Financials Aspen Technology, Inc.

Equities

AZPN

US29109X1063

Software

End-of-day quote Nasdaq Other stock markets 2024-12-06			5-day change	1st Jan Change
251.43 ^USD	+0.60%		+1.14%	+14.21%

Nov. 20	Aspen Technology Forms Special Committee to Assess Emerson's Buyout Proposal	MT
Nov. 14	Aspen Technology Is Chosen to Optimize Renewable Generation for Iceland's Largest Power Producer	CI

Projected Income Statement: Aspen Technology, Inc.

income-statement-evolution-chart ASPEN-TECHNOLOGY-INC

Fiscal Period: June	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026	2027
Net sales ¹	590.2	709.4	734	1,044	1,127	1,191	1,288	1,392
Change	-	20.2%	3.48%	42.25%	7.98%	5.66%	8.08%	8.13%
EBITDA ¹	290	406.8	382.8	400.8	462.7	504	669.8	724.1
Change	-	40.28%	-5.91%	4.7%	15.46%	8.92%	32.89%	8.11%
EBIT ¹	287	404.3	378.9	394.8	456.2	516.8	575	644.1
Change	-	40.85%	-6.26%	4.19%	15.55%	13.28%	11.26%	12.01%
Interest Paid	-	-7.245	-	-	-	-	-	-
Earnings before Tax (EBT) ¹	270.8	384.7	255.1	-180.6	-43.84	49.72	101.2	152.4
Change	-	42.07%	-33.68%	-	-75.72%	-	103.55%	50.56%
Net income ¹	225.7	319.8	233.6	-107.8	-9.771	42.86	79.34	117.8
Change	-	41.69%	-26.96%	-	-90.93%	-	85.09%	48.45%
Announcement Date	8/12/20	8/11/21	8/8/22	8/1/23	8/6/24	-	-	-

¹USD in Million

Estimates

Fiscal Period: June	2020 Q2	2020 Q3	2020 Q4	2021 Q1	2021 Q2	2021 Q3	2021 Q4	2022 Q1	2022 Q2	2022 Q3	2022 Q4	2023 Q1	2023 Q2	2023 Q3	2023 Q4	2024 Q1	2024 Q2	2024 Q3	2024 Q4	2025 Q1	2025 Q2	2025 Q3	2025 Q4	2026 Q1	2026 Q2	2026 Q3	2026 Q4	2027 Q1
Net sales ¹	124.7	132	199.3	115	233.7	162.7	198	136	171.4	187.8	238.9	250.8	242.8	229.9	320.6	249.3	257.2	278.1	342.9	215.9	294.6	298.3	382.6	258.8	307.1	316.9	397.3	250.2
Change	-	5.85%	50.98%	-42.32%	103.28%	-30.38%	21.65%	-31.29%	25.98%	9.57%	27.25%	4.98%	-3.18%	-5.34%	39.48%	-22.25%	3.15%	8.14%	23.3%	-37.04%	36.47%	1.25%	28.28%	-32.37%	18.68%	3.18%	25.4%	-37.02%
EBITDA ¹	51.62	57.88	123.6	43.34	162.9	81.56	119	56.11	92.83	103.1	-	93.96	88.01	68.3	150.5	79.45	90.26	118	175	49.84	128.6	136.9	205.3	65.4	140.8	147.6	220.5	72.8
Change	-	12.13%	113.57%	-64.95%	275.89%	-49.93%	45.94%	-52.86%	65.45%	11.08%	-100%	-	-6.33%	-22.4%	120.36%	-47.21%	13.6%	30.7%	48.39%	-71.53%	158.05%	6.45%	49.96%	-68.14%	115.29%	4.83%	49.39%	-66.98%
EBIT ¹	50.86	55.34	122.9	42.75	162.2	80.92	118.4	55.37	92.18	102.5	128.9	92.57	86.62	66.77	148.9	77.82	88.66	116.3	173.4	48.57	127.2	130	217.4	94.44	131	133.4	210.2	82.75
Change	-	8.8%	122.16%	-65.23%	279.53%	-50.12%	46.27%	-53.22%	66.48%	11.16%	25.84%	-28.2%	-6.43%	-22.91%	122.95%	-47.73%	13.93%	31.19%	49.11%	-71.99%	161.98%	2.21%	67.14%	-56.55%	38.7%	1.81%	57.63%	-60.64%
Charge d'intérêts	-	-	-	-	-	-	-1.606	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Earnings before Tax (EBT) ¹	45.93	50.79	120.7	39.28	156.4	75.81	113.3	46.13	73.91	87.99	47.11	-104.8	-16.63	-81.78	22.64	-51.99	-37.16	-7.559	52.88	-76.75	7.915	22.64	94.55	-13.91	16.22	19.19	77.93	-26.75
Change	-	10.58%	137.65%	-67.46%	298.15%	-51.52%	49.44%	-59.28%	60.21%	19.06%	-46.46%	-	-84.13%	391.73%	-	-	-28.53%	-79.66%	-	-	-	186.03%	317.63%	-	-	18.35%	306.07%	-
Net income ¹	38.28	43.52	97.63	32.71	129.2	62.5	95.44	39.4	61.86	75.12	57.19	-11.24	-66.2	-57.64	27.32	-34.52	-21.5	1.556	44.7	-60.46	7.564	9.95	84.16	-6.984	10.97	11.35	64.53	-21.4
Change	-	13.71%	124.32%	-66.49%	294.83%	-51.61%	52.72%	-58.72%	57.02%	21.43%	-23.88%	-	488.73%	-12.93%	-	-	-37.73%	-	2,772.62%	-	-	31.54%	745.79%	-	-	3.48%	468.7%	-
Announcement Date	1/29/20	5/6/20	8/12/20	12/22/20	1/27/21	4/28/21	8/11/21	10/27/21	1/26/22	4/27/22	8/8/22	10/26/22	1/25/23	4/26/23	8/1/23	11/6/23	2/6/24	5/7/24	8/6/24	11/4/24	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

¹USD in Million

Estimates

Forecast Balance Sheet: Aspen Technology, Inc.

balance-sheet-analysis-chart ASPEN-TECHNOLOGY-INC

Fiscal Period: June	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026	2027
Net Debt ¹	140	-86.7	-	-241	-237	-489	-893	-1,025
Change	-	-161.93%	-	-	-198.34%	-306.36%	-282.62%	-214.78%
Announcement Date	8/12/20	8/11/21	8/8/22	8/1/23	8/6/24	-	-	-

¹USD in Million

Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Aspen Technology, Inc.

Fiscal Period: June	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026	2027
CAPEX ¹	1.278	1.237	2.12	6.577	4.432	15.57	17.53	14.47
Change	-	-3.21%	71.38%	210.24%	-32.61%	251.2%	12.62%	-17.48%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) ¹	242	276.2	152.6	292.6	335.5	340.8	413.6	465.1
Change	-	14.12%	-44.73%	91.74%	14.63%	1.6%	21.35%	12.44%
Announcement Date	8/12/20	8/11/21	8/8/22	8/1/23	8/6/24	-	-	-

¹USD in Million

Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Aspen Technology, Inc.

Fiscal Period: June	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026	2027
Profitability
EBITDA Margin (%)	49.14%	57.35%	52.14%	38.38%	41.04%	42.31%	52.02%	52.01%
EBIT Margin (%)	48.63%	56.99%	51.62%	37.81%	40.46%	43.38%	44.66%	46.26%
EBT Margin (%)	45.89%	54.24%	34.76%	-17.29%	-3.89%	4.17%	7.86%	10.94%
Net margin (%)	38.24%	45.08%	31.82%	-10.32%	-0.87%	3.6%	6.16%	8.46%
FCF margin (%)	41%	38.93%	20.79%	28.03%	29.75%	28.61%	32.12%	33.41%
FCF / Net Income (%)	107.21%	86.35%	65.34%	-271.56%	-3,433.16%	795.1%	521.31%	394.88%
Profitability
ROA	23.96%	23.89%	2.84%	-0.73%	-0.07%	0.2%	0.7%	1.1%
ROE	57.7%	50.48%	3.34%	2.84%	3.26%	3.77%	-	-
Financial Health
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA)	0.48x	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Debt / Free cash flow	0.58x	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Capital Intensity
CAPEX / Current Assets (%)	0.22%	0.17%	0.29%	0.63%	0.39%	1.31%	1.36%	1.04%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%)	0.44%	0.3%	0.55%	1.64%	0.96%	3.09%	2.62%	2%
CAPEX / FCF (%)	0.53%	0.45%	1.39%	2.25%	1.32%	4.57%	4.24%	3.11%
Items per share
Cash flow per share ¹	3.54	4.032	2.301	4.63	-	-	-	-
Change	-	13.9%	-42.92%	101.2%	-	-	-	-
Dividend per Share ¹	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Change	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Book Value Per Share ¹	7.291	21.41	-	202.8	202.6	202.5	203.6	205.5
Change	-	193.66%	-	-	-0.09%	-0.05%	0.57%	0.92%
EPS ¹	3.28	4.67	3.75	-1.67	-0.15	0.6843	1.239	1.814
Change	-	42.38%	-19.7%	-144.53%	-91.02%	-556.19%	81%	46.46%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands)	67,600	68,015	64,306	64,869	63,328	63,250	63,250	63,250
Announcement Date	8/12/20	8/11/21	8/8/22	8/1/23	8/6/24	-	-	-