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ATLAS AIR WORLDWIDE HOLDINGS, INC.

(AAWW)
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Amazon's rising air shipments fly in the face of climate plan

11/06/2019 | 12:34pm EDT
FILE PHOTO: A wide body aircraft emblazoned with Amazon's Prime logo is unloaded at Lehigh Valley International Airport in Allentown, Pennsylvania, U.S.

Amazon.com Inc Chief Executive Jeff Bezos has plans to slash greenhouse gas emissions from the online retailer's delivery operations.

Yet the company's use of airplanes - the most climate-damaging mode of transportation - is on the rise, according to data provided to Reuters.

Amazon Air's U.S. volume has risen steadily since its 2016 launch, according to an analysis of Department of Transportation data by Cargo Facts Consulting https://www.cargofactsconsulting.com, a Luxembourg-based advisory firm with a global staff and more than four decades of history.

It crunched data from Air Transport Services Group Inc and Atlas Air Worldwide Holdings. Both supply planes and pilots for Amazon Air.

In July, Amazon Air flew 136 million lbs of goods in the United States, according to the data. That was up 29% from the year earlier and just 9 million lbs short of December 2018, when the peak holiday shipping season was in full swing.

For a graphic on fast delivery fuels more Amazon Air flights, click https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/editorcharts/AMAZON-AIRPLANES/0H001QXH999X/eikon.png

Bezos has said Amazon will cut its use of airplanes as it builds more local warehouses and fills them with goods that it can deliver to customer doorsteps in one day, or even one hour.

But for the time being, Amazon's air shipments are climbing as it speeds up deliveries to lure customers and pressure rivals like Walmart Inc and Target Corp.

In April, Amazon started offering no-minimum purchase, one-day free shipping to members of its Prime subscription service.

In the latest quarter, it saw delivery costs soar, and warned the holiday quarter would see costs for one-day shipping alone spike to $1.5 billion.    

The Seattle e-retailer, which sends 10 billion packages a year, declined to say what percentage of its shipments travel by plane or give specific examples of how the latest drive to shave time off its standard two-day shipping affected air transport.

Last month, Amazon said its CO2 emissions in 2018 were 44.4 million metric tons and set a goal to be net carbon neutral by 2040.

"We expect the percent of total shipments to customers utilizing air transportation to reduce from year to year as we significantly increase one and same day shipments," Amazon spokesman Sam Kennedy said, when asked about Cargo Facts' data.

DELIVERY WARS

A standard package flown on a plane in the United States creates an estimated 6-10 times more CO2 emissions than one traveling by truck, said Jacques Leonardi, a senior research fellow in freight, logistics and sustainable distribution at the University of Westminster in London.

Amazon Air leases 47 planes and is expected have 50 by the end of the year. It operates roughly 110 daily flights in the United States and around 20 per day in Europe, according to Cargo Facts.

In June, shortly after FedEx Corp said its planes would stop shuttling packages for the online retailer, Amazon Air announced plans to have 70 planes on lease by 2021.

But Amazon says it is getting closer to customers with an expanding network of well-stocked warehouses. Those local fulfillment centers underpin the company's one-day and same-day delivery services.

In a news release issued Monday, Amazon said those options were "better for the planet" because there aren't many miles in the trip to customer doorsteps.

Because those time windows are so tight, "you are eliminating the possibility of air transportation," Amazon's Bezos said in September. "Even though it's counterintuitive, the fact of the matter is that shorter delivery times end up being less carbon-intensive than longer delivery times."

Products from most of Amazon's 158 U.S. distribution centers can be shipped to 65% of the population in one day, said Marc Wulfraat, president of supply chain consultancy MWPVL International.

Items like footwear, jewelry, auto parts and niche electronics come from 23 distribution centers that span the country - and will likely need to be moved by air for next-day delivery, Wulfraat said.

Amazon also depends on United Parcel Service Inc for air shipments. The Atlanta-based delivery company has seen a bump in that business since Amazon began expanding free one-day delivery this spring, UPS executives and analysts said.

Domestic next day air volume at UPS surged more than 30% in the second quarter and was up nearly 24% in the third quarter - fueled by faster e-commerce shipping speeds and rival FedEx's breakup with Amazon this summer.

"It's not all from FedEx," said Satish Jindel, the founder of logistics advisory firm ShipMatrix, noting that express and deferred air services revenue at UPS surged $852 million in the second and third quarters.

Amazon's business was worth about $900 million to FedEx prior to their split, Jindel said. Express, which includes air shipments, accounted for roughly $540 million of that, he said.

By Lisa Baertlein


© Reuters 2019
Stocks mentioned in the article
ChangeLast1st jan.
AIR TRANSPORT SERVICES GROUP, INC. 1.21% 25.12 Delayed Quote.-19.85%
AMAZON.COM, INC. -0.08% 3346.83 Delayed Quote.2.76%
AT HOME GROUP INC. 0.25% 36.4 Delayed Quote.135.45%
ATLAS AIR WORLDWIDE HOLDINGS, INC. 0.72% 74.23 Delayed Quote.36.10%
LETS HOLDINGS GROUP CO., LTD. 1.29% 7.05 End-of-day quote.-9.38%
LOOK HOLDINGS INCORPORATED -4.06% 1513 End-of-day quote.58.10%
MEMBERS CO., LTD. 3.17% 3420 End-of-day quote.47.48%
UNITED PARCEL SERVICE INC 0.00% 203.2 Delayed Quote.20.67%
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Financials (USD)
Sales 2021 3 817 M - -
Net income 2021 413 M - -
Net Debt 2021 - - -
P/E ratio 2021 5,56x
Yield 2021 -
Capitalization 2 153 M 2 153 M -
Capi. / Sales 2021 0,56x
Capi. / Sales 2022 0,59x
Nbr of Employees 4 061
Free-Float 83,0%
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Technical analysis trends ATLAS AIR WORLDWIDE HOLDINGS, INC.
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Mean consensus OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts 6
Average target price 97,20 $
Last Close Price 74,23 $
Spread / Highest target 45,5%
Spread / Average Target 30,9%
Spread / Lowest Target 2,38%
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Managers and Directors
NameTitle
John W. Dietrich President, Chief Executive Officer & Director
Spencer Schwartz Chief Financial Officer & Executive Vice President
Duncan J. McNabb Chairman
James A. Forbes Chief Operating Officer & Executive Vice President
Timothy J. Bernlohr Independent Director
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