million in
2022 from $115.0 million in 2021. This increase was driven by a more favorable
mix of product shipments in the global petrochemical and refinery markets,
particularly in Asia and North America, project-based demand in the subsea
market, offset, in part, by a decrease in maintenance-based demand in the global
petrochemical and refinery markets in Europe.

Energy industrial revenue for the years ended December 31, 2022 and 2021,
included $39.3 million and $34.1 million in sales to Distribution International,
Inc., respectively. The average selling price per square foot of our products
increased by $0.50, or 15%, to $3.83 per square foot for the year ended December
31, 2022, from $3.33 per square foot for the year ended December 31, 2021. This
increase in average selling price principally reflected the impact of a change
in the mix of products sold. This increase in average selling price had the
effect of increasing product revenue by approximately $16.3 million for the year
ended December 31, 2022.

In volume terms, product shipments decreased by 2.0 million square feet, or 6%,
to 32.6 million square feet of aerogel products for the year ended December 31,
2022, as compared to 34.6 million square feet in the year ended December 31,
2021. The decrease in product volume had the effect of decreasing product
revenue by approximately $6.6 million for the year ended December 31, 2022.

Thermal barrier revenue was $55.6 million for the year ended December 31, 2022,
as compared to $6.7 million for the year ended December 31, 2021. Thermal
barrier revenue for the year ended December 31, 2022 included $45.8 million to a
major U.S. automotive OEM and $5.1 million to a major Asian automotive OEM.

Energy industrial revenue as a percentage of total revenue was 69% and 95% of
total revenue in 2022 and in 2021, respectively. Thermal barrier revenue was 31%
and 5% of total revenue in 2022 and in 2021, respectively.

We project revenue growth during 2023 due to a continued post-COVID recovery in
the energy industrial market, accelerating demand in the electric vehicle market
and continued market share gains in the sustainable insulation materials market.

Cost of Revenue

                                                           Year Ended December 31,
                                            2022                                             2021                                  Change
                                      % of Related       % of Total                    % of Related       % of Total
                         Amount          Revenue          Revenue         Amount          Revenue          Revenue         Amount       Percentage
                                                                             ($ in thousands)
Cost of revenue:
Energy industrial       $ 105,963                85 %             59 %   $ 100,472                87 %             83 %   $  5,491                5 %
Thermal barrier            69,425               125 %             38 %      11,213                NM                9 %     58,212               NM
Total cost of revenue   $ 175,388                97 %             97 %   $ 111,685                92 %             92 %   $ 63,703               57 %




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Total cost of revenue increased $63.7 million, or 57%, to $175.4 million in 2022 from $111.7 million in 2021. The increase in total cost of revenue was the result of an increases in thermal barrier and energy industrial cost of revenue.



Energy industrial cost of revenue increased $5.5 million, or 5%, to $106.0
million from $100.5 million in the comparable period in 2021. The $5.5 million
increase was the result of a $16.4 million increase in material costs, offset by
a $10.9 million decrease in manufacturing and other operating costs from the
comparable period in 2021.

Thermal barrier cost of revenue increased $58.2 million to $69.4 million as
compared to $11.2 million in the comparable period in 2021. The $58.2 million
increase was the result of a $17.0 million increase in material costs and a
$41.2 million increase in manufacturing costs. The increase in material costs
was the result of the increase in revenue volume from the comparable period in
2021. The increase in manufacturing was driven by increases in compensation and
related costs of $11.7 million and other manufacturing and operating costs of
$29.5 million.

During 2023, we expect that cost of revenue will increase in absolute dollars
due to projected volume growth and a planned increase in staffing and spending
levels to meet our expected revenue growth, but decrease as a percentage of
revenue due to projected increases in average selling prices, improved
manufacturing and fabrication yields and a favorable mix of products sold.

Gross Profit

                                       Year Ended December 31,
                                 2022                            2021                          Change
                                     Percentage                      Percentage
                       Amount        of Revenue        Amount        of Revenue       Amount        Percentage
                                                           ($ in thousands)
Gross profit:
Energy industrial     $  18,844               15 %    $  14,486               13 %   $   4,358                30 %
Thermal barrier         (13,868 )            (25 )%      (4,549 )             NM        (9,319 )              NM
Total gross (loss)
profit                $   4,976                3 %    $   9,937                8 %   $  (4,961 )             (50 )%




Gross profit decreased $4.9 million, or 50%, to $5.0 million in 2022 from $9.9
million in 2021. The decrease in gross profit was the result the $63.7 million
increase in total cost of revenue, partially offset by the $58.7 million
increase in total revenue. The increase in total cost of revenue was principally
driven by the increase in overhead costs and additional resources to support our
expected higher run-rate revenue in future periods for both our energy
industrial and thermal barrier products.

During 2023, we expect gross profit to increase in both in absolute dollars and
as a percentage of total revenue due principally to the projected increase in
total revenue combined with a projected reduction in material costs as a
percentage of total revenue, offset, in part, by a projected increase in
manufacturing expense as a percentage of revenue.

Research and Development Expenses



                                             Year Ended December 31,                               Change
                                       2022                           2021
                                          Percentage                     Percentage
                             Amount       of Revenue        Amount       of Revenue       Amount       Percentage
                                                               ($ in thousands)
Research and development
expenses                    $ 16,930                 9 %   $ 11,441                 9 %   $ 5,489               48 %




Research and development expenses increased by $5.5 million, or 48%, to $16.9
million in 2022 from $11.4 million in 2021. The $5.5 million increase was the
result of increases in compensation and related costs of $2.5 million,
professional fees and materials costs of $1.1 million, equipment and lease costs
of $0.9 million, depreciation expenses of $0.7 million and other research and
development expenses of $0.3 million.

Research and development expenses as a percentage of total revenue was 9% during the years ended December 31, 2022 and 2021.



We expect that our research and development expenses will increase in absolute
dollars and remain consistent as a percentage of revenue during 2023 in line
with our decision to increase resources dedicated to the development of new
aerogel products and technologies, including our carbon aerogel battery
materials.

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In the long-term, we expect to continue to increase investment in research and
development in our efforts to enhance and expand our Aerogel Technology
Platform. However, we expect that research and development expenses will decline
as a percentage of total revenue in the long-term due to projected growth in
product revenue.

Sales and Marketing Expenses

                                               Year Ended December 31,                              Change
                                         2022                          2021
                                             Percentage                    Percentage
                                Amount       of Revenue       Amount       of Revenue       Amount       Percentage
                                                                 ($ in thousands)
Sales and marketing expenses   $ 28,792               16 %   $ 16,581               14 %   $ 12,211               74 %




Sales and marketing expenses increased by $12.2 million, or 74%, to $28.8
million in 2022 from $16.6 million in 2021. The increase was the result of
increases in compensation and related costs of $7.2 million, operating material
and supplies costs of $1.8 million, travel related costs of $1.6 million,
marketing costs of $0.8 million and professional fees and other expenses of $0.8
million.

Sales and marketing expenses as a percentage of total revenue increased to 16% in 2022 from 14% in 2021 primarily due to elevated levels of compensation associated with an increase in sales and marketing personnel.

We expect sales and marketing expenses to increase in absolute dollars and decrease as a percentage of revenue during 2023, principally due to planned increases in staffing in support of our PyroThin thermal barrier business and a planned increase in marketing expense during the year.



In the long-term, we expect that sales and marketing expenses will continue to
increase in absolute dollars as we continue to increase sales personnel and
marketing efforts in support of expected growth in demand for our products, and
we expect that sales and marketing expenses will decrease as a percentage of
total revenue in the long-term due to projected growth in product revenue.

General and Administrative Expenses



                                            Year Ended December 31,                              Change
                                      2022                          2021
                                          Percentage                    Percentage
                             Amount       of Revenue       Amount       of Revenue       Amount       Percentage
                                                              ($ in thousands)
General and
administrative expenses     $ 38,499               21 %   $ 22,514               19 %   $ 15,985               71 %




General and administrative expenses increased by $16.0 million, or 71%, to $38.5
million in 2022 from $22.5 million in 2021. The $16.0 million increase was the
result of increases in compensation and related costs of $8.8 million,
professional fees and other costs of $3.3 million, leasing and facility costs of
$1.5 million, information technology related costs of $1.3 million and legal
related costs of $1.1 million.

General and administrative expenses as a percentage of total revenue increased to 21% in 2022 from 19% in 2021 primarily due to increased expenditures associated with the growth in our human resource, finance, information technology and general management organizations in preparation for the anticipated growth in our business.

We expect general and administrative expenses to increase in both absolute dollars and as a percentage of revenue during 2023.



We also expect to increase general and administrative personnel and expense
levels in the long term to support the anticipated growth of our business and
continued expansion of our manufacturing operations. We also expect that the
patent enforcement actions, described in more detail under "Legal Proceedings"
in part I, Item 3, of this Annual Report on Form 10-K, could result in
significant additional legal expense over the medium-to-long term. However, in
the longer term, we expect that general and administrative expenses will
decrease as a percentage of revenue due to projected growth in product revenue.

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Interest Expense, net
                                            Year Ended December 31,                               Change
                                      2022                           2021
                                          Percentage                     Percentage
                             Amount       of Revenue        Amount       of Revenue        Amount      Percentage
                                                              ($ in thousands)

Interest expense:
Interest expense, related
party                       $ (5,110 )             (3 )%   $      -                0 %    $ (5,110 )           NM
Interest income
(expense), net                 1,617                1 %        (229 )             (0 )%      1,846             NM
Total interest expense,
net                         $ (3,493 )             (2 )%   $   (229 )             (0 )%   $ (3,264 )           NM




Interest expense, net increased by $3.3 million to $3.5 million in 2022 from
$0.2 million in 2021. The $3.3 million increase was the result of interest
relating to our Convertible Note. Interest expense, related party $5.1 million
increase was the result of interest relating to our Convertible Note. Interest
income, net increased by $1.8 million to $1.6 million in 2022 from $(0.2)
million in 2021 due to higher cash balances throughout 2022, in addition to more
favorable interest rates.

Year ended December 31, 2021 compared to year ended December 31, 2020



The following tables set forth our results of operations for the periods
presented:

                                                 Year Ended December 31,                         Year Ended December 31,
                                     2021          2020        $ Change       % Change          2021                 2020
                                                                                                     (Percentage of
                                             ($ in thousands)                                        total revenue)
Revenue:
Product                            $ 121,112     $  99,834     $  21,278             21 %            100 %               100 %
Research services                        510           439            71             16 %              0 %                 0 %
Total revenue                        121,622       100,273        21,349             21 %            100 %               100 %
Cost of revenue:
Product                              111,552        85,545        26,007             30 %             92 %                85 %
Research services                        133           134            (1 )           (1 )%             0 %                 0 %
Gross profit                           9,937        14,594        (4,657 )          (32 )%             8 %                15 %
Operating expenses
Research and development              11,441         8,729         2,712             31 %              9 %                 9 %
Sales and marketing                   16,581        11,753         4,828             41 %             14 %                12 %
General and administrative            22,514        15,681         6,833             44 %             19 %                16 %
Total operating expenses              50,536        36,163        14,373             40 %             42 %                36 %
Loss from operations                 (40,599 )     (21,569 )     (19,030 )           88 %            (33 )%              (22 )%
Interest expense, net                   (229 )        (240 )          11             (5 )%            (0 )%               (0 )%
Gain on extinguishment of debt         3,734             -         3,734            100 %              3 %                 -
Total other income (expense)           3,505          (240 )       3,745          1,560 %              3 %                (0 )%
Net loss                           $ (37,094 )   $ (21,809 )   $ (15,285 )           70 %            (30 )%              (22 )%




Revenue

                                             Year Ended December 31,                               Change
                                       2021                           2020
                                           Percentage                     Percentage
                             Amount        of Revenue       Amount        of Revenue       Amount       Percentage
                                                               ($ in thousands)
Revenue:
Product                     $ 121,112              100 %   $  99,834              100 %   $ 21,278               21 %
Research services                 510                0 %         439                0 %         71               16 %
Total revenue               $ 121,622              100 %   $ 100,273              100 %   $ 21,349               21 %




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The following chart sets forth product shipments in square feet associated with
recognized revenue, including revenue recognized over time utilizing the input
method, for the periods presented:

                                                 Year Ended
                                                December 31,                    Change
                                             2021         2020         Amount       Percentage
Product shipments in square feet (in
thousands)                                   34,557        28,635        5,922                21 %



Total revenue increased $21.3 million, or 21%, to $121.6 million in 2021 from $100.3 million in 2020. The increase in total revenue was the result of increases in both product revenue and research services revenue.



Product revenue increased by $21.3 million, or 21%, to $121.1 million in 2021
from $99.8 million in 2020. This increase was driven by the increase in square
feet shipped in our energy industrial business, particularly in North America,
due to the beginning stages of a post-COVID recovery, initial revenues in the
electric vehicle market, and continued market share gains in the sustainable
insulation materials market.

Product revenue for the year ended December 31, 2021, included $34.1 million in
sales to Distribution International, Inc. Product revenue for the year ended
December 31, 2020, included $20.7 million in sales to Distribution
International, Inc. and $15.3 million in sales to SPCC Joint Venture. The
average selling price per square foot of our products decreased by $0.03, or 1%,
to $3.46 per square foot for the year ended December 31, 2021, from $3.49 per
square foot for the year ended December 31, 2020. This decrease in average
selling price principally reflected the impact of a change in the mix of
products sold. This decrease in average selling price had the effect of
decreasing product revenue by approximately $0.9 million for the year ended
December 31, 2021.

In volume terms, product shipments increased by 6.4 million square feet, or 22%,
to 35.0 million square feet of aerogel products for the year ended December 31,
2021, as compared to 28.6 million square feet in the year ended December 31,
2020. The increase in product volume had the effect of increasing product
revenue by approximately $22.1 million for the year ended December 31, 2021.

Research services revenue increased by $0.1 million, or 16%, to $0.5 million in 2021 from $0.4 million in 2020. We have decided to cease efforts to secure additional research contracts and to wind down existing contract research activities.



Product revenue as a percentage of total revenue was greater than 99% of total
revenue in 2021 and in 2020. Research services revenue was less than 1% of total
revenue in 2021 and in 2020.

Cost of Revenue

                                                         Year Ended December 31,                                                Change
                                           2021                                            2020
                                       Percentage       Percentage                    Percentage       Percentage
                                       of Related        of Total                     of Related        of Total
                         Amount         Revenue          Revenue         Amount        Revenue          Revenue         Amount       Percentage
                                                                            ($ in thousands)
Cost of revenue:
Product                 $ 111,552               92 %             92 %   $ 85,545               86 %             85 %   $ 26,007               30 %
Research services             133               26 %              0 %        134               31 %              0 %         (1 )             (1 )%
Total cost of revenue   $ 111,685               92 %             92 %   $ 85,679               85 %             85 %   $ 26,006               30 %



Total cost of revenue increased $26.0 million, or 30%, to $111.7 million in 2021
from $85.7 million in 2020. The increase in total cost of revenue was the result
of an increase in product cost of revenue.

Product cost of revenue increased $26.1 million, or 30%, to $111.6 million in
2021 from $85.5 million in 2020. The $26.1 million increase was the result of a
$14.5 million increase in material costs and an $11.6 million increase in
manufacturing expense. The increase in material costs was driven principally by
the 6.4 million square feet, or 22%, increase in product shipments, an increase
in manufacturing costs and an unfavorable mix of products sold. The increase in
manufacturing expense was primarily driven by increases in compensation and
related costs of $8.0 million, operating supplies of $2.1 million, maintenance
costs of $0.6 million, waste disposal costs of $0.5 million, and operating costs
of $0.4 million.

Product cost of revenue as a percentage of product revenue increased to 92% in
2021 from 86% in 2020. This increase was the result of the increase in both
material costs and manufacturing expense as a percentage of revenue during the
year ended December 31, 2021.

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Gross Profit

                              Year Ended December 31,                             Change
                        2021                         2020
                           Percentage                    Percentage
               Amount      of Revenue       Amount       of Revenue       Amount       Percentage
                                                ($ in thousands)
Gross profit   $ 9,937               8 %   $ 14,594               15 %   $ (4,657 )            (32 )%



Gross profit decreased $4.7 million, or 32%, to $9.9 million in 2021 from $14.6
million in 2020. The decrease in gross profit was the result the $26.0 million
increase in total cost of revenue, partially offset by the $21.3 million
increase in total revenue. The increase in total cost of revenue was principally
driven by the 6.4 million square feet, or 22%, increase in product shipments.
The increase in total revenue was principally the result of the 6.4 million
square feet, or 22%, increase in product shipments.

Gross profit as a percentage of total revenue decreased to 8% in 2021 from 15%
in 2020. This decrease was principally the result of the $11.6 million increase
in manufacturing costs and the unfavorable mix of products sold.

Research and Development Expenses



                                            Year Ended December 31,                               Change
                                       2021                          2020
                                          Percentage                    Percentage
                             Amount       of Revenue       Amount       of Revenue       Amount       Percentage
                                                              ($ in thousands)
Research and development
expenses                    $ 11,441                 9 %   $ 8,729                 9 %   $ 2,712               31 %



Research and development expenses increased by $2.7 million, or 31%, to $11.4
million in 2021 from $8.7 million in 2020. The $2.7 million increase was the
result of increases in compensation and related costs of $1.6 million,
professional fees of $0.6 million and other research and development expenses of
$0.5 million.

Research and development expenses as a percentage of total revenue was 9% during the years ended December 31, 2021 and 2020.

Sales and Marketing Expenses



                                               Year Ended December 31,                              Change
                                         2021                          2020
                                             Percentage                    Percentage
                                Amount       of Revenue       Amount       of Revenue      Amount       Percentage
                                                                 ($ in thousands)
Sales and marketing expenses   $ 16,581               14 %   $ 11,753               12 %   $ 4,828               41 %



Sales and marketing expenses increased by $4.8 million, or 41%, to $16.6 million
in 2021 from $11.8 million in 2020. The increase was the result of increases in
compensation and related costs of $4.6 million and other expenses of $0.7
million, partially offset by a decrease in sales consultant expenditures of $0.5
million.

Sales and marketing expenses as a percentage of total revenue increased to 14% in 2021 from 12% in 2020, primarily due to elevated levels of compensation associated with an increase in sales and marketing personnel.



We expect sales and marketing expenses to increase in both absolute dollars and
as a percentage of revenue during 2022, principally due to planned increases in
staffing in support of our PyroThin thermal barrier business and a planned
increase in marketing expense during the year.

General and Administrative Expenses



                                            Year Ended December 31,                              Change
                                      2021                          2020
                                          Percentage                    Percentage
                             Amount       of Revenue       Amount       of Revenue      Amount       Percentage
                                                              ($ in thousands)
General and
administrative expenses     $ 22,514               19 %   $ 15,681               16 %   $ 6,833               44 %




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General and administrative expenses increased by $6.8 million, or 44%, to $22.5
million in 2021 from $15.7 million in 2020. The $6.8 million increase was the
result of increases in compensation and related costs of $2.8 million,
professional fees of $2.4 million, and other general and administrative costs of
$2.2 million, partially offset by a decrease in the provision for bad debt of
$0.6 million.

General and administrative expenses as a percentage of total revenue increased to 19% in 2021 from 16% in 2020 primarily due to increased expenditures associated with the growth in our human resource, finance, information technology and general management organizations in preparation for the anticipated growth in our business.



Interest Expense, net

                                            Year Ended December 31,                                Change
                                      2021                           2020
                                          Percentage                     Percentage
                             Amount       of Revenue        Amount       of Revenue        Amount       Percentage
                                                               ($ in thousands)

Interest expense, net       $   (229 )             (0 )%   $   (240 )             (0 )%   $     11               (5 )%


Interest expense, net, consisting primarily of fees and interest expense associated with outstanding balances under our revolving credit agreement, was $0.2 million in 2021 and 2020.

Liquidity and Capital Resources

Overview



We have experienced significant losses and invested substantial resources since
our inception to develop, commercialize and protect our aerogel technology and
to build a manufacturing infrastructure capable of supplying aerogel products at
the volumes and costs required by our customers. These investments have included
research and development and other operating expenses, capital expenditures, and
investment in working capital balances.

Our long-term financial projections anticipate revenue growth, increasing levels
of gross profit, and improved cash flows from operations. To meet expected
growth in demand for our aerogel products in the electric vehicle market, we are
planning to expand our aerogel blanket capacity by constructing a second
manufacturing plant in Bulloch County, Georgia, construction of which is
currently in progress. We had initially expected to build the second plant in
two phases and had previously estimated a cost of approximately $575.0 million
for the first phase and approximately $125.0 million for the second phase.
However, we have refined our approach to revenue capacity planning and
corresponding project milestones and are no longer taking a phased approach to
the project. Instead, we are focused on achieving a target revenue capacity
increase in connection with the second aerogel facility of over $1.2 billion,
which was the originally contemplated target revenue capacity of the first and
second phases. Additionally, as a result of cost inflation and supply chain
challenges for this project, we reviewed the plans, schedule and scope of the
project in order to manage these potential cost drivers with the aim of keeping
our capital expenditures on the second plant as close as possible to our prior
estimates while still seeking to achieve our original revenue capacity increases
of over $1.2 billion. As a result of the review of the schedule and scope of the
project, we are estimating a cost of approximately $710.0 million, which
includes approximately $164.5 million that we have spent through December 31,
2022. Nonetheless, further cost inflation and/or supply chain disruptions, as
well as potential changes in the scope of the facilities, could lead to
increases to our prior estimates. While the currently planned facilities can
accommodate additional equipment in the future to further increase revenue
capacity, this is not currently in scope. We expect to start up the second
aerogel plant in the first-half of 2024.

We are also increasing our investment in the research and development of
next-generation aerogel products and technologies. During 2023, we will continue
to develop aerogel products and technologies for the electric vehicle market. We
believe the commercial potential for our technology in the electric vehicle
market is significant. To meet the anticipated revenue growth and take advantage
of this market opportunity, we are adding personnel, incurring additional
operating expenses, and planning to construct a carbon aerogel battery materials
facility, among other items.

We have taken several actions during 2022 to increase the financial resources
available to support current operating requirements and capital expenditures.
During the year ended December 31, 2022, we sold 5,241,400 shares of our common
stock through the 2022 ATM offering program and received net proceeds of $72.7
million. On November 29, 2022, we completed an underwritten public offering of
29,052,631 shares of our common stock at a public offering price of $9.50 per
share. We received net proceeds of $267.5 million after deducting underwriting
discounts and commissions of $8.1 million and offering expenses of approximately
$0.5 million.

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In February 2022, we sold and issued to an affiliate of Koch $100.0 million in
aggregate principal amount of our Convertible Senior PIK Toggle Notes. In
addition, in March 2022, pursuant to a securities purchase agreement dated
February 15, 2022, we sold to an affiliate of Koch 1,791,986 shares of our
common stock, at a price of $27.902 per share, for net proceeds of $49.9 million
after deducting fees and offering expenses of $0.1 million.

We believe that our December 31, 2022 cash and cash equivalents balance of
$281.3 million will be sufficient to support current operating requirements,
current research and development activities and the initial capital expenditures
required to support the evolving commercial opportunities in the electric
vehicle market and other strategic business opportunities.

However, we plan to supplement our cash balance and available credit with equity
financings, debt financings, customer prepayments or technology licensing fees
to provide the additional capital necessary to purchase the capital equipment,
construct the new facilities and complete the aerogel capacity expansions
required to support our evolving commercial opportunities and strategic business
initiatives. We also intend to enter into a new revolving credit facility. We
believe that the consummation of equity financings could potentially result in
an ownership change under Section 382 of the Internal Revenue Code. Such an
ownership change would lead to the use of our net operating loss carryforwards
being restricted. Our inability to use a substantial portion of our net
operating loss carryforwards would result in a higher effective tax rate and
adversely affect our financial condition and results of operations.

Primary Sources of Liquidity



Our principal sources of liquidity are currently our cash and cash equivalents.
Cash and cash equivalents consist primarily of cash, money market accounts, and
sweep accounts on deposit with banks. As of December 31, 2022, we had $281.3
million of cash and cash equivalents.

On June 29, 2021, we sold 3,462,124 shares to an affiliate of Koch, in a private
placement of our common stock and received net proceeds of $73.5 million after
deducting fees and offering expenses of $1.5 million. On June 29, 2021, we sold
3,462,124 shares to an affiliate of Koch, in a private placement of our common
stock and received net proceeds of $73.5 million after deducting fees and
offering expenses of $1.5 million.

In February 2022, we sold and issued to an affiliate of Koch $100.0 million in
aggregate principal amount of our Convertible Senior PIK Toggle Notes. In
addition, in March 2022, pursuant to a securities purchase agreement dated
February 15, 2022, we sold to an affiliate of Koch 1,791,986 shares of our
common stock, at a price of $27.902 per share, for net proceeds of $49.9 million
after deducting fees and offering expenses of $0.1 million.

On March 16, 2022, we entered into a sales agreement for an ATM offering program
with Cowen and Company, LLC and Piper Sandler & Co., as our sales agents. During
the year ended December 31, 2022, we sold 5,241,400 shares of our common stock
through the 2022 ATM offering program and received net proceeds of $72.7
million.

On November 28, 2022, our wholly owned subsidiary, Aspen Aerogels Georgia, LLC,
entered into a $100.0 million loan agreement with GM for which the proceeds to
be used for the construction and operation of our planned aerogel manufacturing
facility in Bulloch County, Georgia. The agreement allows for borrowings
beginning in 2023.

On November 29, 2022, we completed an underwritten public offering of 29,052,631
shares of our common stock at a public offering price of $9.50 per share. We
received net proceeds of $267.5 million after deducting underwriting discounts
and commissions of $8.1 million and offering expenses of approximately $0.5
million.

See "Risk Factors - Risks Related to Our Business and Strategy - We will require
significant additional capital to pursue our growth strategy, but we may not be
able to obtain additional financing on acceptable terms or at all" in this
Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2022.

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Analysis of Cash Flow

The following table summarizes our cash flows for the periods indicated:



                                                        Year Ended December 31,
                                                    2022          2021          2020
                                                           ($ in thousands)
Net cash provided by (used in):
Operating activities                             $  (94,399 )   $ (18,628 )   $ (9,924 )
Investing activities                               (177,974 )     (13,778 )     (3,416 )
Financing activities                                478,370        92,474       26,203
Net increase in cash                                205,997        60,068       12,863

Cash and cash equivalents, beginning of period 76,564 16,496

3,633

Cash and cash equivalents, end of period $ 282,561 $ 76,564

  $ 16,496


Operating Activities

During 2022, we used $94.4 million in net cash in operating activities, as
compared to the use of $18.6 million in net cash during 2021, an increase in the
use of cash of $75.8 million. This increase in the use of cash was the result of
the increase in net loss adjusted for non-cash items of $31.6 million, and a
decrease in cash provided by changes in working capital of $44.2 million.

During 2021, we used $18.6 million in net cash in operating activities, as
compared to the use of $9.9 million in net cash during 2020, an increase in the
use of cash of $8.7 million. This increase in the use of cash was the result of
the increase in net loss adjusted for non-cash items of $19.4 million, and a
decrease in cash provided by changes in working capital of $10.8 million.

Investing Activities



Net cash used in investing activities is for capital expenditures for machinery
and equipment principally to improve the throughput, efficiency and capacity of
our East Providence facility and engineering designs for the planned aerogel
manufacturing facility in Bulloch County, Georgia. Net cash used in investing
activities for 2022 and 2021 totaled $178.0 million and $13.8 million,
respectively.

Financing Activities



Net cash provided by financing activities in 2022 totaled $478.4 million and
consisted of $267.5 million of net proceeds from our underwritten public
offering, $99.8 million in net proceeds from the issuance of convertible debt,
$72.7 million of net proceeds from our 2022 ATM offering program, net proceeds
from the private placement of common stock of $49.9 million, and proceeds from
employee stock option exercises of $0.6 million, offset, in part, by $9.7
million for payments of a prepayment liability and $2.4 million for payments for
employee tax withholdings associated with the vesting of restricted stock units.

Net cash provided by financing activities in 2021 totaled $92.5 million and
consisted of $19.4 million of net proceeds from an ATM offering program with B.
Riley Securities, net proceeds from the private placement of common stock of
$73.5 million, and proceeds from employee stock option exercises of $2.3
million, offset, in part, by $2.7 million in cash used for payments for employee
tax withholdings associated with the vesting of restricted stock units.

Capital Spending and Future Capital Requirements



We have made capital expenditures primarily to develop and expand our
manufacturing capacity. Our capital expenditures totaled $178.0 million in 2022,
$13.8 million in 2021 and $3.4 million in 2020. As of December 31, 2022, we had
capital commitments of approximately $192.7 million, which included commitments
for which we have entered into contracts as well as commitments authorized by
our Board of Directors. These commitments relate to the enhancement of our
existing production lines in our East Providence facility and the planned
aerogel manufacturing facility in Bulloch County, Georgia and consist primarily
of costs for equipment and construction.

We had initially expected to build the second plant in two phases and had
previously estimated a cost of approximately $575.0 million for the first phase
and approximately $125.0 million for the second phase. However, we have refined
our approach to revenue capacity planning and corresponding project milestones
and are no longer taking a phased approach to the project. Instead, we are
focused on achieving a target revenue capacity increase in connection with the
second aerogel facility of over $1.2 billion, which was the originally
contemplated target revenue capacity of the first and second phases.
Additionally, as a result of cost inflation and supply chain challenges for this
project, we reviewed the plans, schedule and scope of the project in order to
manage these potential cost

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drivers with the aim of keeping our capital expenditures on the second plant as
close as possible to our prior estimates while still seeking to achieve our
original revenue capacity increases of ovre $1.2 billion. As a result of the
review of the schedule and scope of the project, we are estimating a cost of
approximately $710.0 million, which includes approximately $164.5 million that
we have spent through December 31, 2022.

We intend to fund capital expenditures related to the expansion of capacity of
our existing manufacturing facility with our existing cash balance and
anticipated cash flows from operations. We plan to fund the capital expenditures
required to establish an automated thermal barrier fabrication operation, build
a carbon aerogel battery materials facility, and to construct a new aerogel
blanket manufacturing facility with additional equity financings, debt
financings, customer prepayments, technology licensing fees or credit
facilities.

Contractual Obligations and Commitments

Operating Leases



We lease office space for our corporate offices in Northborough, Massachusetts,
which expires in 2031. We also lease additional facilities in East Providence,
Rhode Island; Marlborough, Massachusetts; Monterrey, Mexico; and Pawtucket,
Rhode Island for research, administrative, fabrication, and warehousing purposes
under leases expiring between October 31, 2023 and April 30, 2034. See "Item 2 -
Properties." We also lease vehicles and equipment under non-cancelable operating
leases that expire at various dates.

Thermal Barrier Contract



We are party to production contracts with General Motors, to supply fabricated,
multi-part thermal barriers, or Barriers, for use in the battery system of its
next-generation electric vehicles, or Contracts. Pursuant to the Contracts, we
are obligated to supply Barriers at fixed annual prices and at volumes to be
specified by the OEM up to a daily maximum quantity through the respective terms
of the agreements, which expire at various times from 2026 through 2034. While
the OEM has agreed to purchase its requirement for Barriers for locations to be
designated from time to time by the OEM, it has no obligation to purchase any
minimum quantity of Barriers under the Contracts. In addition, the OEM may
terminate the Contracts any time and for any or no reason. All other terms of
the Contracts are generally consistent with the OEM's standard purchase terms,
including quality and warranty provisions customary in the automotive industry.

Revolving Credit Facility

On March 12, 2021, we entered into an Amended and Restated Loan and Security Agreement, or the SVB Loan Agreement, with Silicon Valley Bank, or SVB.



On November 28, 2022, we terminated the SVB Loan Agreement with Silicon Valley
Bank. As of the date of termination, we had no amounts due or owed to SVB under
the SVB Loan Agreement for any principal, interest, or other amounts, other than
approximately $1.2 million in letters of credit that were issued under the SVB
Loan Agreement and will be cash collateralized in connection with the
termination of the SVB Loan Agreement.

Convertible Note - Related Party



On February 18, 2022, we sold and issued to an affiliate of Koch $100.0 million
in aggregate principal amount of Notes. The Notes bear interest at the rate of
SOFR plus 5.50% per annum if interest is paid in cash, or, if interest is paid
in kind (through an increase in the principal amount of the outstanding Notes or
through the issuance of additional Notes), at SOFR plus 6.50% per annum. Under
the terms of the investment, SOFR has a floor of 1% and a cap of 3%. We can
elect to make any interest payment through Cash Interest, PIK Interest or any
combination thereof. Interest on the Notes is payable semi-annually in arrears
on June 30 and December 30, commencing on June 30, 2022. It is expected that the
Notes will mature on February 18, 2027, subject to earlier conversion,
redemption or repurchase.

The Notes are convertible at the option of the holder at any time until the
business day prior to the maturity date, including in connection with a
redemption by us. On November 28, 2022, in connection with the Loan Agreement,
we entered into an amendment to the Notes, or the Convertible Note Amendment, to
reduce the initial Conversion Price (as defined in the Notes) by $5.00 per share
from $34.936625 per share to $29.936625 per share, by increasing the initial
Conversion Rate (as defined in the Notes) from 28.623257 shares per $1,000 of
Capitalized Principal Amount (as defined in the Notes) to 33.400100 shares per
$1,000 of Capitalized Principal Amount under the Notes, subject to customary
anti-dilution and other adjustments (as described in the Indenture, which
governs the Notes). If the closing price per share of our common stock on the
New York Stock Exchange is at least 130% of the Conversion Price for 20
consecutive trading days, we may elect to convert the principal and accrued
interest owing under the Notes, plus a make-whole amount equal to the sum of the
present values of the remaining interest payments that would have otherwise been

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payable from the date of such conversion, redemption or repurchase, as applicable, through maturity, or the Make-Whole Amount, into our common stock at the Conversion Price.



The Notes are redeemable by us at any time and from time to time in the event
that the volume weighted average price of our common stock for the 10 trading
days immediately preceding the date on which we provide the redemption notice
has been at least 130% of the Conversion Price then in effect, at a redemption
price of 100% of the principal amount of such Notes, plus accrued and unpaid
interest to, but excluding the redemption date, plus the Make-Whole Amount.

Recently Issued Accounting Standards



From time to time, new accounting pronouncements are issued by the Financial
Accounting Standards Board, or FASB, or other standard setting bodies. Recently
issued standards typically do not require adoption until a future effective
date. Prior to their effective date, the Company evaluates the pronouncements to
determine the potential effects of adoption to its consolidated financial
statements.

Standards Implemented Since December 31, 2021



During the year ended December 31, 2022, the Company adopted Accounting
Standards Update (ASU) 2020-06, Debt-Debt with Conversion and Other Options
(Topic 470) and Derivatives and Hedging-Contracts in Entity's Own Equity (Topic
815): Accounting for Convertible Instruments and Contracts in an Entity's Own
Equity. This ASU simplifies the accounting for convertible instruments by
eliminating the cash conversion and beneficial conversion feature models used to
separately account for embedded conversion features as a component of equity.
Instead, the entity will account for the convertible debt or convertible
preferred stock securities as a single unit of account, unless the conversion
feature requires bifurcation and recognition as derivatives. Additionally, the
guidance requires entities to use the if-converted method for all convertible
instruments in the diluted earnings per share calculation and include the effect
of potential share settlement for instruments that may be settled in cash or
shares. The Company has applied the provisions of the standards to the embedded
derivative features of its convertible note - related party that was issued on
February 18, 2022 and determined the fair value to be immaterial at issuance and
as of December 31, 2022.

The Company also adopted Accounting Standards Update (ASU) 2018-17,
Consolidation (Topic 810): Targeted Improvements to Related Party Guidance for
Variable Interest Entities. This ASU amends the guidance for determining whether
a decision-making fee is a variable interest and requires organizations to
consider indirect interests held through related parties under common control on
a proportional basis rather than as the equivalent of a direct interest in its
entirety. The Company adopted ASU 2018-17 during the year ended December 31,
2022, and the adoption of this guidance did not have a material impact on the
Company's consolidated balance sheet, consolidated statements of operations or
consolidated statements of cash flows.

In December 2021, the FASB issued ASU 2021-10, Government Assistance Topic 832,
which provides increased transparency by requiring business entities to disclose
information about certain types of government assistance received. Public
entities are required to apply the new standard for annual reporting periods
beginning after December 15, 2021 and interim periods within those fiscal
periods. This standard is to be applied prospectively. Early adoption is
permitted as of the beginning of an interim or annual period. The Company
believes the adoption of this guidance did not have a material impact on the
Company's consolidated balance sheet, consolidated statements of operations or
consolidated statements of cash flows.

Standards to be Implemented



The Company believes that the impact of recently issued accounting standards
that are not yet effective will not have a material impact on its consolidated
financial statements.

Critical Accounting Policies and Estimates



Our financial statements are prepared in accordance with accounting principles
generally accepted in the United States of America. The preparation of our
financial statements and related disclosures requires us to make estimates,
assumptions and judgments that affect the reported amount of assets,
liabilities, revenue, costs and expenses and related disclosures. We believe
that the estimates, assumptions and judgments involved in these accounting
policies have the greatest potential impact on our financial statements; and
therefore, we consider these to be our critical accounting policies.
Accordingly, we evaluate our estimates and assumptions on an ongoing basis. Our
actual results may differ from these estimates under different assumptions and
conditions. See note 2 to our consolidated financial statements included
elsewhere in this Annual Report on Form 10-K for information about these
critical accounting policies, as well as a description of our other significant
accounting policies.

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Revenue Recognition



We recognize revenue from the sale of our energy industrial aerogel products and
thermal barriers. Revenue is recognized upon the satisfaction of contractual
performance obligations. In general, our customary shipping terms are FOB
shipping point and ex works. Products are typically delivered without
significant post-sale obligations to customers other than standard warranty
obligations for product defects. We provide warranties for our products and
record the estimated cost within cost of sales in the period that the revenue is
recorded. Our standard warranty period extends one to two years from the date of
shipment, depending on the type of product purchased. Our warranties provide
that our products will be free from defects in material and workmanship, and
will, under normal use, conform to the specifications for the product.

We recorded warranty expense of $0.2 million during the year ended December 31,
2022. We recorded warranty expense of less than $0.1 million during the year
ended December 31, 2021. We did not record any warranty expense during the year
ended December 31, 2020. As of December 31, 2022, we had satisfied all
outstanding warranty claims.

Stock-based Compensation



We maintain an equity incentive plan pursuant to which our board of directors
may grant qualified and nonqualified stock options, restricted stock, restricted
stock units and other stock-based awards to board members, officers, key
employees and others who provide or have provided service to us.

We measure the costs associated with stock-based awards based on their estimated
fair value at date of grant. We recognize the cost of stock-based awards as
service, performance or market conditions are met. Future expense amounts for
any particular quarterly or annual period could be affected by changes in our
assumptions or changes in market conditions.

Stock Options



We use the Black-Scholes option-pricing model to estimate the fair value of
stock option awards. The determination of the estimated fair value of stock
option awards is based on a number of complex and subjective assumptions. These
assumptions include the determination of the estimated fair value of the
underlying security, the expected volatility of the underlying security, a
risk-free interest rate, the expected term of the option, and the forfeiture
rate for the award class. The following assumptions were used to estimate the
fair value of the option awards:

                                          Year Ended
                                         December 31,
                                 2022        2021        2020
Weighted-average assumptions:
Expected term (in years)           5.97        5.96        5.81
Expected volatility               61.85 %     52.27 %     49.90 %
Risk free rate                     2.13 %      1.08 %      2.44 %
Expected dividend yield               - %         - %         - %



•
The expected term represents the period that our stock-based awards are expected
to be outstanding and is determined using the simplified method described in ASC
Topic 718, Compensation - Stock Compensation, for all grants. We believe this is
a better representation of the estimated life than our actual limited historical
exercise behavior.


For the years ended December 31, 2022 and 2021, we used our historical
volatility as a basis to estimate expected volatility in the valuation of stock
options. For the year ended December 31, 2020, the expected volatility is
primarily based on the weighted-average volatility of up to 17 companies within
various industries that we believe are similar to our own.

The risk-free interest rate is based on U.S. Treasury zero-coupon issues with a remaining term equal to the expected life assumed at the date of grant.

We use an expected dividend yield of zero, since we do not intend to pay cash dividends on our common stock in the foreseeable future, nor have we paid dividends on our common stock in the past.



For stock options that contain a market condition, we use a Monte-Carlo
Simulation model to estimate the grant date fair value of awards expected to
vest. We based the simulation model on the Black Scholes option-pricing model
and a number of other complex assumptions including (i) whether the vesting
condition would be satisfied within the time-vesting periods, and (ii) the date
the common stock price target would be achieved per the terms of the agreement.

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On December 10, 2020, we modified the vesting conditions of NSOs to purchase
116,279 shares of common stock held by our CEO to extend the time period to
achieve the common stock price target. We accounted for the extension of the
time period as a modification and recognized $1.1 million of incremental stock
compensation expense during the year ended December 31, 2020.

For the restricted stock awards issued to our Chief Executive Officer during the
year ended December 31, 2021 that will vest subject to achievement of certain
volume weighted average common stock price targets over a three-to-five year
period, we used a Monte-Carlo simulation model to estimate the grant date fair
value with respect to 461,616 shares of restricted common stock. The award had
an aggregate date fair value of $6.5 million.

On June 2, 2022, we issued 53,590 shares of restricted common stock, pursuant to
a performance-based restricted stock agreement, to each of certain employees.
The restricted common stock vests in tranches, subject to achievement of certain
time and performance vesting conditions, as defined, over a three-to-five year
period. We used a Monte-Carlo simulation model to estimate the grant date fair
value of the awards. The equity awards had a total aggregate fair value of $4.0
million at the time of grant.

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